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ACI WORLDWIDE, INC. (ACIW)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Beat-and-raise quarter: Q1 revenue $394.6M (+25% y/y) and adjusted EBITDA $94.1M (+95% y/y); diluted EPS adjusted for non-cash/transaction items $0.51 vs S&P Global consensus $0.34; revenue beat ~$30M vs $364.4M consensus; FY25 revenue guidance raised to $1.690–$1.720B, adj. EBITDA reiterated at $480–$495M . Consensus values marked with asterisks below are from S&P Global.*
- Mix/quality: Payment Software (newly combined Bank + Merchant) revenue +42% y/y; Biller +11% y/y; recurring revenue +8% to $285.7M (72% of total). Net adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 36% (on revenue net of interchange) from 24% y/y .
- Balance sheet/capital return: Net leverage ~1.2x; cash $230M; repurchased 1M shares for $52M YTD ($320M authorization remaining) .
- Catalysts: Large APAC competitive takeaway; accelerating demos/first version release of Connetic (cloud-native payments hub) with target live customers in early 2026; Q2 guide embeds lighter license timing before re-acceleration in H2 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Payment Software strength: “Revenue grew 42%, adjusted EBITDA more than doubled” y/y; issuing/acquiring drove new logo wins in APAC and LatAm .
- Strategic product execution: Connetic 1.0 released at end of April; robust demos live since Dec; “I have never seen anything like this… blew me away,” per an industry analyst (paraphrased by management) .
- Bookings/new business pull-forward: “We were able to sign more revenue in Q1 than… expected… incremental revenue this quarter comes from net new business and better-than-expected transaction volumes, not renewals” .
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What Went Wrong
- Seasonality/normalization ahead: “We won’t be able to sustain a 25% revenue growth rate throughout the year,” with Q2 license lighter before picking up in Q3/Q4; front-half weighted but still below 50% .
- Biller EBITDA essentially flat: Biller segment adj. EBITDA +1% y/y; management flagged IRS/tax partners as contributors, with greater benefit in Q2, but mix limits margin upside near-term .
- FX and macro watch items: While ACI sees limited tariff/supply chain impact and slight USD benefit to revenue, FX mostly top-line (not margin) and macro remains in focus .
Financial Results
Revenue/EPS/Margins vs prior periods and estimates
Notes: Consensus values marked with asterisks are from S&P Global.*
Segment breakdown (company’s new reporting)
KPIs and operating drivers
Balance sheet snapshot (end of Q1 2025): Cash $230.1M; total debt ~$853M; equity $1.483B .
Non-GAAP adjustments (EPS): GAAP diluted EPS $0.55; adjustments include (-)$0.20 for Mindgate gain, +$0.04 amort. intangibles, +$0.03 amort. acquired software, +$0.09 stock-based comp → adjusted diluted EPS $0.51 .
Guidance Changes
Management also expects ~46% of FY25 revenue in 1H (vs 43% in 2024), reflecting earlier new-contract signings .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We grew revenue 25% and EBITDA 95%… incremental revenue this quarter comes from net new business and better-than-expected transaction volumes, not renewals” — CEO Tom Warsop .
- “Our newly formed Payment Software segment… grew revenue 42%… strength in Issuing and Acquiring… Biller… revenue up 11%” — CEO .
- “We are raising our guidance for full-year revenue… now $1.69–$1.72B; adjusted EBITDA $480–$495M” — CFO Scott Behrens .
- Connetic launch cadence: “Working demo live since December… released version 1.0 end of April… expect first live customers early next year; sales before then” — CEO .
- CFO succession: plan to retire with orderly transition; nearly 18 years of tenure noted .
Q&A Highlights
- Macro/tariffs: Customer modernization decisions unaffected; in some cases creating urgency to close deals earlier; no material negative impact observed .
- Segment cadence: Underlying recurring base growing ~8%; variability by quarter driven by timing of bank license deals—lighter in Q2, pick up in Q3/Q4; reiterates 7–9% constant-currency growth for 2025 .
- Digital disbursements: Partnership with Ingo broadens ACI Speedpay into payouts (e.g., insurance/healthcare claims), a longer-term growth vector beyond bill pay .
- APAC competitive takeaway: Won due to proven issuing/acquiring plus clear modernization path via Connetic; competitor mis-steps also helped .
- Biller/IRS: IRS and tax partners were contributors in Q1; expect a bit more in Q2; company doesn’t disclose single-customer contributions .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $394.6M vs $364.4M estimate (beat ~8%); adjusted diluted EPS $0.51 vs $0.34 estimate (beat ~$0.17). Estimate counts: 5 for revenue and EPS.* Actuals per company press release .
- Implications: Upward estimate revisions likely for FY revenue (guided up) and potential H2 weighting on license deals supports EBITDA at/above midpoint given operating leverage .
Note: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Clear beat-and-raise: Strong Q1 execution with net-new/volume-driven upside and a modest FY revenue guidance lift; adj. EBITDA range intact, implying confidence in margin framework .
- Payment Software flywheel: Issuing/acquiring wins and Connetic traction broaden pipeline; expect quarterly variability from license timing but H2 pickup should sustain momentum .
- Recurring base growing mid/high single digits: 72% recurring revenue provides stability; license timing drives quarter-to-quarter noise but supports EBITDA leverage when beats occur .
- Biller steady with new vectors: IRS/tax season tailwinds and new digital disbursements (Ingo partnership) add incremental growth avenues without heavy capital needs .
- Balance sheet optionality: ~1.2x net leverage and ongoing buybacks ($320M remaining) provide flexibility for capital returns and selective M&A .
- Watch list: Q2 guide bakes in lighter licenses; monitor Connetic early customer conversions/demos, additional competitive takeaways, and FX top-line impacts (minimal margin effect) .
- Management transition: CFO retirement planned with orderly succession; no change to financial targets/time-line indicated .
Additional context for trend analysis:
- Q4 2024: Revenue $453.0M; adj. EBITDA $157.7M; raised FY24 guide at the time and lowered target leverage to 2.0x .
- Q3 2024: Revenue $451.8M; adj. EBITDA $166.9M; strong Banks/Merchants; cash flow up 114% y/y .
Appendix: Other Relevant Press Releases (Q1 2025)
- ACI + Ingo Payments: Launch of ACI Speedpay Digital Disbursements to offer real-time and flexible payout options (RTP, PayPal/Venmo, debit, ACH) .
- Co-op partnership extension: UK retailer continues using ACI Payments Orchestration Platform; full stack migrated to ACI multi-tenant cloud in Azure .