CRA International - Q2 2024

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Good day, everyone, and welcome to Charles River Associates' Second Quarter 2024 Conference Call. Please note that today's conference is being recorded. The company's earnings release and prepared remarks from CRA's Chief Financial Officer are posted on the investor relations section of CRA's website at crai.com. With us today are CRA's President and Chief Executive Officer, Paul Maleh, Chief Financial Officer, Dan Mahoney, and Chief Corporate Development Officer, Chad Holmes. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Mr. Mahoney for opening remarks. Dan, please go ahead.

Dan Mahoney (CFO)

Thank you, Rob, and good morning, everyone. Please note that the statements made during this conference call, including guidance on future revenue and non-GAAP EBITDA margin and any other statements concerning the future business, operating results, or financial condition of CRA, including those statements using the terms expect, outlook, or similar terms, are forward-looking statements as defined in Section 21 of the Exchange Act. Information contained in these forward-looking statements is based on management's current expectations and is inherently uncertain. Actual performance and results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements due to many important factors, including the level of demand for our services as a result of changes in general and industry-specific economic conditions.

Additional information regarding these factors is included in today's release and in CRA's periodic reports, including our, excuse me, including our most recently filed annual report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, filed with the SEC. CRA undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements after the date of this call. Additionally, we will refer to some non-GAAP financial measures and certain measures presented on a constant currency basis on this call. Everyone is encouraged to refer to today's release and related CFO remarks for reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to their GAAP comparable measures and descriptions of the calculation of EBITDA and measures presented on a constant currency basis. I will now turn it over to Paul for his report. Paul?

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Thanks, Dan, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. CRA continued its run of strong performance into the second quarter of fiscal 2024. Revenue increased by 5.9% year-over-year to $171.4 million. When combined with the first quarter, this represents the highest first half revenue in the company's history. During this period of growth, we have continued to manage the business effectively. Consultant headcount remained relatively flat compared to the second quarter of 2023, producing quarterly utilization of 74%. This solid utilization supported year-over-year growth and profitability as non-GAAP net income, earnings per diluted share, and EBITDA increased by 26.4%, 28.9%, and 18.5%, respectively.

Broad-based contributions drove this strong quarterly performance, with five practices growing year-over-year: antitrust and competition economics, financial economics, intellectual property, labor and employment, and life sciences. Both lines of business contributed to the quarter's revenue growth, as legal and regulatory increased 7.2% year-over-year, and management consulting expanded 2.9% relative to the second quarter of fiscal 2023. For the company as a whole, we continue to replenish our sales pipeline. Our project lead flow increased in the second quarter by 11% year-over-year. CRA conversion rates remained strong and consistent with historical norms as new project originations grew by 18% relative to the second quarter of 2023. Even excluding projects that transitioned to CRA as part of the recent expansion of our intellectual property practice, new project originations still grew by 10% year-over-year.

This performance outpaced the broader legal market, which saw total case filings increase by 7% year-over-year, and total court judgments increase by 3%. I would now like to spend a few minutes highlighting some of the projects delivered during the second quarter. Our antitrust and competition economics practice has been actively involved in a variety of high-profile litigation and regulatory matters. These cases range across industries, including technology, health insurance, hospitals, consumer goods, and home furnishings. Our team has successfully supported clients on intricate competition matters, helping them respond to a range of antitrust and damages claims. The practice also continued to assist clients involved in merger transactions. For example, during the second quarter, CRA experts supported the acquisition of Viatris' European over-the-counter business by Cooper Consumer Health.

The CRA team prepared analyses assessing the horizontal overlaps and the closeness of competition of the parties' products across hundreds of markets. With the exception of two products, the European Commission found that the overlaps did not result in any competition concerns. In addition, vertical and conglomerate concerns were also analyzed by the CRA team, with the commission concluding these did not result in any competition concerns. During the second quarter, CRA's financial economics practice assisted numerous banks by providing statistical analysis of underwriting and pricing with respect to consumer products, including mortgages, auto loans, and credit cards. Additionally, the practice supplied analysis of the geographic distribution of mortgage applications and originations for several lenders dating back to 2016. These analyses were in response to investigations by the Department of Justice and federal financial regulators, including the CFPB.

Separately, the practice continued assisting clients by analyzing the imposition of overdraft fees and related remediation efforts. Finally, CRA experts continued supporting multiple banks in litigation matters alleging discrimination of protected classes in the context of mortgage lending and FHA false claims actions. CRA's intellectual property practice advised on multiple high-stakes litigation, arbitration, and valuation matters, covering a broad range of industries, including automotive, consumer electronics, e-commerce, energy, industrial products, life sciences, semiconductors, and software. For example, CRA is retained on behalf of the plaintiffs in a high-profile Biologics Price Competition and Innovation Act, patent litigation matter involving a treatment for age-related macular degeneration. Through written and oral testimony, CRA was asked to assess whether the branded manufacturer would suffer irreparable harm, should the accused biosimilar manufacturers launch before the final resolution of the patent litigation.

The district court agreed with CRA's findings that there would be irreparable harm and granted injunctions preventing biosimilars from entering the market. In early May, as previously announced, the intellectual property practice welcomed the addition of a 20-person team led by Chris Bakewell and Julia Rowe. The practice now has a significant footprint in Texas, which is the most active venue for patent litigation in the U.S. Integration of the two legacy teams is tracking to plan, with cross-staffing of client projects and joint marketing efforts well underway. For example, the IP practice is undertaking a cross-practice initiative with our forensic and energy practices to develop and participate in a new conference focused on trade secrets and cybersecurity. The conference is planned for the fourth quarter in Houston.

Also, during the second quarter, CRA's labor and employment practice continued to provide expert analyses for clients facing a multitude of employment-related litigation issues, including claims of employment discrimination and underpayment due to job misclassifications and off-the-clock allegations. The practice regularly supports clients during the early litigation stages by assisting with court-ordered data collection. Experts across the practice also have been actively assisting clients prepare data and responses to audit requests made by the Office of Federal Contract Compliance Programs. CRA's life sciences practice continues to support strategies regarding the evolution of healthcare by working with a leading pharmaceutical company to build business cases for investing in a series of beyond the pill solutions with an emerging therapy in neuroimmunology space.

Regarding the practice's expert witness work, we continue to support a large pharmacy benefit manager in a tax dispute with the U.S. government regarding the role of claims adjudication in the generation of revenues and profits. We also continue our work in both the U.S. and Canada regarding allegations of price fixing in generic pharmaceuticals. Overall, I'm grateful to all my colleagues for their hard work during the second quarter as we helped our clients address their most important challenges. To recap, through the first two quarters of fiscal 2024, on a constant currency basis relative to fiscal 2023, CRA generated total revenue of $342.2 million and non-GAAP EBITDA of $44.5 million, achieving a margin of 13%.

While pleased with the strong performance of the business, we took proactive steps during the quarter to further optimize our service portfolio by reconfiguring the consulting team in targeted areas of the company, which affected about half a dozen practices. As we have discussed over the past year, we have seen high retention rates within our consulting staff that have led to persistent pockets of overcapacity. Normal operations and natural attrition rates helped to bring our delivery resources into better alignment with the demand for our services, but excess capacity remained in select practices. Following the conclusion of the optimization actions during the second quarter, we feel well positioned to continue the pursuit of profitable growth in the quarters ahead.

Turning to our financial guidance, reflecting the strong start of the year, we are increasing our revenue and profit guidance for full year fiscal 2024 on a constant currency basis relative to fiscal 2023. We expect revenue in the range of $670-$685 million, and non-GAAP EBITDA margin in the range of 12.2%-13.0%. This new guidance compares with prior revenue range of $645-$675 million, and prior non-GAAP EBITDA margin range of 10.8%-11.5%. With that, I'll turn the call over to Chad and then Dan for a few additional comments. Chad?

Chad Holmes (Chief Corporate Development Officer and EVP)

Thanks, Paul. Hello, everyone. I want to update you on our capital deployment during the quarter. We concluded the quarter with $24.6 million of cash and $87 million of borrowings under our revolving credit facility, resulting in a net debt of $62.4 million. The borrowings were primarily to fund bonus payments during the first two quarters, which is consistent with our practice in prior years. In addition to the normal bonus cycle, the second quarter of 2024 also saw net cash outlays for talent investments of $18.6 million and capital expenditures of $2.3 million.

We've also returned a total of $27.0 million to our shareholders during the second quarter, consisting of $2.9 million of dividend payments and $24.1 million for share repurchases of approximately 140,000 shares. We currently have $13.1 million available under our share repurchase program. With that, I'll turn the call over to Dan for a few final comments. Dan?

