BI
BLACKLINE, INC. (BL)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered steady execution: Revenue $178.3M (+7.5% YoY), non-GAAP operating margin 21.4%, GAAP diluted EPS $0.09 and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.51; free cash flow reached $57.0M, a quarterly record .
- Results were slightly above Wall Street consensus: Revenue $178.29M vs $178.11M*, and non-GAAP EPS $0.51 vs $0.505*; estimates compiled from 13–14 analysts* [GetEstimates Q3 2025].
- Guidance updated: FY 2025 revenue narrowed to $699–$701M (maintained), non-GAAP op margin raised to 22.0–22.5%, while non-GAAP EPS lowered to $2.08–$2.13 and non-GAAP NI to $153–$157M; Q4 2025 introduced at revenue $182–$184M, non-GAAP op margin 24–25%, non-GAAP EPS $0.58–$0.61 .
- Strategic catalysts: strong new logo momentum (new customer bookings +45% YoY; larger, platform deals), ongoing buybacks ($113M repurchased in Q3; $198.2M capacity remaining), Trusted AI (ISO 42001) rollout, and activist pressure calling for strategic alternatives (renewed SAP interest) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- New logo strength and deal quality: “New customer bookings were up 45%... average new deal size more than doubling by 111%” and multi-year, platform pricing wins across marquee customers (including Fortune 20 and major European brands) .
- Cash generation and margin discipline: record operating cash flow ($63.8M) and free cash flow ($57.0M), with non-GAAP operating margin of 21.4% despite event costs .
- Trusted AI and platform progress: ISO 42001 certification for AI governance and Verity agent rollout; management emphasized auditability, unique proprietary data, and ERP-agnostic integration (Oracle, Workday, D365 connectors) .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP profitability pressure: GAAP net income fell to $5.3M ($0.09 diluted EPS) vs $17.2M ($0.27) a year ago; GAAP operating margin slid to 4.3% (5.0% prior-year), impacted by timing of the BeyondTheBlack event .
- Net revenue retention and users: DBNRR eased to 103% (FX headwind ~1 pt) as seat attrition and pauses in user adds ahead of platform pricing and AI evaluation reduced net user growth .
- Billings timing headwind and deal slippage: Calculated billings +4% with ~4-pt timing headwind (quarterly billing mix); management cited “a couple of million dollars” of deals slipping into Q4 due to AI-related interest post-Verity launch .
Financial Results
Headline P&L and Margins vs Prior Periods and Estimates
Estimates marked with * are from S&P Global.
Revenue Breakdown (Segments)
KPIs and Cash Generation
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Revenue growth increased to 7.5%. We achieved a non-GAAP operating margin of 21.4% and a free cash flow margin of 32%.” – Owen Ryan, CEO .
- “New customer bookings were up 45%… average new deal size more than doubling by 111%… largest ever total contract value deal… platform pricing model accounted for nearly three quarters of new customer bookings.” – Owen Ryan .
- “Our moat… is our proprietary data and leadership in trusted, auditable systems… ISO 42001 certification for responsible AI… Verity agents deploying.” – Owen Ryan .
- “We returned approximately $113M to shareholders through the repurchase of 2.1M shares.” – Patrick Villanova, CFO .
- “In 2026, you will see at least a Rule 33… and acceleration of the framework in 2027.” – Management during Q&A .
Q&A Highlights
- Deal slippage and AI evaluation: “Verity announcement… interest in AI… cost us probably a couple of million dollars… now in the fourth quarter.” – on Q3 end-of-quarter dynamics .
- Seat attrition vs platform model: Success-based attrition from automation drives lower seats; platform pricing decouples growth from seat count; working through under-adoption with multiyear renewals and customer success .
- FY EPS guide lower drivers: Lower interest income (due to buybacks) and non-GAAP tax provision dynamics (“big beautiful bill” benefits cash, not provision) .
- SAP/SOLEX and public sector: Solid Q4 pipeline, joint AI POC; public sector production instance delivered, FedRAMP target early 2026 .
- Implementation: Significant reduction in time-to-live; implementation agents to automate common phases, scaling in 2026 .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 results vs consensus: Revenue $178.29M vs $178.11M*, non-GAAP EPS $0.51 vs $0.505*; 13–14 estimates contributed*. Prior quarters: Q2 Revenue $172.03M vs $170.86M*, non-GAAP EPS $0.51 vs $0.510*; Q1 Revenue $166.93M vs $166.72M*, non-GAAP EPS $0.49 vs $0.383* [GetEstimates Q1–Q3 2025].
- Implications: Modest beats amid improving execution support consensus stability; FY EPS guide was lowered due to interest/tax factors, prompting potential downward EPS revisions, while margin and revenue guidance support upward revisions to non-GAAP operating margin.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Platform transition is working: larger, multi-solution platform deals (+45% new bookings; bigger average sizes) support a mix shift toward strategic products, but expect near-term seat attrition and occasional deal timing impacts .
- Cash flow durability: Record free cash flow ($57.0M) and continued buybacks ($113M in Q3; ~$198M capacity remaining) add a floor to equity value and flexibility for capital deployment .
- Trusted AI as a competitive moat: ISO 42001 certification, Verity agents and ERP-agnostic integrations strengthen credibility with CFOs and auditors; expect commercialization to be gradual but accretive .
- FY guide mix: Revenue maintained/narrowed, non-GAAP margin raised, EPS lowered—watch for consensus EPS revisions and Q4 delivery vs new guidance ranges .
- Execution levers into 2026: management targets at least “Rule 33” in 2026, citing bookings growth (~20%), lower churn, and operating leverage from process and AI productivity .
- External pressure and strategic optionality: Activist call for exploration of strategic alternatives amid reported SAP interest could catalyze stock if a process is initiated .
- Near-term focus: Q4 SOLEX pipeline conversion, public sector FedRAMP, and implementation agent pilots are key proof points for revenue acceleration and margin expansion .