C. H. Robinson Worldwide - Earnings Call - Q2 2017

Transcript

Speaker 0

morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the C. H. Robinson Second Quarter twenty seventeen Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. Following today's presentation, Tim Dagnall will facilitate a review of previously submitted questions.

As a reminder, this conference is being recorded, Thursday, July 2037. I will now turn the conference over to Tim Gagnon, the Director of Investor Relations.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Donna, and good morning, everybody. On our call today will be John Wehof, Chief Executive Officer and Andy Clark, the Chief Financial Officer. John and Andy will provide some prepared comments on the highlights of our second quarter results. We'll follow that with a response to the pre submitted questions we received after our earnings release yesterday. Please note that there are presentation slides that accompany our call to facilitate the discussion.

The slides can be accessed in the Investor Relations section of our website, which is located at chrobinson.com. John and Andy will be referring to these slides in their prepared comments. I'd like to remind you that comments made by John, Andy or others representing C. H. Robinson may contain forward looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties.

Our SEC filings contain additional information about factors that could cause actual results to differ from management's expectations. With that, I'll turn it over to John to prepare to begin his prepared comments on Slide three with a review of our second quarter results.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Tim, and good morning, everyone. It was a challenging second quarter. We were able to continue to grow our volumes and achieve market share gains, but our income and EPS results were disappointing and finished below our expectations. Our results were significantly impacted by truckload margin compression as the North American truckload market transitioned from being relatively balanced to fairly tight, driving purchased transportation costs up more than we expected in the quarter. Much of our customer pricing is committed and changes over longer periods of time.

The margin compression in the North American market impacted our NAST and Robinson Fresh Truckload businesses, and you'll see that impact in the segment results. We have a strong history of honoring our customer contracts while adjusting to the market, and I'm confident that we will adapt and execute in the months to come. We continue to execute against our long term strategic initiatives to grow and diversify our business. The Global Forwarding business delivered strong results in the second quarter with both double digit net revenue and operating income growth. Managed Services also had another strong growth quarter.

Total revenues increased 12.4% in the second quarter, driven by volume growth of 10% in our Transportation Services. Total company net revenues declined 3.4% in the quarter. The addition of APC Logistics accounted for approximately 2% of the total net revenue in the quarter. Income from operations was 182,000,000 a decrease of 22% and net income was also down 22%. We had diluted earnings per share of $0.78 in the second quarter compared to $1 last year.

Our average headcount was up 8% in the quarter. The addition of APC added approximately 2% to the average headcount. After Andy goes through the financial deck, I'll provide some thoughts on how we're managing the business and approaching the back half of the year and beyond. So with that, let me turn it over to Andy.

Speaker 3

Thank you, John, and good morning, everyone. As John mentioned, it was a challenging quarter for both income and earnings. We did grow top line, however, across the organization by taking market share, but it didn't translate into the results that we expect of ourselves. As I run through the numbers for the enterprise and the reportable segments, I will provide greater details on the results and how we are adapting to current market conditions, especially in the North American market. There are some positives in our results and we would be remiss if we didn't recognize the efforts and the results of our Global Forwarding and Managed Services teams.

So let me start with the summarized income statement on Slide four. Operating expenses were $392,000,000 in the quarter, an 8.7% increase versus last year. Personnel expenses increased just over 5% in the quarter, primarily as a result of the 8% headcount increase. Approximately 30% of the headcount, as John mentioned, was the result of the APC acquisition. The remaining additions were across the various business units and shared services teams.

Cash compensation for Robinson grew in line with headcount, while variable compensation, including profit sharing and stock vesting decreased versus last year. SG and A expenses increased 19.4% to nearly $108,000,000 in the second quarter. Claims were $8,000,000 in the quarter, which was up nearly $6,000,000 versus last year. We had a few contingent auto liability claims that we settled in the quarter that made up the majority of the increase. Acquisition amortization was up nearly $3,000,000 as a result of the APC acquisition and allowance for doubtful accounts, warehouse expense and purchased services were up nearly $2,000,000 each.

As we move into the second half of the year and look to 2018, our entire organization are evaluating expenses and headcount. We are balancing our growth initiatives with our efficiency and cost control priorities. You will also notice on our full income statement a 2,500,000 increase in interest expense. Our debt balance is up versus last year and the interest rate the short term portion of that debt increased from 1.5% last year to 2.1% this year. For the quarter, our operating income as a percent of net revenues decreased to 31.7% compared to 39.3% in last year's second quarter.

The effective tax rate during the quarter was 35.6% versus 37.1% last year. For the remaining quarters in 2017, we expect a tax rate between 3637%. This rate will fluctuate based on the value of the shares as well as the percentage of pretax profits generated outside The United States. During the second quarter of this year, we generated nearly 20% of our income outside of The United States. Moving on to Slide five and other financial information.

We generated nearly $60,000,000 in cash in the quarter and had $16,000,000 in capital expenditures. The largest drivers of the decrease in cash flow from operations was the increase in accounts receivable during the quarter. This occurrence is normal and expected during periods of accelerating top line growth. The other driver of the decrease relates to the timing of our federal tax payment. We finished the quarter with $273,000,000 in cash and our debt balance is just over $1,300,000,000 For the entire year 2017, we expect capital expenditures to be in the range of 60,000,000 to $70,000,000 the majority of which relates to continued investments in IT.

On to Slide six and our capital distribution to shareholders. We have returned approximately $106,000,000 to shareholders in the quarter with just over $64,000,000 in dividends and approximately $42,000,000 in share repurchases. In the quarter, we returned nearly 96% of our net income to shareholders in line with our stated annual objectives and year to date that number sits at 94%. Moving on to Slide seven and net revenue by service. As a reminder, pardon me, this slide represents the services revenue for all of our business units.

We've historically provided this view on the services revenue, but rather than review this slide separately, I will make comments about the various services within the business segments. On Slide eight, the light and dark blue lines represent the percent change in North American truckload rate and cost per mile to customers and carriers net of fuel costs since 02/2008. The gray line is the net revenue margin for all transportation services. In this year's second quarter, the North American truckload rate per mile net of fuel was flat versus last year's second quarter, while cost per mile increased 4%. While customer pricing was flat overall, the contractual pricing was down and transactional pricing was up during the quarter.

Purchased transportation costs increased 4%. This was the result of the tightening capacity in the marketplace on a year over year basis and that increased during the quarter. June had the largest year over year increase, up 6% versus last year. Starting with Roadcheck early in the month and carrying through the July 4 holiday, we saw things really tighten up with costs rising more than we have seen in some period of time. Our pricing did increase as a result of the cost increase, but there was a lag effect.

We continue to assess the market and the increased pricing environment and would share that into July we are still seeing higher purchase transportation cost versus the same time last year. Slide nine and our transportation results. Total transportation revenues for all segments were up 15.2% to $3,300,000,000 in the second quarter. As I mentioned earlier, this is a result of our strong volume growth of 10% across all of our services in the second quarter. Transportation net revenue margins decreased to 16.2%, down from last year's second quarter of 19.3%.

We experienced lower margins in most of our transportation services with the North American truckload margin compression having the greatest impact. I'll go into greater detail in each of the business units. Now to Slide 10 and the reportable segments. Before getting into the NAST numbers, I'd like to first comment on the NAST organization. We are the number one truckload broker and we are the number one LTL broker in North America by a wide margin.

We've been in the game longer and we have more experience than anyone out there. While the results are challenging and our execution not perfect, we have the leadership team and the strategy and the people out in the field to weather and succeed in the long run. In the North American Surface Transportation segment, total revenues increased over 10% to approximately $2,400,000,000 in the second quarter. Volume across NASS services increased nearly 8% in the quarter. NASS net revenues decreased 9.8% to $360,000,000 in the quarter.

NAST revenue margin was 15.1% compared to last year's second quarter of 18.5%. The lower margins were primarily the result of increased purchased transportation cost in both the truckload and LTL service lines. NAST operating expenses increased slightly 1.5%. The increase was due to SG and A expenses, which was partially offset by a decrease in personnel expenses at the divisional level. Income from operations were down 23.2% to $140,000,000 NAST operating margins were 39% in the quarter, down from 45.8% last year and employee count was 7,003, up slightly from the previous quarter.

Now to Slide 11 and the results by service within NAST. As I mentioned, NAST truckload net revenues were down $41,000,000 or 14.1%. The margin compression within the contractual truckload business is representative of the risk we take when we enter into longer term price and volume commitments with our customers. As a reminder, most of our contracts are one year in length and the contracts are executed at varying times throughout the year based on customer terms. We did not expect transportation costs to rise at the level they did in the second quarter and we are reacting to changes as quickly as we can.

There are initiatives underway to appropriately adapt to this market by making sure we honor our commitment levels while also adjusting pricing in our transactional and backup business. Truckload volume was up 8% in the second quarter and we continue to outpace the overall market volume growth during the quarter. We achieved volume growth in both short and long haul shipments. We added 3,700 new carriers in the second quarter compared to approximately 4,400 in last year's second quarter. These new carriers moved approximately 18,000 shipments for us during the quarter.

LTL net revenues increased 2.1% to nearly $100,000,000 Volumes increased 6.5% when compared to the second quarter of last year and purchased transportation cost increased during the quarter, putting slight pressure on margins. Intermodal net revenues decreased 6.3% in the quarter with volumes up 15.5%. Over the past several quarters, we've been growing the contractual business, albeit at lower margins, while transactional volumes are down quite a bit from last year's second quarter. This is obviously a result of depressed truckload pricing market environment. And now on to Slide 12 and results for our Global Forwarding segment.

As previously, I'd like to comment on the Global Forwarding team prior to getting into the results, which were fantastic. Our Global Forwarding team has been building momentum for some time and have done very well in executing against their growth plans. We've been the number one NVO from China to The U. S. For some time.

And in this past quarter, however, we elevated our ranking in all of Asia to the number one NDO from Asia to The United States. Congratulations to the team for these great results. The APC integration has gone incredibly well and we are generating great returns in the short time since partnering with them. Total revenues for the Global Forwarding segment in the second quarter were $529,000,000 up 48.2% versus last year. Second quarter net revenues were 121,000,000 a 24.5% increase from 2016.

We had strong organic growth of over 12% and APC contributed to the success in Global Forwarding adding approximately 12% as well. Net revenue margin was 22.9%, down from 27.3% last year. Margin compression in the quarter is a result of the combination of overall industry trends as well as the incredibly strong volume growth and market share gains. Income from operations was up 23.6% to nearly $28,000,000 and operating margin was 22.9% in the quarter. Headcount increased over 14% in the quarter with APC representing just over 300 or approximately 9% of the additional employees in the business.

Slide 13 will cover our Global Forwarding service lines. Ocean net revenues were up 22%, 10% of which was organic growth in the quarter. APC contributed approximately 12% to our Ocean net revenue growth. Ocean shipments increased approximately 22% in the quarter and pricing was up in the Ocean service line. The margin compression in this area was primarily in our contractual business.

Air net revenues increased 31% with even stronger organic growth of 20 plus percent. APC contributed approximately 11% to the growth. Air shipments increased during the quarter approximately 32% and price per air shipment was up for the first time in some time in the second quarter. The team has executed well in their stated strategy of growing airfreight and gateway consolidations. Customs net revenue increased nearly 41% with APC contributing approximately 24% to that growth.

Customs transactions increased approximately 34% in the second quarter. These results were a nice bounce back for both net revenue and operating income. Year to date net revenues are up 19.7 with organic Global Forwarding net revenues just short of 7%. Transitioning to our Robinson Fresh business on Slide 14. Now to Robinson Fresh, which is our global logistics and product division that is focused on fresh temperature controlled supply chains.

With our new segment reporting, we now share results inclusive of revenues from sourcing and transportation services, whereas previously we only reported sourcing revenue, enrolled sourcing

Speaker 0

transportation up into consolidated transportation reporting.

Speaker 3

Only Like NAST, while our Robinson Fresh results are not where we want them to be, this team has been in the business a very long time. It's how we got started and we have the leaders and the people to adapt to drive better results. Robinson Fresh total revenues were $657,000,000 a decrease slightly of 0.5% in the second quarter. Net revenues were down 10% last year to $61,000,000 Robinson Fresh operating expenses increased 15% in the second quarter. The increase was primarily due, as I mentioned earlier, to the SG and A expenses, which was driven by a contingent auto liability claim of nearly $4,000,000 The Robinson Fresh operating expenses were also impacted by new warehouse facilities and increases in technology spending.

Income from operations were $14,200,000 in the quarter. And finally, Robinson Fresh average headcount increased 3.5% in the quarter. On Slide 15, Robinson Fresh sourcing total revenue declined 6.7. The decrease in total revenue was a result of lower market pricing down approximately 7% per case sold. Sourcing net revenues were down nearly 7% in the second quarter as case volume was flat on a year over year basis.

The primary reason for the decrease in sourcing net revenue was a result of a decline in product margins and the loss of a customer. Moving on to Slide 16 and the Robinson Fresh Transportation business. Robinson Fresh Transportation total revenues increased 10.3% in the 2017, driven by volume growth of 15%. Robinson Fresh transportation net revenue decreased 14.6% in the 2017 due primarily to truckload net revenue declining 19.8% in the quarter. We continue to see strong volume growth in the Robinson Fresh transportation business with a 15% year over year increase.

The Robinson Fresh truckload business has a similar share of contractual business as the NAST truckload business and the initiatives I talked about earlier are priorities for the Robinson Fresh team as well. Moving on to All Other and Corporate on Slide 17. All Other includes our Managed Services business as well as Surface Transportation outside of North America and other miscellaneous revenues as well as unallocated corporate expenses. Headcount was up 15.7% and this was primarily the result of personnel increases in technology, other enterprise resources, European Surface Transportation and Managed Services. Net revenue for the Other category increased 6.8% in the 2017 compared to the same period in 2016 led by the continued strong performance in our managed services, which is partially offset by a decrease in net revenues in the European Surface Transportation business.

TMC, our managed services organization continues to perform well. We are leading and managing some of the most complex global supply chains for some of the most recognized technology and manufacturing companies in the world. Freight under management continues to increase and we are on pace to approach $4,000,000,000 by the end of the year. As an organization, we are approaching $7,000,000,000 in freight under management. Managed Services net revenue increased 15.1% in the 2017 to $18,200,000 compared to $15,800,000 in the 2016.

