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Matthew Rothway

Research Analyst at UBS Asset Management Americas Inc.

Matthew Rothway is an Analyst at UBS Securities LLC specializing in equity research, covering companies such as RH Petrogas, Heineken Malaysia, and China Yuchai across the energy, consumer, and industrial sectors. In his current role, Rothway has contributed to investment reports that have outperformed consensus expectations, highlighted by coverage on stocks with strong free cash flow yields and notable earnings beats. He began his professional investment career at TIAA-CREF Investment Management before joining UBS in 2024, building a track record of sound financial analysis and sector expertise. Rothway maintains relevant financial industry credentials including securities registrations, underscoring his commitment to rigorous professional standards.

Matthew Rothway's questions to US Foods Holding (USFD) leadership

Question · Q1 2025

Matthew Rothway, on for Mark Carden, asked for details on trends in the chain and healthcare segments, noting the weakness in chains and acceleration in healthcare. He also inquired about the company's sales force hiring plans for the year.

Answer

CFO Dirk Locascio explained that the decline in the chain segment was in line with broader industry traffic and that the company's focus remains on the more profitable independent, healthcare, and hospitality segments. He highlighted the continued strong, differentiated growth in healthcare. CEO Dave Flitman added that the company's hiring plan remains a target of mid-single-digit growth for the sales force, consistent with prior years.

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Fintool can predict US Foods Holding logo USFD's earnings beat/miss a week before the call

Matthew Rothway's questions to Performance Food Group (PFGC) leadership

Question · Q3 2025

Matthew Roth of UBS inquired about current consumer demand behaviors, such as trade-down or shifts in cuisine types, and the outlook for food inflation, particularly any potential impact from tariffs.

Answer

COO Scott McPherson noted a strong recovery in independent case volume in April, with the Mexican and Convenience foodservice segments performing well. CEO George Holm attributed the challenging quarter primarily to severe weather in February. CFO Patrick Hagerty stated that Q4 inflation is expected to be similar to Q3 and that it is too early to assess tariff impacts, a point echoed by Scott McPherson, who added that the main concern is the broader macroeconomic effect on consumers rather than direct costs.

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Fintool can predict Performance Food Group logo PFGC's earnings beat/miss a week before the call

Matthew Rothway's questions to Grocery Outlet Holding (GO) leadership

Question · Q1 2025

Matthew Rothway, on for Mark Carden, asked for an explanation of the Q1 gross margin outperformance and why that strength is not fully reflected in the full-year outlook.

Answer

CFO Chris Miller attributed the Q1 beat primarily to lower inventory shrinkage resulting from improved systems and processes, which he noted is a sustainable gain. While there is potential for further margin upside from assortment mix (opportunistic and private label) in the back half of the year, he stated it was too early to quantify the full impact and build it into guidance.

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Fintool can predict Grocery Outlet Holding logo GO's earnings beat/miss a week before the call

Matthew Rothway's questions to UNITED NATURAL FOODS (UNFI) leadership

Question · Q1 2025

Matthew Rothway from UBS asked for an update on the progress toward achieving the previously announced $150 million cost efficiency goal.

Answer

President & CFO Matteo Tarditi clarified that the $150 million is a target for the three-year strategic plan, not a single year. He cited the 65-basis-point reduction in OpEx as a percentage of sales in Q1 as a key proof point, driven by Lean management, improved throughput, and a more decentralized, leaner organization.

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Fintool can predict UNITED NATURAL FOODS logo UNFI's earnings beat/miss a week before the call

Matthew Rothway's questions to Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI) leadership

Question · Q1 2025

Matthew Rothway of UBS Group AG, on behalf of Mark Carden, asked what was driving lower supply chain costs and whether the full-year expectation for flat supply chain costs remains.

Answer

CFO Robert Helm explained that while tariffs are a slight headwind within supply chain costs, this is being offset by favorable ocean contract negotiations, positive domestic transportation rates, and record efficiency at the distribution centers. These factors contribute to the overall cost management.

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Fintool can predict Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings logo OLLI's earnings beat/miss a week before the call

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