BB
BYLINE BANCORP, INC. (BY)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered strong profitability: diluted EPS $0.69, net income $30.3M, NIM rose 13 bps QoQ to 4.01%, and non-interest income increased 12.3% QoQ; PTPP ROAA stayed >2.0% for the ninth consecutive quarter .
- Balance sheet quality improved: NPA/Assets fell to 0.71% (-4 bps QoQ), NPLs/Loans declined to 0.90% (-12 bps), and ACL/Loans edged down to 1.42%; net charge-offs moderated to 0.45% annualized .
- Capital strengthened: CET1 rose 35 bps QoQ to 11.70%; tangible book value per share up 11.7% YoY to $20.09; the quarterly dividend was increased to $0.10 (+11.1%) effective Q1 2025 .
- 2025 outlook and catalysts: management guided Q1 2025 NII to $86–$88M, 2025 quarterly NIE $55–$57M, and average quarterly gain-on-sale ~$5M; First Security closing expected early Q2 2025; deposit cost tailwinds and dividend increase are potential stock reaction catalysts .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Net interest income increased to $88.5M (+1.2% QoQ) on lower deposit costs; tax-equivalent NIM rose to 4.02% (+13 bps QoQ) with loan accretion contributing 12 bps .
- Non-interest income rose to $16.1M (+12.3% QoQ) on stronger gain on sale of guaranteed loans ($7.1M; $88.9M sold vs. $79.5M in Q3) and higher premiums; management: “strong earnings and profitability” cap a successful 2024 .
- Credit metrics improved: NPLs/Loans fell to 0.90% (-12 bps QoQ), NPA/Assets to 0.71% (-4 bps), and net charge-offs declined to $7.8M from $8.5M; management highlighted SBA portfolio proactively de-risked since 2021–2022 .
What Went Wrong
- Efficiency ratio worsened to 53.58% (+156 bps QoQ) on higher salaries/benefits and OREO-related losses; adjusted efficiency ratio rose to 53.37% (+175 bps QoQ) .
- NII sensitivity to rate cuts remains: over a one-year horizon, a 100 bps decline implies ~$8–$10M NII reduction depending on ramp vs. shock scenarios; SBA reset lag also pressures near-term NII .
- Deposit balances modestly declined QoQ (-$39M to $7.46B), with time deposits down; deposit mix shifts and competitive pricing continued to weigh on funding costs despite QoQ relief .
Financial Results
Non-Interest Income breakdown:
Key KPIs:
Note: Total Revenue is non-GAAP (NII + non-interest income) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We continued to execute our strategy of becoming the preeminent commercial bank in Chicago… delivering record full-year financial results… and executing our M&A strategy with our pending acquisition of First Security Bancorp, Inc.” — Roberto R. Herencia (CEO) .
- “Our results in the fourth quarter, highlighted by strong earnings and profitability, cap off a successful 2024… we’re pleased with our progress and excited about the opportunities ahead.” — Alberto J. Paracchini (President) .
- CFO on outlook: “Our net interest margin grew to 4.01%, up 13 bps… outlook… assumes a 50 bps decline in Fed funds for 2025… NII range of $86M to $88M for the first quarter.” — Thomas J. Bell .
- “We lowered our overall cost of deposits… by 28 basis points to 2.48%… driven by higher DDA balances and disciplined deposit pricing.” — CFO .
- “We remain on track… expect [First Security] to close early in the second quarter.” — President .
Q&A Highlights
- SBA credit quality and derisking: Management emphasized proactive monitoring post-COVID, gradual deterioration anticipated and managed, and reduced unguaranteed exposure to ~6.1% of loans .
- NII/margin trajectory: With fewer rate cuts, NII seen flat to slightly up; asset sensitivity reduced via hedging; SBA reset impacts January NII .
- CD repricing leverage: Average CDs ~4.39% reprice to ~3.60% today; deposit flows shifting to liquid accounts as curve normalizes, aiding funding costs .
- <$10B preparations: Crossing timeline late 2025 to 2026 with ~four quarters needed above threshold before new rules; internal prep well underway (including new General Counsel) .
- Expense and fee guidance: 2025 NIE $55–$57M per quarter (stand-alone); average quarterly gain-on-sale ~$5M with swaps/wealth mgmt offset; Q1 seasonally lower .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to access limits at the time of retrieval. As a result, we cannot benchmark the quarter versus S&P Global consensus in this recap.
- Where guidance was provided, the company exceeded its own Q4 NII guidance ($88.5M actual vs. $85–$87M), and guided Q1 2025 NII to $86–$88M, with 2025 NIE at $55–$57M per quarter .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Deposit cost tailwinds and a positively sloped curve drove a meaningful NIM inflection in Q4; expect continued relief in 2025 as CDs reprice and mix shifts to liquid accounts. Near-term NII guided at $86–$88M for Q1 .
- Credit normalization continues, centered in SBA; proactive reserving and reduced unguaranteed exposure support manageable charge-off levels (~30–40 bps normalized), with Q4 NCOs down QoQ .
- Capital strength (CET1 11.70%) and dividend increase to $0.10 signal confidence; potential for incremental capital return alongside organic growth and M&A execution .
- Strategic M&A (First Security) and talent acquisition remain catalysts to deepen core commercial relationships, bolster deposits, and sustain top-quartile profitability .
- Watch guidance cadence: 2025 NIE discipline ($55–$57M/qtr) and average gain-on-sale ~$5M help offset fee variability; swaps/wealth management provide diversification .
- Short-term trading: positive reaction possible on dividend raise, NIM improvement, and NII beat vs Q4 guidance; sensitivity to rate path and SBA resolution pace remain risk factors .
- Medium-term thesis: asset-sensitive balance sheet, granular deposit base with high insured ratio, and consistent >2% PTPP ROAA underpin durable returns through cycle .