This increase was a result of new business as well as increased business with existing customers. The Managed Services team continues to deliver strong results and we feel good about our ability to continue to grow net revenue double digits. Other Surface Transportation net revenues decreased 2.4% in the 2017 to just under $14,000,000 compared to which was flat versus last year. The decrease was primarily the result of truckload margin compression in Europe. Similar to North America, the European business has a high percent of contractual commitments.

Our team in Europe has done a great job as well to grow volumes and take market share. And with that, I thank you all for joining us this morning. I'm going to turn it back over to John for some closing comments before we answer your questions.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Andy. So moving to Slide 19, consistent with past periods, I'll start our final comments with some key performance metrics from the current month. July to date total company net revenue has increased approximately 2% compared to July 2016. Truckload volume growth has slowed from the second quarter. The holiday timing makes precise comparisons difficult this early in the month, but truckload volume growth has been in the low single digits.

Our primary focus in Truckload Services is adapting to market conditions, and I'd like to expand on what we mean by that. As a reminder, our approach to account management is very customized by size segment, vertical and specific business needs. We have a variety of customer commitments and unique contracts with thousands of our customers. We think that's a big part of our competitive advantage in the marketplace and allows better customer service. When we experience a significant shift in the market conditions, we do a number of things to react.

All of them are guided by the overall principle of honoring our commitments and providing great customer service. Our reactions include things like clarifying committed and transactional activity, reviewing tender acceptances and turndowns, discussing route guide compliance and where customers might be experiencing service failures, evaluating activity by lane, looking for alternative routing solutions and making price adjustments where appropriate. Our goal in this part of the truckload cycle is to provide great service, honor our commitments and adjust to optimum routing and pricing for our customers. We commit significant resources to these account management practices and believe in customized solutions. While there's always some level of market adjustment occurring, we are several weeks into more active assessments.

Our results in early July reflect some of the outcomes from those adjustments. Beyond adapting to the changes in the truckload market conditions, I also want to share some thoughts on how we're managing our network and the related costs. Part of our core business model and strategy is to have significant pay for performance and variable costs in our network. We remain committed to those principles and believe that our net revenue growth and network costs will be more aligned longer term than they are this year. Our additional segment reporting information this year should help to understand the changes in our mix and where we are investing our capital.

At our Investor Day in May, we shared an overview of how we're transforming our operational network and investing in technology and digital processes. We continue to feel very confident about our progress on those initiatives and the related efficiencies and productivity that we're already seeing. As a reminder, we did increase our truckload volume this quarter by 8.5% while adding 3% headcount to NAST. We're investing in automating our service offerings and changing our network to leverage scale and expand our service offerings. While we believe we can improve our financial results for the remainder of 2017, we also do expect to continue increased technology investments that are more fixed cost.

Over the longer term, we believe we'll have a more automated and skilled network that will allow us to leverage those fixed costs for improved efficiency. During this network transition, we will be aggressively managing our other discretionary expenses and continuing to invest in sales and account management to grow the business. We're committed to maintaining our leadership position in truckload services while growing and diversifying our business through this network transformation. That ends our prepared comments, and I'll turn it back over to Tim to facilitate our Q and A session.

Speaker 0

Mr. Gacklin, the floor is yours for the Q and A session.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Donna, And thank you to all the analysts and investors that shared their questions with us last evening. We had a lot of great questions and we'll get right to them here this morning. I'll start off the Q and A with Andy. And our first question is, please provide context to the increases in claims expenses this quarter. Are they expected to be one time or occurring?

Do you expect increases in premiums, etcetera?

Speaker 3

Yes. A little backdrop on the actual insurance. We own the retention on the first $5,000,000 So any claim or contingent on liability that occurs, we own the first $5,000,000 of it. As far as the premiums, we've been able to keep those flat in our annual renewal. So we're buying insurance better and keeping the amount that we pay for the premiums down.

So in this quarter, we had three incidents that were settled during the quarter. These are incidents that go back several years, but they finally made it to the point where we were able to settle them for a total of $6,000,000 As a point of reference, last quarter, we didn't have any contingent liabilities that went against us. And in fact, we had a legal claim that we settled positively for us. So there is variability in that number. And because of the level of variability, it's it really is hard to predict.

And because it's hard to predict, the accountants will not let you set up a general reserve for them. So so while we we've done a good job, we think, of managing those claims and we move millions of shipments a year, inevitably, does happen. And in the quarter like this, settled three of them.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Andy. Next question to John. Could you please elaborate on the increased focus on cost controls and SG and A expenses? What expenses categories you see opportunities and how do you think about the rate of headcount growth going forward?

Speaker 2

So I started to address this in the tail end of the prepared comments, but I'll go a little bit deeper into it. From a cost control standpoint, we do look at personnel and non personnel costs somewhat separately. They're obviously related but managed differently. There are some other questions that are more specific to the non personnel SG and A that are directed to Andy that are coming up. So I'll leave that to come.

