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CIVISTA BANCSHARES, INC. (CIVB)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • EPS rose to $0.45, up 10% QoQ, but down 30% YoY, as margin compression (3.09% NIM, -13 bps QoQ) and higher funding costs offset solid loan growth and strong leasing fees; noninterest income grew 24% QoQ on leasing residuals while credit costs included a fraud-related charge-off .
  • Funding mix remains the pressure point: total funding cost increased to 2.61% (from 2.54% in Q1), while cost of deposits fell 4 bps to 2.10%; management is executing multiple deposit initiatives (Ohio Homebuyers Plus, wealth cash migration) that they expect to lower funding costs and stabilize NIM in 2H24 .
  • Capital steady but below target: TCE ratio 6.18% (vs 6.28% in Q1, 6.36% in Q4’23); the company reiterates its 7–7.5% TCE target, balancing dividends ($0.16 declared for Q3) and potential buybacks against capital build .
  • Credit quality remains stable; ACL/Loans 1.32%, NPA/Assets 0.43%; Q2 provision mainly supported loan growth and a discrete $500K fraud event; office CRE remains ~5.1% of loans with no systemic deterioration observed .
  • Near-term stock catalysts: evidence of core deposit traction (OH Homebuyers/wealth migration), measured loan growth to reduce wholesale funding dependency, NIM stabilization, and potential fee normalization in leasing; M&A remains opportunistic but secondary to rebuilding TCE .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Noninterest income up 24% QoQ and 15% YoY on stronger leasing residual and renewal income; management noted leasing is seasonally stronger in 2H and lumpy, but underwriting is conservative on residuals .
  • Cost discipline broadly intact; Q2 expense run-rate aligns with reiterated ~$28.3M quarterly outlook for the rest of 2024, with no significant new software/hardware investments expected .
  • Deposit cost management: cost of deposits declined 4 bps QoQ to 2.10% amid a competitive market, reflecting “disciplined” pricing; multiple deposit initiatives are underway to replace higher-cost wholesale funding over time .

What Went Wrong

  • NIM compressed 13 bps QoQ to 3.09% as earning asset yields dipped 7 bps to 5.58% and funding costs rose 6 bps to 2.61% due to higher reliance on wholesale funding and retention of more portfolio mortgages .
  • Provision increased vs. prior year, reflecting growth and a discrete fraud charge-off; nonperforming loans rose to $17.1M, though reserve coverage remains strong at 233% of NPLs .
  • Margin trajectory still pressured by mix: brokered/time deposits and FHLB advances elevated (short-term FHLB advances $500.5M), and noninterest-bearing demand balances declined YoY with runoff of tax program deposits .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Diluted EPS ($)$0.62 $0.41 $0.45
Net Income ($USD Thousands)$9,655 $6,360 $7,064
Net Interest Income ($USD Thousands)$30,052 $28,372 $27,751
Noninterest Income ($USD Thousands)$8,823 $8,504 $10,543
Net Interest Margin (FTE, %)3.44% 3.22% 3.09%
Efficiency Ratio (%)64.1% 73.8% 72.6%
Provision for Credit Losses – Loans ($USD Thousands)$2,325 $1,992 $1,800
Provision for Unfunded Commitments ($USD Thousands)$(80) $(50) $(145)
Total Funding Cost (%)2.19% 2.54% 2.61%

Noninterest Income Breakdown (YoY):

Category ($USD Thousands)Q2 2023Q2 2024Change%
Service Charges1,831 1,488 (343) -18.7%
Net Gain on Sale of Loans615 888 273 44.4%
Wealth Mgmt Fees1,180 1,337 157 13.3%
Lease Revenue & Residual2,201 3,529 1,328 60.3%
Other1,256 1,444 188 15.0%
Total Noninterest Income9,149 10,543 1,394 15.2%

Key Balance Sheet & Credit KPIs:

KPIQ4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Loans & Leases (End, $USD Thousands)2,861,728 2,898,139 3,014,996
Total Deposits (End, $USD Thousands)2,985,028 2,980,695 2,977,616
FHLB Advances – Short Term ($USD Thousands)338,000 368,500 500,500
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio (%)8.75% 8.62% 8.59%
Tangible Common Equity Ratio (%)6.36% 6.28% 6.18%
ACL / Loans (%)1.30% 1.34% 1.32%
NPA / Assets (%)0.39% 0.41% 0.43%
Allowance to NPLs (%)245.66% 247.06% 233.47%
Nonperforming Loans ($USD Thousands)15,126 15,725 17,098

