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CIVISTA BANCSHARES, INC. (CIVB)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • EPS of $0.53, up 18% q/q from $0.45 and down vs $0.66 y/y; net interest margin inflected higher sequentially (3.19% tax-equivalent; 3.16% in average balance table) and management expects continued expansion into Q4 2024, aided by lower-cost funding resets .
  • Core funding pivot delivered a $246M deposit increase and a $213.5M reduction in overnight FHLB borrowings; net interest income rose 5.3% q/q despite deposit migration to interest-bearing accounts .
  • Noninterest income fell $0.9M q/q on leasing residual volatility but was up 19% y/y; efficiency ratio improved q/q to 70.2% though remains elevated y/y .
  • Catalysts ahead: repricing of $200M matured brokered CDs to 4.32% (126 bps savings) and another $150M maturing by year-end, plus aggressive “downward beta” on deposits to support NIM expansion into early 2025 .
  • Capital remains sound (Tier 1 leverage 8.45%); management prioritizes rebuilding TCE to 7–7.5% and tempering CRE concentration and wholesale funding, with dividends maintained at $0.16/share .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Deposit initiatives succeeded: $100M low-cost state deposits via Ohio Homebuyer Plus and ~1,000 new accounts; $87M wealth cash moved onto the balance sheet; $49M organic growth, driving loan-to-deposit ratio down to 95% from 102% .
  • Margin turned the corner: NIM expanded ~7 bps q/q to 3.16%/3.19%, with net interest income up 5.3% q/q; management believes margin troughed in Q2 and will continue to expand over next few quarters (“we believe that our margin troughed…will continue to expand”) .
  • Noninterest income resilience: despite overdraft, tax processing exit, and prior-year one-time MasterCard fee, YTD noninterest income up $391k; Q3 y/y growth driven by mortgage/lease gains and BOLI death benefit .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential noninterest income softness: down $857k q/q (8.1%) on lower leasing residuals; management flagged leasing residuals as less predictable vs traditional fees .
  • Efficiency ratio elevated: 70.2% in Q3 vs 65.3% y/y; includes $800k reserve related to lease system conversion; ex-reserve, efficiency would be ~2% lower per management .
  • Asset quality optics: nonperforming assets rose to $18.2M (0.45% of assets) vs year-end; allowance to NPLs eased to 227% from 246% at year-end; provision increased vs Q3’23 driven by slower prepayments in CECL model .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Diluted EPS ($)$0.41 $0.45 $0.53
Net Income ($MM)$6.360 $7.064 $8.366
Total Interest & Dividend Income ($MM)$50.128 $50.593 $52.741
Net Interest Income ($MM)$28.372 $27.751 $29.233
Noninterest Income ($MM)$8.504 $10.543 $9.686
Provision for Credit Losses ($MM)$1.992 $1.800 $1.346
Net Interest Margin (tax-equivalent, %)3.22% 3.09% 3.19%
Efficiency Ratio (non-GAAP, %)73.8% 72.6% 70.2%
Loan Portfolio (End of Period, $MM)Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Commercial & Agriculture$302.663 $318.499 $304.639
CRE – Owner Occupied$367.419 $377.308 $375.751
CRE – Non-owner Occupied$1,185.688 $1,213.341 $1,205.453
Residential Real Estate$676.800 $729.213 $751.825
Real Estate Construction$267.737 $283.446 $318.063
Farm Real Estate$24.908 $24.376 $24.122
Lease Financing Receivable$56.680 $53.461 $49.453
Consumer & Other$16.244 $15.352 $14.640
Total Loans$2,898.139 $3,014.996 $3,043.946
KPIs & Balance SheetQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Total Deposits ($MM)$2,980.695 $2,977.616 $3,223.732
Total Assets ($MM)$3,880.258 $4,011.914 $4,061.423
Allowance for Credit Losses / Loans (%)1.34% 1.32% 1.36%
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio (%)8.62% 8.59% 8.45%
ROAA (annualized, %)0.66% 0.72% 0.83%
ROAE (annualized, %)6.89% 7.77% 8.73%