But obviously, there's opportunities in that core category. The more significant operating expense is the personnel side of it. And in my prepared comments, we talked about the implementation of segment reporting. And as we grow and diversify, why it's important to look at where we're adding those heads and how our business is growing and changing. We obviously have the acquired personnel from the APC acquisition as well as organic hiring and growth in Global Forwarding, all accumulating in results that we want to sustain along the business plan there.

The growth in managed services, again, there's headcount additions in there. And I commented about the headcount additions in the technology space where we are making some specific projects and some specific investments that we want to or need to continue going forward to finish with over the next year or two. We have had a long term growth expectation of adding people to our team at a pace slower than the volume growth that we've incurred. And we've been successful with that over the long run and we've been more successful with it the last couple of years. We obviously have to balance whatever cyclicality or secular changes are going on and make sure that we balance our overall business model of net revenue and personnel growth.

So we will continue that. If our volume continues to taper off, we will see decreased hiring in the areas where we are driving hiring relative to volume. We already do see tapering off in some of our divisions where that occurs. So we adjust that fairly quickly. There are some fixed costs associated with adding to our team.

And just like truckload pricing, it can take a quarter or two to cycle through so that we do expect the headcount growth to level off or even go down with attrition in some of the divisions through the remainder of the year, and we'll get the personnel costs in line over the long term like we always have.

Speaker 1

Thanks, John. And the next question, Andy, on SG and A expenses. You noted higher bad debt in warehouse expenses in the second quarter, which negatively impacted G and A expenses. Can you quantify those and help us think about a normalized G and A run rate going forward given the volatility in that line over the last several quarters?

Speaker 3

Yes. It's that allowance for doubtful account was different than bad debt. We had very low actual bad debt experience during the quarter and year to date. But the way the accounting works for that particular number, it's up $2,000,000 versus last year. But remember, 2016 was down $2,000,000 approximately $2,000,000 from 2015.

So it's a formula driven by the amount of receivables that you have. And if you think about our 12.5% top line growth, clearly that means that we're going to have more revenue and therefore more receivables from our customers. And the formula is driven by the amount of receivables that you have as well as the amount that's beyond sixty days. So in a period where, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, where revenue is growing, you're going to continue to see not only receivables increase, but certainly that allowance received. So that's that particular part of it.

We've talked about the warehouse expense being up $2,000,000 and that's primarily in the Robinson Fresh division, although there's little bit in the NAST division. But that will lap and normalize at the end of the third and the beginning of the fourth quarter. There's another expense that's in there that will lap at the end of the third quarter, which is the $3,000,000 of amortization expense from the APC acquisition. So if you take all of those up and including the one that I mentioned in my previous answer, is the $6,000,000 of claims. You got the $2,000,000 of the allowance for doubtful account.

Got the $2,000,000 of the warehouse. You got $3,000,000 in amortization. That's $13,000,000 that to a degree is driving a lot of the variability of the 107. So when we think about more normalized rate, we certainly believe that there's areas that we are going to continue to focus on and continue to drive better results. As John and I both mentioned, John in his answers to me in my prepared remarks, clearly our objective is to drive down the SG and A cost both as a percent of revenue, but also as a percent of the personnel.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Andy. Next question to John on pricing. What percentage of your truckload brokerage business was exposed to contract pricing? How does that compare to second quarter twenty sixteen levels? Do you not anticipate the tightening of or did I'm sorry, did you not anticipate the tightening of supply and demand that was experienced in May and June?

Are you now inclined to ratchet down the percentage of contract business exposure going forward?

Speaker 2

So the answer to the first part of the question is that our committed truckload pricing was about two thirds or 65% is our best estimate of the business that happened during the second quarter of this year. That is fairly consistent with the second quarter of last year. But I think the important point there is that if you were to go back 15 a long time, fifteen to twenty years ago, that was single digits or closer to zero. So the longer term trend in our business has been a steady increase of more mix of committed and contractual freight as we've grown with large customers and as we've expanded our service offering more into core lanes and core committed services with those largest customers. So in terms of where we see this headed and do we want to ratchet down the percentage of that contractual business, Whenever we go through a market adjustment like we are now, there is some natural attrition of those committed prices where when we do have to raise that certain customers won't renew.

When the market moves this aggressively, there will naturally be more spot market opportunities. So it is not a steady linear increase of committed activity. It does cycle up and down, and we would expect to likely see some increase as the entire market perhaps moves more transactional that our mix of business will as well too. From a long term trend though, we do not have goals to drive that down. The best estimates are probably that 80% of the overall market is committed, and we do feel that it's served us well in the long run, and it is an important capability that we have to participate in that committed freight.

