Ameriprise Financial - Q3 2023
October 26, 2023
Transcript
Operator (participant)
Welcome to the Q3 2023 earnings call. My name is Chris, and I'll be your operator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. During the question-and-answer session, if you have a question, please press star one on your touchtone phone. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to Alicia Charity. Alicia, you may begin.
Alicia Charity (SVP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, and good morning. Welcome to Ameriprise Financial's third quarter earnings call. On the call with me today are Jim Cracchiolo, Chairman and CEO, and Walter Berman, Chief Financial Officer. Following their remarks, we'd be happy to take your questions. Turning to our earnings presentation materials that are available on our website, on Slide two, you see a discussion of forward-looking statements. Specifically, during the call, you will hear references to various non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe provides insight into the company's operations. Reconciliation of non-GAAP numbers to their respective GAAP numbers can be found in today's materials and on our website. Some statements that we make on this call may be forward-looking, reflecting management's expectations about future events and overall operating plans and performance. These forward-looking statements speak only as of today's date and involve a number of risks and uncertainties.
A sample list of factors and risks that could cause actual results to be materially different from forward-looking statements can be found in our third quarter 2023 earnings release, our 2022 annual report to shareholders, and our 2022 10-K. We make no obligation to publicly update or revise these forward-looking statements. On Slide 3, you see our GAAP financial results at the top of the page for the third quarter. Below that, you'll see our adjusted operating results, followed by operating results excluding unlocking, which management believes enhances the understanding of our business by reflecting the underlying performance of our core operations and facilitates a more meaningful trend analysis. We completed our annual unlocking in the third quarter. Many of the comments the management makes on the call today will focus on adjusted operating results. With that, I'll turn it over to Jim.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Good morning, and thanks for joining our call. Yesterday afternoon, Ameriprise reported strong third-quarter earnings. The business continues to perform very well in a fluid and uncertain operating environment. Across the firm, we're helping clients navigate external pressures with our high-quality advice, solutions, and service. As you can see in our results, Ameriprise continues to benefit from the complementary strengths and flexibility of our business and our talented team. Regarding the economic landscape, while inflation has come down a bit, it remains elevated, so it's likely we'll see higher interest rates for longer. Economic growth in the United States continues to hold up well, even with increased rates. However, consumer sentiment in the United States is declining, and we may see softer economic growth in the future. Additionally, the geopolitical climate is causing further volatility.
Equity markets have been resilient and were up year over year, but down slightly in the quarter. At the same time, many investors are holding greater levels of cash and feel comfortable earning competitive yields in cash products. Our assets under management and administration reached 1.2 trillion, up 12%, and financials were also strong. We delivered record operating results in the quarter. Excluding unlocking and a regulatory accrual, total adjusted operating net revenue grew nicely, up 10% to $3.9 billion, and earnings were also quite strong, up 18%, with EPS up considerably, an increase of 24%. Additionally, our return on equity was 49.9%, compared to 48% a year ago. Very few firms in our industry achieve nearly a 50% ROE on an ongoing basis. Our complementary businesses consistently generate strong financial results.
Let's start with Wealth Management. Our advice value proposition is built for the current environment. Advisors are focused on ensuring clients are highly engaged and deepening relationships with them. Importantly, client satisfaction remains at an excellent 4.9/5 stars. Total client assets increased 15% to $816 billion, with good client net flows of $8.9 billion and market appreciation. We continue to attract more new clients and move upmarket as we grow our client base. We know from industry research that more investors need guidance. In fact, among affluent households, many investors in the marketplace still don't have a formal plan to manage assets, income, and expenses in retirement. As we highlighted previously, our advisors continue to hold a higher level of cash for their clients, with the highest short-term yields they're able to attain and the market uncertainty.
Therefore, we continue to see a lower percentage of our assets moving into wrap, with $5.4 billion in the quarter. As markets settle, we expect that money will ultimately be redeployed into wrap and other solutions. Our re-entry back into the banking business came at the right time and is very beneficial for the firm. Assets in the bank and Certificates Company continued to increase substantially, up 37% to $35 billion. With interest rates at this level, we're able to go on a meaningful spread revenues that are sustainable when the Fed does start to cut rates. We will also be launching new products in the bank that will bring over additional client cash that they're holding at other banking institutions. Overall, after a bit of a slowdown last year, we saw a nice increase in transactional activity, up 11%.
