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AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 revenue $15.42B and adjusted EPS $2.97 beat S&P Global consensus ($15.03B revenue, $2.91 EPS), driven by outperformance in Immunology (Skyrizi +61.8% op, Rinvoq +41.2% op) and Neuroscience (+24.0% op); Aesthetics declined 8% operationally . Consensus sources: S&P Global estimates*.
  • Management raised FY25 adjusted EPS to $11.88–$12.08 (from $11.67–$11.87 on 7/3) and lifted FY25 revenue outlook to ~$60.5B (+$0.8B), citing strong momentum across ex-Humira platform .
  • Key positives: ex-Humira platform +22% YoY growth; Skyrizi+Rinvoq on pace for >$25B 2025 sales; Neuroscience strength across Vraylar, Botox Therapeutic, oral CGRP, and Vyalev .
  • Watch items: Aesthetics macro headwinds (fillers), Humira erosion; VERONA (MDS) did not meet OS primary endpoint; acquired IPR&D cut $0.42 from EPS .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • Immunology beat: Skyrizi $4.423B (+61.8% op) and Rinvoq $2.028B (+41.2% op), offsetting Humira declines . CEO: “We are making excellent progress…SKYRIZI and RINVOQ…on pace to deliver more than $25 billion in combined sales this year” .
    • Neuroscience broad-based strength: segment $2.683B (+24.0% op) with Vraylar $900M (+16.3%), Botox Therapeutic $928M (+14.2%), Ubrelvy $338M (+47.2%), Qulipta $267M (+76.9%) .
    • Guidance raised again: FY25 revenue to ~$60.5B (+$800M) and adj. EPS to $11.88–$12.08; Q3 guide revenue ~$15.5B, EPS $3.24–$3.28 .
  • What Went Wrong
    • Aesthetics softness: portfolio $1.279B (-8.0% op) on filler pressures (Juvederm $260M, -24%) and macro sentiment .
    • Humira erosion continued: $1.180B (-58.2% op); management expects further U.S. access decreases in 2H25 .
    • Pipeline setback: VERONA (Venclexta+azacitidine) in higher-risk MDS did not meet OS primary endpoint .

Financial Results

Consolidated results and vs estimates (USD):

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q2 2025 Consensus*Surprise
Revenue ($B)14.462 13.343 15.423 15.030*+$0.393B
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)0.77 0.72 0.52
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)2.65 2.46 2.97 2.9078*+$0.062
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)84.1 84.4
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)42.3 44.3
Adjusted Tax Rate (%)18.8 14.2 16.2
Net Interest Expense ($M)627 678

Segment and key product revenue (Q2 2025):

Portfolio / ProductQ2 2025 Revenue ($B)YoY %
Total Revenue15.423 +6.6%
Immunology7.631 +9.5%
- Skyrizi4.423 +61.8% op
- Rinvoq2.028 +41.2% op
- Humira1.180 -58.2% op
Neuroscience2.683 +24.0% op
- Vraylar0.900 +16.3%
- Botox Therapeutic0.928 +14.2% op
- Ubrelvy0.338 +47.2% op
- Qulipta0.267 +76.9% op
Oncology1.676 +2.4% op
- Imbruvica0.754 -9.5%
- Venclexta0.691 +8.3% op
- Elahere0.159 +23.7% op
Aesthetics1.279 -8.0% op
- Botox Cosmetic0.692 -4.9% op
- Juvederm0.260 -24.0%

KPI snapshot (Q2 2025):

  • Ex-Humira platform growth: +22% YoY (management)
  • Acquired IPR&D/milestones: $823M (5.3% of revenue), -$0.42 EPS impact
  • Net interest expense: $678M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EPSFY25$11.67–$11.87 (incl. Q2 IPR&D) $11.88–$12.08 Raised
Total RevenueFY25~$59.7B (post-Q1) ~$60.5B Raised ~$0.8B
Skyrizi RevenueFY25$16.5B $17.1B Raised +$0.6B
Rinvoq RevenueFY25$8.2B (No change specified) —
HUMIRA U.S. RevenueFY25$3.5B $3.0B Lowered -$0.5B
Neuroscience RevenueFY25$10.0B $10.5B Raised +$0.3B
Imbruvica RevenueFY25$2.8B $2.9B Raised +$0.1B
Venclexta RevenueFY25$2.7B $2.8B Raised +$0.1B
Adjusted R&D ExpenseFY25~$8.9B ~$9.0B Raised
Adjusted SG&A ExpenseFY25~$13.2B ~$13.5B Raised
Adjusted Operating MarginFY25~46.5% (incl. 0.4% IPR&D YTD) ~45% (incl. 1.8% IPR&D YTD) Lower on mix/IPR&D
Q3 RevenueQ3’25~$15.5B New
Q3 Adjusted EPSQ3’25$3.24–$3.28 New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Immunology momentum (Skyrizi/Rinvoq)2027 combined raised to $31B; strong IBD, psoriasis traction Skyrizi+Rinvoq >$25B 2025 pace; further FY raises Strengthening
Aesthetics macro & GLP‑1Macro drag U.S./China; loyalty program reset; long-term HSD CAGR thru 2029 -8% op; net neutral GLP‑1; focus on activation; BoNT/E 2026e Stabilizing, still weak
Tariffs/supply chainU.S. footprint; $10B U.S. capex; mitigation levers Watching 232; insulated near-term; sector exposure in-line Monitored risk
IRA/regulatoryPart D redesign ~4% headwind; orphan changes pending Venclexta exempt via orphan expansion in OBBB Act; negotiations ongoing Slight positive
Neuroscience scale2025 sales ~$10B; tavapadon filing plan “Largest neuroscience company next year” claim; Vyalev ramp Accelerating
Oncology/ADCsTeliso‑V/ABBV‑400 programs advancing; ELAHERE growth Emrelis FDA AA; solid-tumor ADC updates; VERONA miss Mixed: launches +, trial -
R&D/BD20+ deals in 2024; obesity entry (amylin) Capstan acquisition; siRNA (ADARx); alopecia data (Rinvoq) Active deal flow

