Arrow Electronics - Q1 2016
May 3, 2016
Transcript
Moderator (participant)
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Arrow Electronics first quarter 2016 earnings conference call. My name is Santita, and I'll be your operator for today. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. We will conduct a question-and-answer session towards the end of this conference. If at any time during the call you require assistance, please press star zero, and the operator will be happy to assist you. As a reminder, this call is being recorded for replay purposes. I will now turn the conference over to your host for today, Mr. Steve O'Brien. Please proceed.
Steve O'Brien (VP of Investor Relations)
Thanks, Santita. Good day, and welcome to Arrow Electronics first quarter 2016 conference call. With us on the call today are Mike Long, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer; Paul Reilly, Executive Vice President, Finance and Operations and Chief Financial Officer; Andy King, President, Global Components; and Sean Kerins, President, Global Enterprise Computing Solutions. As a reminder, you can access our earnings release at investor.arrow.com, along with the CFO commentary, the non-GAAP earnings reconciliation, and a webcast of this call. We will begin with a few minutes of prepared remarks, which will then be followed by a question-and-answer period. I will now hand the call to our Chairman, President, and CEO, Mike Long.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Thanks, Steve, and thanks to all of you for taking the time to join us today. In the first quarter, both our Global Components and our Global Enterprise Computing Solutions businesses again grew faster than the overall economic and IT spending backdrop. We continued to identify market trends and industry direction ahead of our competitors. We've been investing ahead of the curve, and our first quarter results clearly demonstrate the returns on those investments. We posted strong results in the first quarter of 2016 with record first quarter sales and earnings per share. Sales and earnings per share were also above the midpoints of our expectations. Both business segments and all regions delivered year-over-year growth. Our first quarter 2016 Global Components sales advanced 10% year-over-year. Our above-market growth was driven by globally adding over 500 customer-facing salespeople and engineers over the last two years.
Europe again delivered robust sales growth for this quarter, and our Americas business returned to growth as we anticipated. Asia's sales exceeded our own expectations, and we are adding new customers at a rapid rate. We have over 600 net new customers in Asia alone over the last year. While their contribution is small today, we are excited to grow alongside these new customers in the coming quarters and years. We've also added 70 new component suppliers over the past year and continue to be awarded new product lines and regions from our existing suppliers. This has been the result of consolidation in the semiconductor industry and our compelling value proposition. It will take some time for these opportunities to realize their full potential. However, we are excited about the growth opportunities that they provide. Design activity grew at double-digit rate again this quarter.
In Asia, our design activity grew 60% year-over-year, continuing the pace from 2015. In the first quarter, we had 8% year-over-year sales growth from our core SMB manufacturing customers in that region. We also captured strong profit leverage on the sales growth in Asia despite being in investment mode. Another area of investment in the Global Components business is our digital platform. Our investments have turned our websites into a growing source of leads for our core sales organization. We are engaging with engineers and the design community in order to foster business relationships before the next great invention becomes a company. In the first quarter, Enterprise Computing Solutions again delivered faster growth in overall IT spending. ECS sales advanced 9% year-over-year, and ECS achieved record first quarter sales, operating income, and operating margin. We are the leading distributor of software-based solutions.
In terms of billings, our software portfolio grew at over 30%. We continue to pivot our business towards newer hardware and technologies, including the next-gen storage and converged infrastructure. Another part of that pivot is growing our cloud capabilities. In the first quarter, our cloud business grew 90% year-over-year. Our suppliers and customers value our solutions-driven approach and continue to award us with more business as a result. We attribute much of our success in recent years to breaking down the practice of selling single lines and point products. Our solution selling strategy has benefited both of our business segments separately. But the next big step in our evolution is unlocking the untapped potential that both of our businesses can create by working together. We see this as a compelling opportunity to produce long-term value creation for our shareholders.
IoT is bringing us exciting opportunities for our business, but we are still in the early stages of incubating these opportunities. Our overarching strategic imperative is selling the enterprise. That means selling the design, the engineering, the solutions capability of our Global Components and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions businesses at the same time to the same customer. This opportunity is afforded by cloud solutions and our leadership in the next-generation data center. Right now, Arrow is working to help design connected products and secure data transmissions, analytics, and storage solutions for those products and industries where we had little presence in the past. As we look forward to the remainder of 2016, we expect to further extend our leadership in the markets we serve. As we once proved, again in the first quarter, we're able to produce strong results independent of the market environment, and we expect this to continue.