And as I said in my prepared comments, it's a big part of our service advantage in the marketplace to be able to understand all the nuances and work with both types of freights with our customers. Overall, I would say our goal is to continue to use technology and information and process improvement to better manage the relationship between the committed and the transactional freight and make sure that we're doing the best we can to be successful on both parts of it. With regards to the question of did we not anticipate the tightening of the supply and demand, if you look at the chart on Slide eight where Andy covered the pricing, while our pricing was flat year over year, that was actually quite an improvement of declined pricing in previous years. So there certainly was an expectation of increased costs as the year would progress. But it's not just us.

I think the market consensus as a whole was looking towards the end of the year and into 2018 for a more meaningful increase in costs, and it has started early. So while we did anticipate the trend that was happening, as we've acknowledged, it was greater than we expected and did spike up more than anticipated in our contract negotiations during the months of May and June.

Speaker 1

Thanks, John. Next question, Andy, on personnel. Why was personnel expense so high as a percentage of net revenue per employee? Typically, that is more variable.

Speaker 3

Yes. Personnel expenses are up as a number because headcount is up. So personnel expenses are up 5.5% and headcount is up 8%. The cash compensation per person is flat on a year over year basis. But broadly speaking, performance based compensation, including equity, including profit sharing is down double digits versus last year.

So the average headcount or pardon me, the average total compensation per person is down 3% when you factor those two in. And so when you have top line margin compression that we saw particularly in North American truckload, but in all of our businesses, it will negatively impact that ratio. I'd also like to maybe dovetail onto what John just mentioned in terms of personnel and address that. I think the ATA came out yesterday, the day before and talked about how they anticipate truckload volumes to grow at 3.5% per year until 2023. And if you just do kind of assuming, which by the way, we're not assuming, assuming we don't take any market share, if you just use that figure and you extrapolate it out, that's well over 1,000,000 additional loads that we would be doing in the outer years.

And so we, a senior leadership team, particularly a NASA organization, Robinson Fresh, in that area, think about how do we continue to grow for the long term. Part of that, which we've done is invest through cycles, invest through good cycles, invest through challenging cycles when it comes to thinking about the long term strategic plans and strategic priorities for the organization. So we just wanna make sure that that, we communicated effectively to to the people on this phone and obviously the people in our organization to to to let them know that we're we're thinking about things in the short term and making the adjustments that we need to make, but there's also the long term game that's out there.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Andy. Next question to John. Also on personnel, you've been steadfast in your strategy to hire employees to support future growth. Are employee hiring plans expected to be tempered given the second quarter twenty seventeen's net revenue contraction?

Speaker 2

As I stated earlier, the headline answer to that is yes. However, one of the things I do want to clarify is that we are very well aware of how the world is changing and the impact of technology and the fact that more and more in almost every industry, you cannot just throw bodies at things to solve problems. The thing that we try to emphasize and differentiate is that while there's a lot of automation and change in our industry, we do have 4% or 5% of our freight that is We know that a lot of our gains and a lot of our opportunity to continue to grow in the marketplace is driven by having what we think are the best people in the industry. So we want to make sure that we combine our belief in sales and account management with everything that we can do to automate and improve our processes and leverage our productivity in the future. And the last part around that is because we do have a heavy balance of proprietary technology, even our investments in that area show up in the personnel line more so than the SG and A line item because we are building a lot of our own code.

So we are managing and adjusting to how our industry is changing and how the marketplace is changing. And we do have a commitment to our employees that we think they're a key part of our success and will be in the future as well too. But we're also focused on leveraging technology and productivity gains for the future.

Speaker 1

Thanks, John. Next question to Andy on competition. Was any margin pressure a function of extra brokerage capacity brought into the market by Uber, Amazon or any of the other venture capital funded startups?

Speaker 3

I would, I guess, maybe answer that question by clearly the margin pressure that we are experiencing and quite frankly everybody is experiencing is brought on by a challenging pricing environment and increased competition broadly speaking. I'm not sure in terms of the question of the extra brokerage capacity and how that relates, but there certainly is when in environments like this, people tend to obviously react as we've done and become very competitive in the marketplace. So we're reacting as we need to in that area.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Andy. Next question to John. Can you please discuss net revenue growth excluding APC Logistics July to date year over year?

Speaker 2

So we talked about this in the prepared comments a little bit, but I'll clarify a little bit further. So July to date net total company net revenue up 2%. We have shared and been consistent that the acquisition of APC has contributed about 2%. The APC acquisition closed right around October 1 or the beginning of the fourth quarter. So they're one more quarter and including these early results in July, we are getting a little bit of tailwind from the APC acquisition that would show up in the Global Forwarding segment.

The changes that I discussed around adapting to the market are driven towards the truckload services in both NAST and Fresh. So really, when you look at our second quarter results of total company net revenue being down 4% versus the plus 2% for the early July, virtually all of that changes in the truckload Services net revenue for the first couple of weeks of July.

