AC
AMAZON COM INC (AMZN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Solid top-line acceleration with AWS-led growth and broad-based retail strength. Q3 revenue rose 13% YoY to $180.169B, exceeding S&P Global consensus, and diluted EPS was $1.95, also well above consensus; operating income of $17.4B included $4.3B in special charges (FTC settlement and severance), implying $21.7B ex-charges .
- AWS re-accelerated to 20.2% YoY growth ($33.006B revenue) with $11.434B operating income; management highlighted rising AI demand, Trainium adoption, and a capacity build-out of +3.8 GW over 12 months, with backlog at ~$200B by quarter end and run-rate at $132B .
- Q4 2025 guide: net sales $206–$213B (+10–13% YoY including ~190 bps FX tailwind) and operating income $21–$26B (vs $21.2B in Q4’24); assumes no additional acquisitions/restructurings/legal settlements .
- Likely stock reaction catalysts: AWS growth re-acceleration and capacity confidence; strong advertising momentum; robust Q4 guidance; and clarifications that large non-operating Anthropic gains boosted net income but are non-core .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- AWS re-acceleration and AI pipeline: AWS grew 20.2% YoY to $33.006B with $11.434B OI; CEO cited rising demand for Bedrock, agents (AgentCore, Strands), and Trainium capacity; capacity additions (+3.8 GW LTM) and backlog ~$200B point to durable growth .
- North America/International execution and speed: NA revenue +11% to $106.267B; International +14% to $40.896B (10% ex-FX); management cited improved inventory placement, faster delivery, and rural network expansion; perishable same-day grocery scaling to >1,000 cities, aiming for 2,300 by year-end .
- Advertising strength: Ad revenue reached $17.703B (+24% YoY), with DSP growth and CTV partnerships (Netflix, Spotify, SiriusXM); live sports inventory traction exceeded upfront expectations .
Quote: “AWS is growing at a pace we haven’t seen since 2022… Backlog grew to $200 billion… We’ve been focused on accelerating capacity – adding more than 3.8 gigawatts in the past 12 months.” — Andy Jassy, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- One-time charges pressured reported operating income: $2.5B FTC legal settlement (NA segment) and $1.8B severance reduced OI by $4.3B; absent these, OI would have been $21.7B .
- North America margin compression: NA operating income fell to $4.789B (margin 4.5%) vs $5.663B in Q3’24; excluding FTC and severance, NA OI would have been $7.3B (6.9% margin), suggesting underlying strength but sensitivity to special items .
- Heavy capex and depreciation headwinds: Cash capex was $34.2B in Q3 and $89.9B YTD, primarily for AWS GenAI capacity; CFO flagged depreciation pressure on AWS margins as assets enter service, with capex expected ~+$125B in 2025 and to increase in 2026 .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L vs Prior Quarters
Notes: Q3 operating income included $2.5B FTC settlement and $1.8B severance charges; ex-charges OI would have been $21.7B .
Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
Highlights: Q3 revenue and EPS both beat; Q2 and Q1 also beat on both metrics.
Segment Breakdown
AWS margins (% of segment sales): Q1 39.5% , Q2 32.9% , Q3 34.6% .
KPIs and Mix
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Excluding… two special Q3 expenses: $2.5B for an FTC settlement and $1.8B for severance costs… operating income would have been over $21B.” — Andy Jassy .
- “AWS revenue… $33B, up 20.2% YoY… annualized run rate of $132B… Expect AWS operating margins to fluctuate over time, driven by investments.” — Brian Olsavsky .
- “We’ve been focused on accelerating capacity… adding more than 3.8 gigawatts in the past 12 months… backlog grew to $200 billion.” — Andy Jassy .
- “Advertising revenue was $17.7B, and growth accelerated for the third consecutive quarter… DSP is growing really quickly… partnerships with Netflix, Spotify, SiriusXM.” — Management .
Q&A Highlights
- AWS capacity and Trainium: Capacity ramping (+3.8 GW LTM; +1 GW expected in Q4); Trainium 2 fully subscribed and multi-billion dollar business; Trainium 3 preview by YE with broader customer base .
- Groceries and format: Perishable same-day is a “game changer”; >$100B GMV grocery business even excluding Whole Foods/Fresh; DAU/retention improving as service expands to 1,000 cities, targeting 2,300 by YE .
- Headcount and culture: Recent reductions are to flatten organization and increase ownership/speed; not primarily AI- or finance-driven .
- Robotics/automation: >1M robots; continued investment to improve safety, productivity, speed, and cost to serve .
- Agentic commerce: Long-term positive; current third-party agent UX lacking (personalization/pricing/delivery accuracy), but partnerships likely as experience improves .
- Advertising mix: Broad-based growth across offerings; DSP momentum aided by feature parity and premium CTV supply (Roku, Netflix, Spotify, SiriusXM) .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 beats: Revenue $180.169B vs $177.761B consensus; EPS $1.95 vs $1.556 consensus (both beats)* .
- Q2 2025 beats: Revenue $167.702B vs $162.093B*; EPS $1.68 vs $1.321* (beats) .
- Q1 2025 beats: Revenue $155.667B vs $155.120B*; EPS $1.59 vs $1.362* (beats) .
Values retrieved from S&P Global*. Management noted that ex-charges, Q3 operating income exceeded the high end of guidance by $1.2B, which may drive upward estimate revisions for AWS growth and consolidated margins into Q4 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- AWS growth re-accelerating with large AI tailwinds and capacity build-out; backlog and capex support multi-year revenue durability despite near-term margin variability from depreciation .
- Underlying retail profitability resilient; NA margin impacted by one-time FTC/severance, but ex-charges trajectory remains favorable with continued speed and cost improvements .
- Advertising is a second engine of profit growth; DSP plus premium CTV supply (Netflix/Spotify/SiriusXM) expanding TAM and performance attribution .
- Q4 guide solid (+10–13% YoY) with higher OI range vs Q4’24; FX tailwind noted; setup into holidays appears constructive .
- Anthropic-related non-operating gains boosted net income; investors should focus on operating income and AWS KPIs for core performance .
- Capex intensity is high (~$125B in 2025; likely higher 2026) to meet AI demand; long-term ROIC case hinges on monetizing Trainium/Bedrock/agents and maintaining share of cloud migrations .
- Watch items: timing/magnitude of AWS capacity additions, Trainium 3 ramp, depreciation cadence on margins, perishable grocery adoption/retention, and ad revenue sustainment across Prime Video live sports .
Citations:
- Q3 2025 8-K press release and financials:
- Q3 2025 earnings call transcript:
- Alternate Q3 transcript for redundancy/quotes:
- Q2 2025 8-K and call:
- Q1 2025 8-K: