CC
Crane Co (CR)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue rose 9.2% to $577.2M on 6.5% core sales growth; adjusted EPS was $1.49 and GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $1.37, with adjusted operating margin expanding 90 bps to 18.9% .
- Results beat Wall Street consensus: adjusted EPS $1.49 vs $1.33 and revenue $577.2M vs $567.8M; adjusted EBITDA outperformed consensus as well; management raised FY adjusted EPS guidance to $5.50–$5.80 from $5.30–$5.60 (bold beat and guidance raise). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Core orders grew 19.6% and core backlog increased 18.2%, led by Aerospace & Electronics (A&E); A&E delivered record adjusted segment margin of 26.3% and backlog topped ~$1.05B, up 29% YoY .
- Process Flow Technologies (PFT) posted 7.2% sales growth with 20.7% adjusted margin (+20 bps), offset by chemical softness (especially Europe) and tariff headwinds planned to be offset via price/productivity .
- Catalyst stack: guidance raise, robust backlog/order momentum in A&E, and PSI acquisition agreement to add Druck, Panametrics, and Reuter-Stokes with a targeted 10% ROIC by year five; dividend maintained at $0.23 for Q3 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record profitability in A&E: adjusted segment margin reached 26.3% (+250 bps YoY) on higher volumes, price net of inflation, favorable mix, and productivity; backlog up 29% YoY and 9% sequentially to just over $1B .
- Strong top-line and operating leverage: sales +9.2%, adjusted EPS +23.8% YoY; adjusted operating profit +14.7% and adjusted EBITDA +16.4% with adjusted EBITDA margin up 130 bps to 21.1% .
- Guidance raised and strategic M&A: FY adjusted EPS increased to $5.50–$5.80, with planned PSI acquisition strengthening sensing capabilities across A&E and PFT; management reiterates balance sheet capacity and net debt/EBITDA ~1x post-close .
Management quotes:
- “Delivering another excellent quarter, with 24% adjusted EPS growth on 6.5% core sales growth… gives us the confidence to raise our full-year adjusted earnings outlook to $5.50–$5.80.” — Max Mitchell, CEO .
- “Following the acquisition, we estimate that Crane will have a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of approximately 1x, leaving us with substantial capacity for further acquisitions.” — Rich Maue, CFO .
What Went Wrong
- Tariff headwinds and mix pressure: gross tariff impact expected at ~$30M for 2025 (down from ~$60M prior view), offset by price and productivity; H2 A&E margins expected to moderate given a mix shift toward commercial OEM and tougher aftermarket comps .
- PFT demand pockets soft: chemicals remain sluggish with Europe the softest region as projects shift right; sequential PFT core orders down ~1% vs Q1, though YoY +4% .
- Corporate costs timing: H1 corporate expense higher due to stock comp accounting for retirement-eligible employees; working capital draw in Q1 led to negative FCF seasonality before recovering in Q2 .
Financial Results
Segment Breakdown
KPIs
Estimate Comparison (Q2 2025) — S&P Global*
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and execution: “Our strategy and capabilities… position us extremely well to continue driving above market growth organically and complemented by acquisitions.” — Max Mitchell .
- PSI acquisition rationale: “PSI adds highly sophisticated sensor-based technologies… We believe PSI’s capabilities and market positions… create a highly compelling value creation opportunity.” — Max Mitchell .
- Balance sheet and capital deployment: “Following the acquisition, we estimate… net debt to adjusted EBITDA ~1x, leaving substantial capacity for further acquisitions.” — Rich Maue .
- Segment outlooks: A&E guided to high-single to low-double-digit core sales growth with 35–40% leverage; mix to shift toward commercial OEM in H2; PFT core growth at low single digits with 30–35% leverage .
Q&A Highlights
- A&E backlog drivers: Broad-based strength across commercial and military; notable orders in air defense (2026–2027 deliveries), legacy C4ISR power solutions, COMAC C929/C919 wins, and OEM ramp .
- A&E margin trajectory: Expect H2 margin moderation due to mix (Com OEM up ~10% sequentially) and tougher aftermarket comps; full-year leverage still 35–40% .
- GTF aftermarket: ~15% growth in 2025 accelerating to ~30% in 2026; currently <5% of commercial aftermarket sales .
- PFT order cadence/geography: Stable but sluggish chemicals (Europe soft); strength in cryogenics (space launch), biopharma, water/wastewater; Middle East investment supportive .
- Tariffs and pricing: ~$30M gross annual impact (down from ~$60M on lower China tariffs); copper immaterial (<$1M); offset via price/productivity, margins protected .
- M&A funnel: Balanced across A&E and PFT; active pipeline with no immediate closings; PSI expected end of 2025/early 2026 .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 vs consensus: Adjusted EPS $1.49 vs $1.33 and revenue $577.2M vs $567.8M — clear beat on both; adjusted EBITDA outperformed consensus as well. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- FY 2025 consensus EPS stands at ~$5.92 vs company guidance $5.50–$5.80; guidance raised but remains below consensus, likely reflecting management’s caution on tariffs and A&E mix in H2. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong beat-and-raise quarter driven by A&E momentum, record margins, and backlog expansion; expect near-term mix headwinds in H2 but full-year leverage intact .
- Tariffs are manageable: ~$30M gross impact now planned to be offset through price and productivity; reduces prior uncertainty and supports margin protection .
- PFT resilience with selective softness: Chemicals (Europe) remains weak, but cryogenics/biopharma/water are growth engines; backlog and orders indicate stable to improving outlook .
- PSI acquisition is a strategic step to deepen sensing capabilities; target 10% ROIC by year five with organizational alignment to integrate standalone entities (Druck in A&E; Panametrics in PFT; Reuter‑Stokes in nuclear) .
- Capital deployment optionality remains high: net cash position exiting Q2 and ~1x net debt/EBITDA post-PSI supports additional M&A and organic investments .
- For trading: guidance raise and backlog strength are positive catalysts; watch H2 margin cadence (A&E mix shift) and chemical demand signals; monitor tariff policy updates for sentiment swings .
- Medium-term thesis: Above-market organic growth plus disciplined M&A, continued CBS-driven margin expansion, and durable aftermarket exposure in A&E position CR for sustained EPS growth .