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CI

Coursera, Inc. (COUR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Coursera delivered a solid Q1 2025: revenue $179.3M (+6% YoY), GAAP gross margin 55%, Adjusted EBITDA $18.7M (10.4% margin), and Free Cash Flow $25.3M .
  • Results beat Wall Street consensus: revenue $179.3M vs $175.4M*, EPS $0.12 vs $0.079*; prior two quarters were also modest beats on revenue and EPS* (see Estimates Context). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Full-year 2025 revenue guidance raised/initiated to $720–$730M; Q2 2025 guided to revenue $179–$183M and Adjusted EBITDA $11–$15M .
  • Operating model simplified: Degrees incorporated into Consumer; management expects Consumer and Enterprise to grow single digits (weighted to Consumer), while Degrees declines as resources shift to higher-impact opportunities .
  • Key catalysts: improving consumer conversion (Coursera Plus, localized promos), content economics driving margin expansion, and product/AI innovations (Coach, AI dubbing, career-based discovery) balanced by caution on enterprise budgets .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record learner additions and stable consumer trends: 7.1M new registered learners (Q1 record), strong Coursera Plus uptake, localized promotions boosted paid conversion .
  • Margin expansion from content economics: non-GAAP gross margin 56% (GAAP 55%); consumer segment margin up 190–220 bps YoY driven by newer content with more favorable revenue shares .
  • Cash generation and balance sheet strength: Free Cash Flow $25.3M (+40% YoY), unrestricted cash ~$748M, no debt, creating optionality to invest in product/content/go-to-market .

Management quote: “We delivered first quarter revenue of $179 million… generated over $25 million of free cash flow… and our growth expectations for the full year have improved” — CEO Greg Hart .

What Went Wrong

  • Enterprise caution: while Q1 Enterprise grew 7% YoY, management flagged macro-driven uncertainty in corporate spend and guided lower growth pacing vs Consumer .
  • Net retention pressure: paid enterprise NRR was 91%, down from 94% YoY (though up sequentially vs Q4 2024’s 87%) .
  • Degrees to decline: Degrees incorporated into Consumer and expected to drop as near-term investments prioritize broader learner/customer impact, which may concern investors tracking degree growth .

Financial Results

Headline P&L and Margins (GAAP and Non-GAAP)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$176.1 $179.2 $179.3
GAAP Gross Margin %55% 53% 55%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %56% 54% 56%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$13.3 $9.5 $18.7
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %7.6% 5.3% 10.4%
GAAP EPS ($)$(0.09) $(0.14) $(0.05)
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.10 $0.08 $0.12
Net Loss Margin % (GAAP)(7.8)% (12.1)% (4.4)%

Notes: GAAP gross margin and non-GAAP gross margin are separately disclosed in Coursera materials.

Segment Breakdown (Historical segment reporting for comparability)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Consumer Revenue ($M)$102.3 $101.7 $102.1
Consumer Gross Profit Margin %54% 54% 55.7%
Enterprise Revenue ($M)$60.4 $62.3 $61.7
Enterprise Gross Profit Margin %70% 68% 70%
Degrees Revenue ($M)$13.4 $15.2 $15.5
Degrees Gross Profit Margin %100% 100% 100%

New segment reporting (Consumer now includes Degrees) for Q1 2025: Consumer revenue $117.6M and segment gross margin 61.6%; Enterprise revenue $61.7M and segment gross margin 70.0% .

KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Registered Learners (Millions)162.0 168.0 175.3
Paid Enterprise Customers1,564 1,612 1,651
Net Retention Rate (Paid Enterprise Customers)89% 87% 91%
New Registered Learners (Millions)N/A6.0 7.1

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($M)Q1 2025$173–$177 Actual: $179.3 Beat vs guide
Revenue ($M)Q2 2025N/A$179–$183 Initiated
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Q2 2025N/A$11–$15 Initiated
Revenue ($M)FY 2025“Positive growth” (no range) $720–$730 Raised/initiated numeric range
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)FY 2025“Improvement” (unspecified) 7.0% (↑100 bps YoY) Clarified target
Segment OutlookFY 2025N/AConsumer & Enterprise single-digit growth (weighted to Consumer); Degrees declines New disclosure

