BS
BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORP (BSX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 was an exceptional start to the year: revenue $4.663B (+20.9% reported, +18.2% organic) and adjusted EPS $0.75, both above company guidance; adjusted gross margin reached 71.5% and adjusted operating margin 28.9% .
- Strongest momentum in Cardiovascular (+26.2% reported; Electrophysiology sales +145%), with U.S. revenue up 31.1% and broad-based strength across WATCHMAN and FARAPULSE .
- Management raised FY 2025 organic revenue growth to 12–14% (from 10–12%) and adjusted EPS to $2.87–$2.94 (from $2.80–$2.87), and guided Q2 organic growth to 13–15% and adjusted EPS to $0.71–$0.73 .
- A ~$200M tariff headwind is expected, predominantly in H2; management plans to offset via stronger sales, discretionary spend reductions, and minor FX tailwinds—minimal Q2 impact given inventory accounting .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Cardiovascular momentum: EP sales up 145% globally; company now “#2 clear player in EP,” with mass PFA adoption and new mapping solutions (OPAL HDx) gaining traction .
- WATCHMAN resurgence: +24% YoY with faster-than-expected concomitant adoption; management expects a U.S. label update in H2’25 for post-ablation and CHAMPION AF readout in H1’26 to expand addressable market .
- U.S. demand and mix: U.S. revenue +31.1% operational; adjusted gross margin +170 bps YoY to 71.5%, driven by favorable product mix (FARAPULSE, WATCHMAN) .
Quoted management remarks:
- “We delivered an exceptional quarter… and remain well-positioned for the future as we continue to focus on meaningful innovation, clinical science and the execution of our category leadership strategy” .
- “We are guiding to organic growth of 13% to 15% for Q2’25 and raising our full year guidance… to 12% to 14% organic growth” .
- “When FARAPULSE grows like it’s growing and you see WATCHMAN in the mid-20s—that’s a big driver of gross margin” .
What Went Wrong
- Tariffs: ~$200M headwind in 2025, largely H2; gross margin trajectory adjusted to be roughly in line with 2024, requiring discretionary cost actions to sustain 50–75 bps operating margin expansion .
- Urology supply chain: category-specific back orders pressured growth; management expects improvement but notes a headwind through 2025 .
- CRM mixed: low-voltage grew high single digits but high-voltage declined low single digits; Empower leadless expected H2’25 approval and broader Denali refresh to ramp in 2026 .
Financial Results
Consolidated Revenue and EPS vs prior year, prior quarter, and estimates
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.
Highlights vs estimates:
- Revenue: beat by ~$91M in Q1 2025 ($4.663B actual vs $4.572B consensus*) .
- Adjusted EPS: beat by ~$0.08 in Q1 2025 ($0.75 actual vs $0.673 consensus*) .
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.
Margins and Operating Metrics
Commentary: Adjusted gross margin improved +170 bps YoY, primarily mix-driven (FARAPULSE, WATCHMAN) .
Segment Breakdown (Net Sales)
Regional Breakdown (Net Sales)
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Mike Mahoney: “We delivered an exceptional quarter… and remain well-positioned for the future as we continue to focus on meaningful innovation… and the execution of our category leadership strategy” .
- Mike Mahoney: “We are guiding to organic growth of 13% to 15% for Q2’25 and raising our full year guidance… to 12% to 14% organic growth” .
- Dan Brennan (CFO): “Adjusted gross margin… 71.5%, a 170 bps improvement vs Q1 2024, primarily driven by favorable product mix… Q1 adjusted operating margin was 28.9%” .
- Dan Brennan on tariffs: “We forecast an approximate $200 million impact in 2025… minimal Q2 impact… fully offset via sales guidance raise, discretionary spend reductions and $0.01 FX benefit” .
- CFO transition announced: Dan Brennan retiring; Jon Monson to succeed as CFO (effective June 30, 2025) .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs and offsets: ~$200M headwind largely in H2; offset by raised sales guidance, spend cuts, and FX benefit; no plans to move manufacturing footprint .
- EP market share: Aim to overtake J&J over time; strong execution across U.S., Europe, Japan; building capabilities in China .
- WATCHMAN concomitant adoption: Faster-than-expected uptake due to workflow efficiency, economics, and strong OPTION data; share gains in LAA closure .
- Margins: Strong Q1 margins driven by FARAPULSE/WATCHMAN mix; 2025 gross margin to be roughly in line with 2024 due to tariffs; still targeting 50–75 bps operating margin expansion .
- CRM pipeline: Empower leadless pacemaker expected H2’25 approval; Denali S-ICD/tachy/brady refresh in 2026 to drive growth .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025: Revenue $4.663B vs consensus $4.572B*; Adjusted EPS $0.75 vs consensus $0.673*—beat on both .
- Q4 2024: Revenue $4.561B vs consensus $4.421B*; Adjusted EPS $0.70 vs consensus $0.657*—beat on both .
- Q1 2024: Revenue $3.856B vs consensus $3.684B*; Adjusted EPS $0.56 vs consensus $0.513*—beat on both .
- Q2 2025 guidance: Adjusted EPS $0.71–$0.73 vs consensus $0.725*; Organic growth 13–15% .
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broadened growth algorithm: Cardiovascular (EP, WATCHMAN) is the primary engine; U.S. demand and favorable mix are lifting margins despite tariff headwinds .
- Guidance momentum: FY 2025 organic growth and adjusted EPS raised; Q2 guide brackets consensus—supports estimate revisions higher for full-year .
- Tariffs manageable: ~$200M H2 burden is operationally offset; watch H2 margin cadence and discretionary spend trajectory for execution signals .
- Pipeline catalysts: FARAPULSE persistent AF label expansion anticipated H2’25; Empower leadless (H2’25), CHAMPION AF readout (H1’26), and Denali (2026) underpin medium-term thesis .
- WATCHMAN durability: Concomitant procedures and prospective label update should sustain 20%+ growth near term, with CHAMPION AF potentially tripling TAM longer term .
- CRM inflection likely 2026: Expect near-term lag, but 2026 product cycle should re-accelerate growth .
- Monitor China/VBP and supply chain: Management still targets DD growth in China despite VBP; urology back orders are a 2025 headwind—track resolution pace .