As you know, we continue to invest to put great capabilities in advisors' hands to drive high satisfaction and growth and deliver an exceptional experience. We're using advanced analytics to deliver an even better client and advisor experience. This includes a complete practice dashboard to enhance practice management, prepare for client meetings more efficiently, identify opportunities to grow their business, and deepen their client relationships. In the quarter, we are back in the market with our successful Ameriprise brand advertising across TV, digital, and social channels. We also redesigned our client website to even be more engaging, highlighting the unique benefits of working with an Ameriprise advisor. Advisor productivity increased another 10% to a new high of $901,000 per advisor in the quarter. Our advisor retention and growth are both consistently among the best in the industry.
Regarding recruiting, we brought in another 64 experienced, productive advisors. We had a bit of a seasonal slowdown of activity to begin the quarter, but saw a nice pickup in September, and we believe that we'll return to more normal levels as we move through the rest of the year. Our reputation is an important differentiator. We recently learned that Ameriprise is being recognized for both our high level of customer trust and service. We received one of the highest customer trust index scores among financial services firms in Forrester's 2023 U.S. Customer Trust Index. For the fifth consecutive year, J.D. Power has recognized Ameriprise for providing outstanding customer service experience with phone support for advisors. These awards build on the external recognition we have received over the years and are a testament to the dedication and expertise of our team.
Finally, in terms of profitability, Wealth Management continues to generate strong pre-tax adjusted operating margin at more than 30% and earnings growth of 23%. Now let's move to retirement and protection, which is part of our Wealth Management Solutions offering. We're driving good sales in targeted, focused areas that serve our clients' comprehensive needs and generate good risk-adjusted returns. In our life business, we focused on variable universal life and disability products that are appropriate for this environment. Life and health sales were up nicely, increasing 22%, with the majority of sales in higher-margin accumulation VUL products. We're also seeing positive initial results from our accelerated underwriting modeling that's highly automated and will drive further efficiencies as we roll it out more fully. In variable annuities, our structured product continues to attract good interest.
Combined with our variable annuities without living benefits, sales are up 18% from a year ago. In the quarter, our RiverSource Retirement Interactive tool, which helps advisors create customized client presentations, was recognized with several industry awards for innovation and ease of use. With the increase in rates, we're able to garner improved yield in our high-quality investment portfolio. Excluding unlocking, pre-tax adjusted operating earnings were more than $200 million. Our RPS business has been highlighted as one of the most profitable in the industry. Let's turn to Asset Management. As you saw in the quarter, assets under management were $587 billion, up 7%. It remains a challenging time, both in Asset Management and the active space in particular. Our flows were largely consistent with the industry.
In retail, as we know, people are still hesitant to put money to work, so gross sales are a bit weaker. However, redemptions have improved, and our overall flow rates in the U.S. are in line with active managers for the product disciplines we compete in. In Europe, our flows have improved a bit from a year ago. Institutional mandates can be lumpy, but we were in net flows excluding legacy insurance partners. We're earning mandates in a number of areas, though LDI flows in total were down compared to a robust quarter a year ago. In regards to our investment performance, we have strong short- and long-term performance across equities, fixed income, and asset allocation, with a nice pickup in the short-term fixed income.
Now, about 70% of our asset-weighted funds were above the median for three- and five-year periods, and more than 85% for the 10-year period. This is a positive and will help our ability to garner flows in the future. Also, in the quarter, we completed one of the largest aspects of the EMEA integration, the transition to our global order management system. With that, we have now completed all of the large integration activities. We are now focused on adjusting our global operating model and expenses so we can continue to generate good margins in a tough climate. For Asset Management, adjusted operating margin was 36% and above our targeted range. G&A was down 3%, adjusted for foreign exchange.
