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BROADRIDGE FINANCIAL SOLUTIONS, INC. (BR)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 delivered modest top-line outperformance and a clean EPS beat vs. S&P Global consensus: revenue $2.065B vs. $2.058B est., Adjusted EPS $3.55 vs. $3.50 est.; GAAP EPS $3.16. Operating margin expanded YoY to 24.1% while Adjusted Operating margin fell 180 bps on higher growth investments and mix from distribution/float .
- FY2026 guidance initiated: Recurring revenue growth (cc) 5–7%, Adjusted EPS growth 8–12%, Adjusted Operating margin 20–21%, Closed sales $290–$330M; management reiterated confidence in hitting 3-year objectives .
- Capital allocation remained shareholder-friendly: annual dividend raised 11% to $3.90 (19th consecutive increase); FY25 free cash flow conversion reached 104% .
- Key drivers: ICS regulatory strength on equity/fund position growth; GTO Wealth momentum aided by SIS; GTO Capital Markets growth tempered by a 1-pt drag from a business exit; record DLR repo volumes (~$200B/day) underscore tokenization leadership and a secular tailwind .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Beat/clean prints vs. Street: Q4 revenue $2.065B vs. ~$2.058B est.; Adjusted EPS $3.55 vs. ~$3.50 est.; EBITDA $624.6M vs. ~$618.6M est. (all est. S&P Global) .
- Healthy FY26 outlook + backlog support: guidance implies continued mid-to-high single-digit EPS growth; $430M recurring revenue backlog (~10% of recurring revenue) provides visibility into FY26–27 .
- Strategic progress: ICS regulatory recurring up 8% in Q4 on strong equity revenue positions (+14%); DLR repo volumes topped $200B/day; dividend raised 11% to $3.90; free cash flow conversion 104% .
What Went Wrong
- Q4 Adjusted Operating income flat YoY and margin down 180 bps to 27.0% on higher growth investments and distribution/float mix; GTO Q4 pre-tax margin compressed to 7.3% despite 12% recurring growth .
- Sales pace: Q4 closed sales $114M, down 28% YoY; FY25 closed sales $288M (-16% YoY) as some deals elongated; management cited elongation but expects healthy FY26 sales .
- Capital Markets outlook: FY26 GTO Capital Markets guided to lower end of 5–7% on a ~1-pt drag from a business exit; Q4 pre-tax margin contracted on growth investments and other initiatives .
Financial Results
Headline P&L vs. prior periods and estimates
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes:
- Revenue and Adjusted EPS modestly beat consensus (positive surprise); Adjusted Operating margin compressed YoY as management accelerated growth investments and mix from distribution/float was a ~10 bps headwind .
- GAAP Operating margin expanded YoY on lower restructuring/other costs .
Segment performance (Q4)
Select drivers:
- ICS: Regulatory recurring +8% YoY on strong equity revenue position growth (+14%) and mutual fund/ETF positions (+7%); distribution revenue +4% on postage (approx. +$29M) partially offset by lower volumes .
- GTO: Wealth & Investment Management recurring +26% (incl. SIS); Capital Markets +4% cc, with a ~1-pt growth drag from a business exit; GTO margin compressed on growth investments/initiatives .
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Management highlighted underlying margin expansion (>50 bps) in FY26 excluding float/distribution, with posted postage increases diluting reported margins and lower float income anticipated if rate cuts occur .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Broadridge delivered another strong year in fiscal 2025. Recurring revenue rose 7% constant currency and adjusted EPS grew 11%... We expect another strong year in fiscal 2026 with 5% to 7% recurring revenue growth and 8% to 12% adjusted EPS growth.” – CEO Tim Gokey .
- “Event driven revenues were $79 million in the fourth quarter, ending a record $319 million year... Looking ahead, we expect that event driven revenues will decline in fiscal 2026, but will remain above the historical average.” – CFO Ashima Ghei .
- “Our distributed ledger repo solution... Daily average trading volumes rose above $200 billion in June... nearly five times the size of any other platform.” – CEO Tim Gokey .
- “Our recurring revenue backlog stands at $430 million. At 10% of recurring revenue, it gives us great visibility into the biggest driver of our growth in fiscal ’26 and ’27.” – CFO Ashima Ghei .
- “Our Board has approved an 11% increase in our annual dividend to $3.90 per share... thirteenth double-digit increase in the last fourteen years.” – CFO Ashima Ghei .
Q&A Highlights
- Sales cycle elongation persists, but pipeline remains strong in areas of investment (voting choice, WealthInFocus, global demand model, wealth platform, global post-trade, DLR repo) .
- DLR/tokenization: sponsored repo is a key driver; legal comfort increasing; move toward intraday repo next; platform volumes >$200B/day; long-term tokenization opportunities beyond repo .
- Capital Markets growth guided to lower end (5–7%) in FY26 due to ~1-pt drag from a business exit; Q4 CM growth partly offset by lower professional services .
- Backlog ~$430M is ~60/40 ICS/GTO; ICS converts faster, some wealth deals longer (impact more in FY27) .
- Margins: reported AOI margin flat YoY for FY26 (20–21%); underlying expansion >50 bps ex float/distribution; distribution growth driven by postage; float likely lower with potential rate cuts .
- Q1 EPS seasonality: ~12–15% of full-year; watch elevated Q1 event activity from a mutual fund proxy campaign .
- Debt: leverage ~2x; plan to roll forward near-term maturities .
Estimates Context
- Q4 FY2025 vs. S&P Global consensus: Revenue $2.065B vs. $2.058B est. (beat); Adjusted/Primary EPS $3.55 vs. $3.50 est. (beat); EBITDA $624.6M vs. $618.6M est. (beat). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications: modest top-line and EPS beats should support estimate stability-to-upward bias; FY26 guide brackets typical Street ranges, with mix headwinds (distribution/float) and event normalization largely messaged, reducing downside estimate risk .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat-and-raise profile into FY26: small Q4 beat on revenue/EPS and credible FY26 guide (5–7% cc recurring, 8–12% EPS) with >50 bps underlying margin expansion ex float/distribution; watch postage-driven distribution mix and lower float as the main headwinds .
- Durable growth pillars: ICS regulatory strength from rising equity revenue positions and mid-single-digit fund positions; Wealth momentum (SIS integration, Canada traction); Cap Mkts growth intact but at low end due to business exit .
- Tokenization leadership is real: DLR repo >$200B/day provides a differentiated growth vector; incremental clients and potential intraday repo can extend runway; medium-term optionality in other tokenized assets .
- Visibility is high: $430M backlog (~10% of recurring revenue) plus stable retention underpin FY26/27 revenue—supporting multiple resiliency even if macro wobbles .
- Capital returns remain supportive: dividend +11% to $3.90, Q4 buyback $100M, leverage ~2x provides flexibility for tuck-ins and repurchases .
- Trading set-up: event-driven normalizes from a record FY25, and distribution/float mix weighs on reported margins—tempering near-term margin optics; however, underlying expansion and secular drivers (participation, tokenization, wealth modernization) should sustain EPS CAGR within the 8–12% range .
- Monitoring list: sales-cycle elongation into early FY26; Cap Mkts growth cadence (impact from business exit); Q1 EPS seasonality (12–15% of yearly) and elevated Q1 event activity; interest rate path (float) .