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BXP, Inc. (BXP) Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 was solid: revenue rose 2.1% YoY to $868.5M and diluted EPS hit $0.56, with FFO/share of $1.71; EPS and FFO both exceeded company guidance midpoints, driven by a $18.4M gain on sale at 17 Hartwell and stronger portfolio operations .
  • Full-year 2025 guidance was raised: EPS to $1.74–$1.82 (midpoint +$0.12) and FFO/share to $6.84–$6.92 (midpoint +$0.02), while Q3 guidance was set at EPS $0.41–$0.43 and FFO/share $1.69–$1.71 .
  • Leasing momentum continued: 91 leases totaling >1.1M SF; CBD portfolio 89.9% occupied and 92.5% leased; total portfolio 86.4% occupied and 89.1% leased, with 1.3M SF signed but not yet commenced expected to start in 2025–2026 .
  • Strategic catalyst: BXP launched vertical construction of 343 Madison Avenue (930k SF, targeted delivery late 2029) and executed an LOI with an investment-grade anchor for 30% of the tower; BXP will buy out its partner’s 45% interest ($43.5M) in Q3 2025 .
  • The company highlighted improving demand in premier workplace markets (NY, Back Bay Boston, Reston) and a clear path to occupancy and FFO growth through 2026, balanced against interest-rate sensitivities and life-science leasing headwinds .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • EPS and FFO beats with guidance raise: “FFO per share was $0.05 above our forecast and $0.04 above market consensus... we’re also raising the midpoint of our earnings guidance” .
  • Development milestone: “We’re proceeding with full vertical construction of 343 Madison… we have executed a letter of intent with an anchor client for ~30% of the building” .
  • Leasing execution and pipeline: 1.1M SF executed in Q2; in-service leased vs. occupied spread widened to 270 bps (1.3M SF signed not yet commenced), enabling visible revenue ramp in H2 2025–2026 .

What Went Wrong

  • Occupancy dipped 50 bps QoQ to 86.4% due to known Boston lease expiration (360k SF) and early terminations to enable higher-rent backfills; headline occupancy will be temporarily pressured as developments are added in Q3 .
  • West Coast softness: Life-science demand for wet lab space remains thin; San Francisco traditional office users continue to rationalize even as AI demand grows, resulting in mixed mark-to-market across regions .
  • Interest expense outlook: fewer expected Fed cuts vs prior assumptions; BXP added ~$3M to 2025 interest expense in updated guidance (partly offset by lower G&A) .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Consensus Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$850.5 $865.2 $868.5 $858.1*
Diluted EPS ($)$0.51 $0.39 $0.56 $0.4191*
FFO per Share - Diluted ($)$1.77 $1.64 $1.71 $1.6724*
Net Income Attrib. to BXP ($USD Millions)$79.6 $61.2 $89.0

Values with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment NOI and Rental Revenue

SegmentRental Revenue ex-Termination ($USD Millions)NOI ex-Termination ($USD Millions)Change YoY
Office (Consolidated)$806.7 $488.6 NOI -0.1% YoY
Hotel & Residential (Consolidated)$27.3 $11.4 NOI -0.9% YoY
Consolidated Total$834.0 $500.0 NOI -0.1% YoY
BXP’s Share (ex JV Partner)$802.7 $484.2 NOI -0.2% YoY

KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
CBD Occupancy (%)90.9 89.8 89.9
Total Portfolio Occupancy (%)87.5 86.9 86.4
Total Portfolio Leased (%)89.4 89.4 89.1
BXP’s Share Net Debt / EBITDAre (Annualized) (x)8.33 8.18
Interest Coverage (ex cap. int.) (x)2.83 2.85
FAD ($USD Thousands)$213,885 $203,592
FAD Payout Ratio (%)81.03% 85.15%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
EPS (Diluted)Q3 2025$0.41–$0.43 New
FFO/Share (Diluted)Q3 2025$1.69–$1.71 New
EPS (Diluted)FY 2025$1.60–$1.72 $1.74–$1.82 Raised (midpoint +$0.12)
FFO/Share (Diluted)FY 2025$6.80–$6.92 $6.84–$6.92 Raised (midpoint +$0.02)
Avg In-service Occupancy (Assumption)FY 202586.5%–88.0% 86.5%–88.0% (unchanged) Maintained
Same-Property NOI YoY (ex term. income)FY 2025-0.5% to +0.5% 0.0% to +0.5% (midpoint +25 bps) Raised
Same-Property NOI Cash YoY (ex term.)FY 2025+0.5% to +1.5% +1.0% to +1.5% Raised
Consolidated Net Interest ExpenseFY 2025$(625)M to $(615)M $(625)M to $(620)M Slightly higher at low end
Dividend ($/share)FY 2025$3.92 annualized $3.92 annualized Maintained

