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Adeia Inc. (ADEA)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 revenue was $85.7M, GAAP diluted EPS $0.15 and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.25; adjusted EBITDA was $45.7M, with cash from operations of $23.1M .
  • Versus Wall Street consensus, EPS was modestly above ($0.25 vs $0.2435) while revenue was below ($85.7M vs $88.5M); 4 estimates for each metric. Bolded for significance: EPS beat, revenue miss*.
  • Management reiterated FY2025 revenue guidance ($390–$430M) and lowered both GAAP and non-GAAP OpEx ranges; GAAP net income and adjusted EBITDA ranges were raised, and diluted share count guidance trimmed .
  • Strategic/catalyst updates: five Q2 deals including new customers in semis and e-commerce, an OTT renewal, continued debt paydown ($11.1M) and the unveiling of RapidCool direct-to-chip liquid cooling for AI semiconductors . CEO emphasized multiple paths to reach the high-end of guidance even if the large semiconductor deal slips, supporting the near-term narrative .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • New customer momentum: three of five Q2 deals were with new customers (STMicroelectronics; two e-commerce including Warby Parker), plus an OTT renewal; non-pay TV recurring revenue up 28% YoY .
  • Operating discipline and deleveraging: interest expense fell sequentially; effective interest rate ~7.8% and $11.1M term loan principal paid down, surpassing $300M repayments since separation .
  • Technology narrative: RapidCool introduced; “lowers thermal resistance by 70%… manage heat at three times today’s current power densities,” positioning Adeia in AI data center cooling over the mid/long term .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential revenue and profitability compression: revenue fell to $85.7M from $87.7M in Q1; GAAP operating income declined to $16.4M; litigation expense rose due to Disney case .
  • Revenue missed consensus and recurring impact of back-half weighted deal timing created near-term optics headwinds; management reiterated guidance but acknowledged timing uncertainty *.
  • Pay TV headwinds persist; while non-pay TV recurring grew 28% YoY, aggregate recurring growth must offset pay TV declines to sustain trajectory .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$119.2 $87.7 $85.7
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.32 $0.10 $0.15
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.47 $0.26 $0.25
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$57.5 $22.8 $16.4
GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)$36.0 $11.8 $16.7
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$80.3 $47.3 $45.7
Operating Margin (%)48.2% (calc. from )26.1% (calc. from )19.1% (calc. from )
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)67.4% (calc. from )53.9% (calc. from )53%
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$107.5 $57.1 $23.1
Term Loan Balance ($USD Millions)$487.1 $470.0 $458.9

Notes: Margins calculated using reported revenue and operating income/adjusted EBITDA; Q2 EBITDA margin also disclosed by CFO .

KPIs (Balance Sheet and Cash)

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Cash & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$110.4 $116.5 $116.5
Effective Interest Rate (%)N/AN/A7.8%
Dividends ($ per share; paid/declared)$0.05 (paid Dec. 18, 2024) $0.05 (paid Mar. 31, 2025; declared Jun. 17) $0.05 (paid Jun. 17; declared Sep. 16)

Segment breakdown: The company does not disclose segment revenue in the release; management noted recurring revenue growth outside pay TV of 28% YoY .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q1 2025)Current Guidance (Q2 2025)Change
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY2025$390–$430 $390–$430 Maintained
GAAP Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)FY2025$263–$275 $261–$271 Lowered
Non-GAAP Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)FY2025$166–$174 $160–$166 Lowered
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)FY2025$41–$43 $40–$42 Lowered
Other Income ($USD Millions)FY2025$4.0–$4.5 $5.5–$6.5 Raised
GAAP Tax Rate (%)FY202515–30% 10–30% Lowered range low-end
Non-GAAP Tax Rate (%)FY202523% 23% Maintained
GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)FY2025$76.5–$81.6 $85.1–$86.5 Raised
Non-GAAP Net Income ($USD Millions)FY2025$144.0–$167.5 $150.5–$175.9 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY2025$226.3–$258.3 $232.1–$266.1 Raised
Diluted Shares Outstanding (Millions)FY2025113–114 112–113 Lowered