Before I turn the call over to Paul, I'd like to take a moment to thank him for his significant contributions to Arrow over the last 25 years. As announced in our press release, he has decided to retire from Arrow on January 31st, 2017. Paul joined Arrow in 1991, serving as a trusted partner across our businesses to our board of directors and to me. As a global leader with broad experience, he's been an instrumental part of driving the growth and the success here at Arrow. Paul has well planned and executed his succession process, and he'll continue to work with Chris Stansbury and Arrow through January 31st to ensure a seamless transition. On behalf of Arrow, I personally wish him all the best in his retirement ahead. He's been an exceptionally valued member of our leadership team, and I will certainly miss him.
Paul will now provide more details on our first quarter results and our expectations for the second quarter.
Paul Reilly (EVP of Finance and Operations and CFO)
Thanks, Mike, for the very kind words, and thank you for letting me be part of the transformation you have driven for Arrow. It was your vision and strategy that has made us what it is today. First quarter sales of $5.47 billion grew 9% year-over-year. When adjusted for acquisitions and changes in foreign exchange, we grew 4% year-over-year. Overall, sales were above the midpoint of our prior guidance range. In Global Components, sales of $3.68 billion grew 10% year-over-year. Global Components sales adjusted for acquisitions and changes in foreign currency grew 4% year-over-year. In the Americas, sales grew 3% year-over-year. We experienced good growth from our core SMB customers and our alliance business, which consists of large, complex supply chain-based customers. But this was partially offset by declines in some of our specialty businesses. Europe sales grew 15% year-over-year.
When adjusted for acquisitions and changes in foreign currencies, sales increased 9% year-over-year. We continue to see growth across the region and across key verticals, especially transportation. Sales in Asia grew 15% year-over-year. When adjusted for acquisitions and changes in foreign currencies, sales grew 2% year-over-year. We were pleased with the healthy growth driven by our core SMB customers in the region that Mike referenced. However, the region's growth was partially offset by weaker demand from alliance customers. Global Components' first quarter book-to-bill was 1.07, which is above the prior two years and in line with the first quarter of 2013. Our lead times and cancellation rates continue to track within normal ranges. Through the first four weeks of the second quarter, our book-to-bill was above parity and above last year's level at this time. We believe this suggests a solid foundation for our business in the short term.
First quarter Enterprise Computing Solutions sales were $1.8 billion and grew 9% year-over-year. Overall, ECS sales were in line with our expectations. In the Americas, sales grew 11% year-over-year and grew 2% adjusted for acquisitions and changes in foreign currencies. In Europe, sales advanced 6% year-over-year when adjusted for changes in foreign currencies. We experienced growth across nearly our entire portfolio in the first quarter, and that growth continues to be led by software. The lone exception was storage, which faced some well-documented industry challenges. Our comprehensive solution portfolio is well-positioned to capture growth even as IT spending priorities change. Returning to consolidated results for the quarter, our gross profit margin was 13.7%, unchanged year-over-year. Total company operating expenses increased 11% year-over-year as reported and 6% year-over-year adjusted for the impact of acquisitions and changes in foreign currencies.
Operating expenses increased 20 basis points as a percentage of sales on a year-over-year basis. In the near term, we will continue to invest in our business. We will see better operating margin expansion in the second half of 2016 as our productivity enhancements are completed. Operating income was $215 million, a 5% increase year-over-year, and a 6% increase adjusting for changes in foreign currencies. Operating margin declined 20 basis points year-over-year, primarily due to a higher mix of ECS compared to Global Components, as well as a higher mix of Europe within ECS and Asia within Global Components. Global Components' operating margins of 4.9% decreased 20 basis points year-over-year. Global Enterprise Computing Solutions' operating margin was 4.6%, up 20 basis points year-over-year. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 26.9%. Net income was $132 million, up 4% year-over-year adjusted for changes in currencies.
Earnings per share were $1.43 on a diluted basis and were towards the high end of our prior guidance. Earnings per share grew 10% year-over-year when adjusted for changes in currencies. Our seasonal use of cash was well-managed in the first quarter of this year. Operating cash flow usage was $37 million. Trailing 12-month cash flow from operations was $860 million. Our consolidated return on working capital for the first quarter was 24.6%, increasing 120 basis points year-over-year. Return on invested capital was 9.5%. This is a high-level summary of our financial results. For more detail regarding the business unit results, please refer to the CFO commentary published this morning.
