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Affinity Bancshares, Inc. (AFBI)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 EPS of $0.16 on net income of $1.0M, down 36% YoY on higher professional fees tied to the announced APCU transaction; QoQ EPS fell from $0.20 as expenses outpaced robust NII growth .
  • Net interest margin expanded sharply to 3.71% from 3.38% in Q1 and 3.17% a year ago as asset yields outpaced funding cost increases — a key positive inflection for earnings power .
  • Credit quality improved materially: non‑performing loans fell to $3.0M (from $7.2M in Q1; $7.4M at YE), lifting ACL/NPL coverage to 282% vs 120% at YE; however, YTD net charge‑offs rose to $0.46M vs $0.07M in 1H23 .
  • Deposits increased YTD to $689.7M with demand deposits up $18.4M; uninsured deposits remain manageable at ~15.4% of total, broadly stable vs Q1 (15.6%) .
  • No formal guidance and no earnings call transcript available; Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable at time of writing, so beat/miss cannot be assessed (consensus unavailable via S&P Global).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Net interest margin expanded to 3.71% as “increases in our yield on earning assets” exceeded funding cost increases, boosting NII to $7.6M (+13% YoY, +12% QoQ) .
    • Credit metrics strengthened: NPLs declined to $3.0M and ACL/NPL coverage rose to 282%, reflecting improved asset quality and strong reserve coverage .
    • Deposit mix improved: demand deposits rose $18.4M YTD; uninsured deposits held at ~15.4%, supporting liquidity .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Noninterest expense surged $1.4M YoY to $6.7M, driven by “professional fees related to our recently announced merger with Atlanta Postal Credit Union” and higher compensation, pressuring earnings and the efficiency ratio (78.7% vs 71.7% YoY) .
    • Provision for credit losses of $0.21M (unfunded commitments) vs zero a year ago; YTD net charge‑offs rose to $0.46M vs $0.07M in 1H23 .
    • No formal guidance and no transcript/Q&A to clarify outlook, leaving investors without management’s forward view (no document found via transcript search).

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L trend (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Total Interest Income ($M)$11.083 $11.221 $12.222
Net Interest Income ($M)$6.705 $6.749 $7.568
Noninterest Income ($M)$0.606 $0.584 $0.706
Provision for Credit Losses ($M)-$0.049 $0.000 $0.213
Noninterest Expense ($M)$5.432 $5.570 $6.719
Net Income ($M)$1.514 $1.335 $1.031
Diluted EPS ($)$0.23 $0.20 $0.16
Net Interest Margin (%)3.32% 3.38% 3.71%
Efficiency Ratio (%)74.30% 75.96% 78.74%

YoY comparison

MetricQ2 2023Q2 2024
Total Interest Income ($M)$10.863 $12.222
Net Interest Income ($M)$6.693 $7.568
Noninterest Income ($M)$0.678 $0.706
Provision for Credit Losses ($M)$0.000 $0.213
Noninterest Expense ($M)$5.284 $6.719
Net Income ($M)$1.590 $1.031
Diluted EPS ($)$0.24 $0.16
Net Interest Margin (%)3.17% 3.71%
Efficiency Ratio (%)71.68% 78.74%

Balance sheet and funding (period-end; oldest → newest)

MetricDec 31, 2023Mar 31, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Total Assets ($M)$843.3 $869.5 $872.6
Gross Loans ($M)$659.9 $674.5 $692.6
Total Deposits ($M)$674.4 $687.4 $689.7
Borrowings ($M)$40.0 $51.8 $51.8
Uninsured Deposits ($M, %)$95.5 (14.0%) $107.1 (15.6%) $106.3 (15.4%)
Demand Deposits (% of Total)36% 37% 36%

Key KPIs and asset quality

KPIDec 31, 2023Mar 31, 2024Jun 30, 2024
Non‑Performing Loans ($M)$7.4 $7.2 $3.0
ACL / Loans (%)1.35% 1.27% 1.22%
ACL / NPLs (%)120.1% 120.0% 282.0%
Tangible BVPS ($)$16.08 $16.36 $16.64
Equity / Assets (%)14.41% 14.18% 14.33%
Cost of Funds (%)2.36% (4Q23) 2.42% (1Q24) 2.47% (2Q24)
Net Charge‑offs (YTD) ($M)$0.404 (FY23) $0.460 (1H24) vs $0.072 (1H23)

KPIs/segment notes: No reportable operating segments; notable specialty exposure includes $29.4M of non‑owner occupied office loans at 46% avg LTV (medical/dental $15.0M; other tenants $14.4M) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
All metricsFY 2024N/ANo formal guidance providedMaintained (no guidance)

(No guidance or outlook ranges were provided in the Q2 materials .)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

(No Q2 earnings call transcript was available; themes reflect company disclosures across recent quarters.)