We also have taken action to tightly manage expenses, and we're looking more fully across the business to continue to reduce expenses and leverage more operating efficiencies for the rest of this year and into 2024. I'd like to now come back to center stage and the total firm.... Our complementary businesses continue to give us the ability to deliver for our clients and generate very strong financial results over the years. Our capital strength and flexibility remain excellent. Our capital return to shareholders is among the highest in the industry, and we have consistently generated strong financial returns over the years, including with our best-in-class ROE of approximately 50%. Ameriprise is situated very well, including with the complementary addition of the bank, which allows us to sustain the benefit from higher rates. We're not standing still.
We're focused on areas of opportunity for growth, and at the same time, we're examining the entire expense base across the firm to further prepare if the economic environment slows as we move into and through 2024. In closing, it's the totality of our complementary business and the benefits that it provides, backed by our excellent team, that enables us to consistently achieve this level of results. Now, Walter will elaborate on our financials. Walter?
Walter Berman (CFO)
Thank you. As Jim said, strong results this quarter continued to demonstrate the leverage of our diversified business model, with adjusted EPS, excluding unlocking and regulatory accrual, up 24% to $7.87. Growth in fee-based and spread-based revenues, coupled with disciplined expense management, drove excellent financial results, which is a continuation of our strong and sustainable trend across this market cycle. Assets under management and administration ended the quarter at $1.2 trillion. Up 12%, AUMA benefited from strong client flows and market appreciation. Across the firm, we continue to manage expenses tightly relative to the revenue opportunity within each segment. While we continue to make investments in the bank and other growth initiatives, particularly in Wealth Management, we are taking a disciplined approach on discretionary expenses to manage margins across our businesses, given the uncertainty in the macro environment.
G&A expenses were well managed in the quarter, up 4%. Excluding the regulatory accrual, general and administrative expense grew 2% from higher business volumes and growth investments. Our G&A expenses remain on track with our expectations for the year. Our consolidated margin reached a record high of 27.5%, excluding unlocking and regulatory accrual. Balance sheet fundamentals remain strong. Our portfolio is well-positioned, and we have strong capital and liquidity positions. This allowed us to return $663 million of capital to shareholders, a strong return of 81% of our operating earnings, excluding unlocking, and a continuation of our differentiated track record. Turning to Slide 6, revenue growth was strong at 10% from higher interest earnings and the cumulative benefit of client net inflows, with average equity markets up 11%.
Excluding unlocking and the regulatory accrual, pre-tax operating earnings increased 20% from last year, with meaningful benefits from strong client flows, higher interest earnings, and well-managed expenses. Let's turn to individual segment performance, beginning with Wealth Management on slide seven. Wealth management client assets increased 15% to $816 billion, driven by strong organic growth and client flows, along with higher equity markets. We've had $43 billion of net inflows over the past year, with $9 billion coming in this quarter from new clients joining the firm, the deepening of existing relationships, and adding experienced advisors. Clients remain defensively positioned with a lower level of flows into wrap than we have seen historically. Our flexible model and broad offerings allow advisors and clients to pivot as markets and client preferences shift while the money stays within the system.
Revenue per advisor reached $901,000 in the quarter, up 10% from the prior year from a higher spread revenue, enhanced productivity, and business growth. Turning to slide eight. I'd like to provide an update on client cash levels. Our total cash balances reached a new high this quarter at $72.5 billion. As we continue to see new money flowing into money market funds and brokered CDs, as well as into Certificates. This creates a significant redeployment opportunity as markets normalize for clients to put money back to work in wrap and other products on our platform. Cash Sweep is largely working cash for our client accounts. While there is some seasonality with cash levels, cash remains an important component of the client's asset allocation.
Cash Sweep and Certificates balance ended the third quarter at $40.5 billion, down $5.8 billion from a year ago and down $1.5 billion sequentially. Since the end of August, cash levels have been essentially flat. Our Sweep cash has an average size of $6,000 per account, and 67% of the aggregate cash is now in accounts under $100,000, and we have seen very limited movement out of these accounts. The financial benefit from cash remains strong. This will be an important and sustainable source of earnings going forward. We continue to manage our investment portfolios prudently. Our bank portfolio is AAA rated with a 3.6-year duration.