Rationale: Management cited stabilization in consumer performance and macro caution on corporate spend for Enterprise, while reallocating near-term resources away from Degrees to broader-impact initiatives .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
AI/Technology initiatives (Coach, AI translations/dubbing)Coursera Coach launched for interactive instruction; AI translations expanded to 24 languages 100+ AI-dubbed courses launched; Coach Dialogues generally available; early engagement uplifts; 12 enrollments/minute in GenAI content year-to-date Accelerating product/AI innovation
Career-based discoveryInitial launch in Q4 with role pages and localized salary/job data ~60 role pages live; early conversion gains; expansion planned globally Scaling, positive conversion impact
Content engine and economicsGrowth in industry micro-credentials; margin benefits from content arrangements Catalog ~9,800 courses (+37% YoY); content under favorable revenue shares driving margin expansion Broader catalog and better economics
Segment reporting simplificationTraditional 3 segments reported Degrees folded into Consumer; reclassification provided; future reporting simplified Simplified structure; potential investor scrutiny on Degrees
Enterprise/macrosNRR down; macro caution noted Q1 Enterprise +7% YoY; monitoring budget trends; caution embedded in guidance Growth continues, but cautious outlook
DegreesGrowth in recent programs, 100% margin, student counts reported Degrees product expected to decline; student counts no longer disclosed Strategic deprioritization near-term

Management Commentary

  • Product and operating focus: “My top priority is unlocking the next phase of innovation-led growth… implement thoughtful changes to our operating model… accelerate product development cycles… leverage advanced AI and data-driven insights” — CEO Greg Hart .
  • Consumer momentum and conversion: “We saw some real success on the marketing front… Coursera Plus annual subscriptions… [promos] drove a lot of nice free cash flow as well as future revenue” — CEO Greg Hart and CFO Ken Hahn .
  • Content economics: “Consumer expansion was driven by… learners engage with… credentials created under new production arrangements with more favorable revenue share economics” — CFO Ken Hahn .
  • Balance sheet optionality: “~$748M of unrestricted cash… no debt… flexibility to invest in expanding our content engine capabilities” — CFO Ken Hahn .

Q&A Highlights

  • Growth investments vs margins: Management targets 100 bps annual Adjusted EBITDA margin improvement to 7% while reserving dry powder for growth; expect near-term payback from go-to-market and some product/content initiatives .
  • Enterprise outlook: Expect lower growth than Consumer due to macro uncertainty, with Coursera for Campus a relative bright spot; NRR improved sequentially .
  • Degrees reporting rationale: Degrees is viewed as another consumer product; transparency provided in transition; decline expected in 2025 .
  • Career discovery monetization: Early days; building authoritative role/skill graph; positive conversion signs; future monetization optionality .

Estimates Context

MetricQ3 2024 Consensus*Q3 2024 ActualQ4 2024 Consensus*Q4 2024 ActualQ1 2025 Consensus*Q1 2025 Actual
Revenue ($USD Millions)$174.0*$176.1 $176.5*$179.2 $175.4*$179.3
EPS (Primary, $)$0.021*$0.10 (Non-GAAP) $0.046*$0.08 (Non-GAAP) $0.079*$0.12 (Non-GAAP)

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Context: Coursera beat consensus revenue and EPS in Q3, Q4, and Q1, with the Q1 beat supported by stronger consumer conversion, content economics, and disciplined OpEx .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Coursera posted a clean top-line and EPS beat with double-digit Adjusted EBITDA margin and strong FCF, signaling improving operating leverage .
  • Consumer momentum is the near-term driver (Coursera Plus, localized marketing), with margin tailwinds from favorable content revenue shares .
  • Product/AI initiatives (Coach Dialogues, AI dubbing, career discovery) show promising engagement and conversion signals that can compound over 2025 .
  • Enterprise remains solid but prudently guided given macro uncertainty; Campus is a relative bright spot; watch NRR trajectory .
  • Structural change: Degrees folded into Consumer and expected to decline, reducing a potential drag while simplifying the model .
  • Guidance implies steady Q2 revenue with disciplined investment pacing; full-year revenue range $720–$730M and 7% Adjusted EBITDA margin target provide a clearer bar to underwrite .
  • Trading lens: Beat/raise setup, improving consumer conversion/margins, and AI/product cadence are positive; enterprise budget caution and Degrees decline are key overhangs to monitor near-term .