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CF

Corebridge Financial, Inc. (CRBG)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 operating EPS was $1.36, a clear beat versus Wall Street consensus of $1.16; adjusted after-tax operating income (AATOI) was $750M, up year over year, while GAAP net loss was $(660)M driven by realized losses and MRB/funds-withheld derivative effects . EPS consensus (S&P Global) was $1.157, # of estimates: 14; revenue consensus was $4.881B vs S&P actual $3.156B, # of estimates: 5 (EPS beat; revenue miss)*.
  • Capital returns remained robust: $442M returned (64% H1 payout ratio), including $311M of buybacks and $131M in dividends; holding company liquidity stood at $1.3B and financial leverage was 30.8% .
  • Strategic catalyst: Corebridge closed ~90% of the Individual Retirement VA reinsurance transaction (AGL portion) and expects remaining portions to close in Q4 2025, reducing risk, improving earnings quality, and supporting higher distributions .
  • Segment highlights: Life Insurance APTOI +40% YoY on favorable mortality/pricing; Institutional Markets APTOI +80% YoY on higher variable investment income; Individual Retirement APTOI +$2M YoY with RILA sales passing $1B cumulatively in nine months .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Life Insurance delivered strong underwriting and APTOI growth: underwriting margin excluding VII +12% YoY; APTOI +44% YoY excluding VII, enabled by pricing discipline and automated underwriting, with favorable mortality and improved yields .
  • Institutional Markets APTOI +80% YoY on higher VII; total sources of income +64% YoY, underpinning diversified earnings streams despite lower GIC deposits .
  • CEO emphasized transformative VA reinsurance to “reduce risk, improve the quality of earnings, and drive higher distributions,” noting ~90% of the value closed (AGL portion) and remaining tranches targeted for Q4 2025: “the most important value-creation action… since the IPO” .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP net loss of $(660)M (vs +$365M LY), mainly due to higher realized losses this quarter versus a UK divestiture gain last year; Return on equity (GAAP) fell to (21.7%) .
  • Core sources of income declined 2% YoY, and APTOI excluding VII fell 8% YoY due to cumulative short-term rate changes impacting base spread income .
  • Premiums and deposits fell 7% YoY to $10.8B, driven by lower GIC deposits; Group Retirement APTOI down 7% YoY (–14% ex-VII) with general account net outflows .

Financial Results

Consolidated GAAP and Operating Metrics vs Prior Periods

MetricQ2 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenues ($USD Billions)$3.50* (Values retrieved from S&P Global) ]$4.16* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)$4.08* (Values retrieved from S&P Global) ]$3.77* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)
Net Income - (IS) ($USD Billions)$0.365 $2.171 $(0.664) $(0.660)
Diluted EPS - Continuing ($USD)$0.60 $3.80 $(1.19) $(1.20)* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)
EBIT ($USD Billions)$0.324 $2.208 $(0.208)* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)$(0.302)
EBIT Margin %9.0%* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)35.4%* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)(5.6%)* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)(9.6%)* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)
Net Income Margin %10.1%* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)34.8%* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)(17.9%)* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)(20.9%)* (Values retrieved from S&P Global)

Notes: Asterisks indicate S&P Global values.

Operating EPS and AATOI

MetricQ2 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Operating EPS ($USD)$1.13 $1.23 $1.16 $1.36
Adjusted After-tax Operating Income ($USD Millions)$692 $701 $649 $750

Segment APTOI and Premiums & Deposits

Segment APTOI ($USD Millions)Q2 2024Q2 2025
Individual Retirement$621 $623
Group Retirement$195 $182
Life Insurance$95 $133
Institutional Markets$96 $173
Corporate & Other$(148) $(168)
Total$859 $942
Premiums & Deposits ($USD Billions)Q2 2024Q2 2025
Individual Retirement$6.79 $6.85
Group Retirement$2.00 $1.98
Life Insurance$0.85 $0.87
Institutional Markets$2.05 $1.14
Total$11.68 $10.83

KPIs and Capital

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Adjusted ROAE (%)12.0 11.8 14.3
Adjusted BVPS ($)$37.95 $38.83 $37.46
Holding Co. Liquidity ($USD Billions)$2.4 $1.3
Financial Leverage Ratio (%)31.9 (29.5% ex pre-funding) 30.8
Capital Returned ($USD Millions)$454 $442
Dividend per Share ($)$0.24 (declared 5/5/25) $0.24 (declared 8/4/25)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Dividend per shareQ2 2025$0.24 (declared 5/5/25) $0.24 (declared 8/4/25; payable 9/30/25) Maintained
Payout ratio targetFY 202560–65% target reiterated 64% H1 payout ratio; target unchanged Maintained
Long-term EPS growthMulti-year10–15% annual run-rate target Reiterated; no change in Q2 release Maintained
Adjusted ROAE targetFY/Long-term12–14% Reiterated; Q2 delivered 14.3% Maintained
Alternatives returns outlookQ2 2025Q2 alternatives ~half of Q1 level (setup) Actual VII higher in Institutional Markets; no formal update in Q2 release Clarified prior setup vs realized mix

