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CIVISTA BANCSHARES, INC. (CIVB)·Q2 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- EPS rose to $0.45, up 10% QoQ, but down 30% YoY, as margin compression (3.09% NIM, -13 bps QoQ) and higher funding costs offset solid loan growth and strong leasing fees; noninterest income grew 24% QoQ on leasing residuals while credit costs included a fraud-related charge-off .
- Funding mix remains the pressure point: total funding cost increased to 2.61% (from 2.54% in Q1), while cost of deposits fell 4 bps to 2.10%; management is executing multiple deposit initiatives (Ohio Homebuyers Plus, wealth cash migration) that they expect to lower funding costs and stabilize NIM in 2H24 .
- Capital steady but below target: TCE ratio 6.18% (vs 6.28% in Q1, 6.36% in Q4’23); the company reiterates its 7–7.5% TCE target, balancing dividends ($0.16 declared for Q3) and potential buybacks against capital build .
- Credit quality remains stable; ACL/Loans 1.32%, NPA/Assets 0.43%; Q2 provision mainly supported loan growth and a discrete $500K fraud event; office CRE remains ~5.1% of loans with no systemic deterioration observed .
- Near-term stock catalysts: evidence of core deposit traction (OH Homebuyers/wealth migration), measured loan growth to reduce wholesale funding dependency, NIM stabilization, and potential fee normalization in leasing; M&A remains opportunistic but secondary to rebuilding TCE .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Noninterest income up 24% QoQ and 15% YoY on stronger leasing residual and renewal income; management noted leasing is seasonally stronger in 2H and lumpy, but underwriting is conservative on residuals .
- Cost discipline broadly intact; Q2 expense run-rate aligns with reiterated ~$28.3M quarterly outlook for the rest of 2024, with no significant new software/hardware investments expected .
- Deposit cost management: cost of deposits declined 4 bps QoQ to 2.10% amid a competitive market, reflecting “disciplined” pricing; multiple deposit initiatives are underway to replace higher-cost wholesale funding over time .
What Went Wrong
- NIM compressed 13 bps QoQ to 3.09% as earning asset yields dipped 7 bps to 5.58% and funding costs rose 6 bps to 2.61% due to higher reliance on wholesale funding and retention of more portfolio mortgages .
- Provision increased vs. prior year, reflecting growth and a discrete fraud charge-off; nonperforming loans rose to $17.1M, though reserve coverage remains strong at 233% of NPLs .
- Margin trajectory still pressured by mix: brokered/time deposits and FHLB advances elevated (short-term FHLB advances $500.5M), and noninterest-bearing demand balances declined YoY with runoff of tax program deposits .
Financial Results
Noninterest Income Breakdown (YoY):
Key Balance Sheet & Credit KPIs:
Notes: “Total funding cost” shown from management commentary/press materials. NIM=tax-equivalent.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “This is a year of transition... our overnight borrowings and broker deposits are higher than we would like... initiatives will help reduce our dependency on higher interest funding sources.”
- “Our overall cost of funding increased by 6 basis points to 2.61%, while our yield on earning assets decreased by 7 basis points to 5.58%... margin contracting by 13 basis points to 3.09%.”
- “Noninterest income increased $2 million or 24% from the first quarter... primarily [from] fees related to leasing operations.”
- “We would like to rebuild our TCE ratio back to between 7% and 7.5%... we will balance any repurchases and the payment of dividends with building capital.”
- “We think [deposit costs] have peaked... room to decrease... in the third [quarter].”
Q&A Highlights
- Leasing residuals: management emphasized revenue lumpiness tied to customer buyouts; core leasing fees ex-residuals seen as a better run-rate indicator; residuals typically stronger in 2H .
- Expense run-rate: reiterated ~$28.3M per quarter for the remainder of 2024, with no large incremental investments planned .
- M&A posture: still opportunistic; math remains difficult but improved public bank valuations could spur conversations; capital build remains priority .
- Margin outlook & asset mix: NIM expected to stabilize; Q2 asset yields dipped as more portfolio residential mortgages were retained; potential refi upside if long rates fall; aim to slow loan growth until funding improves .
- Rate cuts impact: modest/near-neutral initially due to mix of variable-rate loans, borrowings, and brokered CDs repricing; larger benefit if curve steepens and mortgage refi activity rises .
- Deposit initiatives: Ohio Homebuyers Plus and wealth cash migration tracking; ~$44M added by Q2-end toward ~$175M target across initiatives .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to fetch S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2024 (and surrounding periods), but the request was blocked by a daily limit at the data source; as a result, we cannot provide Wall Street consensus comparisons for revenue/EPS this quarter. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to API rate limits.
Implication: Absent published consensus comparisons, the narrative hinges on sequential EPS improvement, NIM compression moderation, fee rebound (leasing), and funding mix normalization rather than beat/miss framing this quarter.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core theme is funding normalization: watch traction in Ohio Homebuyers Plus and wealth cash migration in Q3 to confirm deposit cost downtrend and NIM stabilization; success here is likely to be stock-supportive .
- Operating leverage hinges on NIM basing and expense control: expense run-rate guidance implies limited cost-driven downside; with NIM stabilizing, incremental earnings should improve QoQ in 2H24 absent credit surprises .
- Leasing fees boosted Q2 but remain inherently volatile; avoid extrapolating residual gains—monitor fee cadence and the new syndication desk’s contribution to steadier gain-on-sale economics .
- Credit remains benign with robust reserve coverage; Q2 provision reflected growth and a discrete fraud charge; no systemic deterioration, including in office CRE (~5.1% of loans) .
- Capital build remains a medium-term objective; dividend is intact; buybacks on hold while TCE trends toward 7–7.5% .
- Tactical: near-term catalysts include evidence of core deposit inflows in Q3, margin stabilization prints, and any uptick in mortgage refi gains if the long end rallies; medium term, a steeper curve and reduced wholesale reliance could drive multiple expansion .
Additional Detail and KPIs
Loan Mix Change (Dec 31, 2023 → Jun 30, 2024):
- Loans +$153.3M (+5.4%), led by Residential Real Estate (+$69.4M, +10.5%), Non-owner Occupied CRE (+$51.4M, +4.4%), and Construction (+$23.0M, +8.8%) .
- Office exposure ~5.1% of loans; predominantly suburban low-rise, monitoring shows stability .
Deposits and Wholesale:
- Deposits modestly down YTD (-$7.4M), with mix shifts toward savings/MM and time certificates; short-term FHLB advances rose to $500.5M; brokered balances and CDs remain elevated as transitional funding .
Tax Rate:
- Effective tax rate 12.6% in Q2; YTD 12.1% .
Dividends:
- Declared $0.16 for Q3 2024 (~$2.5M; ~3.4% annualized yield on 7/25 close) .
Management tone: Cautiously constructive—calls 2024 a transition year, expects NIM stabilization in 2H, active in core funding initiatives, disciplined on pricing/growth, and focused on capital accretion toward target TCE .