The overall yield on the investments in the portfolio is 4.7% and rising with the new money yield on investments in the second quarter of 6.5%. Our Certificates portfolio is highly liquid, with over half of the portfolio in cash, governments, and agencies. It is double A-rated on average, with a one-year duration. In total, the Certificate Company portfolio is now yielding 5.6%, with new purchases in the quarter at 6%. On slide nine, we delivered extremely strong financial results in Wealth Management. Profitability, excluding the regulatory accrual, increased 26% in the quarter. With strong organic growth, the benefit of higher interest rates and continued client net inflows, the pre-tax operating margin was very strong at 31.1%, excluding the regulatory accrual.
Adjusted operating expenses increased 9%, with distribution expenses up 9%, reflecting higher asset balances. Excluding the regulatory accrual, G&A grew only 2%, which was in line with expectations, reflecting investments for growth and higher volume-related activity. We continue to expect AWM full year 2023 G&A growth to be in the mid-single-digit range. We remain on track to close the Comerica Investment Program partnership in November, which will bring approximately 100 advisors and $18 billion of client assets. Let's turn to Asset Management on slide 10. Financial results were very strong in the quarter, and we are managing the business well through a challenging environment that is impacting the industry. Total AUM increased 7% to $587 billion, primarily from higher equity markets and foreign exchange translation, partially offset by net outflows.
Asset Management, like other active managers, was in outflows in the quarter. Like others, we experienced pressure from global market volatility and a risk-off investor sentiment. Investment performance has been another critical area of focus, and we are seeing improvement, including in fixed income strategies. Overall, long-term performance remains very strong, and we had improvement in one-year fixed income numbers. On slide 11, in the quarter, Asset Management earnings increased to $199 million as a result of equity market appreciation, disciplined expense management, higher performance fees, and $7 million of favorable timing-related items, which more than offset the cumulative impact of net outflows. The margin was 36% in the quarter. Importantly, we continue to manage the areas we can control. Expenses remain well managed. Total expenses declined 1%, with G&A decreasing $1 million.
However, excluding the impact from foreign exchange translation, G&A was down 3%, reflecting early benefits from expense management initiatives. As Jim said, given the environment, we are taking a very focused look across the business globally to further reduce expenses. Let's turn to slide 12. Retirement and Protection Solutions continue to deliver good earnings and free cash flow generation, reflecting the high quality of the business. In the quarter, pre-tax adjusted operating earnings, excluding Unlocking, were $204 million, up 4% from the prior year, primarily as a result of the higher investment yields from the portfolio repositioning we executed last year. We continue to view normalized annual earnings of $800 million as a reasonable expectation for this business.
We completed our annual actuarial assumption update in the quarter, resulting in an unfavorable pre-tax impact of $104 million, primarily related to updates to persistency assumptions for variable annuities. Overall, Retirement and Protection Solutions improved in the quarter, with protection sales up 22% to $79 million, primarily in higher-margin VUL products. Variable annuity sales grew 18% to $1.1 billion, with the majority of the sales in structured variable annuities. Our long-term care business continues to perform very well. The business is gradually running off as clients age. Our claims experience continues to perform very well and remain in line with our expectations. Additionally, our success with both rate increases and benefit reduction strategies have exceeded our expectations. You can see additional detail of this block in the appendix of this presentation. Now let's move to the balance sheet on slide 13.
Our balance sheet fundamentals remain strong, and our diversified, high-quality investment portfolio remains well positioned. In total, the average credit rating of the portfolio is double-A, with less than 1% of the portfolio in below investment-grade securities. VA hedge effectiveness remained very strong at 94%. Our diversified business model benefits from significant and stable 90% free cash flow contributions across all business segments. This supports the consistent and differentiated level of capital return to shareholders. During the quarter, we returned $663 million to shareholders and still ended the quarter with $1.4 billion of excess capital and $1.9 billion of holding company available liquidity. With that, we'll take your questions.