Dan Mahoney (CFO)

Thanks, Chad. As a reminder, more expansive commentary on our financial results is available on the investor relations section of our website under Prepared CFO Remarks. Before we get to questions, let me provide a few additional metrics related to our performance in the second quarter of fiscal 2024. In terms of consultant headcount, we ended the quarter at 968, consisting of 157 officers, 531 other senior staff, and 280 junior staff. This represents a 0.3% decrease compared with the 971 consultant headcount reported at the end of Q2 fiscal 2023.

Non-GAAP selling general and administrative expenses, excluding the 2.2% attributable to commissions to non-employee experts, was 16.4% of revenue for the second quarter of fiscal 2024, compared with 16.1% a year ago. This quarter's ratio was primarily impacted by an increase in travel and entertainment expenses and higher labor, labor costs. The effective tax rate for the second quarter of fiscal 2024 on a non-GAAP basis was 29.4%, compared with 29.8% on a non-GAAP basis for the second quarter of fiscal 2023. Turning to the balance sheet, DSO at the end of the second quarter was 110 days, compared with 115 days at the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2023.

DSO in the second quarter consisted of 70 days of billed and 40 days of unbilled. We concluded the second quarter of fiscal 2024 with $24.6 million in cash and cash equivalents, and a further $158.5 million of available capacity on our line of credit, for total liquidity of $183.1 million. That concludes our prepared remarks. We will now open the call for questions. Rob, please go ahead.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. At this time, we will be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from Mark Riddick with Sidoti & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Marc Riddick (Senior Equity Analyst)

Hey, good morning.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Good morning, Mark.

Marc Riddick (Senior Equity Analyst)

So I wanted to start with your comments around reconfiguring the team and sort of how that dovetails into the increase of the full year guide, if we could spend some time there. With the pullback in the number of the quarter-ended headcount, though utilization was up, can you sort of talk, maybe walk us through kind of how you see that flowing for the remainder of the year, as far as with the guidance that was provided, can you talk about maybe sort of how that plays into where you see headcount going and what your thoughts are around utilization for the remainder of the year? And then I have a follow-up after that.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Sure. Let me start with, I don't take the actions that we had to do during the second quarter lightly. It's been 12 years since I had to oversee such kind of actions, and I really hoped that I would never see that during my tenure. We set out about a year ago, and I was talking to all of our shareholders and said, "You know, I see some excess capacity." I thought normal paths of attrition would self-correct it as we moved through the year.

Marc Riddick (Senior Equity Analyst)

All right.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

What we saw is we had some correction to it, but we still had these pockets of excess capacity that existed across a number of practices, and we wanted to try to rightsize that. As we've repeated over and over, our goal is to operate in the mid-seventies utilization. Clearly, there's some calendar cyclicality with the holidays. As we bring on new people, that utilization will move. But the long-term target is to be operating in the mid-seventies utilization. The guidance that we have provided incorporates the actions and the associated savings that we have with those actions. The one thing to say is that there's a lot of moving parts that go into coming up with the guidance. We are not staying put.

We are still hiring people, we're still growing revenue, we are still looking for ways to expand, you know, or increase the depth of our services. So it is not as simple as looking at the labor savings associated with the action and just playing it forward over the next couple of quarters. So we feel good about where we stand. The guidance is coming off record profitability over those six months, and the good news is that combined with the strength of the portfolio and the actions, I think we're gonna be able to continue that momentum, ahead.

Marc Riddick (Senior Equity Analyst)

I appreciate the commentary. Thank you, Paul. And then you did make mention as far as new project originations being up very quite strongly. Lead flow looks very good. Can you talk a little bit about what you're seeing conversion-wise through the quarter and maybe sort of how you see that playing out in the near term?

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Sure. I know we're supposed to be talking about the second quarter of fiscal 2024, but I'm gonna take us back through 2023. 2023 was a good year, except for the conversion of those leads that we were bringing into CRA into revenue-generating projects. We saw a lot of volatility on that conversion rate. We are very pleased with the level of leads during 2023. What we've been enjoying in Q4 of 2023, Q1 of fiscal 2024, and Q2 of fiscal 2024 are conversion rates that look like what we've enjoyed historically at CRA. So we are, you know, in that low 60s% conversion rate, and that is nothing new for this portfolio of services. So we're pretty pleased.

I see no indication of a shift or that volatility that we experienced during Q3 reemerging. So a lot of credit goes to my colleagues across the practices.

