Amerant Bancorp Inc. (AMTB)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered solid core deposit growth (+$300.4M QoQ to $8.15B; core deposits +$372.9M QoQ to $5.99B) and strong PPNR ($33.9M, +21% QoQ), while elevated provision ($18.4M, +86% QoQ) and higher NPLs (to $123.2M) reduced GAAP diluted EPS to $0.28 .
- Net interest margin held steady at 3.75% with lower deposit costs (2.60% vs 2.77% in Q4), aided by the full effect of Houston franchise sale and securities repositioning; management guided Q2 NIM to mid‑3.60% .
- Strategic pivot: scaling mortgage operations from national to Florida-focused over ~120 days; expect ~$2.5M lower noninterest income and ~$2.5M lower noninterest expense per quarter starting Q3, improving efficiency ~100 bps .
- Risk management intensified: ACL increased to $98.3M (1.37% of loans); specific reserves on five credits; classified loans up to $206.1M, NPLs up to $123.2M, with expected QSR participation charge‑off in Q2 (fully reserved in Q1) .
- Growth catalyst: ongoing Florida expansion (new West Palm Beach regional HQ/banking center; Miami Beach and Tampa openings planned), treasury management build-out, and digital account opening expected to drive core deposits (~15% annualized growth targeted) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Our net interest income and net interest margin were stronger than projected, driving a robust PPNR” (PPNR $33.9M vs $27.9M in Q4; NIM 3.75%) .
- Core deposit engine strengthened: average deposit cost fell to 2.60% (from 2.77%), total deposits +$300.4M QoQ, core deposits +$372.9M QoQ; management emphasized “deposit machine still cranking” .
- Portfolio repositioning benefits flowed through: full-quarter of higher-yield AFS securities post Q3/Q4 actions supporting margin stability .
What Went Wrong
- Asset quality pressure: non-performing assets rose to $140.8M (+15% QoQ), NPLs to $123.2M (+$19.1M), and special mention/classified loans increased (to $206.1M) on updated 2024 borrower financials and a NYC CRE tenant loss .
- Provision spiked: provision for credit losses $18.4M (+$8.5M QoQ) with $13.9M specific reserves; gross charge-offs $5.3M (consumer and small retail/business) with an additional $4.8M charge-off on a QSR participation expected in Q2 (already reserved) .
- Loans flat-to-down: gross loans fell $52.2M QoQ (prepayments offset production); management reduced near-term loan growth expectations amid borrower caution and macro/tariff uncertainty .
Financial Results
Segment/KPI details:
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Loan and deposit KPIs
| KPI | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | |-----|---------|---------|---------| | Total Gross Loans ($MM) | $7,562 | $7,267 | $7,219 | | Total Deposits ($MM) | $8,111 | $7,854 | $8,155 | | Core Deposits ($MM) | $5,707 | $5,620 | $5,993 | | Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (%) | 93.23% | 92.53% | 88.52% | | ACL ($MM) | $79.9 | $85.0 | $98.3 | | NPLs ($MM) | $114.9 | $104.1 | $123.2 | | NPAs ($MM) | $129.4 | $122.2 | $140.8 | | Avg Loan Yield (%) | 7.08% | 7.00% | 6.84% | | Avg Cost of Total Deposits (%) | 2.99% | 2.77% | 2.60% | -
Loan mix (selected types, held for investment)
| Loan Type ($MM) | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | |-----------------|---------|---------|---------| | CRE Non-owner Occupied | $1,709.9 | $1,678.5 | $1,641.2 | | Single-family Residential | $1,485.3 | $1,516.1 | $1,549.4 | | Owner Occupied (RE) | $1,013.7 | $1,007.1 | $951.3 | | Commercial Loans | $1,630.3 | $1,747.9 | $1,714.6 |
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Despite the uncertainty in this environment we outperformed expectations in several key areas. Our net interest income and net interest margin were stronger than projected, driving a robust PPNR.”
- “We made the prudent decision to reserve for 5 specific loans and also to adjust our generic reserves… Taking decisive action is essential.”
- Mortgage pivot: “We’ve elected to transition from being a national… to a Florida focus… expect both noninterest income and noninterest expense to be lowered by approximately $2.5 million per quarter starting in 3Q.”
