CG
Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record quarter: net revenue $565.2M (+13% y/y), diluted EPS $2.37 (+21% y/y), adjusted diluted EPS $2.50 (+16% y/y). Management raised 2025 organic total net revenue growth to mid-to-high single digits and reaffirmed adjusted opex guidance ($837–$852M) .
- Beat vs consensus: Q1’25 adjusted EPS $2.50 vs consensus $2.36 (+5.8%); net revenue $565.2M vs consensus $562.4M (+0.5%)*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Broad-based strength: Options (+15% y/y), Europe/APAC (+18% y/y), Global FX (+16% y/y); Cash & Spot Markets (+10% y/y) despite U.S. on-exchange share headwinds .
- Tactical catalysts: robust April activity, zero-DTE engagement, Robinhood rollout of index options, and new cash-settled Cboe FTSE Bitcoin Index futures on CFE launched April 29 .
- Leadership transition as Craig Donohue becomes CEO (effective May 7), reinforcing optionality for organic and selective inorganic growth .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- “Broad-based strength” delivered records in net revenue and adjusted EPS, with Derivatives +16%, Cash & Spot +10%, Data Vantage +8% y/y .
- Options: record net revenue $352.4M (+15% y/y) on 23% total options ADV growth; SPX/XSP/VIX activity robust and overnight index options volume at records; April volumes remained elevated .
- Data Vantage momentum: organic net revenue +8% y/y; new recurring ACV +47% y/y; 55% of new data sales outside U.S., supporting international expansion .
- Technology resiliency: completed migration to Cboe Titanium; processed over 1 trillion orders/data events across 27 markets on April 7 .
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What Went Wrong
- U.S. Equities on-exchange market share fell to 10.5% from 12.8% y/y amid higher industry off-exchange share; net transaction & clearing fees down 9% .
- Total options market share dipped to 31.1% (from 31.3%); total options RPC declined 4% on mix shift (index options lower share of total volume) .
- Section 31 fees surged to $153.1M (from $42.1M y/y), pressuring gross-to-net conversion within Cash & Spot and Derivatives revenues .
- CFO flagged reacceleration of marketing spend and higher short-term incentives given strong April, tempering near-term opex tailwinds .
Financial Results
Segment net revenue ($USD Millions):
KPIs (selected):
Consensus comparison:
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Record quarterly net revenue of $565M, record diluted EPS of $2.37, and record adjusted diluted EPS of $2.50… The second quarter is off to a robust start” .
- CFO: “We are increasing our organic total net revenue growth guidance range to mid to high single digits… and reaffirming our full year adjusted operating expense guidance” .
- Global President: “All-time quarterly, monthly and single day highs in SPX… zero-DTE averaged almost 2 million contracts in Q1, up 29% y/y and 55% of overall SPX volume” .
- COO/Technology theme: “Completed our final equities exchange migration to Cboe Titanium… our exchanges have demonstrated remarkable resilience and reliability” .
Q&A Highlights
- CEO succession and M&A posture: Board selected Donohue for global derivatives experience and CEO track record; balanced focus on organic growth and selective inorganic that “moves the needle” .
- Retail dynamics: disciplined behavior with 95% capital-at-risk strategies; retail remains engaged through volatility spikes; SPX and XSP adoption strong .
- APAC investment: boots on the ground; local-language sales; onboarding in Korea; indirect engagement via buffer/defined-outcome products; 55% of new data sales ex-U.S. .
- Capital return: opportunistic buybacks resumed post-earnings; preference for repurchases over deleveraging given fixed-rate notes ~2.8% .
- 0DTE trajectory and ecosystem: continued engagement across SPX/XSP/VIX; balanced liquidity; healthy call ratios; intraday options not an active pursuit currently .
- Competitive landscape: breadth/depth of liquidity in SPX/VIX complex and decades of innovation underpin share defensibility vs look-alike products .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 results vs consensus: adjusted EPS $2.50 vs $2.36 (+5.8% beat); net revenue $565.2M vs $562.4M (+0.5% beat)*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implications: Upward revisions plausible for FY organic net revenue trajectory given raised guidance and strong April start, while opex guide reaffirmation suggests limited margin dilution near-term .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Derivatives-led engine (SPX/XSP/VIX) plus global expansion continues to drive double-digit net revenue growth; April activity and zero-DTE adoption point to sustained tactical demand .
- Guidance raised for FY 2025 organic net revenue; expense discipline maintained—supports margin resilience and EPS trajectory .
- Headwinds in U.S. on-exchange equities share and elevated Section 31 fees persist; watch mix shifts and regulatory fee line for cash & spot profitability .
- Data Vantage momentum (ACV +47% y/y; ex-U.S. sales 55%) strengthens recurring revenue base and international cross-sell into trading businesses .
- Crypto derivatives expansion (XBTF futures, ETF index options) offers optionality to capture institutional risk management flows, with measured rollout in a regulated framework .
- Capital returns remain opportunistic (buybacks, dividend), supported by >$1B adjusted cash, low net leverage, and fixed-rate debt profile around 2.8% .
- Leadership transition to Donohue is a strategic catalyst with experience in scaling derivatives and executing large, accretive transactions .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.