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AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC (AMP)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- AMP delivered a clean beat on both EPS and revenue: adjusted operating EPS was $9.11 vs S&P Global consensus $9.00*, and total revenues were $4.49B vs $4.33B*, with pretax adjusted operating margin at 26.5% (down ~30 bps YoY) . S&P Global consensus values marked with *; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Advice & Wealth Management (AWM) benefited from record client assets ($1.084T) and resilient productivity, but margins compressed on higher distribution expense and lower spread revenue; Asset Management posted 39% net pretax adjusted operating margin despite $8.7B of outflows .
- RPS remained a steady earnings contributor (+9% YoY to $214M pretax), aided by favorable life claims and stronger interest earnings .
- Management reiterated 2025 operating tax-rate guidance (20–22%) and signaled a step-up in capital return, targeting an 85% operating-earnings payout in 2H25 (vs ~81% in 1H) — a potential stock support catalyst .
- Macro and seasonal headwinds (April tax payments, trade-policy uncertainty) weighed on 2Q flows; June market recovery and a new UMA (Signature Wealth) position AWM for 3Q rebound .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- Strong consolidated print: adjusted operating EPS +7% YoY to $9.11; total revenues +2% YoY to $4.49B; adjusted ROE ex-AOCI 51.5% .
- Asset Management operating leverage: net pretax adjusted operating margin improved to 39.0% on expense actions, despite outflows; fee rate remained stable .
- RPS execution: pretax adjusted operating earnings +9% YoY to $214M on favorable life claims and higher interest earnings; sequential sales improved to $1.4B with strong structured annuity demand .
- CEO quote: “Advisor productivity grew by double digits… both client and firm asset levels hit all-time highs… we launched our new unified managed account, the Ameriprise Signature Wealth Program.”
- What Went Wrong
- AWM margin compression: Pretax adjusted operating margin fell to 28.9% (–220 bps YoY), pressured by higher distribution expense and lower spread revenue after 2024 Fed funds cuts .
- Flows softness amid volatility: Firm-wide Asset Management net AUM/AUA outflows of $8.7B; retail redemptions increased and institutional outflows included ~$1.6B related to Lionstone exit .
- Cash headwinds: AWM total cash balances declined sequentially (normal seasonality); cash sweep $27.4B vs $28.6B in 1Q, reflecting April tax payments .
Financial Results
Consolidated results vs prior periods and S&P Global consensus
S&P Global consensus values marked with *; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment performance
Key performance indicators (KPIs)
Notes: “—” indicates not provided explicitly in the referenced period.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO (prepared): “Advisor productivity grew by double digits, reaching another record… both client and firm asset levels hit all-time highs… we launched our new unified managed account, the Ameriprise Signature Wealth Program.”
- CFO (prepared): “Adjusted operating EPS increased 7% to $9.11 with a strong margin of 27%... we will maintain G&A expenses at this level for the remainder of the year… plan to increase our payout ratio to 85% for the second half of the year.”
- On Asset Management: “We are significantly transforming the business… margin was 39%… fee rate remained stable.”
Q&A Highlights
- Flows/recruiting dynamics: Early-quarter flows were pressured by tax season and client caution; improvement later in quarter and into July; distribution expense growth largely production-driven; recruiting packages competitive but disciplined .
- Capital returns: Targeting ~85% operating-earnings payout in 2H25; capacity to go higher evaluated opportunistically .
- Bank net interest income: Expect spread uplift as portfolio rolls; funding growth via CDs and high-yield savings; launching HELOCs and checking to support lending .
- Asset Management pipeline: Outflows tied to institutional redemptions and Lionstone exit; retail gross sales improved; expanding active ETFs, CLOs, interval funds; building in EMEA .
- Risk transfer/LTC: RPS remains highly profitable; no change in bid-ask to justify risk-transfer deals; LTC trends “on a good trajectory” .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q2 2025: EPS $9.00 (11 est.); revenue $4.331B (6 est.)*. AMP delivered $9.11 EPS and $4.49B revenues — both beats. S&P Global consensus values marked with *; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Given the margin resilience and stronger revenues, Street models may need to lift AWM core-fee revenue run-rates, temper spread revenue, and nudge Asset Management margins higher while keeping flows conservative .
Results vs estimates
S&P Global consensus values marked with *; Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality beat with stable consolidated margins; mix shows AWM strength offset by Asset Management outflows — but 39% margin underscores operating leverage .
- AWM margin compression appears cyclical (volatility, lower spread revenue post-rate cuts); June market recovery, record client assets, and Signature Wealth should support 2H flows and revenue per advisor .
- Capital return is re-accelerating: management targeting ~85% payout in 2H25; dividend at $1.60 declared for Aug. 18 — supportive to total return .
- RPS remains a differentiated, high-ROE, cash-generative ballast; continued steady earnings reduce consolidated volatility across cycles .
- Asset Management remains the swing factor: expect ongoing expense discipline and product expansion (active ETFs, CLOs, interval funds) to sustain margins while flows normalize from volatile quarters .
- Watch near-term catalysts: seasonal 3Q tailwinds to flows, bank product launches (HELOCs/checking), and potential improvement in institutional pipeline conversion .
- Risk: renewed volatility and elevated redemptions could pressure fee revenue and AWM distribution expense; a slower redeployment of client cash would temper near-term upside .