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CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS INC (CDNS)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Cadence delivered a strong Q1 2025: revenue $1.242B (+23% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $1.57 (+34% YoY), both above guidance; FY25 revenue and EPS guidance were raised modestly on stronger recurring revenue and bookings .
  • Results beat Wall Street: Q1 revenue $1.242B vs $1.241B consensus* and non-GAAP EPS $1.57 vs $1.50 consensus*; Q4 2024 also beat on revenue and EPS* .
  • Broad-based strength: IP +40% YoY, System Design & Analysis (SDA) >50% YoY, core EDA +16% YoY; hardware demand remains supply-constrained; backlog $6.4B and cRPO $3.2B support visibility .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: raised FY25 outlook (non-GAAP EPS midpoint +$0.08), accelerating AI attach (Cerebrus ~50 new logos), and minimal tariff impact due to diversified hardware manufacturing and predominantly software mix .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well
    • AI-led product momentum and broad-based demand: “We exceeded our guidance on all key financial metrics… 23% revenue growth and 34% increase in non-GAAP EPS” and raised FY25 outlook .
    • Segment outperformance: IP revenue +40% YoY; SDA revenue >50% YoY; core EDA +16% YoY .
    • Hardware strength and AI partnerships: strong hardware proliferation at hyperscalers; expanded NVIDIA partnership (Grace Blackwell; agentic AI with Llama Nemotron) .
  • What Went Wrong
    • China caution persists: despite a good start, guidance still assumes China flat for the year, reflecting prudence amid macro/trade risks .
    • Hardware remains capacity-limited: demand outstrips production capacity; company is mitigating via diversified lines, but supply is still the limiter .
    • Tariff uncertainty: management does not expect material impact given software mix and diversified manufacturing, but it remains a monitored headwind .

Financial Results

Revenue, EPS and Margins (sequential trend and Q1 vs estimates)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q1 2025 Consensus*
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.215 $1.356 $1.242 $1.241*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.87 $1.24 $1.00
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.64 $1.88 $1.57 $1.50*
GAAP Operating Margin (%)28.8% 33.7% 29.1%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)44.8% 46.0% 41.7%
  • YoY: Q1 revenue +23% YoY; non-GAAP EPS +34% YoY (vs Q1 2024) .
  • Beat/Miss: Q1 revenue and EPS both beat consensus; Q4 2024 revenue and EPS also beat consensus* .

Segment/Category Mix (percent of revenue)

CategoryQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Core EDA70% 68% 71%
Semiconductor IP14% 13% 14%
System Design & Analysis16% 19% 15%
  • Q1 2025 growth by business: IP +40% YoY; SDA >50% YoY; core EDA +16% YoY .

Selected KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Backlog ($B)$5.6 $6.8 $6.4
cRPO ($B)$2.9 $3.4 $3.2
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$410 $441 $487
Free Cash Flow ($M)$383 $404 $464
DSO (days)44 48 44
Cash & Equivalents ($M)$2,786 $2,644 $2,778
Debt (principal, $M)$2,850 $2,500 $2,500
Share Repurchase ($M)$150 $150 $350

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (2/18/25)Current Guidance (4/28/25)Change
RevenueFY 2025$5.14B–$5.22B $5.15B–$5.23B Raised
GAAP EPSFY 2025$4.19–$4.29 $4.21–$4.31 Raised
Non-GAAP EPSFY 2025$6.65–$6.75 $6.73–$6.83 Raised
GAAP Op MarginFY 202530.25%–31.25% 30.25%–31.25% Maintained
Non-GAAP Op MarginFY 202543.25%–44.25% 43.25%–44.25% Maintained
GAAP OI&E ($M)FY 2025$(53)–$(67) $(43)–$(57) Improved
GAAP Tax RateFY 2025~25% ~26% Higher
Non-GAAP Tax RateFY 202516.5% 16.5% Maintained
Diluted Shares (M)FY 2025274–276 273–275 Lower
Op Cash Flow ($B)FY 2025$1.6–$1.7 $1.6–$1.7 Maintained
RevenueQ2 2025$1.25B–$1.27B New quarter guide
GAAP EPSQ2 2025$0.89–$0.95 New quarter guide
Non-GAAP EPSQ2 2025$1.55–$1.61 New quarter guide

