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Avidbank Holdings, Inc. (AVBH)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Reported GAAP net loss of $37.7M (−$4.12 diluted EPS) driven by a strategic $62.4M loss on sale of AFS securities to reposition the portfolio; adjusted net income was $6.7M ($0.72 adjusted diluted EPS) .
- Core profitability improved: net interest margin expanded to 3.90% (from 3.60% in Q2; 3.35% in Q3’24) on lower funding costs, higher DDA mix, and AFS portfolio repositioning .
- Balance sheet strengthened by August IPO (net proceeds $61.3M) and repayment of all short-term borrowings; total risk-based capital rose to 13.48% (11.7% Tier 1) .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, Primary EPS came in below ($0.72 actual vs $0.76 est.) and “Revenue” missed materially due to the one-time securities loss (−$39.6M actual vs $23.8M est.)—setting up cleaner, higher-margin run-rate into Q4 as reinvestment benefits fully flow through . Primary EPS and Revenue estimates from S&P Global: see Estimates Context.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Net interest margin expansion to 3.90% (+30 bps Q/Q; +55 bps Y/Y) on lower funding costs, higher average noninterest-bearing DDA, reduced short-term borrowings, and sale of low-yielding securities .
- Capital and funding de-risking: paid off all short-term borrowings; TRBC 13.48%, CET1 11.68%; available contingent liquidity of ~$1.7B illustrated in the investor deck .
- Constructive tone on forward NIM: management said margin should be “well over 4%” post-restructure, with 48% floating-rate loans and floors limiting downside as rates fall (though not one-for-one) .
Key quote: “We saw immediate benefits from this repositioning, with our margin expanding to 3.90%… The fourth quarter will include the full impact… leading to further improvements in profitability.” — CFO Patrick Oakes .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP P&L dominated by $62.4M realized loss on securities sale (AFS repositioning), driving noninterest income to −$60.9M and a GAAP net loss of $37.7M .
- Provision for credit losses increased to $1.4M (vs $0.9M in Q2), partly due to one new nonaccrual loan; NPLs rose to 0.14% of loans (still low) .
- Expense uptick to $13.5M on higher compensation, IPO-related costs (~$0.3M), and lower capitalized loan origination costs (run-rate low $13Ms ex-IPO) .
Financial Results
P&L and Profitability (oldest → newest)
Estimates vs Actuals (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Drivers (Q/Q and Y/Y)
- NIM +30 bps Q/Q, +55 bps Y/Y; loan yields −3 bps Q/Q to 6.98% on lower prime, while funding costs −9 bps Q/Q; cost of deposits 2.67% (−11 bps Q/Q) .
- Noninterest income reflected the one-time −$62.4M AFS loss; excluding this item, adjusted EPS was $0.72 .
Segment/KPI Details
- Loan Yields & Funding Costs (Quarterly): Loan yield 6.98% (Q3) vs 7.01% (Q2); cost of interest-bearing deposits 3.50% (Q3) vs 3.54% (Q2); total deposit cost 2.67% (Q3) vs 2.78% (Q2) .
- Asset Quality: NPA/Assets 0.12% (Q3) vs 0.06% (Q2); NPL/Loans 0.14%; ACL (loans+unfunded)/Loans 1.19% .
- Capital: TRBC 13.48%, CET1 11.68%, Tier 1 11.68%, leverage 11.10% (Q3) .
Loan Portfolio Breakdown (End of Period)
Guidance Changes
No formal numerical guidance ranges were issued; management provided directional commentary on margin trajectory, securities portfolio, and expense run-rate .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “The third quarter of 2025 was pivotal… we completed our successful IPO which enabled us to reposition our securities portfolio… [which] should significantly enhance our future profitability.” — CEO Mark D. Mordell .
- “We saw immediate benefits… margin expanding to 3.90%… Q4 will include the full impact… leading to further improvements in profitability.” — CFO Patrick Oakes .
- “It obviously should go well over 4% [margin]… 4.10% plus… depending on how things shake out.” — CEO (on NIM) .
- “We fully repaid all short-term borrowings… capital ratio has improved meaningfully… total risk-based capital rising to 13.48%.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin forward path: management indicates “well over 4%,” with September and Q4 run-rate supportive post-restructure .
- Asset sensitivity and loan floors: ~48% floating; more balances hit floors with incremental cuts; benefit not strictly one-for-one as some floors may be renegotiated .
- Deposit costs/beta: targeting ~50–60% beta through next cuts; Q3 total deposit cost down to 2.67% .
- Growth pipelines: strongest in fund finance, CRE, sponsor/ABL; construction loan payoffs were heavy YTD but should moderate .
- Expense run-rate: ex one-time IPO costs, low $13Ms expected near-term .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 EPS vs S&P Global: $0.72 actual vs $0.76 consensus; modest miss as Street often focuses on “Primary/adjusted EPS”; GAAP EPS was −$4.12 due to $62.4M AFS loss .
- Q3 2025 Revenue vs S&P Global: ($39.56)M actual vs $23.79M consensus, reflecting the one-time realized loss on securities (noninterest income −$60.85M) .
- With AFS repositioning complete and borrowings repaid, Street estimates may need to raise forward NIM and core earnings run-rate assumptions while removing the Q3 charge from forward models .
Primary EPS and Revenue consensus/actual from S&P Global (see table above). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core earnings power improved: NIM 3.90% with management pointing to >4% ahead as full benefits of reinvestment flow through in Q4 .
- One-time P&L reset (−$62.4M AFS loss) de-risks the balance sheet and collapses AOCI volatility (AFS net unrealized loss improved to ~$0.7M at 9/30) .
- Funding mix better and cheaper: deposit cost down to 2.67%, average DDA up $57.7M Q/Q; no short-term borrowings outstanding at quarter-end .
- Capital materially stronger (TRBC 13.48%); capacity to grow targeted verticals (fund finance, CRE, sponsor/ABL) without wholesale funding reliance .
- Credit quality remains solid despite a small uptick (one venture NPA fully reserved); reserve coverage robust (ACL+unfunded 1.19%) .
- Near-term trading setup: results optically weak on GAAP but constructive for forward NIM/ROA; focus on Q4 margin progression, expense discipline, and loan/deposit pipeline conversion .
- Medium-term thesis: improved capital and funding, diversified engines (venture/specialty/CRE), and better AFS yields support sustainably higher core returns through the rate cycle .