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    Michael BakerD.A. Davidson & Co.

    Michael Baker's questions to Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker from D.A. Davidson & Co. asked about the comp sales pace throughout the second quarter and questioned the implied significant ramp in performance from Q3 to Q4 based on the company's guidance.

    Answer

    President and CEO Jason Potter responded that the current comp run rate is consistent with the provided guidance and that the company is seeing improvement. He reiterated that the initiatives being rolled out are expected to build momentum as the year progresses. He also clarified that the full-year guidance includes a 53rd week in the fourth quarter, which provides a leverage benefit to the P&L.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker asked for quantification of the Easter holiday shift, whether recent consumer behavior changes were impacting sales, and for an update on the company's price gaps versus competitors.

    Answer

    CEO Jason Potter acknowledged that April trends were 'a little soft' but found it difficult to attribute the cause, citing general consumer uncertainty. Regarding pricing, he stated that after recent work to sharpen value, he feels they are in a 'good spot' but that monitoring competitive gaps is an ongoing process.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker from D.A. Davidson & Co. inquired about the long-term EBITDA margin potential, asking if the current strategic changes are designed to return the company to its historical 6% to mid-6% range.

    Answer

    CFO Chris Miller acknowledged the company's history of strong performance and the significant growth opportunities ahead. However, he stated that while they have provided guidance for the current year, they are not prepared to comment on long-term margin targets beyond 2025 at this time.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker asked if the peak 2023 gross margin of 31.3% was an anomaly due to post-COVID supply chain disruptions, and whether the current 30.5% target is a result of a normalized environment or a conscious decision to reinvest.

    Answer

    Interim President and CEO Eric Lindberg stated that the company has historically operated within a narrow margin band of roughly 30% to 31.5% and that he would 'never say that we'll never see these margins again.' He explained that the business model provides flexibility to manage margins weekly and that the current level reflects a strategic choice to reinvest in price to drive customer traffic, rather than a permanent structural change.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Carvana Co (CVNA) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to Carvana Co (CVNA) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker from D.A. Davidson asked about the implied EBITDA growth slowdown in the second half guidance and whether it signals increased investments. He also questioned how Carvana could accelerate growth to meet its 3 million unit goal in five years.

    Answer

    CEO Ernie Garcia reiterated the strong full-year guidance without providing more detail, framing it as a milestone toward their long-term goals. He clarified the 3 million unit target implies a ~40% CAGR over five years, which is consistent with their current 41% growth rate, and expressed confidence given their small market share and improving operational efficiency.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Carvana Co (CVNA) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker from D.A. Davidson asked if the guidance for the second half of the year implies a slowdown due to increased investments or the law of large numbers. He also questioned how the company could accelerate growth to meet its 3 million unit target in five years.

    Answer

    CEO Ernie Garcia reiterated the strong full-year guidance without providing more detail, emphasizing it as a milestone toward the long-term goal. He clarified the 3 million unit target implies a 40% CAGR over five years, which is in line with the current growth rate, and expressed confidence given the company's small market share and improving operational efficiency.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Carvana Co (CVNA) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker from D.A. Davidson & Co. asked about the potential impact of new car tariffs on the used car business and what would be required for Carvana to raise its long-term adjusted EBITDA margin outlook beyond the current 8% to 13.5% range.

    Answer

    CEO Ernie Garcia stated they would not speculate on tariffs and are running the business as usual. On margins, he clarified they are targeting the high end of the existing range, and the path there is clear. The key strategic decision is how to allocate future fundamental gains between customer value and bottom-line profit, with the current bias toward sharing gains with customers to drive long-term growth.

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    Michael Baker's questions to WD-40 Co (WDFC) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to WD-40 Co (WDFC) leadership • Q3 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker of D.A. Davidson & Co. asked for clarification on the updated guidance, specifically why top-line expectations were narrowed downward while profitability was revised up. He also questioned the nature of promotional activity, noting that A&P spending as a percentage of sales was down year-to-date.

    Answer

    CEO Steve Brass explained the revenue guidance adjustment was due to a clearer year-end view, tough comparables, and specific regional factors like a manufacturing change in the Middle East and volatility in Turkey. CFO Sara Hyzer added that the improved profitability outlook is driven by favorable foreign exchange rates, particularly the Euro, and other positive non-operating items. Regarding promotions, Brass differentiated between brand-building efforts and retailer-specific promotions, stating that the timing of the latter can vary and that a strong promotional plan is in place for the U.S. in Q4.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) leadership • Q1 2026

    Question

    Michael Baker of D.A. Davidson & Co. asked for a big-picture assessment of the competitive landscape, suggesting that while pressure from some traditional competitors may be easing, it could be intensifying from online players like Amazon and TikTok.

