Amplitude, Inc. (AMPL) Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue $88.6M, up 18% YoY, exceeded the high end of Q3 guidance; non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.02; ARR $347M (+16% YoY, +$12M QoQ) .
- Total RPO accelerated to $391.9M (+37% YoY), with contract duration ~22 months; current RPO +22% YoY and long-term RPO +78% YoY, signaling stronger multi-year enterprise commitments .
- Q4 2025 guidance: revenue $89–$91M; non-GAAP operating income $3.5–$5.5M; non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.04–$0.05; FY 2025 revenue raised to $340.8–$342.8M and non-GAAP EPS $0.06–$0.08, reflecting sustained execution and enterprise traction .
- Product catalysts: launch of AI Visibility (Oct) and AI Feedback (Nov) enhances marketing analytics and voice-of-customer capabilities; expanded AI agents and MCP elevate AI-native analytics positioning .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Enterprise momentum with multi-year, seven-figure deals and broader platform sales; multi-product ARR now 71%, customers ≥$100K ARR reached 653 (+15% YoY) .
- RPO durability improved sharply; total RPO +37% YoY with contract duration ~22 months, improving revenue visibility and leverage .
- AI-native product innovation: MCP server general availability; AI agents (Dashboard and Session Replay) widened beta; AI Visibility and forthcoming AI Feedback embedded across the platform .
- Quote: “Our AI analytics platform helps companies understand how people engage in their product... We are all in.” — CEO Spenser Skates .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP losses widened YoY (loss from operations -$25.7M; GAAP EPS -$0.18 vs -$0.14 YoY), reflecting higher stock-based comp and continued investment in R&D and services .
- Gross margin modestly compressed YoY (GAAP 73.9% vs 75.1%), tied to increased data ingestion costs and investment in services; non-GAAP gross margin 76.0% (vs 77.2% YoY) .
- Free cash flow stepped down QoQ as collections seasonality and investment cadence shifted (FCF $3.4M vs $18.2M in Q2); YoY -$1.1M .
Financial Results
Note: YoY comparisons reference Q3 2024 where disclosed. RPO breakdown (current + long-term) referenced from management commentary.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic focus: “We exceeded expectations on our core financial metrics... We are winning the enterprise... We are winning the category with multi-product adoption... We are all in [on AI].” — CEO Spenser Skates .
- RPO and durability: “Average contract duration grew to nearly 22 months... current RPO +22% YoY... long-term RPO +78% YoY... total RPO +37%.” — CFO Andrew Casey .
- Monetization philosophy: “We command already an extraordinarily high price point... focus is just let’s make Amplitude more valuable... simplify our meters… focus on the events piece.” — CEO Spenser Skates .
- Product launches: “AI Visibility... shows where a brand appears across major AI platforms... recommendations to improve... all integrated into Amplitude.” — Company press release .
- Voice of customer: “AI Feedback... turns raw input into prioritized, actionable insights... fully integrated and available across all Amplitude plans.” — Company press release .
Q&A Highlights
- RPO drivers and contract duration: Enterprise stratification yielded more multi-year constructs; duration higher in enterprise; sales incentives aligned to RPO outcomes .
- Agents adoption and ROI: Customers favor monitoring/insights agents; trust will build toward action agents; focus remains on value creation before pricing .
- NRR trajectory: Enterprise mix improves NRR; long-term aspiration ~115% as platform expansions grow .
- Q4 pipeline and seasonality: Calendar-year enterprise incentives and pipeline maturity support Q4 guide conservatism and confidence .
- Pricing approach: Meter-based (events/data volume) preferred; outcomes-based pricing rejected due to complexity and customer trust .
Estimates Context
- Results vs consensus: Revenue $88.564M vs consensus $86.294M*; Primary EPS $0.02 vs consensus $0.014*; Revenue estimates count 9*, EPS estimates count 10*.
- Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implication: Both top-line and EPS exceeded consensus, supported by earlier-quarter deal linearity and strong enterprise/platform expansions .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue and EPS beat consensus; revenue also exceeded the high end of guidance — a positive near-term catalyst tied to improved deal linearity and platform sales .
- Strong RPO acceleration and longer contract duration (~22 months) enhance revenue visibility into 2026, supporting the raised FY revenue guide .
- AI-native differentiation (MCP, agents, AI Visibility, AI Feedback) broadens Amplitude’s addressable market into marketing analytics and voice-of-customer, potentially increasing multi-product penetration and ASPs over time .
- Gross margin compression appears manageable amid hosting/services investments; management expects incremental margin improvement as optimization and service monetization scale .
- Multi-product momentum (71% of ARR) and enterprise mix (seven-figure, multi-year deals) should support NRR progression toward management’s ~115% aspiration over time .
- Q4 seasonality and pipeline maturity, combined with raised FY guidance, point to continued execution; watch for sustained ARR adds and RPO growth to validate momentum .
- Risk watch: GAAP losses and SBC remain elevated; maintain focus on cash generation consistency and margin trajectory while leveraging AI-led product innovation .