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AppLovin Corp (APP)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered strong profitability with Revenue $1.26B (+77% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA $1.02B (+99% YoY) and Adjusted EBITDA margin 81%; diluted EPS was $2.39; Free Cash Flow was $768M .
  • Management raised Q3 2025 guidance to Revenue $1.32–$1.34B and Adjusted EBITDA $1.07–$1.09B, maintaining 81% margin; CFO noted guidance incorporates a small uplift from the apps divestiture .
  • Strategic catalysts: Axon Ads Manager self-serve opening via referral on Oct 1 and expansion to major international markets; paid marketing to recruit advertisers expected post full launch in 2026, with emphasis on automation and generative ad tools .
  • Structural shift: Apps portfolio sale closed June 30; Q2 includes discontinued operations and $425M net cash inflow, streamlining focus to advertising; 0.9M shares repurchased ($341M) and diluted shares fell to ~342M .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • 81% Adjusted EBITDA margin with $1.02B Adjusted EBITDA highlights operating leverage; CFO cited 81% revenue-to-EBITDA flow-through QoQ, reflecting lean operations .
  • Gaming remains primary growth driver; models continue to improve and Max marketplace supply grew double digits; management confident in sustaining 20–30% YoY growth from gaming alone .
  • Self-serve Axon Ads Manager launched quietly; referral program opens Oct 1 with international expansion, reducing onboarding friction (Shopify app, attribution integrations, dynamic product ads) .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential revenue declined vs Q1 due to structural mix change (apps sold and presented as discontinued operations) despite strong YoY growth; Q2 total revenue $1.26B vs Q1 $1.48B .
  • E-commerce onboarding was constrained to prioritize product readiness, limiting near-term non-gaming contribution (still ~10% range); management expects ramp starting in Q4 seasonality and broader release .
  • Some advertisers desire Meta-like features (e.g., exclusion lists); management prioritizes full-funnel automation over manual controls and acknowledges differing attribution constraints for high-ticket/long-consideration purchases .

Financial Results

Revenue, EPS, and Margins vs Prior Periods and Estimates

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD)$1,372,779 $1,484,021 $1,258,754
Diluted EPS ($)$1.73 $1.67 $2.39
Net Income Margin %44% 39% 65%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)$848,024 $1,005,027 $1,018,347
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %62% 68% 81%

Estimates comparison (Wall Street consensus – S&P Global):

  • Q1 2025: Revenue consensus $1,382,259,190*, EPS consensus $1.44235*; actual Revenue $1,484,021 , diluted EPS $1.67 → beat.
  • Q2 2025: Revenue consensus $1,220,255,140*, EPS consensus $1.98468*; actual Revenue $1,258,754 , diluted EPS $2.39 → beat.
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Segment Breakdown (pre-divestiture context)

Segment MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025
Advertising Revenue ($USD)$999,487 $1,158,974
Apps Revenue ($USD)$373,292 $325,047
Advertising Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)$776,699 $943,228
Apps Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)$71,325 $61,799

Note: Q2 2025 Apps results presented as discontinued operations following the sale to Tripledot (closed June 30, 2025) .

KPIs

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Cash from Operating Activities ($USD)$701,003 $831,712 $772,226
Free Cash Flow ($USD)$695,162 $825,731 $768,063
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD)$741,411 $551,024 $1,192,608
Weighted Avg Diluted Shares346,423,848 344,877,542 342,194,433

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD)Q3 2025N/A$1,320–$1,340 Raised vs prior quarter baseline (Q2 guide was $1,195–$1,215 for Advertising)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD)Q3 2025N/A$1,070–$1,090 Raised vs prior quarter baseline ($970–$990 for Advertising in Q2)
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %Q3 2025N/A81% Maintained high margin

