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    Amer Sports Inc (AS)

    Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Feb 18, 2025 (Before Market Open)
    Pre-Earnings Price$19.54Last close (Nov 18, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$20.10Open (Nov 19, 2024)
    Price Change
    $0.56(+2.87%)
    • Arc'teryx is exceeding expectations across all regions, channels, and product categories, showcasing strong momentum and high full-price sell-throughs, particularly in North America. The brand's footwear sales penetration increased from 6% to 10% since launching new models in March 2024, with midterm goals to reach 20% of revenues from footwear in the coming years. Additionally, the women's category grew over 50% in Q3 2024, indicating significant upside potential. , ,
    • Strong growth in the Chinese market presents significant opportunities for Amer Sports. The sports industry in China is estimated to grow at a high single-digit rate, with the outdoor segment outpacing the industry average. Consumers, especially in Tier 1 and Tier 2 cities, are increasingly incorporating outdoor activities into their lifestyle, benefiting brands like Arc'teryx and Salomon. Amer Sports' China business was the second fastest-growing region in Q3 2024. ,
    • Expansion of retail footprint and wholesale channels is driving growth. Amer Sports opened net 30 new Arc'teryx stores in 2024, with plans to continue a similar run rate in 2025. The new flagship store at 580 Broadway in Soho, Manhattan represents an evolution in retail experience. Salomon is also expanding its presence in North America with pop-up shops and plans for permanent stores, aiming to capitalize on the strong potential for Salomon footwear in the U.S. market. , ,
    • The company is not achieving SG&A leverage, with SG&A expenses expected to remain flat as a percentage of revenue in 2025 despite revenue growth, indicating that operating expenses are growing at the same pace as revenues and may impact profitability.
    • High capital expenditures of approximately $300 million in 2024, focusing on store build-outs and ERP implementation, are planned to continue at similar levels in 2025, potentially straining cash flows and increasing the risk if projected returns do not materialize.
    • Significant debt levels leading to high net finance costs, expected to be $180 million to $190 million in 2025, along with a high effective tax rate of 37%, may weigh on net income and limit the company's ability to generate free cash flow and reduce debt.
    1. Capital Allocation Priorities
      Q: How will you allocate capital and use free cash flow?
      A: Andrew explained that they are focusing on growing the business by opening about 30 new Arc’teryx stores this year and expect a similar run rate next year. They anticipate capital expenditures approaching $300 million in 2024, focusing on store build-out and ERP system implementation. In 2025, they will continue to invest in growth, manage debt carrying costs by swapping higher interest rate debt to lower rates, resulting in annual savings of almost $10 million next year. They expect free cash flow to increase next year over this year.

    2. Revenue Guidance and Potential Upside
      Q: Where do you see upside to next year's revenue guidance?
      A: Andrew stated they expect low to mid-teens revenue growth next year, consistent with this year. As demand materializes, they can service it and potentially outperform guidance. Stuart added they are excited about opportunities across regions, especially in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific, with strong momentum in China. They see potential in footwear, women's, and core men's outdoor business, with new products in the pipeline that could create upside in the future.

    3. Gross Margin and SG&A Outlook
      Q: How should we think about SG&A relative to sales next year?
      A: Andrew mentioned they are extremely pleased with continued gross margin expansion. In 2025, they expect SG&A to be flat leverage to this year. They plan to invest in new Arc’teryx stores, Salomon stores in China, and Wilson stores in China and APAC. They are also investing in talent acquisition, retention, and technology to drive sustainable growth. They remain consistent with plans to begin leveraging the business post-2025 into 2026.

    4. Tax Rate Outlook
      Q: How will your tax rate change over time?
      A: Andrew highlighted that they are exiting 2024 with a 50% effective tax rate. Next year, the rate is more than 1,000 basis points better than their exit rate, meaning it will decrease by over 10 percentage points. They have reduced nondeductible interest and settled outstanding tax constraints. Going forward, they expect the tax rate to continue coming down to a more normalized rate in the near future.

    5. Footwear Expansion and Wholesale
      Q: What is the footwear opportunity and plans for wholesale expansion?
      A: Stuart discussed plans to expand their footwear business, including through wholesale channels. Footwear penetration increased from 6% to 10% since launching new models in March. Their midterm goal is for footwear to reach 20% of revenues in the coming years. They believe wholesale is critical for building brand awareness and meeting customer shopping preferences.

    6. Performance Across Regions
      Q: How did Arc’teryx perform across regions in Q3?
      A: Stuart reported they exceeded expectations in every region, channel, and product category. The APAC business, led by Japan, had the highest growth rate. China was the second fastest-growing region, followed by North America and Europe. They saw high full-price sell-throughs, especially in North America, and reduced off-price selling. Their two-year stacked comp was 88%, and they could have had higher comps with more inventory.

    7. China Market Growth
      Q: What's happening with Chinese consumers and opportunities in the region?
      A: Jie Zheng noted that the sports segment is booming in China, with an estimated high single-digit growth in the sports industry this year. The outdoor segment is growing more than the industry average. More consumers in Tier 1 and Tier 2 cities are embracing outdoor activities as part of their lifestyle. This presents a good opportunity for them, especially for Arc’teryx and Salomon.

    8. Salomon's New Leadership
      Q: What does Gillam's promotion mean for Salomon's future?
      A: Jie Zheng highlighted that Guiyang has over 28 years of experience with Salomon. He has a strong track record in sales, product innovation, and operational excellence. He built the modern outdoor sneakers category, achieving tremendous success in the past 5 years. The future strategy focuses on accelerating footwear globally, winning in Europe, building a strong footprint, and leveraging digital platforms.

    9. Salomon Footwear in North America
      Q: How are you growing Salomon footwear in North America?
      A: Jie Zheng stated they are in the preliminary stages of expanding Salomon footwear in the U.S.. They opened a pop-up shop in New York City on October 2, which performed extremely well in the first month. They plan to roll out similar footwear concept shops next year. They are building partnerships with key accounts and retailers to enhance product assortment and merchandising. They are also working on community strategies to build brand awareness.