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and momentum: “We delivered adjusted EPS of $2.97…Total net revenues were $15.4 billion…sales growth of 22% from our ex‑HUMIRA platform…raising our full‑year outlook” .
  • Immunology leadership: “As a portfolio, RINVOQ and SKYRIZI together are capturing one out of every two in‑play Crohn’s disease patients and one out of every three in‑play UC patients in the U.S.” .
  • Aesthetics posture: “We moderated our assumptions for near‑term category growth…we remain very well‑positioned for growth over the long term in the aesthetics category” .
  • Neuroscience ambition: “We expect to be the largest neuroscience company in the industry next year” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Biosimilars dynamics: STELARA biosimilars impact on Skyrizi/Rinvoq seen as minor contributor; core momentum from data and breadth .
  • Tariffs: 2025 largely insulated; broad U.S. manufacturing network; additional U.S. capacity planned as part of $10B capex .
  • IRA: Venclexta exempt from negotiation due to expanded orphan exemption; VRAYLAR in upcoming round—company will comment when prices are public .
  • Pricing and Part D: Skyrizi pricing neutral for 2025 overall with back‑half headwinds; modest first‑half favorability explained (gating, Part D timing) .
  • RINVOQ Alopecia Areata: Phase 3 showed transformative hair regrowth; management sees meaningful long‑term opportunity across next wave indications .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $15.423B vs $15.030B*; Adjusted EPS $2.97 vs $2.9078*; # of estimates: Revenue 17*, EPS 20* [actuals from 8‑K; estimates from S&P].
  • Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $13.343B vs $12.921B*; Adjusted EPS $2.46 vs $2.397*; # of estimates: Revenue 17*, EPS 18*.
  • Implication: Likely upward revisions to FY revenue and EPS following raised guidance and segment raises (Skyrizi, Neuroscience, Imbruvica, Venclexta) .
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Table – Actual vs S&P Global consensus:

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue Actual ($B)14.462 13.343 15.423
Revenue Consensus ($B)*14.027*12.921*15.030*
EPS Adjusted Actual ($)2.65 2.46 2.97
EPS Consensus ($)*2.6603*2.3971*2.9078*
EPS Estimates (#)*20*18*20*
Revenue Estimates (#)*18*17*17*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Beat-and-raise quarter with strong Immunology and Neuroscience; FY25 revenue/adj. EPS raised, plus higher product-level guides (Skyrizi +$600M; Neuroscience +$300M; Imbruvica/Venclexta +$100M each) .
  • Near-term catalysts: Q3 print (rev ~$15.5B; EPS $3.24–$3.28) ; second Phase 3 RINVOQ Alopecia Areata data and vitiligo readouts; ADC presentations (Temab‑A/ABBV‑400, ABBV‑706) .
  • Risk watch: Aesthetics remains macro-sensitive (fillers) with -8% op; management leaning into activation (Allē), new campaigns, and BoNT/E pipeline for 2026 .
  • Portfolio durability: Ex‑Humira platform +22% YoY; Humira decline manageable within raised outlook; combined Skyrizi+Rinvoq >$25B 2025 pace .
  • Policy backdrop: Part D headwind ~4% to growth baked in; Venclexta spared from negotiation via orphan carve‑out; tariff exposure seen in‑line with peers and mitigable .
  • Pipeline/BD adds optionality: Capstan (in‑vivo CAR‑T tLNP), ADARx siRNA, rinvoq AA data, Emrelis approval expand medium/long‑term growth vectors .

References:

  • Q2 2025 8‑K earnings press release and exhibits .
  • Q2 2025 earnings call transcript .
  • Guidance 8‑K (July 3, 2025) .
  • Q1 2025 8‑K and call transcript .
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

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