Now, turning to guidance, we believe that total sales will be between $5.825 billion and $6.225 billion in the second quarter, with Global Components sales between $3.75 billion and $3.95 billion, and Global Enterprise Computing Solutions sales between $2.075 billion and $2.275 billion. We expect earnings per share on a diluted basis, excluding any charges, to be in the range of $1.59-$1.71. Our guidance assumes a non-GAAP tax rate in the range of 27%-29%. Average diluted shares outstanding are expected to be 93 million. An average USD to euro exchange rate we are using for forecasting purposes is $1.13 to 1 euro.
Steve O'Brien (VP of Investor Relations)
Thank you, Paul. Santita, could you please give the instructions and open up the call to questions at this time?
Moderator (participant)
Ladies and gentlemen, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one. If your question has been answered or you wish to withdraw your question, press star two. Your first question comes from the line of Shawn Harrison. Please proceed.
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
Everyone, I wanted to delve into the ECS trends given just the volatility and the concern on that business. It doesn't look like you've seen any deceleration, but if you could talk to particularly any of the categories, whether you saw any abnormal linearity or deceleration, and if you have any expectation of that going forward.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Oh, thanks, Shawn. I'll start, and then Sean can add some color. We saw overall 36% growth in our software, so we've seen acceleration there. Virtualization, infrastructure software up 48%. Networking's up 8%. Services are up 10%. Pretty much across the categories, we're up. We're also aware of the storage changes. What's interesting, I think, are solid-state storage. I'm not sure what that doubled or something like that. The truth is, we're seeing very minimal backlash from that. We noticed that more than a year ago. Overall, I would have to say right now, we're seeing robust billings. We're seeing robust bookings, and our backlogs are up. So we've been pretty satisfied with the approach we've taken. As you know, we put our software business in place some three years ago.
We saw the trend moving from hardware to software, and I think we've successfully mitigated the risks that everybody is sort of talking about today. Sean, anything to add to that?
Sean Kerins (President of Global Enterprise Computing Solutions)
No, well said, Mike. I think the key word for us is really balance across the portfolio. It's been some years now that we've pivoted to a market that I think is going to be increasingly dominated by software-based solutions. And so we have a really complete data center portfolio. And to Mike's point, it helps mitigate some of the puts and takes around legacy technologies as they continue to evolve.
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
And then as a follow-up, cloud being up, I believe the stat was 90% year-over-year. If you could just remind us how you define cloud and if there's a revenue run rate you can associate with that 90% up year-over-year too?
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Yeah. So there's about 100 unique offerings that we have around cloud. We have our ArrowSphere platform, which is a digital platform really for cloud enablement. The 90%, if you could compare us to any born-in-the-cloud sort of startup, I would have to say we're probably exceeding most of the sales of those. Probably right now, we are on about a little more than a $200 million run rate coming out of the first quarter.
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
Okay. Thanks, Mike. Congrats on the results.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Thanks.
Moderator (participant)
Your next question comes from the line of Mark Delaney. Please proceed.
Mark Delaney (Analyst)
Yes, good afternoon. Thanks very much for taking the questions. First, Paul, I wanted to congratulate you on a very great career and wish you the best going forward.
Sean Kerins (President of Global Enterprise Computing Solutions)
Thanks, Mark.
Mark Delaney (Analyst)
Question on ECS, following on Shawn's question. I mean, per my model, I mean, Enterprise Computing Solutions, I mean, your revenue has grown faster organically year-over-year than that segment of your closest competitor in six of the last seven quarters. I think gross margins there are now at the highest level they've been in a couple of years. Mike, you talked about some of the metrics and the growth in certain categories that are helping to drive those good results. Maybe you can help us size what percentage some of those categories are, like security, flash-based storage, and cloud, and then maybe how much exposure you still maybe have to some of the areas like disk-based storage that are seeing some more pressure.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Yeah, yeah, sure. It's been interesting, and we've exposed some of this in the past. But on a billing basis, our software is now around 40% of the company. Services are up to about 15%. So you've seen steady growth in services over the last few years. Networking's approximately 5%. Storage is approximately 25%, and that includes rotating and solid-state in that number. So that'll give you sort of a view of where we are. And you know what's even interesting is that given the fact that we've done solutions, our industry standard servers were up 10%. Proprietary was up about 5%. So while others are seeing declines, I think most of the cloud activity and the software activity we've seen has created some pull-through for us that's been beneficial. And the truth is, whether anybody calls it or not, cloud activity creates hardware, and it creates hardware sales.
