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BXP, Inc. (BXP) Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered steady operations with leasing momentum: 1.1M+ sf executed (+25% y/y) and revenue up 3.1% y/y to $865.2M; diluted EPS was $0.39 and diluted FFO/share was $1.64, in line with management’s forecast .
  • Guidance was narrowed and midpoint maintained: FY25 FFO/share $6.80–$6.92 and Q2 FFO/share $1.65–$1.67; management highlighted stronger development contributions offset by out-of-service NOI and slightly higher net interest expense .
  • Occupancy stepped down 60 bps to 86.9% on known expirations (200 Fifth Ave/NY and SF CBD), while leased remained stable at 89.4%, supporting a ramp in 2H as signed leases commence .
  • Capital markets execution and liquidity: BPLP upsized revolver to $2.25B, extended term loan, increased CP capacity to $750M (at 4.72% as of 4/28), and closed $252M CMBS at 5.491% on Marriott HQ JV .
  • Potential stock catalysts: sustained Park Ave/Back Bay rent growth, incremental leasing at development assets (360 PAS, Reston), and progress on 343 Madison (8% target yield) and selective monetizations/land sales .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Leasing momentum and pipeline: 1.1M+ sf executed in Q1 (25% higher y/y) with notable vacant-space wins (244k sf at 200 Fifth, 162k sf in Waltham); pipeline ~1.1M sf in negotiation and 1.7M sf active .
  • Development/financing progress: JV formed for 290 Coles (multifamily) with preferred equity and construction loan; $252M CMBS on Marriott HQ JV and upsized corporate credit facilities strengthened liquidity .
  • Strategic positioning in premier workplaces: Management reiterated segment outperformance with tighter vacancies, stronger rents, and positive absorption vs broader market; Park Ave and Back Bay rent growth remained firm .

What Went Wrong

  • Occupancy dip and NOI pressure: Total occupancy fell 60 bps to 86.9% on known expirations (NY/SF), with same-property NOI down 0.6% y/y (cash +1.8% helped) .
  • Life science softness: Slower demand for raw lab space in South San Francisco and Waltham; some life science tenants now seek office-only solutions, delaying lab leasing .
  • Leverage elevated near term: Net Debt/EBITDAre rose to 8.33x; CFO flagged seasonal G&A effects and an expectation for moderation as developments deliver and cash ramps .

Financial Results

Key Metrics (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$859.2 $858.6 $865.2
Diluted EPS ($)$0.53 $(1.45) $0.39
Diluted FFO/Share ($)$1.81 $1.79 $1.64
Operating Margin (%)(rental)60.6% (Q1 2025 reference) 61.1% (Q4 2024) 60.6%
Occupancy (%)87.0% 87.5% 86.9%
Leased (%)89.1% 89.4% 89.4%
Same-Property NOI YoY (ex term. income)(0.6%)
Same-Property NOI Cash YoY (ex term.)+1.8%
Net Debt/EBITDAre (Annualized) (x)7.65 8.33
Interest Coverage (x)2.34 (fixed chg cov) 2.83 (ex cap int)

Q1 2025 Composition vs Q1 2024

Revenue Line ($USD Thousands)Q1 2024Q1 2025
Lease$788,590 $811,102
Parking and Other$32,216 $30,242
Hotel$8,186 $9,597
Development & Management Services$6,154 $9,775
Direct Reimbursements$4,293 $4,499
Total Revenue$839,439 $865,215

Segment/Market Snapshot (Occupancy by Location, CBD)

LocationQ4 2024 Occupied (%)Q1 2025 Occupied (%)
Boston95.9% 96.3%
New York90.8% 88.1% (known expirations)
San Francisco84.3% 81.7%
Washington, DC91.9% 91.9%
Los Angeles84.9% 83.9%
Seattle81.6% 81.9%
CBD Total90.9% 89.8%

KPIs and Capital Structure

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025
FAD ($USD Thousands)$209,499 $213,885
FAD Payout Ratio (%)82.48% 81.03%
Consolidated Debt ($USD Millions)$16,220.5 $15,671.7
Revolver Capacity ($USD Millions)$2,250; $300 drawn
Unsecured CP Outstanding ($USD Millions)$500 $750 at 4.72% (4/28/25)
CMBS (Marriott HQ JV) ($USD Millions)$252 @ 5.491%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Jan 28, 2025)Current Guidance (Apr 29, 2025)Change
EPS (GAAP)Q2 2025$0.38–$0.40 New
FFO/Share (REIT)Q2 2025$1.65–$1.67 New
EPS (GAAP)FY 2025$1.57–$1.75 $1.60–$1.72 Narrowed; midpoint maintained
FFO/Share (REIT)FY 2025$6.77–$6.95 $6.80–$6.92 Narrowed; midpoint maintained
Dividend/ShareQ1 2025$0.98 declared (paid Apr 30, 2025) Maintained