Note: Comparison vs Wall Street consensus estimates was unavailable due to S&P Global data access limits at time of writing; therefore, beat/miss vs consensus cannot be assessed.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Interest MarginQ4 2024Indicated Q2 trough (prior commentary) Expand to low 3.20s by Q4; continued expansion into early 2025 Raised trajectory
Brokered CDs RepricingQ4 2024N/A$200M matured late Oct repriced to 4.32% (−126 bps); $150M matures end-Q4 at lower rates New detail
Deposit Pricing (“downward beta”)Q4 2024 onwardActively lowering ratesAggressive reductions tied to Fed cuts; 70 bps down YTD on CDs; further cuts expected Maintained, detailed execution
Wholesale/Brokered Funding MixMulti-yearN/ATarget 15–17% of total funding over next couple years Introduced target
Loan-to-Deposit RatioOngoingComfortable up to 100% Target ~90% medium term New target (lower)
CRE Concentration (to RBC)OngoingReduce over time Aim <300%; comfortable at ~325% near term Clarified target
TCE RatioOngoingRebuild to 7–7.5% Focus on reaching 7–7.5%; prioritizing capital build over buybacks Maintained
ExpensesQ4 2024 and 2025N/AQ4 relatively flat/slightly up as vacancies filled; branch closure saves ~$234k annually starting 2025 New detail
DividendQ4 2024$0.16/share Maintained $0.16/share for Q4 (paid Nov 19) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
Funding pivot and depositsDeposits flat to slightly down; mix shift to interest-bearing; exit tax refund processing reduced noninterest-bearing +$246M deposits; $87M trust cash; $100M Ohio Homebuyer Plus deposits at 0.89% cost Improving core funding
Margin trajectoryNIM fell to 3.09% in Q2 from 3.22% in Q1 NIM up to 3.16%/3.19%; management expects low 3.20s by Q4 Inflecting upward
Fee income replacementHeadwinds from overdraft/tax processing exit; Q1 noninterest income −23% y/y YTD noninterest income +$391k; Q3 noninterest income +19% y/y Replacement achieved
CRE concentration and pricing disciplineCRE growth continued; cautious growth posture Target <300% RBC; temper CRE growth; push C&I; maintain high pricing for CRE De-risking portfolio mix
Technology/digital banking and operationsHigher software maintenance; digital banking investments New platform implementation; $800k reserve linked to lease system conversion; fraud mitigation tools Investing; resolving conversion
Capital managementNo buybacks; TCE ~6.28–6.19% in H1 TCE 6.64%; shelf registration renewed ($200M) for flexibility; focus on TCE 7–7.5% Building capital
Risk/creditAllowance/ACL ratio up modestly; NPA ratio ~0.39–0.41% NPA 0.45%; allowance/NPL 227%; provision driven by slower prepayments, not credit deterioration Stable credit, model-driven reserve

Management Commentary

  • “We increased deposits by $246 million and reduced wholesale borrowings by $213 million, contributing to an EPS of $0.53, up from $0.45 last quarter.” — Dennis G. Shaffer, CEO .
  • “We believe that our margin troughed during the second quarter and will continue to expand over the next few quarters.” — Management prepared remarks .
  • “We were able to replace [~$200M brokered CDs] with CDs laddered over the next 12 months at a blended rate of 4.32% with a savings of 126 basis points.” — CFO .
  • “We would like to rebuild our TCE ratio back to between 7% and 7.5%…we’re prioritizing that over repurchases.” — CEO/COO .
  • “We are executing our downward beta strategy by continuing to decrease deposit rates on virtually all deposit accounts.” — Management .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin outlook: Expect NIM to reach low 3.20s in Q4 and continue expanding; deposit “downward beta” and funding repricing key drivers .
  • Funding strategy: Ongoing paydown of overnight FHLB borrowings and repricing brokered CDs at lower rates; maintain brokered CD level but at cheaper cost .
  • Capital priorities: Focus on rebuilding TCE to 7–7.5% over buybacks; shelf registration renewed for flexibility .
  • CRE concentration: Target <300% of RBC over time; discipline on CRE pricing; prefer shifting mix toward C&I .
  • Expenses: Q4 near-flat/slightly up with vacancies and branch closure costs; ~$234k annual savings from Napoleon branch closure beginning 2025; $800k reserve tied to system conversion unlikely to rise .
  • Credit: Allowance increase driven by slower prepayments in CECL model; criticized loans stable; charge-offs expected to normalize modestly in coming quarters .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for EPS and revenue were unavailable due to data access limits at time of writing; as a result, we cannot determine an official beat/miss for Q3 2024 relative to Wall Street consensus. Management’s sequential EPS/NIM improvement, funding cost relief, and deposit inflows suggest upward pressure on forward NIM and EPS trajectories, but formal estimate revisions should be monitored as brokers update models post-call .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential earnings acceleration with a clear path to near-term NIM expansion via funding cost resets, aggressive deposit pricing, and fixed-rate loan repricing; watch Q4 brokered CD maturities and deposit rate moves as key catalysts .
  • Core funding momentum materially improved (deposits +$246M; L/D down to 95%), reducing reliance on wholesale funding and supporting margin resilience even if the Fed cuts more aggressively .
  • Elevated efficiency ratio should moderate as the $800k conversion reserve rolls off and branch optimization yields ~$234k annual savings; monitor Q4 expense run-rate and 2025 tech spend .
  • Credit quality remains stable with provisioning driven by model mechanics (slower prepayments); allowance/NPL still robust at 227% and NPAs contained at 0.45% of assets .
  • Strategic mix shift: temper CRE growth; pursue C&I; maintain disciplined pricing—positioning for sustainable ROA uplift as capital builds toward 7–7.5% TCE .
  • Dividend continuity and capital discipline (no buybacks) underscore priority to rebuild TCE; shelf registration adds optionality without signaling near-term issuance .
  • Near-term trading: stock sensitive to confirmation of Q4 NIM in low 3.20s and evidence of continued deposit growth; medium-term thesis hinges on capital rebuild, funding mix normalization, and sustained core fee replacement .

Additional references: Full Q3 press release and 8-K exhibits provide comprehensive financial tables and reconciliations .