There's roughly several parts of the market, those that our suppliers call on, which are at the very high end, and the market that is left for the channel to participate. Not all clouds are created equal. We still believe that we're in the proprietary cloud. We believe that we can operate in any cloud environment. So far, I think our numbers that we're putting up around that are suggesting that that would be true. I guess that pretty much should square away all the mixed problems or mixed questions you have today.
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
That's very helpful. Follow-up on the component segment and margins being down about 20 basis points year-over-year. I think maybe some of that's mixed with Asia-Pac revenue increasing year-over-year as a percentage of sales. And then, Paul, you mentioned some investments you're making to add more sales and engineering resources. Is that all of the reason that components' margins are down a bit year-over-year, or are there other things like pricing or supplier consolidation that's maybe having some impact?
Paul Reilly (EVP of Finance and Operations and CFO)
Mark, you sized it up the right way. The impact of the ATM acquisition, as well as the increase in mix, which we think is actually a very positive thing for us as we go forward in the fastest-growing region in the world, as well as the investments we're making. And we'll catch up in the second half of the year when we get the full run rate on the expense reductions we talked about last year. We're making good progress on that. I'm confident we'll be able to close the gap as we go forward.
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
Thank you very much.
Moderator (participant)
Your next question comes from the line of Steven Fox. Please proceed.
Steven Fox (Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst)
Hi. Good afternoon. Can you hear me okay?
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Yeah. You're a little light, but I think we can make it out, Steve. Thanks.
Steven Fox (Managing Director and Senior Equity Analyst)
Okay. So I'll speak up. But first of all, congratulations to Paul. And then in terms of just going forward, looking at two key metrics, margins and cash flows, how close, if we look at LTM cash flows, for example, how close do you think forward cash flows will be to the last 12 months, and what could be the differences going forward? And then secondly, you mentioned margin expansion. In the context of everything that you've been doing with the sales force and adding customers, can you describe maybe what the net drag is versus the net gains are there that could help margins in the second half of the year? Thanks.
Paul Reilly (EVP of Finance and Operations and CFO)
Sure. Let me take the cash flow question first, Steve. So when I look at it, remember that we have a target, a stated target, to convert GAAP net income into 70% cash flow from operations. We've far exceeded that because of progress we've made both from a profitability standpoint and from managing working capital better than we ever thought we could. It's hard to call what's going to happen in the next three or four quarters, but I do know that we're going to make more progress in cash flow as we further roll out the Unity tool here in the United States and then really have a global view into inventory. So I'm looking more long-term than the short-term around cash flow. We'll continue to make improvement there.
I don't know if the next 12 months we'll have an $860 million number, but I will know is that the progress we're making managing the balance sheet, working capital, the profitability increase we're driving means we're going to have very strong cash flow as we go forward. Then on the operating margin, it's hard to really track, Steve, how much this addition made and how much that addition made. For me, what I look at is individually by each of the regions, and I look at the pace by which we're outgrowing the market, and it's on both sides of the house, whether it's the ECS business or whether it's the components business. But I feel good about our opportunities to go forward to drive the operating income margin up in both segments of the business. So it's hard to quantify a drag per se.
We can quantify impact of acquisition with ATM or the mix change, but to get down to a customer level, it's really tough to track. The bottom line is we're up in operating income dollars year-over-year and in net income. But I think that's proof to the pudding that we are making the right investments.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Steve, maybe I can help you think about it though in terms of maybe at a higher level. If you take all the salespeople that we bring in and that we've hired, they come in with a base income and then an incentive. And as they start to produce for us, they start to move to a variable incentive cost from what is really a fixed cost basis in the beginning. And we're starting to see the early signs of that now.
So what ends up happening is our costs become lower as those salespeople become more productive. And as we've been adding them all along, we've known this, and the same really trends for engineers. So our costs have really been the last few quarters, which has been an upfront cost. And I think we're just now starting to realize where we're seeing added customers and sales come in where that sales force gets productive. So hopefully that gives you an idea of how that works. And you're right, it's hard to quantify because we might have brought in 100 this month and 75 last month, and it's hard to really quantify that cost until they get out there and start run rating.
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
No, that's very helpful. I appreciate that, and I look forward to seeing Paul at a Mets game in the future. Thanks.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Yep.
