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COHERENT CORP. (COHR)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record revenue of $1.43B (+26.8% y/y, +6.4% q/q) and non-GAAP EPS of $0.95, with non-GAAP gross margin expanding to 38.2% (+363 bps y/y, +146 bps q/q), driven by AI-related datacom transceivers and a second consecutive quarter of telecom recovery .
- Networking revenue surged to $816M (+56% y/y; +7% q/q), lasers grew to $375M (+6% y/y; +8% q/q), while materials was $244M (-4% y/y; +3% q/q), with automotive demand cited as a headwind .
- Q3 FY25 guidance: revenue $1.39–$1.48B, non-GAAP GM 37–39%, OpEx $285–305M, tax rate 17–19%, EPS $0.75–$0.95; notably tighter tax and higher EPS range vs prior quarter’s guidance for Q2 .
- Strategic catalysts: first customer order for Optical Circuit Switch (OCS) with revenue expected to begin in CY25, and CHIPS Act funding to expand indium phosphide (InP) capacity; the company paid down $132M in debt in Q2, bolstering deleveraging .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record datacom revenue, up 79% y/y, with broader adoption of 800G transceivers and progress toward 1.6T; CEO: “We delivered strong growth… driven by another quarter of strong AI-related Data Center demand” .
- Gross margin expansion from cost reductions, yield improvements, and pricing optimization; CFO highlighted “ongoing yield improvements in datacom” driving margin gains .
- Strategic progress: first OCS order (non-mechanical digital liquid crystal tech) and CHIPS Act support for InP capacity at Sherman, TX, enabling EML/CW lasers for silicon photonics .
What Went Wrong
- Materials segment down 4% y/y, primarily due to weak automotive demand; management maintains a cautious near-term view on industrial end markets .
- Product mix headwind modestly offset margin gains; CFO noted unfavorable mix impacted non-GAAP gross margin, despite overall improvement .
- Tariff uncertainty persists; management expects no significant near-term impact in Q3 but continues to evaluate and rely on geographic manufacturing diversity and vertical integration for mitigation .
Financial Results
Notes: Non-GAAP methodology was refined in Q2 FY25; prior periods shown are recast to conform .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Record revenue, driven by another quarter of strong AI-related Data Center demand as well as growth in our Telecom business… significant improvement in gross margin and operating margin” .
- CFO: “Strong profitability… paying down $132 million in debt; non-GAAP EPS grew over 40% sequentially and tripled y/y” .
- CEO on margins: “Approaching gross margin >40% target via pricing optimization and product cost improvements” .
- CEO on OCS: “Non-mechanical digital liquid crystal technology provides tremendous advantages… first customer order in Q2; initial CY25 revenue” .
- CEO on capacity: “Indium phosphide production output tripled y/y; CHIPS Act funding supports expansion” .
Q&A Highlights
- Telecom outlook: Moved from cautious to cautiously optimistic; expecting sequential improvement in Q3, driven by data center interconnect and ramp of 100G/400G/800G ZR/ZR+ .
- OCS opportunity: Differentiated, high-reliability platform; customer order secured; revenue starts CY25 with greater contribution in CY26–27; TAM quantification expected at Investor Day .
- CPO (co-packaged optics): Coherent expects robust optical networking TAM growth and is positioned across pluggables (1.6T ramp, 3.2T in development) and enabling ingredient technologies for future form factors .
- Tariffs: No significant Q3 impact expected; mitigation through geographic manufacturing diversity and vertical integration; no pull-forward of demand observed .
- Gross margin drivers: Ongoing yield improvements in datacom, input cost workstreams, and pricing optimization; more detail to come at Investor Day .
- Q3 segment trajectory: Datacom/telecom up sequentially; industrial-related segments down sequentially; net to flat midpoint .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global were unavailable at time of retrieval due to request limits; as a result, beat/miss vs consensus cannot be quantified here [GetEstimates error].
- Notably, actual Q2 non-GAAP EPS of $0.95 exceeded the company’s prior guidance range of $0.61–$0.77, and revenue of $1.435B was above the prior revenue guidance mid-point for Q2 ($1.33–$1.41B) .
- Q3 guidance implies sustained high revenue and margin levels, with a lower tax rate range (17–19%) vs prior 19–22% guidance framework .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Coherent’s datacom exposure to AI buildouts is translating into record revenue and significant margin expansion; yield improvements and pricing initiatives are compounding the effect .
- Telecom has likely passed the trough, with sequential recovery and product ramps (ZR/ZR+) expected to continue; watch Q3 sequential uptick as a confirmation .
- OCS represents a new, potentially material adjacency with differentiated technology; initial CY25 revenue signals the start of a multi-year ramp and TAM expansion .
- Display capital equipment (excimer lasers) is a bright spot amid mixed industrial markets; OLED adoption in larger devices supports sustained demand .
- Balance sheet strengthening continues: $132M debt reduction in Q2 and robust operating cash flow; deleveraging remains a focus .
- Near-term watch items: tariff developments (company expects limited impact), product mix effects on margins, and progression of InP capacity expansion including CHIPS Act support .
- Trading lens: With EPS and margin trends improving and Q3 guide supportive, positive estimate revisions are likely once consensus data is incorporated; monitor Investor Day (May 28) for long-term model clarity .