    Answer

    President & CEO Kecia Steelman opined that the competitive environment remains consistently intense, but the nature of it has shifted as Ulta is now cycling past the peak of physical store expansion from key rivals. She highlighted Ulta's own upcoming marketplace launch and its unique differentiators like brand exclusivity and in-store experiences. CFO Paula Oyibo added that the company's ability to compete has improved this year due to the 'Ulta Beauty Unleashed' plan.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) leadership • Q4 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker inquired about Ulta's exposure to potential tariffs, particularly from Europe, and asked for a reminder of how the price versus cost dynamic played out during the 2018 tariff cycle.

    Answer

    CFO Paula Oyibo stated that Ulta's direct import exposure is limited, with only about 1% of shipments being direct imports. She assured that the team is actively scenario planning and monitoring the situation, similar to how they successfully navigated the 2018-2019 period.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker asked about the pace of market share losses in the prestige category, seeking to understand if the performance gap between Ulta Beauty and its competitors is widening.

    Answer

    CEO David Kimbell responded that while the prestige category remains pressured, particularly in makeup and hair, the dynamics of share loss are not worsening. He attributed the quarter's overall performance to the combination of a moderating category, sustained competitive pressures, and the specific operational and promotional factors discussed on the call.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Best Buy Co Inc (BBY) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to Best Buy Co Inc (BBY) leadership • Q1 2026

    Question

    Michael Baker from D.A. Davidson asked about potential demand pull-forward, market share performance, and whether recent tariffs have altered consumer behavior.

    Answer

    CFO Matt Bilunas acknowledged a likely minor pull-forward in demand, though difficult to quantify. CEO Corie Barry added that while there may have been a slight market share loss in a quiet Q1, she expects full-year gains in computing and gaming. She reiterated that consumer behavior remains consistent with recent quarters: resilient but value-focused and making trade-offs.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Best Buy Co Inc (BBY) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker of D.A. Davidson & Co. inquired about the next major product cycle expected to drive growth after laptops and asked for clarification on how the fiscal calendar shift impacted monthly sales trends in Q2.

    Answer

    CEO Corie Barry described the next phase as an 'evolution, not a revolution,' where AI capabilities will proliferate across all devices with a screen, including tablets, phones, and TVs, driving demand for higher processing power. She pointed to Apple Intelligence as a key example of a cross-device catalyst. CFO Matt Bilunas clarified that while there was a quarterly calendar shift impact, most of it occurred in May, meaning July's flat performance was 'relatively not impacted' by the shift.

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    Michael Baker's questions to DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker asked about the strategic impact of the investment in Unrivaled Sports on the GameChanger business and questioned why Nike's partnership with Amazon might succeed this time.

    Answer

    President and CEO Lauren Hobart and Executive VP & CFO Navdeep Gupta detailed the synergy, explaining that Unrivaled provides on-the-ground access to the youth sports ecosystem, complementing GameChanger's digital platform and tapping into a $40 billion TAM. Regarding Nike, Hobart deferred to them but noted their current efforts are aimed at cleaning up the marketplace.

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    Michael Baker's questions to DICK'S Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) leadership • Q2 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker asked if there has been a strategic shift toward more lifestyle products and whether this is chain-wide. He also humorously inquired if the Boston Celtics' championship win provided a material sales boost.

    Answer

    President and CEO Lauren Hobart clarified that while the company remains rooted in performance sports, it has successfully expanded its assortment to include the lifestyle products athletes wear off the field. CFO Navdeep Gupta confirmed this is a chain-wide strategy, with 90% of stores now featuring a premium footwear experience. Lauren Hobart stated that while exciting, the Celtics' win was not a material contributor to the quarter's results.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker asked for a detailed breakdown of the components driving the projected $19-23 million year-over-year EBITDA improvement for fiscal 2025 and sought clarification on how the 'low base of sales' plan relates to the low-to-mid-single-digit comp guidance.