Moderator (participant)
Your next question comes from the line of Param Singh. Please proceed.
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
Hi. Thank you, Mike Long, for taking my question. So firstly, on the ECS side, some of the analysts have talked about the cloud taking a share away from your traditional SMB customers and conversely also growing some cloud revenue. So how much of an offset is the negative impact to your $200 million right now, in your opinion? And can that drive away from traditional hardware sales and potentially some of the software attached? And also on the ECS side, your operating margin, you're on track to be ahead of your long-term target there. So I mean, would you think about investing more in salespeople there or potentially taking up your target for that segment? And then I had a follow-up.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Yeah. In terms of the investments, I'll address that. The answer is yes. We are investing. We are investing what we think is at an appropriate pace in the computer business today. Certainly, we have investments that will be ongoing around cloud. I think that's been an important area for us. We're still investing on the storage transition that is coming into play, and we've been putting effort into that for some time. We're investing in the networking side of our business. We continue to invest in the software side. So we have really investments around that total solution cell that we've talked about. In terms of some of the specificity that you're looking for, I'm going to let Sean take that one.
Sean Kerins (President of Global Enterprise Computing Solutions)
Thanks, Param. People sometimes pose this question around cloud as a threat, and actually, we really see it as an opportunity.
And what I mean by that is think about where we play, which is substantially in the enterprise data center. And those environments are pretty complex. The applications and workloads associated with them are pretty sophisticated and highly integrated. And the truth is, we don't see that they lend themselves to disruption easily from the public cloud model, certainly not as easily as some might suggest. What I actually see happening in the enterprise is a migration to what I'd call the hybrid cloud adoption model or a hybrid cloud selling motion. So let me give you an example of what that means. We sell a whole lot of storage infrastructure on-premise. Imagine that now we also get to attach backup and recovery solutions as a service from third-party cloud providers to that on-premise environment.
We also get to sell a whole lot of security and a whole lot of security firewalls. Imagine now that we get the chance to attach a threat detection solution as a service to those on-premise environments, coincident with a security solution. Now we're leveraging that great big install base that we helped build. Now we're actually bringing multiple vendors together to form a single solution, and now we're actually participating in the market for hybrid cloud. So I think that's where we're headed, and we'll continue to build our line card to represent the install base we serve. You saw the Microsoft announcement yesterday. That's just yet another proof point. And I think we're starting to find some traction in the hybrid cloud model, and I don't fear disruption from the public cloud players.
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
In that vein, have you seen your software attach or services attach increase for your ECS segment, and how has that trended over the past few years?
Sean Kerins (President of Global Enterprise Computing Solutions)
Yes, we have, Param. And you could think about a portion of our services as really being a function of our installed base. So as our hardware footprint continues to grow, we get to participate in the maintenance contract renewals associated with it. And at the same time, as software becomes a much bigger piece of our portfolio, that also brings about either a perpetual license renewal or, increasingly of late, a subscription-based SaaS opportunity, which also has an annuity effect to it. So I think the growth and the breadth of our installed base bodes well for our services mix over time.
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
Got it. And then for my follow-up, your book-to-bill was 1.07 for the quarter. Your design activity is up 60%, like you said, year-over-year. Why are you only guiding seasonal on the components business? Is just some conservatism built into your projection there, or is there something else there that we're missing?
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
I would have to ask you, what was your guidance? And was there conservatism built into that, or did you think that was a stretch for us? Because I think, in all seriousness, we saw the average increases in our sales, which was good. But in order to really kick that up, we would have probably wanted to be around a 1.1 book-to-bill. What's interesting is, I think in the first three weeks of this quarter, we're at a 1.13 book-to-bill. So if you would project out, and if those bookings were to hold, which I would say is very good for this time in the quarter and very good for this time of year, you would expect a good start in the second half based off of that. So I think there's a good number that we've put out there for the quarter.
It's one that we're confident in. And again, if these bookings hold at the rate they are right now, I would expect that to increase going into the second half. And that's sort of what you do as you live with the prior quarter bookings and maybe even four months ahead. So does that help?
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
Yeah, absolutely. Thanks a lot.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Yeah.
Shawn Harrison (VP and Senior Research Analyst)
Paul, good luck on your retirement.
Paul Reilly (EVP of Finance and Operations and CFO)
Thank you.
Moderator (participant)
Your next question comes from the line of Matt Sheerin. Please proceed.
