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AMERICAN TOWER CORP /MA/ (AMT)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue rose 3.2% year over year to $2.63B, with property revenue up 1.2% to $2.53B; Adjusted EBITDA grew 1.8% to $1.75B, while AFFO fell 6.7% to $1.22B due to prior-year nonrecurring benefits and FX headwinds .
  • EPS of $0.78 was a significant miss vs. consensus $1.66*, while revenue modestly beat consensus $2.592B*; services revenue nearly doubled year over year to $100M, reflecting near-record U.S. services activity .
  • AMT raised full-year 2025 guidance for property revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and AFFO (midpoints +$165M, +$120M, +$55M, respectively) but reduced net income midpoints (-$400M NI, -$475M NICS), citing unrealized FX losses .
  • CoreSite sustained double-digit revenue growth driven by demand for AI-ready interconnection; management flagged a healthy densification pipeline and >50% YoY increase in application volume, but noted slower commencements at one U.S. customer .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • U.S. services delivered a near-record quarter; management highlighted broad-based midband upgrades and accelerating densification as key drivers .
  • CoreSite posted double-digit revenue growth and margin expansion on AI-related workloads; the DE1 Denver acquisition added capacity and ~$10M in 2025 property revenue in outlook .
  • Organic Tenant Billings Growth was 4.7%, and total tenant billings growth was 5.2%, supported by colocations/amendments and escalations across regions .

What Went Wrong

  • Unrealized FX losses of ~$484M reduced net income 58% YoY and drove the EPS miss vs. consensus .
  • Latin America remained challenged: property revenue declined 13.2% YoY; management cited increased bad debt and collection issues, elevated churn post-consolidation .
  • Timing slippage on U.S. commencements for one customer modestly lowered new business OTBG and U.S. OTBG to ~4.3% (from ≥4.3% in prior guide) .

Financial Results

Quarterly financials (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$2,547.6 $2,562.8 $2,626.9
Property Revenue ($USD Millions)$2,483.9 $2,488.2 $2,527.4
Services Revenue ($USD Millions)$63.7 $74.6 $99.5
Diluted EPS ($)$2.62 $1.04 $0.78
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$1,692.0 $1,744.2 $1,751.8
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)66% 68% 67%
AFFO ($USD Millions)$1,087.8 $1,290.2 $1,218.3
AFFO per Share ($)$2.32 $2.75 $2.60

Segment revenue breakdown (Q2 2024 vs Q2 2025)

SegmentQ2 2024 ($USD Millions)Q2 2025 ($USD Millions)
U.S. & Canada Property$1,315 $1,307
Latin America Property$449 $389
Africa & APAC Property$299 $336
Europe Property$203 $233
Total International Property$951 $958
Data Centers Property$231 $262
Total Property Revenue$2,497 $2,527
Services$47 $100
Total Revenue$2,545 $2,627

KPIs and operating metrics

KPIQ2 2025
Total Tenant Billings Growth ($, %)$97; 5.2%
Organic Tenant Billings Growth ($, %)$87; 4.7%
Property Gross Margin ($USD Millions)$1,887
Property Gross Margin (%)74.7%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)66.7%
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$969
Capital Expenditures ($USD Millions)$313
Net Leverage Ratio (x)5.1x
Common distribution per share ($)$1.70

Q2 2025 results vs. Wall Street consensus

MetricConsensusActualBeat/Miss
Revenue ($USD Millions)$2,591.8*$2,626.9 Beat
Primary EPS ($)$1.66*$0.78 Miss

Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q1 2025 PR)Current Guidance (Q2 2025 PR)Change
Total Property Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2025$9,970–$10,120 $10,135–$10,285 Raised
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2025$6,885–$6,955 $7,005–$7,075 Raised
AFFO ($USD Millions)FY 2025$4,850–$4,940 $4,905–$4,995 Raised
AFFO per Share ($)FY 2025$10.35–$10.54 $10.46–$10.65 Raised
Net Income ($USD Millions)FY 2025$2,740–$2,840 $2,340–$2,440 Lowered
Net Income Attrib. to AMT ($USD Millions)FY 2025$2,775–$2,875 $2,300–$2,400 Lowered
Capital Expenditures ($USD Millions)FY 2025$1,635–$1,745 $1,615–$1,725 Lowered
Common Dividends (Aggregate $USD Billions)FY 2025N/A~$3.2 (subject to Board approval) New disclosure