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2023 and Q1 2024)Current Period (Q2 2024)Trend
Net Interest MarginQ4: NIM 3.32% declined as funding costs outpaced asset yields . Q1: NIM 3.38%, YoY decline tied to cost of funds > asset yields .NIM rose to 3.71% as asset yields exceeded deposit/borrowing cost increases .Improving
Deposit Mix & LiquidityQ4: Shift to CDs/brokered deposits; deposits +$17.2M YoY; uninsured 14% . Q1: DDA +$11.3M QoQ; uninsured 15.6% .Deposits +$15.3M YTD; DDA +$18.4M YTD; uninsured 15.4% .Stable to improving mix
CRE/Office Exposure$26.7M NOO office, 41% LTV (YE) . Q1: $26.4M, 41% LTV .$29.4M NOO office, 46% LTV; diversified tenants .Modest growth; low LTVs
Credit QualityNPLs $7.4M (YE), ACL/NPL 120% . Q1: NPLs $7.2M; ACL/NPL 120% .NPLs down to $3.0M; ACL/NPL 282%; provision $0.21M (unfunded) .Material improvement
Expenses & EfficiencyQ4 expenses $5.4M; efficiency 74.3% . Q1 $5.6M; 76.0% .Expenses $6.7M on APCU deal fees; efficiency 78.7% .Deteriorated on merger costs
Borrowings/LiquidityYE borrowings $40.0M . Q1 borrowings $51.8M .Borrowings $51.8M as liquidity tool .Elevated

Management Commentary

  • “Net interest margin for the three months ended June 30, 2024 increased to 3.71%… The increases in the margin relate to increases in our yield on earning assets exceeding our increases in our deposits and borrowing costs.” (Q2 press release) .
  • “Non‑interest expense increased $1.4 million… due to increases in professional fees related to our recently announced merger with Atlanta Postal Credit Union and increases in salaries and employee benefits.” (Q2 press release) .
  • “Deposits increased by $15.3 million to $689.7 million… with an $18.4 million increase in demand deposits…” (Q2 press release) .
  • “Non‑performing loans decreased to $3.0 million… [and] the allowance for credit losses as a percentage of non‑performing loans was 282.0%...” (Q2 press release) .

Q&A Highlights

No public Q2 earnings call transcript was found; therefore, Q&A highlights and any in‑call guidance clarifications are unavailable (no earnings-call-transcript documents for AFBI in 2024).

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of writing; as a result, we cannot assess beat/miss or magnitude versus estimates (consensus unavailable via S&P Global).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • NIM inflection to 3.71% is the key positive; if sustained, it supports operating leverage as funding costs stabilize .
  • Expense drag from APCU transaction fees is the primary earnings headwind near term; normalization post‑deal could re‑rate the efficiency ratio from 78.7% closer to low‑70s historically .
  • Credit trends improved markedly with NPLs down and coverage up; continued discipline on office‑CRE (low LTV, diversified tenants) reduces tail risk .
  • Deposit base looks stable with growing DDA and manageable uninsured exposure (~15%); this underpins liquidity alongside steady borrowings .
  • No guidance and no call transcript introduce communication opacity; monitor subsequent filings/closing updates on the APCU transaction and any fee run‑rate commentary .
  • Near‑term trading implication: prints may be headline‑constrained by elevated opex, but improving core margin/credit could be a support on weakness; the APCU process and related disclosures are catalysts. External legal “investigation” PRs around the deal also featured post‑quarter, indicating scrutiny but no change to disclosed terms in company releases .

Source Documents Reviewed

  • Q2 2024 8‑K with Exhibits (press release and supplemental financials) .
  • Q2 2024 press release (Business Wire) .
  • Q1 2024 8‑K and press release .
  • Q4 2023 8‑K and press release .
  • Additional press notices around APCU transaction by third‑party law firms (context) .