Management noted FY25 changes: +$0.02 same-property contribution, +$0.01 developments, −$0.02 out-of-service NOI, and minor net interest changes (−$0.01), driving narrowed guidance with unchanged midpoint .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Premier workplaces outperformanceCBD “premier” segment > broader market; rising rent premium Continued outperformance; tight Park Ave/Back Bay availability and rent growth Improving
Leasing momentumQ3: 1.1M sf; Q4: 2.3M sf; FY24: 5.6M sf Q1: 1.1M+ sf; pipeline 2.8M sf LOIs/proposals Sustained strength
Tariffs/macroRate sensitivity; policy mix could impact yields Tariffs add volatility; modest construction cost impact so far Watchful
AI/Tech demand in SFAI-led absorption noted; amenities upgrades planned AI remains a positive; smaller users active, positive absorption signs Stabilizing
Life science demandSofter raw lab demand; pivot cases to office Ongoing softness in SSF/Waltham lab; life science office interest persists Mixed/weak lab
Development pipeline725 12th preleased; 343 Madison targeted 2025 launch 343 Madison decision by July, targeting ~8% yield; development pre-leasing up to 62% Advancing
Capital markets & liquidity$850M 2035 notes; CP program established Revolver upsized; CP to $750M; opportunistic swaps; CMBS closed Strengthened

Management Commentary

  • “Our FFO per share for the quarter was in line with our forecast. We completed over 1.1 million square feet of leasing… 25% above Q1 ‘24” — Owen Thomas .
  • “Post 4/1/25, our current pool of leases in negotiation is 1.1 million sf… This will drive improvements to occupancy over the next 12–18 months” — Douglas Linde .
  • “We are narrowing our 2025 FFO guidance range, and maintaining our midpoint with a new range of $6.80 to $6.92 per share” — Michael LaBelle .
  • “We expect to launch [343 Madison] in 2025… our forecast yield… is 8%” — Executives .
  • “Our CBD portfolio stayed flat quarter-to-quarter at 89.4% leased… ~1.2M sf leased not yet commenced” — Douglas Linde .

Q&A Highlights

  • 343 Madison: Decision by end of July; target ~8% yield; unusual but real pre-lease interest at 150–300k sf in Park Ave submarket .
  • Occupancy/FFO cadence: Slight decline in Q2 on expirations, then meaningful ramp in Q3/Q4; implied 2H FFO/share averaging ~1.78 per quarter to reach midpoint .
  • Leverage: Debt/EBITDAre ticked to ~8.3x on seasonal G&A and development funding; expected to moderate as developments deliver and occupancy improves .
  • West Coast leasing: Traditional tenants rationalize; AI footprint >5M sf in SF; amenity investments (Mosaic, roof decks, spec suites) to drive traction .
  • Life science: Demand for lab shell weaker; office-only needs from life science tenants observed; Waltham and SSF leasing focused on office fit-outs .

Estimates Context

Q1 2025 (Consensus vs Actual, S&P Global)ConsensusActualNotes
Revenue ($USD Millions)$832.76*$854.92*Beat by ~$22M (~2.6%)*
Primary EPS ($)$0.406*$0.404*In-line*
FFO/Share (REIT) ($)$1.649*$1.64 (company reported) Essentially in-line; consensus ~1¢ above actual*

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Management framed Q1 as “in line” with their forecast, and narrowed FY25 guidance with an unchanged midpoint, suggesting limited estimate drift near term .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Leasing momentum remains robust with vacant-space wins and a growing pipeline; stable leased % (~89.4%) supports 2H occupancy/FFO ramp as commencements hit revenue .
  • Park Ave (NY) and Back Bay (Boston) exhibit tightening supply and rent growth; exposure there should underpin mark-to-market gains and re-leasing economics .
  • Watch the cadence: Q2 modestly pressured by Boston expirations, then sequential improvement in Q3/Q4; management affirmed FY25 midpoint with narrowed ranges .
  • Capital flexibility is improved: upsized revolver, extended term loan, and active CP program provide low-cost liquidity; selective CMBS execution de-risks assets .
  • Development optionality: 343 Madison (target ~8% yield) and 725 12th (now ~87% pre-leased) offer medium-term growth drivers; pre-leasing progress de-risks .
  • Risk monitor: SF CBD and lab demand remain softer; occupancy dips from known expirations and out-of-service assets pressure near-term NOI, but signed leases and development deliveries support 2026–2027 trajectory .
  • Balance sheet: leverage elevated near term (8.33x) but expected to normalize with project cash inflows and occupancy gains; interest coverage healthy at ~2.8x .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Q1 leasing details: 91 leases, weighted-average term 10.9 years; CBD % occupied 89.8% and % leased 92.3%; total portfolio occupancy 86.9% and % leased 89.4% .
  • Development pre-leasing rose to 62% as of Apr 25 (from 50% Jan 24) with key wins at 360 Park Ave South, 725 12th (DC), and 1050 Winter Street (Waltham) .
  • Sustainability: BXP achieved net-zero carbon-neutral operations for Scopes 1 & 2; published its 2024 Sustainability & Impact Report .

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