Management attributes raises to FX tailwinds (+$130M property revenue, +$80M Adjusted EBITDA, +$55M AFFO) and core outperformance, while net income was reduced on unrealized FX losses .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2: Q4 2024; Q-1: Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/technology initiatives (CoreSite)Exceptional year of leasing; strong interconnection ecosystem Double-digit revenue growth; margin expansion; DE1 acquisition; AI-related workloads (inferencing/ML, GPUs as a service) Strengthening
Supply chain and tariffsNot highlighted in PRProactive pre-buying; contractual tariff cost mitigation; potential acceleration challenges Manageable constraints
Macro/FXFY24 FX gains boosted results; FY25 guide includes FX drags FX tailwinds raised FY25 property revenue/EBITDA/AFFO; large unrealized FX losses hit Q2 NI/EPS Mixed: tailwinds to FY guide, headwinds to EPS
U.S. 5G rollout/densificationMidband deployments sustained; globalization efficiency Broad-based midband upgrades; >50% YoY application volume; early densification, 200% colocation increase; one customer slower commencements Positive demand; timing variability
Regional trends (LatAm)Consolidation/churn; stabilization evolving Property revenue -13.2% YoY; bad debt and elevated churn; low-single-digit growth expected through 2027 Challenged near-term
Regulatory/legal (Europe)Segment steady; high-quality counterparties EU 5G deployment to 2030; Germany spectrum extensions/coverage obligations supportive Supportive
Churn trajectory (U.S.)Sprint churn ongoing Final Sprint churn year; churn expected ~1% of U.S. revenue in Q4 and beyond (ex-UScellular impacts) Improving

Management Commentary

  • “Demand for our high-quality global portfolio of telecommunications sites continued into the second quarter… Growing demand for AI-ready interconnection solutions fueled double-digit growth at CoreSite… international activity remains steady, with a solid cash flow conversion enhanced through cost and capital discipline.” — CEO Steven Vondran .
  • “Leasing momentum remained strong… consolidated organic tenant billings growth of 4.7%… U.S. services business had a near-record quarter… CoreSite had an exceptional quarter with double-digit revenue growth and gross margin expansion… net leverage stood at 5.1 times.” — CFO Rod Smith .
  • On U.S. pipeline: “Total application volume increased more than 50% year over year… [but] a customer… is moving a little bit slower than we expected” on commencements — CEO Steven Vondran .

Q&A Highlights

  • U.S. leasing dynamics: Healthy pipeline and rising colocations; modest timing delays on commencements for one customer lowered U.S. OTBG to ~4.3% (from ≥4.3%), reducing new business by ~$5M in-year — management emphasized timing, not demand change .
  • Churn outlook: Final Sprint churn this year; churn expected to drop to ~1% of U.S. revenues in Q4 and remain low thereafter, excluding any UScellular impacts .
  • UScellular and DISH exposure: UScellular <0.5% of global property revenue (<1% U.S.); DISH ~2% global, ~4% U.S.; management optimistic on DISH developments .
  • CoreSite supply chain: Pre-buys and tariff cost mitigation clauses; demand remains robust though supply chain length can limit acceleration .
  • Capital allocation: Target leverage ≤5x; prioritize dividend growth broadly aligned with AFFO, internally generated capex ($1.7B FY25), and flexible debt reduction/M&A/buybacks .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 EPS of $0.78 missed consensus $1.66* materially, driven by ~$484M unrealized FX losses; revenue of $2.627B beat consensus $2.592B* .
  • Consensus counts: 6 EPS estimates; 16 revenue estimates*; magnitude of FX-driven EPS volatility suggests models may need to incorporate updated FX assumptions before translating to net income .

Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The narrative is bifurcated: stronger revenue and services activity with raised FY property revenue/EBITDA/AFFO guidance, but EPS pressured by unrealized FX losses — focus on AFFO and Adjusted EBITDA as better operating indicators .
  • CoreSite’s sustained double-digit growth and AI-driven demand (plus DE1) are increasingly important to the consolidated growth profile and margin expansion .
  • U.S. towers see robust amendment and emerging densification trends; watch the cadence of commencements for conversion risk, but pipeline remains strong .
  • Latin America remains a drag near term (churn, bad debt); management expects low-single-digit growth through 2027, implying continued conservative assumptions for the region .
  • Churn tailwinds in U.S. post-Sprint should support OTBG trajectory and margins into late-2025/2026 (subject to UScellular integration outcomes) .
  • Balance sheet/liquidity are solid (5.1x net leverage; ~$10.5B liquidity), enabling optionality across deleveraging, M&A, CoreSite development, and potential buybacks .
  • Near-term trading implications: expect sensitivity to FX commentary and AFFO guidance trajectory; medium-term thesis hinges on densification in developed markets and CoreSite execution amid AI interconnection demand .