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CIVISTA BANCSHARES, INC. (CIVB)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- EPS of $0.53, up 18% q/q from $0.45 and down vs $0.66 y/y; net interest margin inflected higher sequentially (3.19% tax-equivalent; 3.16% in average balance table) and management expects continued expansion into Q4 2024, aided by lower-cost funding resets .
- Core funding pivot delivered a $246M deposit increase and a $213.5M reduction in overnight FHLB borrowings; net interest income rose 5.3% q/q despite deposit migration to interest-bearing accounts .
- Noninterest income fell $0.9M q/q on leasing residual volatility but was up 19% y/y; efficiency ratio improved q/q to 70.2% though remains elevated y/y .
- Catalysts ahead: repricing of $200M matured brokered CDs to 4.32% (126 bps savings) and another $150M maturing by year-end, plus aggressive “downward beta” on deposits to support NIM expansion into early 2025 .
- Capital remains sound (Tier 1 leverage 8.45%); management prioritizes rebuilding TCE to 7–7.5% and tempering CRE concentration and wholesale funding, with dividends maintained at $0.16/share .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Deposit initiatives succeeded: $100M low-cost state deposits via Ohio Homebuyer Plus and ~1,000 new accounts; $87M wealth cash moved onto the balance sheet; $49M organic growth, driving loan-to-deposit ratio down to 95% from 102% .
- Margin turned the corner: NIM expanded ~7 bps q/q to 3.16%/3.19%, with net interest income up 5.3% q/q; management believes margin troughed in Q2 and will continue to expand over next few quarters (“we believe that our margin troughed…will continue to expand”) .
- Noninterest income resilience: despite overdraft, tax processing exit, and prior-year one-time MasterCard fee, YTD noninterest income up $391k; Q3 y/y growth driven by mortgage/lease gains and BOLI death benefit .
What Went Wrong
- Sequential noninterest income softness: down $857k q/q (8.1%) on lower leasing residuals; management flagged leasing residuals as less predictable vs traditional fees .
- Efficiency ratio elevated: 70.2% in Q3 vs 65.3% y/y; includes $800k reserve related to lease system conversion; ex-reserve, efficiency would be ~2% lower per management .
- Asset quality optics: nonperforming assets rose to $18.2M (0.45% of assets) vs year-end; allowance to NPLs eased to 227% from 246% at year-end; provision increased vs Q3’23 driven by slower prepayments in CECL model .
Financial Results
Note: Comparison vs Wall Street consensus estimates was unavailable due to S&P Global data access limits at time of writing; therefore, beat/miss vs consensus cannot be assessed.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We increased deposits by $246 million and reduced wholesale borrowings by $213 million, contributing to an EPS of $0.53, up from $0.45 last quarter.” — Dennis G. Shaffer, CEO .
- “We believe that our margin troughed during the second quarter and will continue to expand over the next few quarters.” — Management prepared remarks .
- “We were able to replace [~$200M brokered CDs] with CDs laddered over the next 12 months at a blended rate of 4.32% with a savings of 126 basis points.” — CFO .
- “We would like to rebuild our TCE ratio back to between 7% and 7.5%…we’re prioritizing that over repurchases.” — CEO/COO .
- “We are executing our downward beta strategy by continuing to decrease deposit rates on virtually all deposit accounts.” — Management .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin outlook: Expect NIM to reach low 3.20s in Q4 and continue expanding; deposit “downward beta” and funding repricing key drivers .
- Funding strategy: Ongoing paydown of overnight FHLB borrowings and repricing brokered CDs at lower rates; maintain brokered CD level but at cheaper cost .
- Capital priorities: Focus on rebuilding TCE to 7–7.5% over buybacks; shelf registration renewed for flexibility .
- CRE concentration: Target <300% of RBC over time; discipline on CRE pricing; prefer shifting mix toward C&I .
- Expenses: Q4 near-flat/slightly up with vacancies and branch closure costs; ~$234k annual savings from Napoleon branch closure beginning 2025; $800k reserve tied to system conversion unlikely to rise .
- Credit: Allowance increase driven by slower prepayments in CECL model; criticized loans stable; charge-offs expected to normalize modestly in coming quarters .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for EPS and revenue were unavailable due to data access limits at time of writing; as a result, we cannot determine an official beat/miss for Q3 2024 relative to Wall Street consensus. Management’s sequential EPS/NIM improvement, funding cost relief, and deposit inflows suggest upward pressure on forward NIM and EPS trajectories, but formal estimate revisions should be monitored as brokers update models post-call .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Sequential earnings acceleration with a clear path to near-term NIM expansion via funding cost resets, aggressive deposit pricing, and fixed-rate loan repricing; watch Q4 brokered CD maturities and deposit rate moves as key catalysts .
- Core funding momentum materially improved (deposits +$246M; L/D down to 95%), reducing reliance on wholesale funding and supporting margin resilience even if the Fed cuts more aggressively .
- Elevated efficiency ratio should moderate as the $800k conversion reserve rolls off and branch optimization yields ~$234k annual savings; monitor Q4 expense run-rate and 2025 tech spend .
- Credit quality remains stable with provisioning driven by model mechanics (slower prepayments); allowance/NPL still robust at 227% and NPAs contained at 0.45% of assets .
- Strategic mix shift: temper CRE growth; pursue C&I; maintain disciplined pricing—positioning for sustainable ROA uplift as capital builds toward 7–7.5% TCE .
- Dividend continuity and capital discipline (no buybacks) underscore priority to rebuild TCE; shelf registration adds optionality without signaling near-term issuance .
- Near-term trading: stock sensitive to confirmation of Q4 NIM in low 3.20s and evidence of continued deposit growth; medium-term thesis hinges on capital rebuild, funding mix normalization, and sustained core fee replacement .
Additional references: Full Q3 press release and 8-K exhibits provide comprehensive financial tables and reconciliations .