Marc Riddick (Senior Equity Analyst)

Okay, great. And then, I'll just maybe one more. You've talked in the past about sort of what you're seeing as far as the regulatory landscape and increased scrutiny of transactions and the like. So maybe you can maybe just sort of provide an update, 'cause it certainly seems to be continuing to play out. Maybe you can sort of give us maybe an update on your views on that.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Yeah, we've seen no shift, right now, both here in the States and in Europe. We see regulatory oversight to still be relatively strong. And who, you know, we're all trying to read the tea leaves, of what a continued administration or a new administration may mean, here. But right now, no indication of a slowdown in terms of the regulatory pressures, companies are facing.

Marc Riddick (Senior Equity Analyst)

Great. Thank you very much.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Thank you, Mark.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from Andrew Nicholas with William Blair. Please proceed with your question.

Andrew Nicholas (Equity Research Analyst)

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Good morning, Andrew.

Andrew Nicholas (Equity Research Analyst)

Good morning. I wanted to touch first on the margin guide, which I think at the midpoint would represent, if it's not the strongest margin year ever, I mean, it certainly is in the numbers that I have. So, understand there's some portfolio optimization actions and restructuring that you enacted, but could you maybe unpack, you know, what's making this year such a profitable one? Utilization, you know, it's certainly strong, but I wouldn't say outside of your normal range of expectation. And then, you know, relatedly, you know, is this a decent jumping off point for future years, or is there anything going on in 2024 that is one time in nature? Thank you.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Sure. We're quite proud of our revenue growth and our ability to grow revenue at such a profitable rate. That has been our history now for more than a decade. We're able to grow the top line, we're able to grow it profitably, and have also enjoyed substantive margin expansion since 2019. If you compare whether you want to look at EBITDA or EBITDA plus the forgivable loan amortization, we've improved margins by, you know, 250 basis points over these last four years. And we are always looking for the right opportunities to reinvest in the business, but there is nothing in 2024 that I would consider one-time in nature in terms of giving us a boost to profitability.

This is really a continuation of, you know, the strong performance by this portfolio for many years. And we're gonna do our best to just grow wisely, right? I think that is one of the key ingredients of creating value for my colleagues here at CRA and our, and our shareholders.

Andrew Nicholas (Equity Research Analyst)

Very helpful. Thank you. And then wanted to ask on, I know you've talked about this publicly in the past, but just kinda with what's kinda gone on politically over the past month, a lot of movement in terms of, you know, election expectations, could you speak to your latest thoughts on what, you know, potential administration changes might mean for the business? And maybe what you're baking in for the back half of the year in terms of any related pauses or delayed decision-making surrounding that event. Thank you.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Sure. It's definitely been sort of much, must-watch TV. There's always kind of preconceived notions about a administration led by the Republican Party or administration led by the, Democratic Party, based on past administrations. But the last time the Republican administration was in office didn't necessarily follow what I would call, historical, norms, with it. So to say that, "Gee, if there's a change in administration, would that be a dramatic change in regulation?" And the question is, the answer is, I don't know. I don't know whether they're gonna follow, closer to the actions taken during the last Republican administration, or are we gonna see a continuation if the Democrats, you know, maintain office and control.

You know, the other thing to keep in mind is that we also don't see any real signs of easing of regulatory pressures in Europe, and we do operate in a global marketplace. So I'm personally curious to see if there is a relaxation of regulatory scrutiny here in the States, how much deviation are we gonna see from what we've observed in Europe? So I haven't noticed that. Also to keep in mind is that if there is a change, it doesn't happen overnight. There's a lot of things that need to play through the system, and a lot of changes that need to happen. So, I, like you, I'm just watching closely.

Andrew Nicholas (Equity Research Analyst)

Great. That's helpful. And then maybe if I could ask one last question on the antitrust business. You highlighted some wins in your prepared remarks, and I apologize if I missed it, but could you speak maybe more specifically to the performance between M&A and non-M&A, non-M&A-related antitrust in the quarter? Is there any kind of major divergence in terms of the growth rates there, or even sentiment as you look ahead over the next couple quarters and into next year? Thank you.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Well, M&A activity in the market as a whole has shown signs of life during the first half of 2024. We're clearly seeing some of that, these new mergers coming into CRA. But if you start breaking down the first half of 2024, you go from a, you know, a relatively strong quarter in Q1 to a weakening in Q2. What the next couple of quarters holds, we'll wait and see. I'm sure everyone is waiting to see what happens with rates, you know, whether we're gonna get a cut or two in the coming months there. So the practice is enjoying some of the merger work. It's probably still more heavily weighted on the antitrust litigation side of the house, but we definitely have seen signs of activity with mergers.