Speaker 1

Thanks, John. Next question, Andy. Global Forwarding organic net revenue growth of roughly 12% year over year, any specific verticals, regions or other sources of this growth? Does it reflect share gains or underlying market improvement?

Speaker 3

Well, clearly, the market is up a little bit as others have reported, but we're also taking market share in our Global Forwarding operations. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, team has done a wonderful job across the board. It's ocean, it's air, it's customs. As it relates to trade lanes, again, I mentioned that we're now the number one NDO from all of Asia to The United States, whereas previously, we were the number one NDO from China. And so as we've expanded over the last several years into more Southern Asia, Our team has done a great job here and there to grow the volumes and grow the net revenues in that trade lane.

I would offer that the opportunity that APC has brought is also helping us drive organic growth, because we do have more of a presence. Now business that we had not seen, from Asia and from Europe to Australia and reverse are the results of that acquisition. There's really good organic growth in terms of industry verticals. By the way, airfreight is all over as well, with a large portion of it coming from Asia to The United States, as I mentioned in our gateway consolidations. As far as verticals, again, I think our team has done a great job of diversifying across many different verticals and being able to provide solutions for those customers.

The one that I would highlight is the efforts that we've had around the semiconductor industry.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Andy. Next question for John. John, given your tenure and expertise in transportation, how would you characterize the current freight environment? We have heard that the market tightened significantly during June and that seems to be supported by spot rate data. Would you characterize this as a strong seasonal uptick?

Or do you believe we are on the cusp of a recovery in the freight market after a challenging prior eighteen months?

Speaker 2

Given the earlier comments of that I've already the changes that we are. Thinking about kind of where we are at overall, where are we at in the market, several years ago, we added Slide eight to our presentation deck. And again, Andy has made some comments on it. But I would like to refer everybody back to that for just a moment, the slide that has the two blue lines on it that shows our average cost of price to customers as well as our average cost of hire and then what that does to our net revenue margins. Obviously, majority of the questions this quarter are around this, how could this happen, didn't you anticipate it, where is it going to go.

And those are all fair questions. When you look at Slide eight and you look back over the last decade around how our business has evolved, how our pricing has evolved and start thinking about what does this quarter mean, where do we go from here, I do think studying that is very helpful and probably is what I or most of us would look at in terms of kind of making the decision around adjusting to the market conditions and thinking about what the remainder of the year or next year is likely to look at. When you look at the last decade through this pricing, you see those lines go all over the place. They're up double digits at times and down high single digits at time during that ten year period. Lots of data points and ours would suggest that over time, there's an average 2% to 3% increase in the cost of hire and the cost of the customer side of it.

You can see on that chart that we're coming off eighteen to twenty four months of down pricing. You can also see on that slide how we do adjust. Those two lines will stay closer together. And over the last year, year and a half, they've been coming from meaningful declines and moving upward. And again, this is our average of both committed and transactional activity.

So there's probably more volatility in the transactional stuff, as Andy said in his early comments. It's always hard when you look backwards because history becomes obvious. But when you look at what's been going on for the last couple of quarters, there's been some pretty meaningful upward trends around price reductions that likely weren't sustainable. This industry has always had some cost increases. And while we're all working hard on productivity, there's also some long term drivers of increased cost in the price of the equipment, some regulatory changes that are reducing productivity.

So when you look at it now and you see the head fake in late twenty seventeen of both of those going down for a quarter, And then you see for two quarters in a row now the resumption of some pretty significant upward trends. We do believe that's more than a seasonal uptick, and it makes sense in the longer term perspective of things that it's going to have to be positive for a while. We've also talked in the past around when you look in aggregate at this chart, there's clearly more volatility than what we would have experienced in decades prior to that. Some of that may be brought on by our evolution to more committed freight that we talked about earlier. But I think on the industry as a whole, as people are looking at more data and managing processes more tightly, think it's a normal conclusion that markets tend to get more volatile when they're automated and managed more tightly and there's less slack in them.

So will it go all the way up to a double digit increase in the next year or two? I don't know. It's happened twice on this chart. It could happen again. Probably have some relationship of what the overall demand of freight and the overall economic conditions do in the next year or two as well.

Those are the thoughts I would share with regards to that question.

Speaker 1

Thanks, John. The next question for Andy, and it's going to be a couple of parts here. Can you give us a sense of the monthly net revenue growth progression through the second quarter sixteen and then also the net revenue growth per day in the 2016 by month and then also the monthly net revenue trend during the 2017?

Speaker 3

Yes. So I'll bracket it and say just to do the Q2 numbers, 2016 and 2017. So the 2016 went April was up 9%, May was flat and June was down 3%. So that's 2016. 2017 was minus 3%, minus 5% and minus three As we look at the 2016, so the comp that we're coming up against, July was minus 3%, August was minus 7% and September was minus five

Speaker 1

Thanks, Andy. And just a reminder, those are all per business day percent changes. The next question for John on intermodal. What contributed to accelerate the acceleration in the rate of intermodal volume growth?