Operator (participant)
Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you have a question, please press star one on your touchtone phone. If you wish to be removed from the queue, please press star one again. If you're using a speakerphone, you may need to pick up the handset first before pressing the numbers. Once again, if you have a question, please press star one on your touchtone phone. Our first question is from Steven Chubak with Wolfe Research. Your line is open.
Steven Chubak (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Hi, good morning. So wanted to start with a two-part question on organic growth within Wealth. You had another solid quarter of flows, but the pace did moderate slightly for you and frankly, some of your wealth peers as well. Just given the challenging operating backdrop, was hoping first, that you could speak to your confidence level in sustaining that mid-single-digit flow rate. And then second, with the onboarding of Comerica, any color you can share on the growth outlook or backlog for new mandates within the bank channel?
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Okay, I'll start. When we look at the flow rate from a client perspective, we still feel very good about the ability to bring in client flows and where we're approaching the market, particularly as we move a bit more upmarket. As you would imagine, I mean, there are some, you know, blips and not blips, depending on where you are in the season. I think people for the summertime, things slowed a bit, but we don't see that as sort of a trend line down. We see it as more of a sustainable based on what we're doing, how advisors are engaged, and how they're attracting clients and activity in the marketplace. So we still feel very good about our ability to continue on the client flow rate.
As far as the Comerica, you want to mention Comerica?
Walter Berman (CFO)
Yes. Obviously, we're on target for a closure with them in the beginning of November. And yes, we do have a very active pipeline at this stage. So yes, we feel that there's opportunity.
Steven Chubak (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
That's great. Just for my follow-up on the Asset Management margins, as you noted, the business is facing secular headwinds, and given some of the pressures, was pleasantly surprised by the margin strength or resiliency that we saw in the quarter. Was hoping you could just speak to your margin outlook if flow headwinds persist, and whether there's additional expense flexibility to defend those margins and stay within your targeted range of 31%-35%.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
So as you saw, first on the fee level, it's been very stable, which is very positive. Again, you're, you're going to always have some adjustments based upon where the assets and the type of assets, institutional, retail. But from an outlook perspective, we're just beginning our expense tightening there. You saw a reduction in expense around 3%, on FX adjusted. But we feel there's a good opportunity for us as we look at our global operating environment now that we've fully integrated the BMO acquisition onto our global platforms. And now we're looking at how we tighten those processes, how we improve the efficiency, the operating effectiveness, and where resources are located, et cetera. So we're taking a very hard look at that, and we're at the beginning stages of that, not the end.
Steven Chubak (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Really helpful color. Thanks so much for taking my questions.
Operator (participant)
The next question is from Alex Blostein with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.
Alex Blostein (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for the questions as well. So first, maybe around cash and Advice & Wealth Management, it sounds like the trends in sorting continue to stabilize over the course of the quarter. So maybe just a quick update on where the balances stand relative to the $28 billion that you reported at the end of September. And I guess more importantly, as you think about the mix, I think you have about $4 billion in of balance sheet sweep deposits. Does that leave you much room to move more into the bank, or the growth of the bank from this point on, really should just be a function of reinvestment of securities and picking up some of that incremental yield that you spoke to earlier?
Walter Berman (CFO)
Okay, Alex. So, I think the question is, you know, we ended the quarter at $28 billion on sweep, and as of October, it's $28 billion.
Alex Blostein (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Okay.
Walter Berman (CFO)
It is totally stabilized from that standpoint. Yes, we do have certainly a buffer to move into the bank. We are just being very measured and cautious at this stage as we're evaluating the environment, but we do have certainly a buffer to move additional in.
Alex Blostein (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Great. Zooming out a little bit on, given your comments around expenses and you're early in stages of maybe doing more on the Asset Management side, but also managing G&A tightly across the firm, any early thoughts on 2024, G&A growth firm-wide, relative to what you're likely to do in 2023?
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
So Alex, we're definitely in that review now. What I would say is, to start, the G&A would be flat at best, I mean, up net at worst, but in that sense, it's not going up.