Matt Sheerin (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Yes, thanks. Just a couple for me. Just regarding your commentary on the Asia component business and the strength that you're seeing in the smaller OEM, the local OEM customers there, is that a function of share gains? Because I know, obviously, there's some economic concerns for China, but it sounds like you're either taking share or you're seeing growth in some of those end markets there.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Matt, this is Mike. The biggest gains we are seeing, we believe, are share gains in China. Primarily, China is where we're seeing the uptick in the small to medium business accounts. Andy has put more engineers and more salespeople there, and we're starting to see some of the benefits of that. What's interesting is the transportation piece and the wireless piece of our business continue to grow. We're seeing some of the old stalwarts of lighting and industrial power waning a hair. But as we said, we added 600 new accounts, which is a very large number of net accounts to add over the course of the year. And we think that we're going to see some pretty good benefit to that. Andy, you want to add some more around the market share piece or?
Andy King (President of Global Components)
No, I think you hit it straight on, Mike. I think it's pretty much market share. We've invested primarily in sales and engineering resources to go precisely after that local indigenous small, medium-sized customer base. And we're seeing that pay off in terms of customer count. We're seeing that pay off in terms of design registrations, and we're seeing that pay off in terms of sales and market share. So I think it is exactly what you described, Matt.
Matt Sheerin (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Okay. And then on just the wireless piece of the business, is that focused on local Chinese players? Is that smartphones? Is that other product areas?
Andy King (President of Global Components)
Yeah. I mean, it's across the portfolio. It's no longer just talking about mobile anymore, Matt. We're talking about wireless products going out into the mass industrial base. Pretty much every device that's getting designed these days has a connected solution around it, and they need wireless connectivity, and we're helping them do that work.
Matt Sheerin (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Okay. And just lastly, regarding your ERP implementation, the Unity, how's that going? What's left there, and when do you expect that to play out?
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Yeah, sure, Matt. So from our side, we're still in the process of planning the timing around North America. You know that we've already rolled out in Asia and Europe, and those have been very successful without any significant disruption to customers and suppliers. So we've taken a very risk-averse approach to it, and we'll continue to be risk-averse as we go forward. We'll probably have more information as we move forward through the rest of 2016.
Matt Sheerin (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)
Okay. Thanks a lot.
Moderator (participant)
Your next question comes from the line of Brian Alexander. Please proceed.
Jim Suva (Senior VP of Finance, Treasurer, and Investor Relations)
Okay. Thanks. Let me also congratulate Paul on retirement and Chris on his promotion. Paul, I wanted to revisit the comments about second-half operating leverage. Can you just clarify whether you're expecting operating margins to expand in the second half, given your comments about improved productivity, but also considering that margins look like they're going to be down in the first half? And if you do expect them to expand, any sense of magnitude and whether you would expect to see margins up in both segments? Right now, they're up in computing, but down in components. Thanks.
Paul Reilly (EVP of Finance and Operations and CFO)
Yeah. Thank you, Brian. Yeah, I apologize for the confusion. I was really referencing the increase in the Global Components business. I was not expecting any type of gross margin change. In fact, what I was really referencing was our expense program that we had talked about last year. We're making good progress. I expect this will be a full run rate as we enter the third quarter, and we'll start to see the benefits of that. So that's really what I was referring to around margin expansion. With that said also, let's keep in mind that the leverage we get in the business should also drive margin expansion as we've had a couple of three quarters now in a row where our Global Components business has outgrown the market.
Jim Suva (Senior VP of Finance, Treasurer, and Investor Relations)
So do you think this will be enough to get the components business to that 5% hurdle that I know you've been striving to achieve for this year?
Paul Reilly (EVP of Finance and Operations and CFO)
Well, if we did some pro forma calculations on Q1, we'd be right there. So the answer for me would be that, yeah, we'll be closing that gap, and we expect to get there.
Jim Suva (Senior VP of Finance, Treasurer, and Investor Relations)
And then just lastly.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Finally, what's been interesting, just to maybe add on to Paul, is that the encouragement, I think, around this for us is that we've seen North America grow again. We went through a period of time that the North America market didn't grow, and we've been able to offset that now. And as we can get North America and Europe to grow, it sort of offsets some of the pressures that Asia puts on us. And you can imagine a 10% swing by any of those regions over a quarter does have an impact on your mix. And that's what we do watch. But the fact that we're seeing the backlogs in North America up, that we're seeing our design wins in North America up, that we're seeing our bookings up in North America, I think we have a pretty good confidence that this will play out.
