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AN

AMES NATIONAL CORP (ATLO)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 EPS was $0.39 and net income was $3.5M, up 62% YoY on higher loan interest income and a credit loss benefit; net interest margin expanded to 2.38% (vs. 2.15% in Q4 2023 and 2.21% in Q3 2024) .
  • Management guided FY2025 EPS to $1.72–$1.82, citing margin tailwinds from repricing lower-yielding investments and loans; share repurchases continued into January and a $0.20 dividend was declared in November 2024 .
  • Efficiency improved sequentially in Q4 (71.47% vs. 77.87% in Q3), while noninterest expense rose 5% YoY on salaries/benefits; substandard and substandard-impaired loans increased YoY on commercial real estate softness .
  • Consensus estimates (EPS and revenue) from S&P Global were unavailable at time of writing due to request limits; results cannot be benchmarked vs. street for Q4 2024.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Net interest income grew 10.5% YoY to $12.1M and net interest margin expanded to 2.38%, driven by higher loan yields and portfolio growth; deposits repriced but were offset by investment maturities funding lower-cost balance sheet actions .
  • Credit loss swung to a benefit of ($130)K vs. a $755K expense YoY, reflecting reductions in specific reserves and lower off-balance-sheet exposures; net charge-offs were $447K vs. $36K YoY .
  • Management tone on 2025 earnings: “The Company is forecasting earnings for the year ending December 31, 2025 in the range of $1.72 to $1.82 per share… primarily due to an improved net interest margin as lower yielding investments and loans are expected to reprice at higher market rates.” .

What Went Wrong

  • Substandard loans rose to $35.5M from $18.4M YoY, with substandard-impaired at $14.2M vs. $13.2M, driven by weakening in commercial real estate occupancy and collateral values .
  • Noninterest expense increased 5.2% YoY to $10.5M on higher salaries/benefits; efficiency ratio, while improved vs. Q3, remained elevated relative to year-ago levels .
  • Deposit mix continued shifting to higher-rate products, lifting deposit interest expense by $0.7M YoY and sustaining funding cost pressure despite reductions in other borrowings .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
EPS ($)$0.24 $0.25 $0.39
Net Income ($000)$2,139 $2,217 $3,513
Total Interest & Dividend Income ($000)$19,856 $20,712 $21,249
Net Interest Income ($000)$10,965 $11,077 $12,121
Noninterest Income ($000)$2,286 $2,413 $2,628
Total Noninterest Expense ($000)$10,017 $10,505 $10,541
Net Interest Margin (%)2.15% 2.21% 2.38%
Efficiency Ratio (%)75.59% 77.87% 71.47%
Income Tax Expense ($000)$340 $397 $825
Effective Tax Rate (%)14% 15% 19%

KPIs and Balance Sheet Indicators

KPIQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Loans Receivable, Net ($000)$1,277,812 $1,295,773 $1,303,917
Deposits ($000)$1,811,831 $1,801,721 $1,846,682
Other Borrowings ($000)$110,588 $83,101 $46,952
Substandard Loans ($000)$18,400 $—$35,500
Substandard-Impaired Loans ($000)$13,200 $—$14,200
Net Loan Charge-offs ($000, quarter)$36 $10 $447

Notes:

  • Substandard/Impaired loans are presented as year-end snapshot metrics (no Q3 presentation in Q4 press release) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
EPS ($)FY 2025N/A$1.72–$1.82Initiated
Net Interest MarginFY 2025N/A“Improved” expected from repricing lower-yield assetsDirectional improvement
Dividend ($/share)Q4 2024N/A$0.20 declared Nov 13, 2024; payable Feb 14, 2025Announced
Dividend Schedule2025Previously: declare in one quarter, pay nextExpect declaring and paying in same quarter; intend to defer decision on declaring Q2 2025 dividendSchedule changed; Q2 decision deferred
Share RepurchaseQ4 2024–Jan 2025Program capacity 100,000 sharesRepurchased 43,057 shares in Q4 (avg $16.35); 33,553 shares Jan 1–24 (avg $16.41); 23,390 remainingActive; remaining capacity

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No earnings call transcript was found for Q4 2024. Themes below are synthesized from the Q2/Q3 10-Qs and Q4 press release.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Funding Costs & Deposit MixHigher deposit and borrowing costs; shift to time deposits/public funds Continued shift to higher-rate deposit products Deposit interest expense +$0.7M YoY; mix shift persists Ongoing cost pressure
Net Interest Margin (NIM)NIM 2.14% (FTE); loan yields rising NIM 2.21% (FTE) NIM 2.38%; guidance for further improvement Improving
Credit Losses & Asset QualityCredit loss expense $182K; CRE risk factor increased; substandard-impaired down vs. YE23 Credit loss expense $371K; specific reserves on commercial portfolio Credit loss benefit ($130K); net charge-offs $447K; substandard loans up on CRE softness Mixed: benefit in Q4, CRE risk rising
Borrowings & LiquidityBTFP $37.75M; FHLB $45M; liquidity satisfactory Other borrowings $83.1M; capacity intact Other borrowings cut to $46.95M; investments used to reduce borrowings Deleveraging
Wealth Management IncomeIncreased estate fees Stable/increasing Up 15% YoY on AUM growth/new relationships Positive

Management Commentary

  • “The increase in earnings for the fourth quarter of 2024 is primarily due to an increase in loan interest income and lower credit loss expense.”
  • “Proceeds from maturing lower yielding investments have also been used to pay down higher cost borrowing and fund loan growth.”
  • “The Company is forecasting earnings for the year ending December 31, 2025 in the range of $1.72 to $1.82 per share… primarily due to an improved net interest margin as lower yielding investments and loans are expected to reprice at higher market rates.”

Q&A Highlights

No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available; therefore, no Q&A themes or clarifications could be extracted.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue (S&P Global Capital IQ) for Q4 2024 were unavailable due to request limits at time of analysis. As a result, we cannot determine a beat/miss versus consensus for EPS or revenue for this quarter.
  • Expect estimate revisions to reflect: (1) stronger-than-expected margin expansion in Q4 and management’s FY2025 EPS range ($1.72–$1.82), and (2) CRE risk disclosures and rising substandard balances potentially tempering credit-cost assumptions .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin expansion is taking hold: NIM reached 2.38% and management expects further improvement as lower-yield assets reprice; this is a key near-term earnings driver .
  • Credit quality requires monitoring: Substandard and substandard-impaired loans increased YoY on CRE softness (occupancy and collateral valuations); watch for provisioning trends and charge-offs in 2025 .
  • Funding costs remain a headwind: Deposit mix continues shifting to higher-rate products; while other borrowings fell, deposit repricing will influence NIM trajectory .
  • Capital returns in focus: Active share repurchases (76,610 shares cumulatively through Jan 24, 2025) and a $0.20 quarterly dividend provide support; note the change to declare/pay in same quarter and Q2 2025 dividend decision deferral .
  • Efficiency improved sequentially; continued expense discipline (post consultant fees in 2024) could enhance operating leverage if margin tailwinds persist .
  • Wealth management momentum (AUM growth/new relationships) is adding to diversified fee income and partially offsets rate-driven net interest dynamics .
  • Near-term trading implications: Positive sentiment from FY2025 EPS range and NIM guidance, tempered by CRE risk disclosures; absence of consensus benchmarking limits immediate beat/miss narratives .