Alex Blostein (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Got it. That's at 2024 over 2023, correct?
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah.
Alex Blostein (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Okay. Thank you.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Okay. And remember, you know, you got merit and other things that occur, but we're going to absorb all that, and we're looking for it not to be higher than being flat.
Alex Blostein (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)
Got it. Appreciate it. Thanks.
Operator (participant)
The next question is from Craig Siegenthaler with Bank of America. Your line is open.
Craig Siegenthaler (Managing Director and North American Head of Diversified Financials)
Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for taking the question. So I was looking for an update on the recruiting front. Financial advisor headcount was down in the quarter, franchise retention was lower, and the 64 new recruit count was also below the prior run rate. So I was just wondering if you can give us an update for your expectation, both recruiting and FA headcount growth over the next 12 months.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Yes. So, we, as we mentioned, recruiting was a bit slower in the third quarter, but it started to bounce back towards the latter part of the quarter. July started a bit slower. I think people have vacations and other things, as you probably saw around the country. But, we saw that bounce back in September. The pipeline is quite strong, that we think we'll get back to our consistent rate. And then, you mentioned a little bit of an uptick in attrition. The attrition really in the that channel was mainly due to assistant financial advisors, which is, again, the turnover there is a bit higher. All the franchisees, their retention rate is still at all-time highs, and the that book of business stays.
So it's more of some assistants in their practices as they make some changes. So we don't see any change in where we were.
Craig Siegenthaler (Managing Director and North American Head of Diversified Financials)
Thanks, Jim. And then, on the client cash balances, I was wondering if you could just share what the ROEs look like on the Certificates business, compared to your core cash balances and products. And just update us on, you know, what are your plans to grow this base further? I think you have to hold about 5% capital against the asset base. And also, I think there's probably some value in extending CDs to third parties. It helps expand your brand, et cetera.
Walter Berman (CFO)
Let me take the first part of the question on the Certificates. Yes, Certificates is a regulatory item. It has a 5% capital element associated with that, but when we evaluate it, we obviously assess it, and it's. So that's the regulatory portion of it. And so we feel very comfortable with that. And the growth potential there is certainly we have adequate enough capital and cash to support that. So that is the range in which we operate on. And then certainly, it's been growing, and we've been supporting it. The second part?
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
The second part you mentioned is the opportunity to bring in more external cash, if I understood that correctly. And yes, we're very much focused. As I said, we initially put a savings product. We're looking at more of a preferred type of thing to bring more cash in from the clients' other outside banking activities. We're going to be putting in place a full checking account, and then some various lending products as well. So we will look to establish a more full-fledged banking activity, with the ability to attract more assets externally into the bank. That would also help bring more assets on board in total for the client activities for the advisors.
Walter Berman (CFO)
The only thing I would add to that is that, you know, obviously, we have more than enough capital to support that sort of growth that Jim was just referring to.
Craig Siegenthaler (Managing Director and North American Head of Diversified Financials)
Thank you.
Operator (participant)
The next question is from Suneet Kamath with Jefferies. Your line is open.
Suneet Kamath (Senior Research Analyst)
Thanks. Good morning. I wanted to go to that slide that talked about the $32 billion of third-party cash. I guess that piece has grown substantially and I guess the question is, what do you think needs to happen in order for that to get deployed? Because it sounds like some of it may go to wrap, but then you're offering these newer bank products that might move some of that third-party cash to your own products. So maybe just give us a sense of how you think that will develop, as we move forward here. Thanks.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah. So Suneet, I think that's really the larger question, right? And that depends on how people feel about the market and where rates are going forward, right? So I think, you know, if you saw the market over the last number of quarters, that you know, it increased tremendously with a lot of volatility and people were concerned, right? A few stocks drove that up. Now you see a pullback occurring, right? So I think if the market starts to feel like it's on a better, more solid footing, I think people will start to deploy back. I also think that as rates, if they stabilize on the long term up where they are, rather than continue to rise, you'll see money move from the short to the long term to lock it in, right?
