CI
Cricut, Inc. (CRCT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue was $162.6M, down 3% YoY, with diluted EPS of $0.11; gross margin expanded sharply to 60.5% and operating margin reached 18.0% .
- Results were a significant beat vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $0.11 vs $0.071* and revenue $162.6M vs $154.7M*; management highlighted one-time items that boosted margins and withdrew prior operating margin color due to tariff uncertainty, while still expecting quarterly profitability and strong cash generation .
- The Board authorized a $0.75 special dividend, a $0.10 recurring semi-annual dividend (both payable July 21, 2025), and replenished the stock repurchase program to $50M .
- Strategic positives: paid subscribers rose 6% YoY to ~2.97M; international revenue grew 8% YoY to 22% of total; Connected Machines revenue grew 4% while Accessories & Materials fell 15% (benefited ~5 pts by one-time items) .
- Management flagged tariffs as a key uncertainty and removed operating margin outlook; they expect sales to decline YoY in H1 2025 but at a slower rate than H1 2024, with platform revenue up YoY and continued strong cash flow .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Paid subscribers increased 6% YoY to just over 2.97M; ARPU rose 2% to $53.10, supporting platform revenue growth (+2% YoY to $80.0M) .
- Gross margin expanded to 60.5% (from 54.7% YoY) and operating income rose 16% YoY to $29.3M (18.0% margin), aided by selling previously reserved inventory and duty drawback; platform gross margin was ~89% .
- International momentum: revenue +8% YoY, now 22% of total (with ~$35.1M in Q1), strength in U.K., Germany, META and Latin America .
What Went Wrong
- Accessories & Materials revenue declined 15% YoY despite ~5 pts benefit from one-time items; management admitted share losses to private label brands and pressure from lower engagement .
- Engagement headwinds persisted: Active Users ~5.926M (-0.4% YoY) and 90-Day Engaged Users ~3.372M (-4% YoY), pressured by large 2020–2021 cohorts aging and lighter usage among newer mainstream users .
- Guidance clarity reduced: management withdrew operating margin color due to tariff uncertainty, signaling potential pricing actions (less deep promotions, targeted increases) and measured marketing spend .
Financial Results
Quarterly Performance vs Prior Periods
Segment Revenue
Segment Margins (from earnings call)
KPIs
Actual vs Consensus (Q1 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Highlights
Note: Management referenced “cash and cash equivalents of $357M” on the call, which aligns with cash plus marketable securities on the balance sheet .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are pleased with the increase in paid subscribers in Q1 up 6% year-over-year, the continuation of positive International sales growth up 8% year-over-year and strong profitability.” — Ashish Arora, CEO .
- “Total gross margin in Q1 was 60.5%… product gross margins benefited from selling previously reserved inventory and duty drawback and more favorable product mix.” — Kimball Shill, CFO .
- “Given the uncertainty surrounding tariffs, our prior guidance for operating margins can no longer be relied upon… We expect to be profitable each quarter and generate significant positive cash flow during 2025.” — Kimball Shill, CFO .
- “We need to reignite our top line… attract more new users… reverse weakening engagement trends… take back our share in accessories and materials.” — Ashish Arora, CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariff mitigation: diversified manufacturing (machines in Malaysia; consumables largely outside China), disciplined pricing/promotions, and potential for share gains as some partners slow receipts from China; margins uncertain, hence withdrawn guidance .
- Engagement timeline: onboarding UX overhaul, personalized lifecycle campaigns (push/e-mail/SMS/social), and use-case-led design simplification expected to lift engagement as execution accelerates in 2025 .
- Inflection confidence: improving machines sell-in/out, expanding value line materials (+100 SKUs), and supply chain advantage with retail partners; note ~4 pts one-time help to operating margin in Q1 .
- New machines uptake: Maker 4/Explore 4 well received; ample stock; flexibility greatest in consumables for incremental shelf placement and marketing .
- Value line trajectory: engineered for online marketplaces, profitable configurations, expanding SKUs and affordability focus to regain share over time .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 EPS: Actual $0.11 vs Consensus $0.071* — significant beat.
- Q1 2025 Revenue: Actual $162.6M vs Consensus $154.7M* — significant beat.
- Estimate counts: Revenue (2); EPS (4).
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin-rich platform continues to underpin profitability; Q1 gross margin 60.5% and operating margin 18%, aided by one-time items — expect normalization but structurally supported by subscription mix .
- The $0.75 special dividend and $0.10 recurring dividend plus replenished $50M buyback provide tangible capital return catalysts near term (July 21 payable) .
- Machines show early signs of recovery (sell-in/out up; Connected Machines +4%) supported by new launches; watch for sustained momentum into Q2/Q3 amid tariff backdrop .
- Engagement remains the swing factor; execution on onboarding UX, personalization, and use-case flows is key to stabilizing materials and driving subscription retention .
- International growth (+8% YoY; 22% mix) diversifies revenue; continued investment in awareness in select markets could expand share despite Australia softness .
- Guidance caution: operating margin outlook withdrawn due to tariffs; company still expects profitability each quarter and strong cash generation in 2025 — pricing/promotions likely tighten .
- Near-term trading lens: strong Q1 beat and capital return announcements are positives; watch for updates on tariff impacts, materials share gains, and engagement KPIs as key narrative drivers .