BB
BEST BUY CO INC (BBY)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 FY25 revenue was $9.45B and GAAP diluted EPS was $1.26; comparable sales declined 2.9% as demand in September–October was softer than expected due to macro uncertainty, deal-timing, and election distraction, while gross margin expanded 60 bps YoY on stronger services/memberships .
- Management cut FY25 revenue guidance to $41.1–$41.5B and comp sales to -2.5% to -3.5% but maintained non-GAAP operating income rate (4.1%–4.2%); Q4 comps guided flat to -3% and non-GAAP OI rate to 4.6%–4.8% .
- Versus external consensus from LSEG (non-SPGI), BBY modestly missed on revenue ($9.45B vs $9.63B) and adjusted EPS ($1.26 vs $1.29); shares fell ~5% on the day, with guidance reduction a key catalyst .
- Domestic categories mixed: computing/tablets grew (laptops +7%) while appliances, home theater and gaming declined; domestic online revenue was $2.73B and 31.4% of domestic sales .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Gross margin expanded to 23.5% (+60 bps YoY), driven by improved services/membership profitability; non-GAAP OI rate was in line despite softer sales .
- Computing and tablets posted +5.2% comps with laptops +7%, supported by merchandising, exclusives in AI-capable premium Windows SKUs, and strengthened store/digital experiences .
- Omnichannel execution: $2.7B online sales (31% of domestic revenue), ~45% of digital sales picked up in-store with rapid availability, enhancing fulfillment and customer experience .
Management quote: “In the third quarter, our teams delivered an in-line non-GAAP operating income rate on sales that were a little softer than expected…we have seen customer demand increase again [early Q4].” — Corie Barry, CEO .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line softness: enterprise comps -2.9% and domestic comps -2.8%; September/October demand troughs deeper than forecast amid macro uncertainty, deal-waiting, and election distraction .
- Category pressure: Appliances (-14.7% comps), consumer electronics (-5.8%), entertainment (-18.8%); promotional intensity needed to stimulate demand compressed product margins, partly offset by services .
- Guidance reduction: FY25 revenue and comp guidance lowered; tax rate trimmed; non-GAAP EPS range narrowed, signaling tempered expectations for the holiday quarter .
Financial Results
Headline Results vs Prior Quarters (Enterprise)
YoY Comparison (Q3 FY25 vs Q3 FY24)
Segment Breakdown (Q3 FY25)
KPIs and Mix (Q3 FY25)
Note on non-GAAP: Q3 FY25 non-GAAP diluted EPS equals GAAP due to minimal net adjustments (intangible amortization and restructuring nearly offset) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “A combination of the ongoing macro uncertainty, customers waiting for deals and sales events, and distraction during the run-up to the election…led to softer-than-expected demand.” — Corie Barry, CEO .
- “Our overall gross profit rate was better than expected, primarily driven by favorable product margins…SG&A dollars were slightly favorable…due to lower incentive compensation.” — Matt Bilunas, CFO .
- “We kicked off our Black Friday sale a week earlier…doorbusters…enterprise comps for the first three weeks of November are up approximately 5% over last year.” — Corie Barry, CEO .
- “Tariffs…we are the importer of record on only about 2%–3%…~50%–60% of our cost from China; Mexico second…costs typically shared among vendors, us, and customers.” — Corie Barry, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Q4 outlook: Despite +5% November-to-date comps, guidance accounts for shorter holiday season, calendar shifts, and deeper valleys between sales events; high end assumes continued strength in computing/services .
- Promotional strategy: Aggressive yet targeted price investments; inconsistent elasticity across periods; leveraging trade-in and digital certificates to spur demand .
- Membership retention: Paid members growing; retention exceeding internal expectations for Total/Plus (no precise rates disclosed) .
- Laptops/AI PCs: Laptops +7% comp; premium Windows AI PCs ~50% of assortment; replacement/upgrade cycle key driver ahead of Windows 10 EOL in Oct-2025 .
- Marketplace & Best Buy Express: US marketplace targeted for mid-next year; Best Buy Express EBIT neutral in FY25, expected improvement in FY26 .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus data was unavailable at time of analysis due to access limits; therefore comparisons to SPGI consensus cannot be provided.
- External media (LSEG via CNBC) reported expectations of $9.63B revenue and $1.29 adjusted EPS; BBY delivered $9.45B revenue and $1.26 adjusted EPS, implying modest misses on both .
- Non-GAAP EPS decreased 2% YoY ($1.26 vs $1.29) as credit card profit sharing and product margins pressured results, partially offset by higher services/membership profitability .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Gross margin resilience from services/membership continues to buffer promotional/product margin pressure; expect this tailwind to moderate as program changes are fully lapped .
- Near-term trading: Guidance reduction and holiday caution suggest elevated event risk; stock sensitivity to December demand valleys and tariff headlines remains high .
- Category rotation: Positioning into computing/AI-capable PCs and tablets looks favorable; appliances/home theater/gaming remain under pressure—watch mix shifts and pricing strategy .
- Fulfillment advantage: Rapid BOPIS and high pickup penetration support conversion and cost efficiency; continued omnichannel execution is a differentiator in a shorter holiday season .
- International/Marketplace optionality: Canadian Best Buy Express adds footprint with neutral near-term EBIT; US marketplace launch could extend assortment and ad monetization in FY26 .
- Capital return intact: Dividend ($0.94) maintained; ~$500M repurchase plan for FY25 supports TSR despite top-line headwinds .
- Risk monitor: Tariff exposure (China/Mexico) and inconsistent promotional elasticity could impact margins/price perception; management has mitigation levers but customer price sensitivity is high .