Andrew Nicholas (Equity Research Analyst)

Thanks again, Paul.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Sure. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from Kevin Steinke with Barrington Research. Please proceed with your question.

Kevin Steinke (VP and Senior Research Analyst)

Thanks. So just in relation to the increase in revenue guidance, can you talk through perhaps any particular practices that have trended better than expected thus far on the year that's enabling that guidance increase? You talked about continued growth and antitrust and competition economics and life sciences for this quarter, but again, or is it just kind of a broad-based contribution that's driving that guidance increase?

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

First of all, good morning, Kevin. I think to answer your question, I sort of have to begin, and maybe you could do the round of applause for our antitrust and competition economics practice. Their performance has been exemplary. They're going from record quarter to record quarter, on that. They're able to grow organically, they're able to recruit, and once those recruits are inside the practice, they enjoy the benefits of the best brand and offering in the world. So, I am amazed, but I'm never gonna, you know, discount what the future may hold. They have a great business model, and I don't know, if you do antitrust work, why you would wanna work anywhere other than CRA. So, you know, hats off to that practice for just the extraordinary performance on it.

The other part I'm gonna point to is we had both lines of business growing. Yes, at different rates, but both are growing, year-over-year. We had five practices, a number of those practices growing double digits, for it. And so the portfolio is working. It's not always, the same set of practices. We saw life sciences had a really nice quarter. We saw forensic services, which normally drives a good part of our growth, have a relatively flat quarter, with it. So that doesn't give me pause, it doesn't give me any apprehension, because we've seen time and time again, the different parts of the portfolio come through, and at the end of the year, all contribute to the expansion of, of CRA's book of business on it.

We're pretty pleased with what's happening across the lines, what's happening across geographies. The assumption for us in the second half is more of the same. I'm not looking for a particular shift in who is gonna help drive the performance over the next six months.

Kevin Steinke (VP and Senior Research Analyst)

Okay, great. That's helpful. Could you just speak to that, I guess, you know, call it group hire in the intellectual property practice that happened, I think, shortly after your first quarter conference call that was announced? Maybe just how that came about and, you know, the opportunity you saw there to build out that practice, and then maybe just tie that into the outlook for adding additional senior talent, what the pipeline looks like there going forward.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Sure. We were thrilled to make that group hire, and expand our IP practice. For me, it has a lot of similarities to what we enjoyed a couple of years ago when we helped, significantly expand our labor and employment practice. So Chris Bakewell and Julia Rowe are CRA alum. They both worked at CRA, you know, more than a decade ago, and have done wonderful things when, away from CRA. And we began talking several months ago. They liked what they heard, about the CRA portfolio. They knew a lot of the senior people within the intellectual property practice. So the discussions really were quite easy, on that. They knew us, we knew them.

We loved how it expand our services and our geographic footprint, and we were able to come to an agreement relatively fast. So as I've said numerous times, I really like our portfolio of services. I think there's a lot of green space across all of the services we have, across both geographies, so there is no apprehension to invest our dollars, our time, to any of the practices that exist.

Kevin Steinke (VP and Senior Research Analyst)

Okay, great. And then, just in terms of the... You know, as you look at the campus hiring, can you talk about plans there? It sounds like, like you said, you're continuing to look for people, even though even post this, you know, reconfiguration of the consulting team. Are you seeing more demand for that, more of that, junior level hire across the market, or is that kinda still relatively soft, when you think about kinda consultants and tech and what have you, and hiring going on there?

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Yeah, I think a successful talent strategy involves both lateral pursuits in addition to university-level hires. So I'm just gonna address the university-level hires with your question. I still think this is largely an employer market. I see overall demand for the top talent to be maybe a little softer than what we have seen in years past. But even with that said, we're working really hard to try to convey how attractive CRA is to new recruits. We hold a number of recruiting seminars during the summer months. We are already planning an active fall recruiting, and I'm... you know, expect to see a nice expansion of that university-level recruiting as we head into 2025.

So even though it may be a little softer market, from the employee side of the house, you still have to work hard to be able to attract top talent into your organization.

Kevin Steinke (VP and Senior Research Analyst)

Okay, great. Well, thanks for taking the questions, and congratulations on the strong results and outlook. I'll turn it back over.

Paul O'Malley (President and CEO)

Thank you, Kevin. Again, thanks to everyone for joining us today. We appreciate your time and interest in CRA. We'll be participating in meetings with investors in the coming months, and we look forward to updating you on our progress on our third quarter call. That concludes today's call. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and we thank you for your participation.