Note: CFO indicated Q3 guide includes slight revenue uplift from the apps divestiture impact .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Prev-2)Q1 2025 (Prev-1)Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
AI/Tech initiativesStrong margin expansion from model improvements; Advertising margin 78% Self-serve dashboard to select customers; dynamic ad creation; integrations; AXON model iterations; near-term focus on automation Axon Ads Manager referral opening Oct 1; generative ad tools; agents for campaign analysis; broader international rollout Expanding automation and self-serve capabilities
Supply (Max marketplace)N/AN/ADouble-digit supply growth in Max; platform-wide CPM/demand improvements Strengthening supply
Tariffs/MacroN/ALimited impact expected given mid-market web advertisers and low penetration; gaming resilient N/ANeutral/limited impact
Regulatory/legalN/AApp Store fee changes seen as tailwind for UA spend over time Apple vs Epic impact expected 2–4 quarters out; potential pricing tailwind later; no current impact Medium-term tailwind
Product performanceAdvertising core growth; robust profitability Gaming drove majority; e-comm pilot at ~600 advertisers and ~$1B run-rate; constrained onboarding Majority of growth from gaming; e-comm onboarding to widen via referrals/international Gaming strong; e-comm set to re-accelerate
InternationalN/AGlobal audience; future global self-serve; phased opening Opening to most major international markets Oct 1; referrals likely global Accelerating global expansion

Management Commentary

  • “Q2 twenty twenty five was another great quarter, driven by continued strength in gaming advertising… we are confident we can sustain 20 to 30% year over year growth driven by just gaming.” — CEO Adam Foroughi .
  • “Quarter over quarter flow through from revenue to adjusted EBITDA was a very strong 81%… we generated $768,000,000 in free cash flow… diluted common shares outstanding… down to 342,000,000 this quarter.” — CFO Matt Stumpf .
  • “On 10/01/2025, we plan to open the Axon Ads Manager on a referral basis… then guide our global public launch in the 2026.” — CEO Adam Foroughi .
  • “On June 30, 2025 we completed the sale of our Apps business to Tripledot Studios… results related to our Apps business are presented as discontinued operations.” — Press release .

Q&A Highlights

  • Self-serve and referrals: Program aims for organic peer invites; minimal or no paid referral incentives; opens international inventory; curated onboarding to ensure quality .
  • Paid marketing: Management expects to use performance marketing to recruit advertisers post broader launch; will spend only if LTV/CAC is compelling; impact booked in sales & marketing but expected to be margin-accretive .
  • Guidance mechanics: Q3 guide includes a slight uplift from apps divestiture; underlying reinforcement learning trend ~3–5% QoQ growth with periodic step-function model enhancements .
  • Attribution/features: Advertisers seek Meta-like controls (e.g., exclusion lists), but platform strategy prioritizes automation; dynamic product ads and improved attribution integrations rolled out .
  • Regulatory tailwinds: Apple vs Epic fee changes could boost UA spend; timing expected over several quarters before material pricing impact .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 beat on both revenue and EPS vs consensus: Revenue $1,258.8M vs $1,220.3M*, EPS $2.39 vs $1.985* .
  • Q1 2025 was also a beat: Revenue $1,484.0M vs $1,382.3M*, EPS $1.67 vs $1.442* .
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Profitability profile remains exceptional (81% Adjusted EBITDA margin; $768M FCF in Q2), supporting premium valuation narratives despite structural mix changes post apps divestiture .
  • Raised Q3 guide and continued margin strength provide near-term support; modest revenue uplift from the apps sale included in outlook .
  • Gaming growth engine intact with double-digit Max supply expansion and ongoing model improvements; management targets 20–30% YoY growth from gaming alone .
  • E-commerce cohort set to re-accelerate in Q4 seasonality and broaden via referral onboarding and international expansion; watch for self-serve adoption and advertiser count inflection .
  • Product roadmap (self-serve, agents, generative ads) should enhance advertiser LTV and automate workflows, potentially sustaining high incremental margins even with paid acquisition .
  • Capital allocation remains shareholder-friendly (buybacks, disciplined S&M spend); diluted shares trend downward, amplifying EPS leverage .
  • Monitor execution milestones: Oct 1 referral opening, international inventory access, Q4 e-commerce ramp, and cadence of AXON model enhancements for step-function gains .
Notes on non-GAAP: Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow are defined and reconciled in the company’s materials; Q2 Adjusted EBITDA $1,018M and margin 81%; FCF $768M **[1751008_0001751008-25-000069_exhibit991-2q25earningspre.htm:6]** **[1751008_0001751008-25-000069_exhibit991-2q25earningspre.htm:5]**.  
Structural note: Apps sale to Tripledot closed June 30, 2025; Apps results shown as discontinued operations in Q2 **[1751008_0001751008-25-000069_exhibit991-2q25earningspre.htm:0]**.