C&
CHURCH & DWIGHT CO INC /DE/ (CHD)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 came in slightly better than internal expectations and beat Wall Street: revenue $1.51B (+0.1% organic; -0.3% reported) and adjusted EPS $0.94 vs $0.85 outlook; beats vs S&P consensus on both EPS and revenue driven by higher-than-expected organic sales and resilient margins . EPS consensus $0.858*; revenue consensus $1.489B*.
- Domestic weakness (negative price/mix, retail destocking) was offset by International strength and continued share gains in key power brands; adjusted gross margin 45.0% (-40 bps YoY) absorbed tariff and recall costs, partly offset by productivity and mix .
- Full-year 2025 outlook maintained: Net Sales +0–2%, Organic +0–2%, adjusted gross margin contraction ~60 bps, adjusted EPS +0–2%, CFO raises “Other expense” to ~$65M (from $50M) and reiterates cash from operations ~$1.05B; Q3 guide: organic +1–2% and adjusted EPS $0.72 (-9% YoY) with ~100 bps GM contraction as tariff timing shifts into Q3 .
- Strategic actions continue: exits of FLAWLESS, SPINBRUSH and Waterpik showerheads (pre-tax charges ~$51M in Q2) and a strategic review of the Vitamins business; Touchland acquisition closed in July, now CHD’s 8th power brand, margin-rate accretive long term .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- International momentum: Consumer International net sales +5.3% reported; organic +4.8% with broad-based gains across subsidiaries; share growth across power brands . “We were able to grow share in all of our power brands in the quarter, which is a great achievement.”
- Power brands outperforming categories: THERABREATH consumption +22.5% with 21% share; HERO acne +11.4% consumption and #1 in acne; ARM & HAMMER liquid laundry consumption +3.2% vs category +1.3% .
- Execution vs outlook and S&P consensus: Adjusted EPS $0.94 vs $0.85 outlook, driven by higher organic sales and margin resilience; tariffs partly deferred to Q3 and productivity programs offset inflation .
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What Went Wrong
- Domestic pressures: Consumer Domestic organic -1.0% on negative price/mix (‑1.1%), retail destocking still ~100 bps drag in Q2; vitamins remain a notable headwind with ~25% consumption decline early in quarter (improving through June) .
- Gross margin headwinds: Adjusted GM 45.0% (-40 bps YoY) impacted by tariffs, recall costs (ZICAM/ORAJEL), promotional pricing and mix; Q3 to see ~100 bps GM contraction as tariff timing shifts .
- BATISTE softness: Consumption down ~7% on competitive price actions, economic trade-down, and earlier supply issues (now resolved); remediation via innovation and price/size architecture underway .
Financial Results
Note: Consensus figures marked with * are Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment net sales and growth
Selected KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Adjusted EPS was $0.94, which was $0.09 higher than our $0.85 outlook… since [May], things have begun to improve… Q2 category consumption for our largest categories finishing around 2.5%.” — CEO Rick Dierker .
- “[International] delivered sales growth of 5.3%... we were able to grow share in all of our power brands in the quarter.” — CEO .
- “Our second quarter adjusted gross margin was 45.0%… productivity and higher margin acquisition business mix drove 170 bps… offset by 140 bps from inflation/tariffs… and 30 bps from the ZICAM ORAJEL swab recall.” — CFO Lee McChesney .
- “We continue to expect full year Adjusted EPS growth for 2025 of 0 to 2%… includes the Touchland acquisition, the cost of the product recall and the wind-down of the three exited brands.” — CEO .
- On Vitamins: “We are undertaking a strategic review… options include divestiture, JV/partnership, or right-sizing for profitability.” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Vitamins strategic alternatives: Options include sale, JV/partnership, or right-sizing; running the business as if owned “forever” while process advances; green shoots in multivitamins as declines improved from ~25% to single digits late in quarter .
- Promotional environment: Laundry promotion levels remain within historical norms (low-30% sold on deal); litter elevated due to competitor activity; depth of promotion unchanged .
- Tariff headwinds: 2025 dollar impact unchanged but timing shifts more cost into Q3; 12-month run-rate discussed (~$60M earlier, moving toward ~$50M after policy changes), mitigation via productivity and targeted pricing .
- BATISTE actions: Addressing category disruption from competitor pricing and size architecture; supply issues resolved; expanding sizes/innovation (Batiste Light) to reaccelerate consumption .
- Touchland priorities: Strong growth drivers (Sephora/Ulta/Amazon), low household penetration (~6% vs category 37%); international rollout and innovation to continue; EPS neutral in 2025 .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Adjusted EPS $0.94 vs $0.858*; Revenue $1,506.3M vs $1,488.5M*; EPS based on 16 estimates*, revenue based on 13 estimates*. Beat on both EPS and revenue ; consensus from S&P Global*.
- Outlook implications: Street likely to hold FY EPS near prior levels given maintained FY guide, but Q3 EPS guide ($0.72) and ~100 bps GM compression may drive modest cuts to Q3 estimates while back-half organic growth (implied ~2.5%) supports FY pacing .
Note: Consensus figures marked with * are Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Small but meaningful beat: Organic sales at the high end and margin resiliency drove an EPS and revenue beat vs consensus, despite domestic softness and recall/tariff headwinds .
- Mix of offense and defense: International, THERABREATH, HERO, and ARM & HAMMER laundry continue to gain share; management is defending margins via productivity and surgical pricing while sustaining ~11% marketing investment .
- Near-term GM pressure is transitory: Tariff timing and exit-related mix compress Q3 margins (~-100 bps), but structural mitigation and portfolio cleanup should reduce headwinds over the next 12 months .
- Vitamins is a 2H watch item: Strategic review underway with paths to value creation; improving trend lines reduce downside risk, but execution and timing are key .
- Touchland adds a scalable growth vector: Closed in July, margin-rate positive and underpenetrated; expect incremental growth and eventual accretion, neutral to 2025 EPS .
- Capital deployment remains active: $300M ASR in Q2 and revolver expanded to $2.0B provide flexibility for M&A while maintaining ~$1.05B CFO guidance and ~$130M capex plan .
- Trading setup: Beats plus maintained FY guide are constructive, but Q3 EPS/GM guide likely tempers near-term enthusiasm; watch category growth trajectory, promo rationality in household, and vitamin decision by year-end 2025 for next catalysts .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- Domestic/International/SPD organic growth: -1.0% / +4.8% / +0.1% .
- Adjusted operating income: $315.9M in Q2 (operating margin 21.0%) .
- Effective tax rate: 23.8% in Q2 (vs 24.0% in Q2’24) .
- Dividend per share in Q2: $0.30 .