Coursera, Inc. (COUR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Coursera delivered a solid Q1 2025: revenue $179.3M (+6% YoY), GAAP gross margin 55%, Adjusted EBITDA $18.7M (10.4% margin), and Free Cash Flow $25.3M .
- Results beat Wall Street consensus: revenue $179.3M vs $175.4M*, EPS $0.12 vs $0.079*; prior two quarters were also modest beats on revenue and EPS* (see Estimates Context). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Full-year 2025 revenue guidance raised/initiated to $720–$730M; Q2 2025 guided to revenue $179–$183M and Adjusted EBITDA $11–$15M .
- Operating model simplified: Degrees incorporated into Consumer; management expects Consumer and Enterprise to grow single digits (weighted to Consumer), while Degrees declines as resources shift to higher-impact opportunities .
- Key catalysts: improving consumer conversion (Coursera Plus, localized promos), content economics driving margin expansion, and product/AI innovations (Coach, AI dubbing, career-based discovery) balanced by caution on enterprise budgets .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record learner additions and stable consumer trends: 7.1M new registered learners (Q1 record), strong Coursera Plus uptake, localized promotions boosted paid conversion .
- Margin expansion from content economics: non-GAAP gross margin 56% (GAAP 55%); consumer segment margin up 190–220 bps YoY driven by newer content with more favorable revenue shares .
- Cash generation and balance sheet strength: Free Cash Flow $25.3M (+40% YoY), unrestricted cash ~$748M, no debt, creating optionality to invest in product/content/go-to-market .
Management quote: “We delivered first quarter revenue of $179 million… generated over $25 million of free cash flow… and our growth expectations for the full year have improved” — CEO Greg Hart .
What Went Wrong
- Enterprise caution: while Q1 Enterprise grew 7% YoY, management flagged macro-driven uncertainty in corporate spend and guided lower growth pacing vs Consumer .
- Net retention pressure: paid enterprise NRR was 91%, down from 94% YoY (though up sequentially vs Q4 2024’s 87%) .
- Degrees to decline: Degrees incorporated into Consumer and expected to drop as near-term investments prioritize broader learner/customer impact, which may concern investors tracking degree growth .
Financial Results
Headline P&L and Margins (GAAP and Non-GAAP)
Notes: GAAP gross margin and non-GAAP gross margin are separately disclosed in Coursera materials.
Segment Breakdown (Historical segment reporting for comparability)
New segment reporting (Consumer now includes Degrees) for Q1 2025: Consumer revenue $117.6M and segment gross margin 61.6%; Enterprise revenue $61.7M and segment gross margin 70.0% .
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Rationale: Management cited stabilization in consumer performance and macro caution on corporate spend for Enterprise, while reallocating near-term resources away from Degrees to broader-impact initiatives .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Product and operating focus: “My top priority is unlocking the next phase of innovation-led growth… implement thoughtful changes to our operating model… accelerate product development cycles… leverage advanced AI and data-driven insights” — CEO Greg Hart .
- Consumer momentum and conversion: “We saw some real success on the marketing front… Coursera Plus annual subscriptions… [promos] drove a lot of nice free cash flow as well as future revenue” — CEO Greg Hart and CFO Ken Hahn .
- Content economics: “Consumer expansion was driven by… learners engage with… credentials created under new production arrangements with more favorable revenue share economics” — CFO Ken Hahn .
- Balance sheet optionality: “~$748M of unrestricted cash… no debt… flexibility to invest in expanding our content engine capabilities” — CFO Ken Hahn .
Q&A Highlights
- Growth investments vs margins: Management targets 100 bps annual Adjusted EBITDA margin improvement to 7% while reserving dry powder for growth; expect near-term payback from go-to-market and some product/content initiatives .
- Enterprise outlook: Expect lower growth than Consumer due to macro uncertainty, with Coursera for Campus a relative bright spot; NRR improved sequentially .
- Degrees reporting rationale: Degrees is viewed as another consumer product; transparency provided in transition; decline expected in 2025 .
- Career discovery monetization: Early days; building authoritative role/skill graph; positive conversion signs; future monetization optionality .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Context: Coursera beat consensus revenue and EPS in Q3, Q4, and Q1, with the Q1 beat supported by stronger consumer conversion, content economics, and disciplined OpEx .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Coursera posted a clean top-line and EPS beat with double-digit Adjusted EBITDA margin and strong FCF, signaling improving operating leverage .
- Consumer momentum is the near-term driver (Coursera Plus, localized marketing), with margin tailwinds from favorable content revenue shares .
- Product/AI initiatives (Coach Dialogues, AI dubbing, career discovery) show promising engagement and conversion signals that can compound over 2025 .
- Enterprise remains solid but prudently guided given macro uncertainty; Campus is a relative bright spot; watch NRR trajectory .
- Structural change: Degrees folded into Consumer and expected to decline, reducing a potential drag while simplifying the model .
- Guidance implies steady Q2 revenue with disciplined investment pacing; full-year revenue range $720–$730M and 7% Adjusted EBITDA margin target provide a clearer bar to underwrite .
- Trading lens: Beat/raise setup, improving consumer conversion/margins, and AI/product cadence are positive; enterprise budget caution and Degrees decline are key overhangs to monitor near-term .