DT
Digital Turbine, Inc. (APPS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Fiscal Q3 2025 delivered sequential acceleration: revenue $134.6M, non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA $22.0M, non-GAAP EPS $0.13, and positive non-GAAP free cash flow $6.4M .
- Year-over-year, revenue declined 6% while adjusted EBITDA fell to $22.0M from $25.4M; GAAP net loss was ($23.1M), or ($0.22) per share .
- Management raised FY25 guidance to revenue $485–$490M and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA $69–$71M, citing improved execution, cost transformation, and brand demand; this is above the Q2 guide of $475–$485M and $65–$70M and reflects internal outperformance .
- Operational catalysts: record revenue-per-device within On Device Solutions (ODS), international ODS revenue up sharply, brand spending momentum in App Growth Platform (AGP), and ongoing shift from waterfall to SDK bidding; watch DMA enforcement and alternative app ecosystem ramp with partners like ONE Store, Epic, Microsoft, Pinterest and U.S. operators including Verizon and T-Mobile .
- Governance update: CFO transition to Stephen Lasher with prior Vonage/IBM experience; outgoing CFO Barrett Garrison to consult through May 31, 2025, reinforcing continuity amid transformation execution .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Our financial results exceeded our expectations… transformational profit-optimization measures driving improved operating performance and free cash flow” – Bill Stone; Q3 delivered $134.6M revenue, $22.0M adjusted EBITDA, $0.13 non-GAAP EPS, and $6.4M non-GAAP FCF .
- ODS strength: revenue reached $91.7M (+11% QoQ) with “all-time records for revenue per device” in U.S. and internationally; international ODS revenues up 100% YoY .
- AGP brand momentum: Q3 AGP revenue $44.2M with double-digit sequential growth and accelerating brand spend; PMPs leveraging first-party data across a diversified non-gaming supply footprint .
What Went Wrong
- U.S. device volume softness continued, partially offset by higher RPD; management expects stabilization with new flagship launches and AI features, but volumes remain a headwind .
- AGP legacy performance DSP declines during the transition from waterfall to SDK bidding; SDK bidding is now >70% of impressions vs ~5% a year ago, but migration impacts near-term mix .
- Gross margin down modestly QoQ (44% vs 45%) on ODS product mix; GAAP net loss widened vs prior year ($23.1M vs $14.1M), with interest expense $8.446M and long-term debt ~$408.2M .
Financial Results
Quarterly Performance (Fiscal 2025)
Year-over-Year Snapshot (Q3)
Segment Revenues
Balance Sheet/Other KPIs (Q3)
Note: The Q3 press release cites a 13% YoY decline in adjusted EBITDA, while the 8-K cites 14%; both refer to the same absolute values ($25.4M → $22.0M), indicating rounding variance .
Guidance Changes
FY25 actuals subsequently reported at FY year-end were revenue $490.5M and non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA $72.3M, exceeding the raised Q3 guidance ranges .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Bill Stone: “We did $135 million in revenue, $22 million in adjusted EBITDA and $0.13 in non-GAAP EPS… improved advertising demand… transformation efforts are showing early results… especially for our on-device international business and our brand strategy” .
- On ODS: “We set all-time records for revenue per device… on-device International revenues were up 100% year-over-year” .
- On AGP transition: “SDK bidding is now over 70% of total impressions compared to only 5% a year ago… diversifying away from waterfall bidding… nongaming applications nearly doubled over the past year” .
- On alternative apps: “We’ve already distributed ONE store on many millions of devices… live on 3 operators in the U.S., including Verizon… partners include Epic, Microsoft and Pinterest” .
- CFO Barrett Garrison: “Cash operating expenses were $37.6M, down 3% sequentially and year-on-year… actions totaling more than $25M in annualized cost efficiencies… free cash flow generated in the quarter was $6.4M” .
- CFO Transition: Stephen Lasher appointed CFO; terms include base salary, incentive eligibility, and equity awards; Barrett to consult through May 31, 2025 .
Q&A Highlights
- Brand advertising resurgence: Management emphasized hard-earned agency/brand trust and in-app positioning versus CTV/retail media; cited names like P&G, Coke, Disney, Starbucks as emblematic of the opportunity .
- Alternative app stores momentum: Epic awareness building; Microsoft/Xbox also engaged; regulatory inflection expected around EU DMA/Apple compliance potentially catalyzing broader publisher adoption in 2025 .
- Outlook dynamics: For fiscal 2026 (next year), key growth drivers are devices, products, and media relationships; focus on monetizing first-party data plumbing into revenue/EBITDA .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus data for APPS around Q3 FY2025 was unavailable due to API limit at the time of retrieval; therefore, explicit beat/miss versus Wall Street is not provided here. Values retrieved from S&P Global would normally anchor consensus comparisons.*
- Management asserted results “exceeded our expectations” and raised FY25 guidance (revenue $485–$490M; adjusted EBITDA $69–$71M), which suggests upward pressure on sell-side estimates for FY25 and potentially FY26 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Sequential growth inflection: Q3 revenue +13% QoQ, adjusted EBITDA +44% QoQ, non-GAAP EPS up to $0.13, and a swing to positive non-GAAP free cash flow—evidence the transformation program is taking hold .
- ODS momentum with record RPD and international strength (+100% YoY) provides a buffer against lingering U.S. device softness; new supply partnerships (e.g., TIM Brazil, T-Mobile) broaden footprint .
- AGP is strategically pivoting to SDK bidding (>70% of impressions) and brand-led demand using first-party data and PMPs, diversifying beyond gaming publishers—expect continued mix shift benefits .
- Guidance raised for FY25 and later delivered FY25 actuals at the top end on revenue and ahead on EBITDA; a favorable setup heading into fiscal 2026 guide and estimate revisions .
- Watch regulatory catalysts (EU DMA, Apple compliance) and alternative app ecosystem scaling across ONE Store, Epic, Microsoft, and U.S. operators—potential multi-year growth driver .
- Balance sheet considerations: interest expense ($8.446M in Q3) and long-term debt (~$408.2M) remain watchpoints; management targets revolver pay-down as EBITDA and FCF strengthen .
- Execution priorities: continue cost take-out (> $25M annualized already actioned), automation in billing/invoicing, deepen brand/media relationships, and monetize first-party data assets across ODS/AGP .