Blackstone Inc. (BX) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong Q2: EPS and revenue beat Wall Street consensus; fee-related earnings rose 31% YoY to $1.5B and DE per share reached $1.21, supported by broad fund appreciation and record AUM of $1.21T . EPS $0.98 (GAAP diluted) and DE/share $1.21 versus consensus EPS $1.10 and revenue $2.81B; Blackstone declared a $1.03 dividend . EPS and revenue beat (S&P Global data)*.
- Engines of growth: Private wealth ($10B sales), credit & insurance (AUM +23% YoY to $407B), and infrastructure (sustained returns) drove fee and performance revenues; Net Accrued Performance Revenues rose to $6.6B ($5.37/share) .
- Realization trajectory improving: Management expects acceleration in net realizations exiting 2025 and into 2026; sale of Resolution Life stake anticipated to close in 2H 2025, adding to near-term realization potential .
- Strategic update: Post-quarter, Blackstone agreed to acquire Enverus (energy-market SaaS), reinforcing data/energy and AI-infrastructure themes that underpin fund deployment and appreciation .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
-
What Went Well
- Fee and earnings power up: Base management fees hit a record $1.88B; FRE rose 31% YoY to $1.46B and DE/share reached $1.21, reflecting scaled perpetuals and drawdown activation .
- Broad fund appreciation: Corporate PE +5.1%, secondaries +6.6%, infrastructure +2.9%, private credit +3.0% gross—highest overall fund appreciation in nearly 4 years . “We grew earnings significantly…with the highest overall amount of fund appreciation in nearly four years.” — Stephen Schwarzman .
- Capital formation and deployment: Inflows $52.1B; deployment $33.1B; dry powder $181.2B; private wealth sales $10B led by BCRED ($3.7B), BXPE ($1.7B), BREIT $1.1B .
-
What Went Wrong
- Real estate headwinds: Core+ declined (0.4)% and opportunistic appreciated just 0.1%; segment realizations and revenues softer YoY; Segment DE grew 10% but FRE mix remains less robust than PE/Credit .
- Muted net realizations: Total net realizations $325.9M were below Q4 2024; ongoing macro uncertainty tempered pace despite improving pipelines .
- Seasonality and OpEx: Management reiterated seasonally higher operating expenses in 2H and sensitivity of FRE margins to fee-related performance revenues, tempering near-term margin gearing .
Financial Results
* Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Blackstone delivered outstanding second-quarter results…earnings power, particularly in private wealth, credit and insurance, and infrastructure…AUM increased 13% year-over-year to more than $1.2 trillion—a new industry record.” — Stephen Schwarzman .
- “Our robust growth in private credit…$484B across corporate and real estate credit, up threefold in five years…open-architecture insurance channel now 30 relationships.” — Jonathan Gray .
- “Fee-related performance revenues reached $472M in Q2, up over two and a half fold…eight different perpetual strategies contributed including BCRED, BXSL, BXPE, VIP, and BREIT.” — Michael Chae .
Q&A Highlights
- Private credit spread premium durability: Despite tightening spreads and lower base rates, private credit’s relative premium and bespoke solutions sustain demand; insurance clients earned ~185–190bps excess spread over 18 months .
- Real estate recovery drivers: New supply collapse, improving financing spreads, and rising transaction activity signal a “when, not if” recovery; allocations gradually re-opening .
- FRPR cadence: Infrastructure incentives expected modestly in Q2 and Q3; BXINFRA’s first crystallization in Q4 with quarterly thereafter .
- DC channel: Potential executive order could open defined contribution target-date pathways; Blackstone’s perpetual platforms and brand seen as advantaged .
- L&G partnership and Vanguard/Wellington: Targeting up to $20B with Legal & General across IG private credit and wealth; Wellington filed first product with Vanguard (SEC approval pending) .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 EPS and revenue beat: Consensus EPS $1.10 vs actual DE/share $1.21 (GAAP diluted EPS $0.98); revenue consensus $2.81B vs reported GAAP revenue $3.71B (S&P actual $3.80B)* .
- Given beats across EPS and revenue, estimate revisions likely skew upward for fee and performance revenue contributors, notably BXPE, infrastructure, and credit.
* Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Earnings power compounding: Scaled perpetuals (BCRED, BXPE, BXINFRA, BREIT) and activated drawdown funds drive recurring fee growth; watch FRPR cadence shift to infra/private wealth crystallizations .
- Realizations turning: Expect higher disposition activity in 2H 2025 and into 2026, starting with private equity; monitor Resolution Life stake sale closing (2H) as a near-term catalyst .
- Private credit leadership: Continued outperformance with low defaults and durable spread premiums; insurance AUM growth and partnerships (e.g., L&G) broaden IG credit runway .
- AI/data centers/power thematic: Sustained investment and tenant-led development support infra and real estate segments; positive for infra returns and BREIT performance mix .
- Dividend and capital returns: $1.03 dividend declared; cumulative LTM dividends $4.26/share; buybacks ongoing—supports income profile while earnings grow .
- Risk monitor: Real estate remains gradual; FRE margin sensitivity to FRPR and seasonal OpEx in 2H; macro-policy evolution (tariffs, rate cuts, DC access) can shift trajectories .
- Strategic expansion: Enverus acquisition strengthens data/energy intelligence capability tied to electricity demand growth and energy transition; supports infrastructure and energy themes .
Citations: All figures and quotes sourced from Blackstone’s Q2 2025 8-K and earnings materials and prior quarter filings and calls unless marked with an asterisk as S&P Global data.