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BEL FUSE INC /NJ (BELFA)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered top-line and margin expansion: net sales $152.24M (+18.9% YoY), gross margin 38.6% (+110 bps), and Adjusted EBITDA $30.91M (20.3% of sales) . EPS outperformed Street: Primary EPS 1.28 vs 0.825 consensus; revenue beat $152.24M vs $147.93M consensus (small sample) (*Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Mix shift to defense/aerospace and emerging AI offset softer consumer, rail and e‑mobility; A&D represented 38% of sales; AI contributed $4.6M, both up double‑digit YoY .
- Q2 2025 outlook: net sales $145–$155M and gross margin 37–39%, explicitly trimmed by ~$8–$10M for potential China tariff impacts and lower intra‑quarter turns; management expects tariff clarity in Q2 and aims to pass exposures onward .
- Backlog rose 4% QoQ to $395.7M; cost actions, facility consolidations, FX tailwinds and Enercon integration supported margins and cash generation ($8.15M CFO) .
- Catalysts: tariff resolution and Q2 bookings, A&D/space momentum, AI customer ramps, networking/distribution recovery; risks: tariff persistence and commercial aerospace timing .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Defense/aerospace mix and AI strength: “We are pleased…benefitted from our increased exposure within the defense and commercial aerospace industries and strength in the emerging AI end market” . A&D was 38% of sales; AI revenue reached $4.6M (+double‑digit YoY) .
- Margin expansion and EBITDA: gross margin 38.6% (+110 bps YoY) on favorable mix, cost programs and FX; Adjusted EBITDA rose to $30.91M (20.3% of sales) .
- Backlog and operational execution: backlog increased to $395.7M (+4% QoQ); consolidations in China/Mexico and FX tailwinds improved segment margins (Connectivity +180 bps; Magnetics +870 bps YoY) .
What Went Wrong
- Tariffs created demand uncertainty and pushed out orders: Q2 guide reduced by ~$8–$10M to reflect China‑related tariff downside and softer intra‑quarter turns . Management expects to pass tariff exposures to customers but sees near‑term pauses .
- Segment softness: Connectivity sales -6.5% YoY (commercial air -12%); Networking down within Power in Q1, with recovery expected later in 2025 .
- Higher interest expense from Enercon financing: interest expense rose to $4.15M (vs $0.43M in Q1‑24), reflecting revolver borrowings for acquisition .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L and EPS
Notes: Non-GAAP definitions for Adjusted EBITDA and EPS were revised in Q4 2024 to exclude stock-based comp, amortization of intangibles, and unrealized FX; applied to all periods shown .
Actual vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Disclaimer: *Values retrieved from S&P Global. Primary EPS actual as reported by S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown (Sales and Gross Margin)
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and mix: “We are pleased with our first quarter results, which benefitted from our increased exposure within the defense and commercial aerospace industries and strength in the emerging AI end market” — Daniel Bernstein, CEO .
- Tariffs and guidance: “Approximately 75% of our global sales are not currently subject to the recent U.S. tariffs… GAAP net sales in Q2 are projected to be $145–$155M… modified downward to take into account approximately $8–10M of… potential downside impact from China‑related tariffs and a lower expected volume of intraquarter turns” — Farouq Tuweiq, CFO .
- Passing costs and resilience: “The bottom line is, we will be looking to pass all tariff exposures onward… we are better prepared… as we have built a more nimble and resilient organization… starting to move some products from China into our India operations mid to late last year” — Farouq Tuweiq .
- Enercon: “It is at a minimum as advertised, but it’s roughly ahead for us… excellent team, technology, alignment with customers… we see upside” — Farouq Tuweiq and Daniel Bernstein .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariff impact by segment: Connectivity largely unimpacted; ~60% of Power and ~60% of Magnetics not subject to U.S. tariffs; DR products subject to 10% currently .
- Connectivity decline drivers: Commercial air down 12% YoY; expected recovery as industry outputs ramp and union issues resolve .
- AI customer profile: Revenue largely to next‑gen GPU manufacturers (private, U.S.‑focused); Bel co‑develops with customers; base AI figure excludes indirect AI via networking .
- Manufacturing relocation and capacity: More at‑risk revenue shifting from China to India; customer audits/approvals required; India seen as friendly trade partner .
- Networking outlook: Down in Q1 within Power, bookings improving; recovery later in 2025 .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 revenue beat consensus ($152.24M vs $147.93M*); Primary EPS beat (1.28* vs 0.825*). Street may raise 2025 estimates for defense/space and AI contributions, offsetting connectivity/commercial air timing and tariff uncertainty (*Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Sample sizes were small (Revenue # of estimates = 5; EPS # of estimates = 2), suggesting limited coverage and potentially higher revision volatility (*Values retrieved from S&P Global).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix shift to A&D/space and AI is driving margin resilience and revenue growth; backlog and bookings indicate improving demand into 2H 2025 .
- Near‑term tariff uncertainty is the primary headwind; management is passing costs, diversifying sourcing (India), and expects Q2 to bear the brunt before clarity improves .
- Connectivity/commercial aerospace weakness looks transitory; management expects recovery as industry outputs ramp, which could re‑accelerate segment growth in H2 .
- Enercon integration is ahead of expectations and deepens exposure to structurally stronger defense programs, supporting multi‑year earnings quality .
- Margin levers (facility consolidations, FX tailwinds, procurement analytics) are sustaining ~20% EBITDA margins; watch sustainability if tariffs persist .
- Balance sheet: revolver at $280M and interest expense stepped up post‑Enercon; cash generation ($8.15M CFO) and planned debt paydown support deleveraging in Q2–Q3 .
- Trading setup: Q2 guide already embeds tariff downside; upside catalysts include tariff clarity, Q2/Q3 bookings, and AI/A&D ramps; downside risk is prolonged tariff uncertainty and commercial aerospace timing .