Why raised: management cited stronger recurring revenue bookings and Q1 outperformance that carries through the year; guidance assumes export controls remain similar; tariff-related expense modestly higher but manageable .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 & Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
AI initiatives (Cerebrus, agentic AI)AI portfolio proliferating; record hardware; SDA +40% in 2024 ~50 new Cerebrus logos; >1,000 tapeouts; collaborating with NVIDIA on agentic AI (Nemotron) Accelerating
Hardware demand/capacityBest-ever Q4 hardware; strong hyperscaler demand Demand > supply; diversified production lines; limited direct tariff impact Strong but supply-limited
China/macro/tariffsChina improving to 13% of revenue in Q3; macro headwinds watched Assuming China flat for FY25; no customer behavior change; tariffs not material due to mix and supply chain Cautious/stable
IP momentumQ4 IP +28% YoY; major protocol/interface wins IP +40% YoY; DDR5 MRDIMM Gen2 12.8Gbps announced Accelerating
SDA/Systems & Digital TwinsSDA strong in 2024; multi-physics + AI SDA >50% YoY; data center digital twin momentum with hyperscalers Accelerating
Foundry ecosystem/IntelJoined Intel Foundry Accelerator Design Services; sees opportunity at Intel under new leadership Improving
Foundation IP strategyDefinitive agreement to acquire Arm Artisan Foundation IP; not in guidance Expanding

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and demand: “We haven't seen any shifts in customer behavior… customers are investing in their next-generation designs… Our ratable software business model, strong Q1 exit backlog and… AI-driven product innovations… provide resilience and excellent visibility” .
  • Financial posture: “We repurchased more Cadence shares than initially planned in Q1… We are raising our 2025 revenue and EPS outlook” .
  • Tariffs and supply chain: “Software and services are not subject to tariffs… we have multiple manufacturing lines in U.S. and outside U.S.… we don't believe… tariffs will have [an] effect on our hardware business” .
  • Hardware demand: “Hardware revenue is limited by our production capacity because demand continues to outstrip our ability to supply” .

Q&A Highlights

  • China outlook: Strong design activity, but guide assumes China flat for 2025 out of prudence .
  • Tariff exposure: Minimal given software mix and diversified hardware manufacturing footprint inside and outside U.S. .
  • Hardware capacity/pricing: Demand exceeds capacity; diversified lines (incl. Mexico and other locations) mitigate risk .
  • Licensing/cloud model with GPUs: Transitioning to richer cloud SaaS offerings; packaging hardware + software (e.g., Millennium) while maintaining traditional term licensing .
  • Intel opportunity: Sees room for share gains as Intel re-engages ecosystem; discussions underway .
  • Foundation IP acquisition: Arm Artisan deal announced; explicitly excluded from guidance .
  • Agentic AI deployment: Initial focus on verification (SimAI), digital implementation (Cerebrus), packaging/PCB (Allegro X AI), and analog migration .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025: Revenue $1.242B vs $1.241B consensus*; non-GAAP EPS $1.57 vs $1.50 consensus* — both beats .
  • Q4 2024: Revenue $1.356B vs $1.347B consensus*; non-GAAP EPS $1.88 vs $1.82 consensus* — both beats .
MetricPeriodConsensus*ActualResult
Revenue ($USD Billions)Q4 2024$1.347*$1.356 Beat
EPS (Non-GAAP, $)Q4 2024$1.82*$1.88 Beat
Revenue ($USD Billions)Q1 2025$1.241*$1.242 Beat
EPS (Non-GAAP, $)Q1 2025$1.50*$1.57 Beat

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Where estimates may adjust: upward bias to FY25 non-GAAP EPS and revenue given recurring revenue beat/flow-through and improved OI&E range, partially offset by slightly higher GAAP tax rate assumption .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Cadence’s AI-led product cycle is driving broad growth (IP +40%, SDA >50%, core EDA +16% YoY), with Cerebrus adoption and hyperscaler hardware proliferation underpinning multi-quarter momentum .
  • The business remains resilient: 80% recurring revenue (company target), $6.4B backlog and $3.2B cRPO support raised FY25 outlook and visibility .
  • Hardware demand outpaces supply; near-term upside exists if capacity increases, but management’s diversified manufacturing limits tariff and supply chain risk .
  • Macro/China caution is embedded (assumed flat), providing potential upside if demand in China accelerates; export control/tariff assumptions remain a watch item .
  • Strategic M&A broadens TAM: Arm Artisan Foundation IP brings foundational libraries/compilers into the portfolio (closing 2H25, not in guidance) .
  • Q2 2025 guide implies continued strength (rev $1.25–$1.27B; non-GAAP EPS $1.55–$1.61); beats in recurring revenue tend to carry through subsequent quarters .
  • Near-term trading setup: positive skew from raised FY25 guide and AI narrative reinforcement; watch for hardware delivery cadence, China policy headlines, and timing of Foundation IP close .

Additional Relevant Press Releases in Q1 2025

  • Cadence to acquire Arm Artisan Foundation IP business (definitive agreement; expected close Q3 2025) .
  • Industry-first DDR5 12.8Gbps MRDIMM Gen2 memory IP system solution for AI/HPC/data centers .
  • Expanded NVIDIA collaboration on Grace Blackwell and agentic AI for engineering and science (Llama Nemotron Reasoning Model) .

Footnote: Values marked with an asterisk (*) are consensus estimates retrieved from S&P Global.