- On risk leadership: “We’re delighted to welcome Jeff Tischler as our new Chief Credit Officer… leading a focused assessment… identifying key areas for optimization.”
- Growth footprint: “We opened our new regional headquarters office and our new banking center in West Palm Beach… two planned openings in Miami Beach later this year and a second location in downtown Tampa.”
Q&A Highlights
- Loan growth outlook: Management reduced near-term expectations due to borrower caution and prepayments, but still targets 10–15% by year-end as volatility abates; selective underwriting continues .
- Asset quality and charge-offs: Q1 charge-offs ~22–25 bps; expect ~55 bps in Q2 due to a reserved QSR participation sale, then normalize; ROA still targeted at ~1% in 2H with mortgage expense cuts .
- Buybacks: Operating under 10b5‑1; ~375k shares repurchased in Q2 to avoid dilution; remaining authorization mostly used .
- Margin puts/takes: New loan production yields moving to ~6.25–6.50% vs ~7% in Q1; AFS purchases ~5.46–5.49%; deposit costs repricing down; emphasizing 6‑month time deposits to keep liabilities short .
- Special mention increases: Driven by updated borrower financials across multiple industries and three NYC CRE credits with missed milestones but adequate mitigants; proactive risk grading .
Estimates Context
- EPS: S&P Global Primary EPS consensus for Q1 2025 was $0.395; S&P “primary EPS” actual registered $0.24*, implying a miss versus consensus; GAAP diluted EPS of $0.28 reflects elevated provision (consensus/actual from S&P*).
- Revenue: S&P Global Revenue consensus for Q1 2025 was $101.833M; S&P actual registered $86.983M*, a miss; company-reported “total revenue” (NII + noninterest income) was ~$105.4M (reflecting noninterest income contributions) (consensus/actual from S&P*).
- Prior quarters for context (S&P):
| Metric | Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | |--------|---------|---------|---------| | Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($) | 0.206* | 0.333* | 0.395* | | Primary EPS Actual ($) | 0.27* | 0.50* | 0.24* | | Revenue Consensus Mean ($MM) | 98.53* | 100.57* | 101.83* | | Revenue Actual ($MM) | 14.32* | 100.48* | 86.98* | Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Interpretation: Using S&P’s “Primary EPS” and “Revenue” definitions, Q1 showed misses on both headline EPS and revenue; management highlighted stronger‑than‑projected NII/NIM and PPNR, but asset quality costs weighed on EPS .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core earnings power improved: stable NIM at 3.75% and lower deposit costs underscore deposit franchise momentum; Q2 NIM guided to mid‑3.60% amid rate sensitivity .
- Asset quality is the swing factor: higher ACL, rising NPLs/classified loans, and expected Q2 charge‑off suggest near-term credit costs remain elevated; proactive risk actions aim to normalize later in 2025 .
- Mortgage pivot should lift efficiency: ~$5M quarterly P&L swing (lower noninterest income and expenses) from Q3 expected to improve operating efficiency ~100 bps and support ROA trajectory toward 1% in 2H .
- Deposit growth catalysts: treasury management leadership, digital onboarding, and new branches flag continued core deposit growth (~15% annual target) even with municipal runoff headwinds .
- Capital management: completed redemption of $60M senior notes; opportunistic buybacks under 10b5‑1 at prices below TBV reduce dilution risk .
- Strategy execution in Florida: expanding in West Palm, Miami Beach, and Tampa should support loan pipelines and lower funding costs over time .
- Near-term trading: Watch Q2 credit metrics/charge-offs and NIM trajectory vs guidance; medium-term thesis hinges on efficiency gains, core deposit growth, and asset quality stabilization .
Additional Relevant Q1 2025 Items
- Dividend: $0.09 per share declared, payable May 30, 2025 .
- Total assets: $10.17B (+$268M QoQ), cash and equivalents $648.4M (+$58M QoQ) .
- FHLB advances: $715.0M (−$30M QoQ); borrowing capacity $3.0B as of Mar 31, 2025 .
- AUM: $2.93B (+$42.6M QoQ) .
Appendix: Prior Two Quarters Snapshot (for trend)
Management explanations: Q3 loss driven by securities portfolio repositioning; Q4 improvement with lower provision and higher NII; momentum continued in Q1 on NIM/NII, offset by higher provision .