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COMCAST CORP (CMCSA)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Comcast delivered a clean beat on both revenue and adjusted EPS: revenue of $30.31B vs S&P Global consensus $29.80B*, and adjusted EPS of $1.25 vs $1.18*, with year-over-year adjusted EPS up 3.3% .
- Strategic execution highlights included record wireless net additions (+378K lines), Media EBITDA up 9.3% (Peacock losses improved to -$101M from -$348M YoY), and Theme Parks revenue up 18.9% driven by the Epic Universe opening .
- Management emphasized a go-to-market pivot in residential broadband (national “everyday pricing,” 1- and 5-year price guarantees, free mobile line for a year, premium unlimited wireless plan) to drive lower churn and higher LTV; near-term broadband ARPU growth expected to moderate as customers migrate to new packages .
- Additional catalysts include a roughly $1B annual cash tax tailwind from newly enacted legislation and the NBA rights launch in Q4 (with Peacock price increases and a strong sports upfront positioning revenue momentum through 2026) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record quarter for wireless with 378K net line adds; penetration reached 14% of residential broadband base (8.5M lines), reinforcing convergence strategy. “Our wireless business had its best quarter ever, adding 378,000 lines” — Brian Roberts .
- Media resilience and Peacock progress: Media revenue +1.8% and EBITDA +9.3%; Peacock revenue +18% to $1.2B and losses improved by ~$247M YoY to -$101M .
- Theme Parks surge post Epic Universe opening: Parks revenue +18.9%, EBITDA +4.1%; management noted strong per-caps/attendance, minimal cannibalization, with operating leverage expected to improve over 2H25 .
What Went Wrong
- Broadband headwinds persisted: Domestic broadband net losses of 226K in Q2 (seasonal and competitive pressures including fixed wireless/fiber); total Connectivity & Platforms customer relationships down 349K .
- Studios profitability compressed: Studios EBITDA fell 31% YoY despite revenue +8% as higher programming/production and marketing costs offset revenue gains .
- Domestic advertising softness: Media domestic advertising -7.2% YoY given sports timing and tough political comps (ex-sports/political trends more stable, but still a drag in Q2) .
Financial Results
Segment revenue
Segment adjusted EBITDA
Margins and selected ratios
Key KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered solid financial results in the second quarter, growing Adjusted EPS by 3% and generating $4.5 billion of free cash flow…wireless…best quarter ever, adding 378,000 lines…Epic Universe…positive impact on…Universal Orlando…Peacock continues to differentiate…excited…NBA coverage this fall.” — Brian L. Roberts .
- “We’ve realigned our pricing strategy…consistent national pricing…four flagship speed tiers…everything included…lowered everyday pricing…1- and 5-year price guarantees…free Xfinity Mobile line for one year…premium unlimited mobile plan.” — Mike Cavanagh .
- “Broadband RPU grew 3.5%…expected to moderate in the next couple of quarters as we migrate more customers onto new pricing…we still expect healthy broadband RPU growth over the balance of the year.” — Jason Armstrong .
- “Epic is already driving higher per-cap spending and attendance across the entirety of Universal Orlando…minimal impact on attendance at Universal Studios Florida and Islands of Adventure.” — Mike Cavanagh .
- “We estimate, on average, roughly $1 billion in annual cash tax benefit for the next several years, with much of the benefit relating to infrastructure investments.” — Jason Armstrong .
Q&A Highlights
- Broadband competitive dynamics: Fixed wireless/fiber intensity persists; early signs of stabilization in connects and voluntary churn under new pricing; slight uptick in non-pay disconnects but not material .
- Everyday pricing and ARPU: Healthy broadband ARPU growth expected but moderated near term as customers migrate; goal is durable base on market-based rates with lower churn and higher LTV .
- Convergence revenue near-term: Some pressure from free line promo and moderated ARPU; setup for reacceleration at 1–2 years as promos roll off into paying relationships .
- Parks trajectory: Epic Universe contributing to Orlando; operating leverage to improve across 2H25; international parks strong; Hollywood pressure to take “a couple more quarters” to lap .
- Business Services and MVNO: Nitel tuck-in accretive; new T-Mobile MVNO for business to expand integrated mobile solutions; continued SMB/enterprise momentum .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes Implications
- The broadband pivot should improve customer durability and reduce churn, but investors should expect near-term ARPU growth moderation as packages reset; convergence monetization improves as “free line” cohorts roll to paid over 12–24 months .
- The ~$1B annual cash tax tailwind and parks CapEx downshift support sustained FCF strength even as NBA rights costs begin in Q4; Peacock price increase and record sports upfront are designed to offset elevated sports programming costs .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Clear beat on revenue and adjusted EPS; resilient FCF supports continued buybacks/dividends (declared $0.33 per share for October) .
- Wireless momentum is a tangible growth engine; convergence strategy is working (record net adds, higher premium plan uptake) and should underpin revenue/EBITDA over time .
- Broadband headwinds remain but early signs from pricing/packaging pivot are encouraging; watch ARPU trajectory and churn trends through 2H25 back-to-school season .
- Parks are a 2H25 leverage story post Epic opening; expect improved margins as throughput scales, with medium-term CapEx easing before London ramp .
- Peacock’s path to improved monetization continues (price increases, strong upfront, NBA launch); near-term costs rise, but strategic positioning should lift subs, ad yield, and long-term profitability .
- Legislative cash tax tailwind (~$1B annually) is underappreciated and enhances capital allocation flexibility for network upgrades and share returns .
- Watch Business Services (enterprise solutions, Nitel integration, T-Mobile MVNO) as a steady mid-single-digit growth contributor with high margins .