Speaker 2

I believe we've talked about this in the past couple of quarters where we've started to see some growth in our intermodal volume. Historically, we have been more of a transactional intermodal provider where we've worked across our customers to try to find opportunities where we could apply intermodal when the market conditions were suited to that. As truckload pricing has softened and as the intermodal world has changed, we've moved more towards bigger, more committed or permanent intermodal shipping customers, and we have had some wins in that area. So as Andy stated, it's sometimes coming at lesser margins than historical spot market intermodal activity, but we do feel good about the direction that we're headed with regards to bigger wins and more volume increases in our intermodal capabilities.

Speaker 1

Thanks, John. Next question for Andy. With Europe's economy rebounding nicely, are you finding increased demand for your services on the continent?

Speaker 3

We are. Our volume is up in Europe, 10% versus last year. So again, the team has done a great job of going in there and getting more committed in contractual business with our customers Just like in North America, there's a bit of margin compression, but they've done a wonderful job of growing with some e commerce as well as some new retail accounts that we have over there.

Speaker 1

Okay. Thanks, Andy. Next question for John again on the topic of contractual and transactional truckload business. Did you change to more contractual versus variable on relationships with customers? Or is the ratio in line with historical comps?

Speaker 2

I did address this earlier. Year it's probably worth repeating. Year over year, not a significant move, but the long term trend is towards having more committed freight. And again, that's a combination of us expanding our presence with our larger, more integrated customers and participating in the broader portion of their freight, which is the more committed stuff. But year over year, not so much a big change, obvious difference is that the increase in cost of hire accelerated this year and made the consequences of those committed relationships different than a year ago.

Speaker 1

Thanks, John. Next question for Andy on pricing. You mentioned customer pricing is committed relatively flat prices. Does this imply that average pricing across all truckload contracts was flat on a year over year basis or that actual contract renewals were flattish? Could you provide color on truckload contract repricing trends during the first half twenty seventeen bidding season?

Speaker 3

Pricing to customers, all customers committed and spot were flat during the quarter. And as John and and all of us have mentioned numerous times, there's a mix. We had more customers in the committedcontractual business where the pricing was slightly down. Pricing to customers in the spot market was up, you just had less of it. And as a result, overall, that number is flat.

If you think about the compression that occurred, I talked a little bit about it during my prepared remarks, but it accelerated during the quarter to where it ended for the quarter was up four on the cost to hire and June ended at plus six. And that was something that we didn't expect and quite frankly, don't think anybody else out there expected because when we were having conversations with our customers as it related to pricing, both at the 2016 coming into the 2017, we and everybody else and our customers assumed that pricing was going to be flat to slightly down and that's what we had predicted. And it made those investments and those customer relationships based on that and it turned in particularly towards the latter part of the second quarter.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Andy. Next question for John. How should we think about operating expense growth for the remainder of the year? Should current freight market fundamentals persist, would you expect operating expense growth to outpace net revenue growth?

Speaker 2

So again, I started to touch on this earlier. We have not given up our long term goal that net revenue growth and operating expense growth would stay variable together and over time grow at the same pace. Given the periods of time that it can take a quarter or two to adapt to market pricing or to adjust our hiring practices, unfortunately, I do think for the next quarter or two, while we'll see improvement, what we'll be seeing is that expense activity coming in line with net revenue activity probably not getting in line or crossing over until 2018. We're managing it every day. There's a lot on the table.

The market conditions can change every day and every week. So we'll be on top of this doing the best that we can. But that's where we're at in our cycle and that's where we're at in terms of managing our resources for the current environment.

Speaker 1

Thanks, John. Next question for Andy. How could the Amazon Whole Foods deals impact your produce business? Will it be a help or a hindrance?

Speaker 3

The good news is we are a valued provider to both companies. So we obviously have talked about our relationship with Amazon as well as Whole Foods. And, so we believe that, when we continue to execute in the ability that we have, we've carved out for a long time, as I mentioned, our produce business, it's how we got started. So we feel pretty good about our team's ability to execute on produce. And the retail industry, broadly speaking, is our largest one of our largest verticals.

So we think we've got a pretty good expertise in that area. The team is thinking about and obviously it's yet to be closed. But we are planning on presenting our ability to add more value to those combined entities.

Speaker 1

Thanks, Andy. And that will take us to the bottom of the hour. And unfortunately, we're out of time. We apologize that we couldn't get to all the questions that came in. We appreciate your participation in the call this morning.

The call will be available for replay in the Investor Relations section of our website at chrobinson.com. It's also available by dialing 70853 and entering the passcode thirteen million six hundred sixty four thousand five hundred and sixty two pound. The replay will be available at approximately 11:30 Eastern Time this morning. If you have any additional questions, please feel free to give me a call at (952) 683-5007 or by email as well. Thank you.

Have a good day.