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024 and Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Interest rates & base spread sensitivityReduced floating-rate exposure to ~5% by end of Mar; SOFR sensitivity down to ~2 bps per 25 bp move; base spread income expected to grow over time APTOI ex-VII −8% YoY as cumulative short-term rate changes weighed on base spread; VII offset in certain segments Sensitivity continues to weigh near term; structural mitigation ongoing
Capital returnQ4: $527M; Q1: $454M; reiterated 60–65% payout Q2: $442M; H1 payout ratio 64% Consistent execution within target
Product performance (RILA/FIA)RILA launched Oct-2024; $260M Q1 sales; strong adviser traction RILA cumulative sales >$1B in nine months; Individual Retirement P&D +1% YoY Scaling well; supports growth mix
Institutional Markets (PRT/GIC)Robust PRT pipeline; GIC reserves +48% YoY P&D −45% YoY on lower GIC deposits; APTOI +80% YoY on higher VII Near-term deposit variability; earnings buoyed by VII
Technology/digital/AIAutomated underwriting; adviser productivity; exploration of AI to improve scalability Life underwriting margin improved on automated platform and pricing discipline Execution benefits visible in Life
Regulatory/capital (RBC)Life Fleet RBC > target; diversified/hedged balance sheet Life Fleet RBC above target; holding liquidity $1.3B Stable capital profile

Management Commentary

  • “Our transformative reinsurance transaction is the most important value-creation action we have taken since the IPO, reducing risk, improving the quality of earnings, and driving higher distributions… we have closed on the AGL portion… approximately 90% of the value” .
  • “Operating earnings per share were up 20%, and adjusted return on average equity was up 230 basis points” year over year .
  • “Individual Retirement sales exceeded last year's record second quarter and cumulative sales of our new RILA product passed $1 billion… nine months after initial launch” .

Q&A Highlights

Note: A Q2 2025 call transcript was not available. The following reflects Q1 2025 themes for continuity.

  • Base spread income guidance and sensitivity: reduced net floating-rate exposure (~5%), SOFR sensitivity lowered; base spread expected to grow over time with new money yields ~100 bps above roll-off .
  • Portfolio repositioning: opportunistic reallocation across public and private credit to boost yields within risk parameters; investment strategy is liability-driven and directed by Corebridge .
  • PRT pipeline and demand: continued robustness in U.S./U.K.; transaction timing inherently lumpy; strategic focus on full plan terminations .
  • Expense dynamics: seasonality (Rule of 65 equity grants, payroll taxes) and early retirement program; onetime cost ~$85M with expected run-rate benefits over time .
  • Technology and distribution: automated underwriting in Life; adviser productivity improvements; exploration of AI to enhance scalability and operating leverage .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Operating/normalized EPS beat — $1.36 actual vs $1.16 consensus; 14 estimates (S&P Global). This supports upward bias to near-term EPS models if VII remains supportive and base spread headwinds moderate*.
  • Revenue: S&P Global shows $3.156B actual vs $4.881B consensus; insurers’ GAAP revenue is volatile and less indicative of operating performance, but Street models likely adjust to reported actuals*.
  • Implication: Expect estimate dispersion to narrow around operating EPS; segment mix (Life and Institutional Markets’ VII) may influence earnings quality/visibility*.

Notes: Asterisks indicate values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS beat with Operating EPS $1.36 vs $1.16 consensus; Adjusted ROAE rose to 14.3% (from 12.0% LY), evidencing operating momentum despite rate headwinds .
  • Capital return remains a core pillar: $442M in Q2 (64% H1 payout ratio), $0.24 dividend maintained; holding liquidity $1.3B supports flexibility .
  • Life segment strength is structural: underwriting margin excluding VII +12% YoY and APTOI +44% YoY (ex-VII) on pricing discipline and automated underwriting .
  • Institutional Markets earnings leverage to VII: APTOI +80% YoY despite lower GIC deposits; monitor sustainability of VII and deposit flows .
  • Individual Retirement resilient: APTOI modestly higher and RILA scaling (> $1B cumulative sales), indicating product breadth and distribution efficacy .
  • Strategic de-risking underway: VA reinsurance ~90% closed; remaining portions targeted for Q4 2025 — key catalyst for earnings quality and distributions .
  • Near-term watch items: cumulative short-rate impact on base spread; Group Retirement net outflows; realized gains/losses/MRB volatility — all cited drivers of GAAP results .

Appendix: Additional Data Comparisons vs Estimates

Metric (Q2 2025)ActualConsensusSurprise
EPS (Operating/Normalized) ($)1.36 1.15708*+0.20 (+17%) — bold beat
Revenue ($USD Billions)3.156*4.881*−1.725 (−35%) — bold miss

Notes: Asterisks indicate values retrieved from S&P Global. Values retrieved from S&P Global.