Other guidance notes: Q2 beats driven by ~$0.10 EPS from the 17 Hartwell gain and ~$0.05 FFO/share outperformance; updated rate-cut assumptions reduced potential Fed cuts to two in Q4, adding ~$3M interest expense to 2025 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Prev-2)Q1 2025 (Prev-1)Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
Premier workplace outperformanceEmphasized lower vacancy and higher rents vs broader market Continued outperformance metrics; limited new office supply Confirmed; demand strongest in NY/Back Bay/Reston Improving
AI-driven demand (SF/NY)Building momentum; SF amenity upgrades AI footprint >5M SF; granular absorption; spec suites SF AI demand remains a bright spot; micro-trend emerging in Midtown South Positive, granular
Tariffs & construction costsFlagged potential inflation impact Early bids showed manageable impact; labor/materials competition offset Subcontractor interest yielding savings vs prior estimates (343 Madison GMP) Manageable
Interest rates & fundingRates volatile; opportunistic hedging; CP cheapest Bank/CMBS access; extended facilities; swapped debt Reduced expected Fed cuts; ~$3M higher 2025 interest expense Mixed headwind
343 Madison AvenueExpected 2025 launch; strong anchor interest LOIs to multiple anchors; 8% targeted yield Vertical construction launched; 30% LOI; unlevered 7.5–8% cash yield Major catalyst
Residential entitlements & monetizationActive re-entitlement pipeline 290 Coles JV launched; preferred equity 13% IRR 17 Hartwell residential JV formed; $18.4M gain; construction loan at 6.75% Accretive
Return-to-office (RTO)Gaining; CBD occupancy rising DOAS helping DC; in-person behavior improving Fortune 100: fully in-office rose to 54%; hybrid fell to 41% Tailwind
Life sciencesWeak wet-lab demand; office-only LS needs emerging Office-oriented LS demand (Waltham/SSF) Wet-lab thin; pivot examples (1050 Winter to office) Mixed

Management Commentary

  • “Our FFO per share was $0.05 above our forecast and $0.04 above market consensus… we’re also raising the midpoint of our earnings guidance” — Owen Thomas .
  • “We’re proceeding with full vertical construction of 343 Madison… we have executed a letter of intent with an anchor client for approximately 30% of the building” — Owen Thomas .
  • “Unlevered cash yield upon delivery is roughly 7.5% to 8%; levered IRR likely mid to high teens depending on cap and financing” — Owen Thomas .
  • “We increased our guidance range to $6.84 to $6.92 per share… increase at midpoint from $0.03 better same property NOI and $0.01 lower G&A, partially offset by $0.02 higher interest expense” — Mike LaBelle .
  • “Total portfolio percentage leased was 89.1%; difference between leased and occupied grew to 270 bps (~1.3M SF), expected to commence 2025–2026” — Doug Linde .

Q&A Highlights

  • 343 Madison economics and funding: BXP targets unlevered 7.5–8% yield; will buy out partner’s 45% and weigh private/public equity, asset sales (~$600M potential net proceeds), construction or corporate debt; dividend reset is a lever but not decided .
  • Occupancy trajectory: In-service portfolio to ~87% by year-end (excluding development adds); headline occupancy will be temporarily impacted (~70 bps) when 360 PAS/1050 Winter/Reston Next Block D enter service; leased square footage expected to continue rising .
  • Regional demand: Strength in Park Avenue/Back Bay/Reston; San Francisco traditional users rationalize while AI tenants drive granular absorption; amenity investments (Embarcadero Mosaic, 680 Folsom roof deck) supporting leasing .
  • Leverage: Net debt/EBITDAre expected to moderate in 2026 with delivery of fully leased 290 Binney and occupancy gains; ongoing monetization of non-income assets assists funding .
  • Mark-to-market: NY/Boston cash rents up double digits; concessions sticky outside tight submarkets; select Q2 spreads reflect specific lease mix and TI dynamics .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 actuals vs S&P Global consensus:
    • Revenue: $868.5M actual vs $858.1M consensus* — beat.
    • Diluted EPS: $0.56 actual vs $0.4191 consensus* — beat (helped by ~$0.10/share gain on sale).
    • FFO/share (REIT): $1.71 actual vs $1.6724 consensus* — modest beat.
      Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Company-reported beats versus internal guidance midpoints: EPS beat by $0.17/share; FFO/share beat by $0.05/share .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Premier workplace exposure is paying off: tightening in NY/Back Bay/Reston supports rent growth and occupancy gains into 2026; watch the leased vs occupied spread (~1.3M SF signed not yet commenced) as a leading indicator .
  • 343 Madison is a high-conviction, multi-year value-creation project with an anchor LOI and attractive unlevered yields; funding flexibility spans asset monetization, JV equity, debt, and potential dividend reset .
  • Near-term optics: headline occupancy may dip when developments enter service in Q3, but cash/NOI trajectory should improve as commencements flow through in H2 2025 and 2026 .
  • Rate sensitivity remains the key macro variable; management reduced assumed Fed cuts, lifting 2025 interest expense by ~$3M; hedge actions and fixed-rate mix help but monitor refinancing cadence .
  • West Coast remains mixed: AI supports SF demand; life-science wet-lab is soft; BXP’s pivot to office in select lab assets (e.g., 1050 Winter) exemplifies capital discipline .
  • Pipeline monetization and residential entitlements (e.g., 17 Hartwell gain) provide non-dilutive funding sources and optionality to support development and deleveraging .
  • Trading implication: the combination of guidance raise, 343 Madison greenlight, and visible occupancy lifts is a constructive narrative; near-term headline occupancy noise is likely transient against improving leased backlog .

Notes & Citations

  • Financials and performance:
  • Guidance and assumptions:
  • Segment metrics:
  • KPIs and ratios:
  • 343 Madison press and call:
  • Leasing and occupancy commentary:
  • Estimates values: S&P Global.

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