What we won't do, and what you've obviously seen by the performance this quarter, is we're not going to cut future investments around the cloud or digital or software or IoT to achieve that 5%. We fully expect to do that through growth and the external market. So I just want to just reassure you that while it would be easy to cut out any or one of those programs and be above the 5% level, that's not what we're going to do here.
Jim Suva (Senior VP of Finance, Treasurer, and Investor Relations)
Okay. Thanks, Mike. And just a quick one follow-up for Paul on capital allocation. Any particular reason for the small buyback in the quarter in terms of whether you were prohibited in any way from buying back more stock, or were you blacked out in any way, or was this just a conscious decision to keep some dry powder?
Paul Reilly (EVP of Finance and Operations and CFO)
Thanks for that question too, Brian. The reality is that we know we have a very short window where we can do open market buying, and then we have to put in a 10b5-1. If we go back to the timing of our fourth quarter earnings release, we were debating the target setting for the 10b5-1 in mid to late February. You may recall, during that point in time, there was a lot of volatility in the stock market, as many investors were asking us about the threat of a potential recession in the United States. So we probably were a bit more cautious because of the economic backdrop, what people were asking us, and the volatility. We put the 10b5-1 plan in place as the window closed in late February.
I would say sentiment obviously changed from an investor point of view, and I think some of it in the short-term economic data tightened up in the month of March. So it was more around trying to conform to the requirements of the window and putting our best foot forward around the volatility. And that's the only reason why I would fully expect us to be active in the buyback program as we go throughout the rest of this year.
Jim Suva (Senior VP of Finance, Treasurer, and Investor Relations)
Okay. Great. Thank you, and congrats again.
Mike Long (Chairman, President, and CEO)
Thanks very much, Brian.
Moderator (participant)
Your next question comes from the line of Jim Suva. Please proceed.
Jim Suva (Senior VP of Finance, Treasurer, and Investor Relations)
Thank you. Congratulations on your results, and especially to Paul. You're going to be greatly missed. A question for Paul, and then probably the other ones for Mike and Chris. Paul, I think in your press announcement, you talked about two acquisitions. Can you quantify the impact of those in your June quarter guidance? I assume they'll be closed, if not already closed by now, that they have some type of impact on the sales and EPS. And then maybe for Chris and Mike, just to clarify, when you guys talked about the operating improvements in the second half, are you referring to kind of off the March and June quarter, or are you referring to year-over-year operating margin improvements or SG&A leverage? I'm trying to get the baseline of what the reference point is when you talk about operating margins improvements in the second half of the year.
Thank you.
Paul Reilly (EVP of Finance and Operations and CFO)
Sure, Jim. So the two acquisitions we did were a modest compared to Arrow Electronics, Inc. The run rate for those two acquisitions is probably about $50 million for Q2 and a nominal impact of maybe a penny or so on earnings per share. I think the run rate question really is that we'll continue to close the gap on the targets that we've set, and we'll see that uplift in the second half of the year. And yes, for sure, we'll see uplift year-over-year in our operating margins, or that's our expectations anyway as we go forward.
Jim Suva (Senior VP of Finance, Treasurer, and Investor Relations)
Great. And as a clarification, Paul, that $50 million in Q1 impact, was that quarterly or annually, just so we don't build in too aggressive or too slow?
Paul Reilly (EVP of Finance and Operations and CFO)
Sorry, Jim. I wasn't clear enough. That will be the impact on Q2.
Jim Suva (Senior VP of Finance, Treasurer, and Investor Relations)
Great. Thank you. And again, congratulations to you and your team. And Chris, you've got some big shoes to fill, and Paul, you'll be greatly missed.
Paul Reilly (EVP of Finance and Operations and CFO)
Thanks.
Moderator (participant)
There are no further questions in the queue. I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Steve O'Brien.
Steve O'Brien (VP of Investor Relations)
Thanks, Santita. In closing, I will review Arrow's safe harbor statement. Some of the comments made on today's call may include forward-looking statements, including statements addressing future financial results. These statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or facts to differ materially from such statements for a variety of reasons. Detailed information about these risks is included in Arrow's SEC filings. If you have any questions about the information presented today, feel free to contact me. Thank you for your interest in Arrow Electronics, and have a nice day.
Moderator (participant)
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the presentation. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.