BP
BridgeBio Pharma, Inc. (BBIO)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- BridgeBio delivered a strong Q3 2025: total revenue of $120.7M, driven by $108.1M U.S. Attruby net product revenue and incremental royalty/license contributions; revenue beat consensus materially, reflecting accelerating launch momentum in treatment‑naïve patients .
- EPS loss widened year over year given higher SG&A to support commercialization and noncash interest on deferred royalty obligations; however, Primary EPS was better than S&P Global consensus, and EBITDA tracked slightly better than expected (see Estimates Context) .
- Clinical catalysts were significant: CALIBRATE (encaleret in ADH1) met all primary/key secondary endpoints and FORTIFY (BBP‑418 in LGMD2I/R9) achieved robust biomarker and functional improvements; both programs target NDAs in 1H26 .
- Balance sheet remains solid with $645.9M cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities, funding Attruby commercialization and late-stage pipeline execution .
- Near-term stock narrative: dual Phase 3 wins and accelerating U.S. Attruby adoption versus consensus underpin beat; watch payer/formulary dynamics, combo-therapy use, and Q4 ramp as prescriber breadth grows .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Attruby commercial momentum: $108.1M U.S. net product revenue; 5,259 unique patient prescriptions by 1,355 prescribers as of Oct 25, underscoring strong treatment‑naïve uptake and growing prescriber base .
- Pipeline execution: CALIBRATE achieved 76% normalization of serum/urine calcium vs 4% on conventional therapy and 91% normalization of intact PTH; encaleret well tolerated, NDA planned 1H26 .
- LGMD2I/R9: FORTIFY interim analysis met all primary/secondary endpoints, with 1.8x αDG glycosylation increase (p<0.0001), 82% CK reduction (p<0.0001), and clinically meaningful gains in ambulation and pulmonary function .
- Quote (CEO): “We are now seeing that same success echoed in our pipeline with home‑run data in both ADH1 and LGMD2I/R9… we continue to advance one of the broadest and fastest‑moving portfolios in genetic medicine” .
What Went Wrong
- Profitability: GAAP net loss widened to $(182.7)M; net loss per share $(0.95) vs $(0.86) prior year; operating costs rose to $265.9M on SG&A investments for Attruby .
- Other income/expense: Total other expense increased to $(41.3)M, driven by noncash interest on deferred royalty obligations and lower gains on deconsolidation, pressuring EPS .
- R&D reprioritization: While total R&D declined Y/Y, the company noted program reprioritization; near‑term expense levels remain elevated to support commercialization and late-stage programs .
Financial Results
Core P&L – Actuals vs Prior Year and Prior Quarter
Q3 2025 Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus
Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Revenue Breakdown
Margins (company-level)
Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.
KPIs (Commercial)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on pipeline momentum: “We are now seeing that same success echoed in our pipeline with home‑run data in both ADH1 and LGMD2I/R9” .
- CEO on commercial goals: “We… are ever more confident today that we will achieve our goal of 30+% market share by volume in the years to come” .
- CCO on launch drivers: “Patients and physicians want a medication that works well and works fast, and Attruby continues to deliver on both efficacy and speed” .
- CFO on financial position: “We ended the third quarter with a strong cash position of $645.9 million… funding our transition into a diversified late-stage multi‑product business” .
- CEO on differentiation: Early separation and variant/arrhythmia subpopulation benefits; exploring cardiorenal axis and CMR outcomes .
Q&A Highlights
- Treatment‑naïve share rising: Management estimates naïve share “well in the 20s,” with combo therapy diluting pure switch dynamics; focus remains maximizing new patient capture .
- Diagnosis & buy‑and‑bill: Continued diagnosis momentum; buy‑and‑bill economics may limit high‑priced injectables in community cardiology; expect payer control to increase over time .
- Formulary and generics: No current payer discussions on Tafamidis generics; emphasis remains on access parity and clinical data to compete frontline .
- Ex‑US outlook: Bayer progressing toward leadership; U.S./EU revenue ratio expected to resemble Tafamidis over time, acknowledging pricing differences .
- Encaleret safety clarifications: Serious TEAEs tied to hypercalcemia were manageable; fewer discontinuations on drug vs SOC; robust efficacy supports “therapeutic cure” potential for many .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 results versus S&P Global consensus: Revenue $120.7M vs $106.1M*, a clear beat; Primary EPS $(0.72)* vs $(0.89), a beat; EBITDA $(135.0)M vs $(136.8)M*, slightly better than expected. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q4 2025 outlook: Consensus Revenue $147.6M*, Primary EPS $(0.67), EBITDA $(94.5)M; continued ramp implied as prescriber base expands and ex‑US royalties contribute. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Note: Company-reported GAAP net loss per share for Q3 2025 was $(0.95), which can differ from S&P’s Primary EPS normalization methodology .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue beat was powered by stronger‑than‑modeled U.S. Attruby adoption and higher ex‑US royalties; continued traction in treatment‑naïve segment supports Q4 ramp .
- Near‑term clinical catalysts de‑risk diversification: encaleret and BBP‑418 both moved to 1H26 NDA timelines after strong Phase 3 readouts; pediatric ADH1 and chronic hypopara trials start in 2026 .
- Watch margin trajectory: SG&A intensity remains high as launch scales; noncash royalty obligation interest is a persistent EPS headwind; operating leverage will hinge on U.S. volume growth .
- Competitive dynamic favors efficacy, speed, and access: management emphasizes early separation, variant and arrhythmia data, and white‑glove patient support to win first‑line share .
- Ex‑US remains a steady contributor via royalties; Bayer’s European execution adds credibility to global franchise while U.S. pricing/access advantage aids domestic share .
- Trading implications: Positive estimate revisions likely after revenue/EPS beats; pipeline wins are material upside optionality; monitor payer actions around combo therapy and any Tafamidis generic developments .
- Medium‑term thesis: Transition to multi‑medicine company with durable ATTR‑CM cash flows and additional rare disease launches; balance sheet supports execution through major 2026 milestones .
Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.