BM
Blueprint Medicines Corp (BPMC)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 delivered strong topline: total revenue $138.2M, including $114.1M AYVAKIT net product revenue, up “more than 185%” y/y; operating loss narrowed materially as revenue scaled and opex stayed flat; net loss was $50.0M (–$0.80 diluted EPS) .
- Management raised 2024 AYVAKIT revenue guidance to $435–$450M from $390–$410M on first-half outperformance and improved visibility around business drivers; R&D and SG&A are expected to remain relatively flat through year-end, supporting operating leverage .
- Commercial drivers remain robust: low discontinuation and high compliance, expanding prescriber breadth with rising allergist participation, favorable free-goods mix stabilizing just below 20%, and early international traction (notably Germany); U.S. AYVAKIT revenue was $101.5M and ex-U.S. $12.7M in Q2 .
- Strategic catalysts: BLU-808 (wild-type KIT) entered Phase 1 (healthy volunteers), with initial PK/PD/safety data expected early 2025; HARBOR Part 2 (elenestinib) targeted to initiate by year-end; guidance raise and pipeline progress are the near-term stock narrative drivers .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Commercial execution: AYVAKIT net product revenue reached $114.1M; management highlighted “one of the most exciting rare disease launches,” raising full-year guidance on stronger-than-expected first-half performance .
- Durable fundamentals: low discontinuation and high compliance are driving multi‑year duration; prescribers with >10 patients are emerging, and allergist adoption continues to increase .
- International momentum: Germany is “off to the races” for ISM; ex‑U.S. revenue reached $12.7M in Q2, and more ISM launches expected in 2025; management expects international to be an important contributor over time .
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What Went Wrong
- Still loss-making: despite revenue scale, Q2 recorded a net loss of $50.0M; operating expenses remained high at $181.2M though flat q/q; cost of sales rose partly due to GAVRETO product sale to Rigel .
- Seasonality and German pricing: management cautioned on seasonality affecting timing of new starts in H2 and potential revenue impact from German price negotiations into year-end .
- Free-goods tailwind stabilizing: free goods “just below 20%” since ISM launch—favorable but no longer a growing tailwind versus Q1; conversion dynamics will matter to sustain revenue yield per patient .
Financial Results
Summary P&L (USD Millions, except per-share). Columns: oldest → newest.
Notes: Operating Income (Loss) calculated as Total Revenues minus Total Cost & Operating Expenses using cited figures. Q1 other income includes a non‑cash debt extinguishment gain of $173.7M, inflating EPS .
AYVAKIT net product revenue – geography
KPIs and Operating Context
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We have delivered yet another very strong quarter of revenue... and we are well on the path to achieve more than $2 billion in potential peak sales.” — CEO Kate Haviland .
- “AYVAKIT achieved $114.1 million in net product revenue... driven by growth in patients on AYVAKIT, low discontinuation, high compliance, and favorable free-goods mix.” — CCO Philina Lee .
- “We are raising our AYVAKIT product revenue guidance... to $435 million to $450 million in 2024... and anticipate R&D and SG&A will remain relatively flat for the remainder of this year.” — CFO Mike Landsittel .
- “We’ve moved BLU‑808 into the clinic... initial data early next year could be an important inflection point.” — COO Christina Rossi .
Q&A Highlights
- Seasonality and Part D: Management expects seasonal timing effects on starts but not annual results; Part D redesign has stabilized free-goods share just below 20% for the year .
- Eligibility lens broadening: Experienced prescribers are widening criteria to patients with one or two predominant symptoms; prevalence/diagnosis may be underestimated and growing .
- Guidance cadence: No stocking impact; guidance reflects variables (starts, duration, compliance, free-goods, international); still implies substantial y/y revenue growth .
- Duration/compliance: ISM duration trending longer than advanced SM’s ~25 months; high compliance and very low discontinuation continue in real‑world .
- Pricing and dosing: No net pricing increases q/q; majority of ISM starts remain at 25 mg; 50 mg use is limited to centers of excellence in select cases .
- International outlook: Germany leads ISM; additional countries expected in 2025; ex‑U.S. is a growing contributor to peak .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for BPMC via our API at this time; therefore, we cannot provide comparisons vs consensus for Q2 2024. We will update comparisons once S&P Global mapping becomes available. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- The commercial engine is compounding: expanding prescriber breadth/depth, durable persistence, and stabilizing free-goods mix are supporting continued revenue scale; guidance was raised again on stronger fundamentals .
- Operating leverage emerging: Operating loss narrowed substantially q/q as revenue scaled and opex remained flat; continued expense discipline positions the company toward a self‑sustaining profile .
- International and pipeline add optionality: Germany is contributing now, with broader ISM launches targeted for 2025; BLU‑808 clinical data in early 2025 is a key pipeline catalyst; HARBOR Part 2 initiation in 2024 could reinforce SM leadership .
- Watch items into H2: seasonal timing of starts, Germany price negotiations, and free‑goods stability may affect quarterly cadence but are not expected to impair full‑year targets per management .
- Valuation narrative: Repeat guidance raises, visible launch durability, and multi‑asset mast cell franchise support a “durable growth” storyline; absence of estimates comparison this quarter is a temporary data limitation (to be remedied with S&P mapping).
Appendix: Additional Data Exhibits
Revenue and EPS vs prior periods (detail)
Cash & Liquidity
- Cash, cash equivalents & investments: $868.5M as of June 30, 2024; management reiterated a “durable capital position” and path to a self‑sustaining profile .
Operational context quotes
- “We continue to see strong and steady growth in patients on AYVAKIT... low discontinuation rates, high compliance, and continued upside in our commercial versus free goods mix.” — CCO Philina Lee .
- “We believe [BLU‑808] data could mark an important inflection point... enabling us to rapidly establish clinical proof‑of‑concept in a range of mast cell disorders.” — COO Christina Rossi .