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/technology initiativesFocus on hybrid bonding; tech transfer to new semi customer . Q1: continued innovation, R&D driving future adoption .Introduced RapidCool; 70% lower thermal resistance; targets AI server semis; prototypes with partners .Strengthening tech narrative; mid/long-term growth driver
Deal momentum & customer diversificationQ4: 10 deals, 4 new customers incl. Amazon, Canon; renewals with Roku, Sharp . Q1: 10 deals, 4 new in social, OTT, semis; pay TV renewals .5 deals: STMicro; OTT renewal; Warby Parker + another e-commerce; pay TV renewal; 3 new customers .Sustained, skewing toward growth verticals
Recurring revenue mixQ1 commentary on stability; lumpiness due to billing structures .Non-pay TV recurring +28% YoY; high renewal rate >90%; aggregate recurring stable despite pay TV declines .Improving ex-pay TV; pay TV headwind persists
Litigation & OpEx disciplineQ4 OpEx lower; term loan repriced -50 bps .Litigation expense up QoQ from Disney case; OpEx prudence lowers FY ranges; expect litigation to decrease modestly in H2 .Near-term pressure, easing expected H2
Macro/timing of dealsQ1 noted cautious spending, back-half weighted environment .Increased engagement; multiple shots on goal to hit high-end even if large semi deal slips timing .Back-half weighted; optionality improved
Capital allocationQ4: $50M debt paydown; $20M repurchases; dividend . Q1: $17.1M paydown; $10M repurchases; dividend .$11.1M paydown; dividend; cash generation continues .Continued deleveraging + shareholder returns

Management Commentary

  • CEO on revenue paths: “We now have multiple paths to achieve our revenue goals… even if we need to take a different strategic direction with the semiconductor customer” .
  • RapidCool positioning: “Bonds the silicon cold plate directly to the semiconductor… lowers thermal resistance by 70%… manage heat in semiconductors running at three times today’s current power densities” .
  • Growth markets: “Our strategy of targeting new customers in growth markets is producing results… non pay TV recurring revenue was up an impressive 28%” .
  • CFO on profitability and cash: “Adjusted EBITDA… $45.7M reflecting an adjusted EBITDA margin of 53%… ended the quarter with $116.5M in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities… cash from operations of $23.1M” .
  • FY guidance detail: “OpEx $160–$166M (non-GAAP); interest expense $40–$42M; other income $5.5–$6.5M; adjusted EBITDA margin ~60%; non-GAAP tax rate ~23%; capex ~$1M” .

Q&A Highlights

  • OTT renewal structure: “In line with prior agreement” (no structural changes) .
  • Recurring vs nonrecurring and mix: Large portion of Q2 revenue was recurring; new customer deals’ revenue impact more pronounced in future periods .
  • Large semiconductor deal timing: Goal remains to close in 2025, but company prepared for alternative paths; multiple avenues to reach high-end of guidance .
  • RapidCool commercialization: Early stage with strong prototype results; targeted initially at data centers; potential applicability beyond data centers longer term .
  • Spending discipline: SG&A tightened; R&D to see modest growth to support innovation if revenue visibility improves .

Estimates Context

MetricQ2 2025 ConsensusQ2 2025 ActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD)$88,480,250*$85,735,000 Miss*
Primary EPS ($)$0.2435*$0.25 Beat*
Primary EPS - # of Estimates4*
Revenue - # of Estimates4*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Implications: EPS slightly above consensus suggests effective cost control and lower interest expense; revenue below consensus reflects deal timing and pay TV headwinds, reinforcing back-half weighted guidance *.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: Expect back-half weighted revenue with multiple avenues to reach the high-end of FY2025 guidance; Q3/Q4 deal timing is the key stock driver .
  • Profitability: Adjusted EBITDA margin run-rate improved in guidance to ~60%; litigation expense expected to decline modestly in H2, supporting margins .
  • Balance sheet: Continued deleveraging with $11.1M Q2 paydown and >$300M since separation; lower effective interest rate (7.8%) enhances earnings power .
  • Growth vectors: RapidCool and hybrid bonding expand Adeia’s AI/semi narrative; new semiconductor and e-commerce customers validate portfolio reach .
  • Mix: Non-pay TV recurring up 28% YoY, offsetting legacy pay TV declines; watch for additional OTT, CE, social media, and e-commerce signings to sustain mix shift .
  • Estimates: EPS beat and revenue miss in Q2 suggest modest upward revisions to EPS but cautious revenue trajectories pending deal closures*.
  • Trading lens: Catalysts include closing the large semi deal or alternative sizable agreements, further OpEx discipline, and visible traction for RapidCool; downside risks include litigation and pay TV erosion .

Appendices (Source Tables)

  • Q2 2025 Condensed Statements of Income, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow, and GAAP-to-non-GAAP reconciliations are provided in the company’s Q2 8-K press release .
  • Q1 2025 and Q4 2024 results and guidance baselines referenced from respective 8-Ks .