    Answer

    CEO Kenneth Seipel explained that the company has a low-base operating budget, and sales above that baseline are expected to generate approximately 25% flow-through to EBITDA, with a stretch plan offering even higher flow-through. CFO Heather Plutino added that the key drivers are sales growth, a minimum of 220 basis points in gross margin expansion, and SG&A leverage. Seipel clarified that the low-to-mid-single-digit comp guidance encompasses the baseline plan, and the guided EBITDA range reflects the potential flow-through from achieving higher sales tiers within that outlook.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) leadership • Q3 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker inquired about the long-term EBITDA margin target for the business, the normalized quarterly SG&A run rate, and asked CEO Ken Seipel to compare the current turnaround to his past experiences.

    Answer

    CEO Kenneth Seipel stated that returning to historical EBITDA margins of 5-6% is a primary near-term goal, with a potential path beyond that. CFO Heather Plutino identified a normalized quarterly SG&A run rate of approximately $73 million, which Seipel added is a highly fixed base that should provide significant leverage as sales grow. Seipel compared the turnaround by noting the common theme of refocusing on the core customer, the unique challenge of fixing more broken operational fundamentals than usual, and the uniquely positive and quick response from customers to strategic changes.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) leadership • Q2 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker asked for more detail on the Q2 comparable sales miss, questioning whether it was driven by fewer items per basket or lower prices from markdowns, and which specific merchandise categories underperformed. He also followed up on the accounting for inventory shrink, asking if it will remain a drag on gross margin in coming quarters and if it's factored into the second-half outlook.

    Answer

    CFO Heather Plutino explained that while customer traffic increased, the basket size (units per transaction) was under pressure, causing the comp decline. She noted that footwear continued to be a drag, while children's apparel, home, and impulse categories performed well. Regarding shrink, Plutino confirmed that the higher accrual rate will remain a drag versus last year but is fully incorporated into the second-half gross margin guidance of approximately 39%.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker of D.A. Davidson & Co. inquired about Citi Trends' merchandising strategy, specifically the evolution of its off-price and closeout model toward an in-season 'extreme value' approach. He also questioned the full-year comparable sales guidance, noting it appeared conservative given the strong 9.9% growth in Q1 and positive current quarter trends.

    Answer

    CEO Ken Seipel clarified the off-price strategy, distinguishing between traditional end-of-season closeouts and the new focus on 'extreme value' products—highly branded, current-season items offered at significant discounts. He stated the long-term goal is for this segment to add an incremental 10% to top-line sales. Regarding guidance, Seipel explained that the back half of the year faces tougher comparisons and the company is managing the business on a two-year stack basis, which is expected to moderate. He also cited macro uncertainty as a reason for a prudent outlook.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) leadership • Q2 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker asked if extending gas station hours has resulted in incremental gallon sales and inquired about Costco's current price gaps relative to competitors.

    Answer

    Executive Gary Millerchip confirmed that they have been pleased with the member response to extended gas hours and are seeing improved usage. Regarding price gaps, he stated that Costco feels very good about its competitive positioning, focusing proactively on lowering prices for members rather than reacting to competitors.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker asked about the competitive pricing environment, especially in grocery, and how Costco's price gaps are holding up. He also questioned if falling gas prices hurt store traffic, given the deceleration in gallon growth.

    Answer

    Gary Millerchip, an executive, stated that Costco aims to be its own biggest competitor by being the first to lower prices, making most investments proactive. While the promotional environment is increasing, especially in appliances, he feels good about Costco's price position. Ron Vachris, an executive, addressed the gas question, stating that while gallon growth was softer, he doesn't see it as a concern and is not seeing traffic drop off in the warehouse as a result.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker asked about the comparable sales lift being observed from the new market hub stores and the rationale behind the guidance assumption that the economy will improve in the second half of 2025.

    Answer

    CEO Shane O'Kelly confirmed that test-and-control data shows a positive comparable sales lift for both the hub stores and the stores they service. CFO Ryan Grimsland clarified that the guidance assumes a return to 'normal market conditions' rather than a significant improvement, a view he noted is consistent with external forecasts.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Walmart Inc (WMT) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to Walmart Inc (WMT) leadership • Q4 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker asked for an update on the consumer environment, referencing past management comments, and questioned why the number of rollbacks appeared lower than in previous quarters.

    Answer

    CEO Doug McMillon clarified his previous 'storm clouds' comment, stating the feared downturn never materialized and he now sees consistency. Walmart U.S. CEO John Furner described the consumer as 'consistent' and 'resilient,' adding that the team is prepared for any economic environment by focusing on its omnichannel strategy.