Get that appreciation and the spread. So, I don't have a crystal ball, but I think, you know, we're holding extra cash for the reason that we feel a little bit regarding the environment and where the markets are. But that will go back. People don't hold that amount of cash that low at that percentage that we're seeing right now, and I think that's across the industry, not just in our channel. So, you know, but it's good. It stays with us right now, and when it's ready to deploy, our advisors will definitely do that. They're investing for the long term, not just to take advantage of the market in the short term.
Suneet Kamath (Senior Research Analyst)
Can you just provide some timing on when you're planning on rolling out some of those, other banking products that you mentioned in response to an earlier question?
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah. We're looking to do that over the course of the new year. So, we're looking to phase that in. And right now we're just looking at the climate and looking at, you know, the operating activities for that. So we feel good about getting things up and running in the bank in more of a full-fledged fashion. So it'll be periodic. We'll lurch into it as we go about.
Suneet Kamath (Senior Research Analyst)
Makes sense. And then maybe just if I could sneak one more in on expenses for Walter. So I think you said flat in 2024 relative to 2023. We think about the segment level, should we assume, you know, a little bit of a decline in Asset Management, offset by some growth in Advice & Wealth Management, just in terms of the, the moving pieces there?
Walter Berman (CFO)
Yeah, I think that's a reasonable assumption. Obviously, we are focusing on CTI and looking to preserve margin, and certainly continue to take advantage of the growth opportunities in AWM, but still prudently managing the expenses.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, and Suneet, I mean, across the firm, we're gonna look for that to be pretty managed pretty tightly, okay? So, I mean, I don't have a firm number at this point in time, but as I said, I feel good to start with about G&A flat.
Brennan Hawken (Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Got it. Okay, thank you.
Operator (participant)
The next question is from Tom Gallagher with Evercore. Your line is open.
Tom Gallagher (Senior Managing Director in U.S. Life Insurance Sector)
Morning. First question, just to follow up on the $32 billion of third-party client cash. Do you currently earn any fee on that money at all from an administration perspective, or would that all be revenue upside if that gets deployed into your wrap account?
Walter Berman (CFO)
As current math states, it's marginal. I would say it's, you know, figure around 4 or 5 basis points, but it's the real opportunity of redeployment that is, will provide us the opportunity. There's certainly the margin and the profitability of potential.
Tom Gallagher (Senior Managing Director in U.S. Life Insurance Sector)
Gotcha. The... Let's see, the other question I had was on the variable annuity reserve charge. I know when some other companies have taken reserve strengthenings under the new accounting, that there's been an ongoing earnings drag in addition to the reserve charge. Anything like that to consider for the variable annuity charge? Walter, I think I heard you say that $200 million a quarter was still intact on guide, so I'd presume that means probably not much, but just curious if there's any impact there.
Walter Berman (CFO)
You're correct. It's probably not much, and the answer is no, really.
Tom Gallagher (Senior Managing Director in U.S. Life Insurance Sector)
anything that-
Walter Berman (CFO)
Sure.
Tom Gallagher (Senior Managing Director in U.S. Life Insurance Sector)
Okay, thanks. And then, should there be a similar 4Q charge on a statutory basis for the same assumption changes, or is that still TBD?
Walter Berman (CFO)
I think that's still TBD.
Tom Gallagher (Senior Managing Director in U.S. Life Insurance Sector)
And then if I could sneak in a final one. Long-term care, I saw your updated disclosures, which I thought was helpful. I guess, considering that this block continues to shrink, it looks like the risk is well managed. Is risk transfer still a consideration here, or is the bid-ask spread still too wide? Or should we really think about you most likely continuing to own it, considering the risk continues to shrink?
Walter Berman (CFO)
Okay, over the years, we certainly have been able to demonstrate that, you know, we are managing the risk very effectively. Any risk transfer would have to consider that and really have a very balanced bid-ask, and because the portfolio is performing quite well, and as it's indicated in the observations that you made about it. Yes, we feel very comfortable in retaining it, but if somebody comes along with something that is certainly in the best interest of shareholders, we'll consider it.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
But over the last number of years, it's performed better than we expected in many instances, and improved in that sense. And we haven't factored in some of the other things, that has affected through COVID as a positive yet.