Notes: “Total funding cost” shown from management commentary/press materials. NIM=tax-equivalent.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Operating Expenses (Run-rate)FY 2024 (rest of year)~$28.4–$28.7M/quarter (guided on Q4’23/Q1’24 calls) ~$28.3M/quarter (Q2 call) Lowered
Loan Growth2H 2024Mid-single digits FY24 (Q1 call) Low single digits for back half of 2024 (Q2 call) Lowered (near-term)
Net Interest Margin2H 2024Stabilization expected in 2H (Q1 call) Stabilization expected in 2H (Q2 call) Maintained
Deposit Costs2H 2024Peaked; room to decrease in Q3 (Q2 call) New positive color
TCE Ratio TargetMedium-term7–7.5% (Q1 call) 7–7.5% (Q2 call) Maintained
M&AOngoingFocus on capital; environment tough (Q1 call) Opportunistic; some improved math as public comps lifted (Q2 call) Slightly more constructive
DividendQ3 2024$0.16 (Q1 payout) $0.16 declared for Q3 (7/26/24) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2023 (Q-2)Q1 2024 (Q-1)Q2 2024 (Current)Trend
Funding mix & deposit initiativesBrokered used tactically; focus on core rebuild Ohio Homebuyers Plus & wealth cash migration plans introduced Initiatives progressing; cost of deposits down; uninsured deposits covered by liquidity Improving funding strategy execution
Margin trajectoryNIM 3.44%; troughing commentary Further compression, stabilization expected 2H NIM 3.09%; stabilization expected; asset yield mix weighed by portfolio mortgages Stabilization targeted in 2H
Loan growth & pricingExpect low single-digit 2024; loans adjustable-rate Mid-single-digit guide; strong pipelines; higher pricing Annualized 16% in Q2; guide to slow to low single digits in 2H Near-term moderation to ease funding strain
Credit qualityStable; office ~5.2% portfolio Isolated issues drove higher CECL; still stable Stable; fraud-related loss drove part of provision; office ~5.1% with no systemic issues Stable overall
Leasing businessExpected modest improvement in 2024 Residual/gain-on-sale cadence focus; created syndication desk Strong residuals; acknowledged lumpiness and 2H bias Positive but variable
Capital/TCETCE 6.36%; rebuild to 7–7.5% target TCE 6.28%; target reiterated TCE 6.18%; target reiterated; buybacks on hold Gradual build

Management Commentary

  • “This is a year of transition... our overnight borrowings and broker deposits are higher than we would like... initiatives will help reduce our dependency on higher interest funding sources.”
  • “Our overall cost of funding increased by 6 basis points to 2.61%, while our yield on earning assets decreased by 7 basis points to 5.58%... margin contracting by 13 basis points to 3.09%.”
  • “Noninterest income increased $2 million or 24% from the first quarter... primarily [from] fees related to leasing operations.”
  • “We would like to rebuild our TCE ratio back to between 7% and 7.5%... we will balance any repurchases and the payment of dividends with building capital.”
  • “We think [deposit costs] have peaked... room to decrease... in the third [quarter].”

Q&A Highlights

  • Leasing residuals: management emphasized revenue lumpiness tied to customer buyouts; core leasing fees ex-residuals seen as a better run-rate indicator; residuals typically stronger in 2H .
  • Expense run-rate: reiterated ~$28.3M per quarter for the remainder of 2024, with no large incremental investments planned .
  • M&A posture: still opportunistic; math remains difficult but improved public bank valuations could spur conversations; capital build remains priority .
  • Margin outlook & asset mix: NIM expected to stabilize; Q2 asset yields dipped as more portfolio residential mortgages were retained; potential refi upside if long rates fall; aim to slow loan growth until funding improves .
  • Rate cuts impact: modest/near-neutral initially due to mix of variable-rate loans, borrowings, and brokered CDs repricing; larger benefit if curve steepens and mortgage refi activity rises .
  • Deposit initiatives: Ohio Homebuyers Plus and wealth cash migration tracking; ~$44M added by Q2-end toward ~$175M target across initiatives .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to fetch S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2024 (and surrounding periods), but the request was blocked by a daily limit at the data source; as a result, we cannot provide Wall Street consensus comparisons for revenue/EPS this quarter. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to API rate limits.

Implication: Absent published consensus comparisons, the narrative hinges on sequential EPS improvement, NIM compression moderation, fee rebound (leasing), and funding mix normalization rather than beat/miss framing this quarter.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core theme is funding normalization: watch traction in Ohio Homebuyers Plus and wealth cash migration in Q3 to confirm deposit cost downtrend and NIM stabilization; success here is likely to be stock-supportive .
  • Operating leverage hinges on NIM basing and expense control: expense run-rate guidance implies limited cost-driven downside; with NIM stabilizing, incremental earnings should improve QoQ in 2H24 absent credit surprises .
  • Leasing fees boosted Q2 but remain inherently volatile; avoid extrapolating residual gains—monitor fee cadence and the new syndication desk’s contribution to steadier gain-on-sale economics .
  • Credit remains benign with robust reserve coverage; Q2 provision reflected growth and a discrete fraud charge; no systemic deterioration, including in office CRE (~5.1% of loans) .
  • Capital build remains a medium-term objective; dividend is intact; buybacks on hold while TCE trends toward 7–7.5% .
  • Tactical: near-term catalysts include evidence of core deposit inflows in Q3, margin stabilization prints, and any uptick in mortgage refi gains if the long end rallies; medium term, a steeper curve and reduced wholesale reliance could drive multiple expansion .

Additional Detail and KPIs

Loan Mix Change (Dec 31, 2023 → Jun 30, 2024):

  • Loans +$153.3M (+5.4%), led by Residential Real Estate (+$69.4M, +10.5%), Non-owner Occupied CRE (+$51.4M, +4.4%), and Construction (+$23.0M, +8.8%) .
  • Office exposure ~5.1% of loans; predominantly suburban low-rise, monitoring shows stability .

Deposits and Wholesale:

  • Deposits modestly down YTD (-$7.4M), with mix shifts toward savings/MM and time certificates; short-term FHLB advances rose to $500.5M; brokered balances and CDs remain elevated as transitional funding .

Tax Rate:

  • Effective tax rate 12.6% in Q2; YTD 12.1% .

Dividends:

  • Declared $0.16 for Q3 2024 (~$2.5M; ~3.4% annualized yield on 7/25 close) .

Management tone: Cautiously constructive—calls 2024 a transition year, expects NIM stabilization in 2H, active in core funding initiatives, disciplined on pricing/growth, and focused on capital accretion toward target TCE .