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    Michael Baker's questions to O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to O'Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker from D.A. Davidson sought clarification on the early Q1 sales trend versus the tough comparison and asked why O'Reilly isn't seeing the same inflation pickup that is appearing in broader CPI data.

    Answer

    CFO Jeremy Fletcher clarified that while day-to-day business volumes were consistent with the end of Q4, the actual Q1 comp growth rate is lower due to the difficult comparison to strong weather-driven sales in January 2024. Regarding inflation, Fletcher explained that O'Reilly's pricing adjustments are more gradual than in other industries due to its slow-turning inventory, and the company avoids speculating on future inflation in its guidance until it materializes in their costs.

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    Michael Baker's questions to A-Mark Precious Metals Inc (AMRK) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to A-Mark Precious Metals Inc (AMRK) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker of D.A. Davidson & Co. questioned the basis for management's optimism that macroeconomic headwinds would shift and asked for more detail on the ratio of customer buybacks versus new sales.

    Answer

    Executive Gregory Roberts clarified that his optimism stems from observing a decrease in customer selling pressure that had been prevalent during periods of record-high metal prices. He noted that a drop in spot prices historically stimulates buying demand and improves premiums, and that the buy-to-sell ratio had improved significantly in recent weeks.

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    Michael Baker's questions to Autozone Inc (AZO) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to Autozone Inc (AZO) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker of D.A. Davidson & Co. asked if a competitor's price investments were impacting AutoZone's average ticket, and sought clarification on the Q1 comp outlook and the store growth target for fiscal 2025.

    Answer

    CEO Philip Daniele stated that competitor pricing has not caused a radical change and that average ticket is primarily driven by product cost inflation, not competitive actions. He clarified that Q1 trends are expected to be similar to Q4, with modest improvement anticipated later in the year. The company is targeting over 20 Mega-Hub openings in FY25, mostly in the second half.

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    Michael Baker's questions to BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc (BJ) leadership

    Michael Baker's questions to BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc (BJ) leadership • Q2 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker of D.A. Davidson & Co. questioned the $30 million in preopening costs for the back half of the year, asking if it was due to delays and if it contributed to the lower-end EPS guidance. He also requested more detail on the 'growing pains' from assortment changes and the expected timing of the payoff.

    Answer

    CEO Robert Eddy and EVP William Werner confirmed the higher preopening costs are due to an accelerated new club opening schedule (11 clubs vs. 5 last year), which pressures near-term EPS but is a positive long-term investment. Eddy clarified that 'growing pains' include increased labor for resets and markdowns to clear old inventory, with the benefits expected to materialize next year as categories that have undergone the process are already showing better performance.

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    Michael Baker's questions to BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc (BJ) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker requested a deeper dive into the Fresh 2.0 initiative, asking about the sales lift seen in meat and seafood and the relative size of this opportunity compared to produce and future categories like dairy and bakery.

    Answer

    CEO Bob Eddy explained that the meat and produce categories are of a comparable size. He noted that while it's too early to quantify a multiplier effect, they anticipate a similar lift in meat as seen in produce, which drove high-single to low-double-digit unit movement. He described the overall Fresh 2.0 initiative as a material opportunity to change the business long-term by making BJ's a weekly shopping destination for members.

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    Michael Baker's questions to BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc (BJ) leadership • Q1 2025

    Question

    Michael Baker asked for quantification of the sales lift from the Fresh 2.0 initiative in meat and seafood and the relative size of this opportunity compared to produce.

    Answer

    Chairman and CEO Bob Eddy explained that the meat and produce categories are of a comparable size. While produce has been driving high single-digit to low double-digit unit growth, he anticipates a similar result in meat. He emphasized that it's too early to measure the combined '1+1=3' effect on member trips and loyalty, but the strategic goal is to solidify BJ's as a weekly shopping destination.

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    Michael Baker's questions to BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings Inc (BJ) leadership • Q4 2024

    Question

    Michael Baker from D.A. Davidson & Co. inquired about the long-term potential for BJ's store count, whether it could become a nationwide concept, and how it performs as a third entrant in a market with existing club competition.

    Answer

    EVP, Strategy and Development, William Werner explained that as the company gains market share, its models reveal more opportunities in both existing and adjacent markets, such as the planned entry into Dallas-Fort Worth. CEO Robert Eddy added that the entire club channel is gaining share from grocery stores, and while BJ's will remain prudent with capital, they see no reason to slow their measured expansion pace.

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