Tom Gallagher (Senior Managing Director in U.S. Life Insurance Sector)
Thanks.
Operator (participant)
The next question is from Brennan Hawken with UBS. Your line is open.
Brennan Hawken (Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Thanks for all the color on the cash dynamics here, intra quarter and quarter to date, and certainly sounds encouraging. I guess, does that mean that we could get back to a period where we are looking at how to grow the sweep balances, and it just becomes a function of net new assets? Or is that sort of more organic growth trajectory still hindered by balance remixing? And when do you think we could get to that period? Thanks.
Walter Berman (CFO)
Obviously, as you can see, it truly has stabilized, and yes, as we bring new years in, and that certainly is growth, and certainly as we have organic growth, that is an opportunity. Right now, I can't predict environments and things like that, but we feel very good because of the stability of the sweep account. As we said, the substantial portion of that, close to 70%, 67%, is in account balances that are under $100,000, the average account balance being six, I think. So it's very stable. It's working, working capital and working cash that's deployed. Yes, we certainly, as we grow, we anticipate that growing, but again, there's a lot of variables here.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Yeah, and again, I think if you start to see a change in the rate environment and the market stabilize, there, there's money being held out in, like, brokered CDs and stuff, that when they mature, could possibly come back in. And when money is more active in investing, then they keep more in the sweep and the balances to deploy. So again, there's a number of different variables. We can't really predict that, but our cash rate that's holding in sweep is pretty low. So if anything, you know, we think that if activity picks up, that could increase again.
Brennan Hawken (Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Got it. And so do you think that now that we've hit stability in the sweep, you likewise, we can think about, you know, maybe there's a little bit of a lag or whatnot, but there's some stability in NII, you know, when we sum up both the on-balance sheet and off-balance sheet, which has been, you know, quarterly, kind of sliding a little bit here, year to date. Are we at a period where maybe that's gonna begin to flatline and return to the algorithm of growing with cash balances? Rates all else equal, of course.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Yes, we do. There is opportunity there, and we do see that that we have opportunity to grow in NII.
Brennan Hawken (Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Outstanding. Thank you.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
The reasons that you mentioned, and certainly as we have the maturities coming in because of a short duration and other elements coming in, from those factors, we certainly feel comfortable with saying yes on that, on that point.
Brennan Hawken (Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Great. Great. Thanks very much.
Operator (participant)
The next question is from Ryan Krueger with KBW. Your line is open.
Ryan Krueger (Managing Director and Life Insurance Research Analyst)
Thanks. Good morning. First question was, can you give a sense of how much bank assets will mature next year to reinvest that potentially higher rate?
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Well, you're saying on buyback or, or-
Ryan Krueger (Managing Director and Life Insurance Research Analyst)
No, no, maturing bank assets that would be reinvested.
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Oh, since I believe it's, I'll-- again, it's in the area of about $2 billion, I believe, but it's, we'll confirm that with you.
Ryan Krueger (Managing Director and Life Insurance Research Analyst)
Okay, thanks. And then I guess I had one more question on the $32 billion of third-party cash. Do you view the opportunity primarily just as clients get, you know, move more money back into the market to capture some of that through wrap? Or do you think there's some opportunity to capture some of the $32 billion with the bank products that you're rolling out?
Jim Cracchiolo (Chairman and CEO)
Well, I would probably say, you know, the first and foremost would be, you know, as I said, with the markets, I would think that more would go back to work in solutions like wrap, that would have a balance of equities and fixed incomes and alternatives, stuff as along those lines. I also feel like as we do roll out some of these other products, that yes, it will go onto some internal cash as well, rather than moving it out into other vehicles like a brokered CD. And just based on the combination of the environment and the security of Ameriprise. So we do feel comfortable about that as well, but I would probably say the larger opportunity would be moving back into the, like, solutions like wrap business.
Ryan Krueger (Managing Director and Life Insurance Research Analyst)
Understood. Thank you.
Operator (participant)
We have no further questions at this time, and this concludes today's conference. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.