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Blackstone Inc. (BX) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Strong Q2: EPS and revenue beat Wall Street consensus; fee-related earnings rose 31% YoY to $1.5B and DE per share reached $1.21, supported by broad fund appreciation and record AUM of $1.21T . EPS $0.98 (GAAP diluted) and DE/share $1.21 versus consensus EPS $1.10 and revenue $2.81B; Blackstone declared a $1.03 dividend . EPS and revenue beat (S&P Global data)*.
  • Engines of growth: Private wealth ($10B sales), credit & insurance (AUM +23% YoY to $407B), and infrastructure (sustained returns) drove fee and performance revenues; Net Accrued Performance Revenues rose to $6.6B ($5.37/share) .
  • Realization trajectory improving: Management expects acceleration in net realizations exiting 2025 and into 2026; sale of Resolution Life stake anticipated to close in 2H 2025, adding to near-term realization potential .
  • Strategic update: Post-quarter, Blackstone agreed to acquire Enverus (energy-market SaaS), reinforcing data/energy and AI-infrastructure themes that underpin fund deployment and appreciation .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Fee and earnings power up: Base management fees hit a record $1.88B; FRE rose 31% YoY to $1.46B and DE/share reached $1.21, reflecting scaled perpetuals and drawdown activation .
    • Broad fund appreciation: Corporate PE +5.1%, secondaries +6.6%, infrastructure +2.9%, private credit +3.0% gross—highest overall fund appreciation in nearly 4 years . “We grew earnings significantly…with the highest overall amount of fund appreciation in nearly four years.” — Stephen Schwarzman .
    • Capital formation and deployment: Inflows $52.1B; deployment $33.1B; dry powder $181.2B; private wealth sales $10B led by BCRED ($3.7B), BXPE ($1.7B), BREIT $1.1B .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Real estate headwinds: Core+ declined (0.4)% and opportunistic appreciated just 0.1%; segment realizations and revenues softer YoY; Segment DE grew 10% but FRE mix remains less robust than PE/Credit .
    • Muted net realizations: Total net realizations $325.9M were below Q4 2024; ongoing macro uncertainty tempered pace despite improving pipelines .
    • Seasonality and OpEx: Management reiterated seasonally higher operating expenses in 2H and sensitivity of FRE margins to fee-related performance revenues, tempering near-term margin gearing .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Revenues ($MM, GAAP)$3,082.6 $3,289.5 $3,711.9
GAAP Net Income ($MM)$1,328.8 $1,208.8 $1,626.1
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($)$0.92 $0.80 $0.98
Distributable Earnings ($MM)$2,169.5 $1,410.8 $1,565.8
DE per Common Share ($)$1.69 $1.09 $1.21
Fee Related Earnings ($MM)$1,835.9 $1,262.1 $1,459.5
FRE per Share ($)$1.50 $1.03 $1.19
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM)$2,558.2 $1,738.7 $1,912.5
Dividend per Share ($)$1.44 $0.93 $1.03
Metric vs Estimates (S&P Global)*Q2 2025
EPS (Consensus Mean vs Actual) ($)$1.10 vs $1.21 (Beat)*
Revenue (Consensus Mean vs Actual) ($MM)$2,809.3 vs $3,801.1 (Beat)*
# of EPS Estimates15*
# of Revenue Estimates4*
Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025)Revenues ($MM)Segment DE ($MM)
Real Estate$847.3 $565.9
Private Equity$1,327.5 $751.4
Credit & Insurance$753.9 $395.8
Multi-Asset Investing$145.9 $72.3
Total$3,074.6 $1,785.4
KPIsQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total AUM ($B)$1,127.2 $1,167.5 $1,211.2
Fee-Earning AUM ($B)$830.7 $860.1 $887.1
Perpetual Capital AUM ($B)$444.8 $464.4 $484.6
Inflows ($B, QTD)$57.5 $61.6 $52.1
Deployment ($B, QTD)$41.6 $36.4 $33.1
Realizations ($B, QTD)$25.9 $25.5 $23.4
Net Accrued Perf. Rev. ($B)$6.3 $6.4 $6.6
NAPR per Share ($)$5.14 $5.24 $5.37
Dry Powder ($B)$168.6 $177.2 $181.2

* Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Base Management Fees growthFY 2025“Reasonable starting point” 10% YoY (Q4 run-rate context) “Continue on a strong positive trajectory; 2H growth resembles 1H” Maintained
FRE margin/OpExFY 2025Margin stability; OpEx low double-digit growth Reiterated margin stability; seasonally higher OpEx in 2H Maintained
Fee-Related Performance Revenues (Infrastructure)Q3–Q4 2025Large crystallization occurred in Q4’24; lighter cadence in 2025 Modest amounts in Q2 and Q3; none in Q1 and Q4 (institutional); BXINFRA first crystallization in Q4 then quarterly Clarified cadence
Realizations2H 2025–2026Improving vs cyclical lows Acceleration exiting 2025 into 2026; Resolution Life stake sale closing 2H 2025 Raised trajectory
DividendQ2 2025Variable policy ~85% of DE $1.03 declared; record Aug 4, payable Aug 11 N/A (Declared)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Prev Mentions)Q1 2025 (Prev Mentions)Q2 2025 (Current Period)Trend
AI/data centers & powerData centers (QTS) underpin infra/RE returns; 17% net in BIP Infra appreciation 7.5% Q1; strong data center momentum “Enormous need for capital to build AI infrastructure; data centers led real estate appreciation” Strengthening
Private credit expansionLargest third-party platform; $100B+ IG, 200bps excess spread Default rates low; origination breadth; IG credit scaling Demand “extraordinarily robust”; IG and non-IG; BCRED/BXSL FRPR contributions Strengthening
Private wealth channel$3.7B Jan fundraising; launch of infra perpetual $11B Q1 sales; BMAX launch planned $10B Q2 sales; BCRED $3.7B; BXPE $1.7B; BREIT $1.1B Strengthening
Real estate recoveryHeadwinds from rate spike; cyclical recovery underway Core+ +1.2%; opportunistic +0.2%; bottoming call reiterated Gradual recovery; new supply down; cost of capital improving Improving but gradual
Tariffs/macro/FedPro-growth policy expectations; volatility in yields Tariff uncertainty; disinflation view from portfolio data “Despite volatile backdrop, fund appreciation highest in 4 years”; lower rates positive Mixed, improving clarity
DC/401(k) accessStrategic alliance with Wellington & Vanguard toward public-private solutions Executive order potential; target-date pathway; Blackstone uniquely positioned Building optionality
SecondariesStrong appreciation; infra secondaries fundraising Large new secondary deal drove returns 40%+ YoY pipeline volume; fundraises advancing Strengthening
Life sciencesFunds appreciated strongly; 11.3% Q4 Platform with 20% annualized since inception 6.7% Q2; 27% LTM; resilient innovation Strengthening

Management Commentary

  • “Blackstone delivered outstanding second-quarter results…earnings power, particularly in private wealth, credit and insurance, and infrastructure…AUM increased 13% year-over-year to more than $1.2 trillion—a new industry record.” — Stephen Schwarzman .
  • “Our robust growth in private credit…$484B across corporate and real estate credit, up threefold in five years…open-architecture insurance channel now 30 relationships.” — Jonathan Gray .
  • “Fee-related performance revenues reached $472M in Q2, up over two and a half fold…eight different perpetual strategies contributed including BCRED, BXSL, BXPE, VIP, and BREIT.” — Michael Chae .

Q&A Highlights

  • Private credit spread premium durability: Despite tightening spreads and lower base rates, private credit’s relative premium and bespoke solutions sustain demand; insurance clients earned ~185–190bps excess spread over 18 months .
  • Real estate recovery drivers: New supply collapse, improving financing spreads, and rising transaction activity signal a “when, not if” recovery; allocations gradually re-opening .
  • FRPR cadence: Infrastructure incentives expected modestly in Q2 and Q3; BXINFRA’s first crystallization in Q4 with quarterly thereafter .
  • DC channel: Potential executive order could open defined contribution target-date pathways; Blackstone’s perpetual platforms and brand seen as advantaged .
  • L&G partnership and Vanguard/Wellington: Targeting up to $20B with Legal & General across IG private credit and wealth; Wellington filed first product with Vanguard (SEC approval pending) .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 EPS and revenue beat: Consensus EPS $1.10 vs actual DE/share $1.21 (GAAP diluted EPS $0.98); revenue consensus $2.81B vs reported GAAP revenue $3.71B (S&P actual $3.80B)* .
  • Given beats across EPS and revenue, estimate revisions likely skew upward for fee and performance revenue contributors, notably BXPE, infrastructure, and credit.
    * Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Earnings power compounding: Scaled perpetuals (BCRED, BXPE, BXINFRA, BREIT) and activated drawdown funds drive recurring fee growth; watch FRPR cadence shift to infra/private wealth crystallizations .
  • Realizations turning: Expect higher disposition activity in 2H 2025 and into 2026, starting with private equity; monitor Resolution Life stake sale closing (2H) as a near-term catalyst .
  • Private credit leadership: Continued outperformance with low defaults and durable spread premiums; insurance AUM growth and partnerships (e.g., L&G) broaden IG credit runway .
  • AI/data centers/power thematic: Sustained investment and tenant-led development support infra and real estate segments; positive for infra returns and BREIT performance mix .
  • Dividend and capital returns: $1.03 dividend declared; cumulative LTM dividends $4.26/share; buybacks ongoing—supports income profile while earnings grow .
  • Risk monitor: Real estate remains gradual; FRE margin sensitivity to FRPR and seasonal OpEx in 2H; macro-policy evolution (tariffs, rate cuts, DC access) can shift trajectories .
  • Strategic expansion: Enverus acquisition strengthens data/energy intelligence capability tied to electricity demand growth and energy transition; supports infrastructure and energy themes .

Citations: All figures and quotes sourced from Blackstone’s Q2 2025 8-K and earnings materials and prior quarter filings and calls unless marked with an asterisk as S&P Global data.

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