CT
COGNIZANT TECHNOLOGY SOLUTIONS CORP (CTSH)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 revenue of $5.245B grew 8.1% YoY (7.2% CC), exceeding the high end of guidance; GAAP and adjusted operating margin were 15.6%, and GAAP diluted EPS was $1.31, up 15% YoY .
- Bookings accelerated: TTM bookings reached $27.8B (book-to-bill ~1.4x); Q2 bookings rose 18% YoY, including two ~$1B mega deals, signaling durable demand and pipeline conversion .
- FY25 guidance was tightened/higher: revenue $20.7–$21.1B (4.0–6.0% CC), adjusted OM 15.5–15.7%, adjusted EPS $5.08–$5.22; capital return plan raised to $2.0B (from $1.7B) for 2025 .
- Wall Street consensus: CTSH beat Q2 EPS ($1.31 vs $1.260*) and revenue ($5.245B vs $5.189B*) and FY25 consensus sits near the top of guidance (revenue ~$21.087B*, EPS normalized ~$5.253*)—bias to modest estimate fine-tuning given management’s tightened range. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Near-term watch: one-time, non-cash
$$400M tax expense in Q3 from OBBBA ($0.82 GAAP EPS impact) offsets cash tax and lifts OCF, while mega deals and AI-led productivity can keep margins expanding within guided range .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Our second quarter revenue performance exceeded the high end of our guidance range,” driven by “investments in talent, platforms and AI infrastructure” and two ~$1B mega deals .
- Adjusted operating margin expanded 40 bps YoY to 15.6%, with EPS growth outpacing revenue; bookings TTM $27.8B, Q2 bookings +18% YoY, six large deals including two mega deals .
- Segment strength: Products & Resources +16% YoY (Belcan-led), Financial Services +6.9% YoY, Health Sciences +6.2% YoY; North America +8.1% YoY with broad-based growth .
What Went Wrong
- Margin headwinds from large deal ramps and compensation increases, partially offset by NextGen savings and INR depreciation, kept GAAP OM at 15.6% vs Q1’s 16.7% .
- Health Sciences near-term caution from U.S. Medicaid changes and life sciences tariff uncertainty; management expects productivity-led demand but flagged discretionary pressure .
- DSO rose to 83 days (+2 seq, +3 YoY) and headcount increased by 7,500 QoQ (campus hires), requiring ongoing utilization and pyramid discipline to preserve gross margin .
Financial Results
Segment revenue and YoY
KPIs and Cash Flow
Belcan contribution note: ~400 bps to overall revenue growth and ~1,600 bps to P&R segment YoY (primarily North America, some U.K.) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Our second quarter revenue performance exceeded the high end of our guidance range… our investments… drove our fourth-straight quarter of organic year-over-year revenue growth… and helped us accelerate bookings, including two $1 billion deals” .
- CEO on AI: “The three vector AI opportunity… is resonating… we launched Cognizant Agent Foundry… IP on the edge… [is] a very important differentiator” .
- CFO: “Q2 revenue grew 7.2% YoY in CC… Belcan contributed ~400 bps… adjusted operating margin improved 40 bps YoY… demand visibility remains limited but large deal ramps offset discretionary pressure” .
- Capital return: “We now expect to return approximately $2.0B to shareholders this year” .
Q&A Highlights
- Bookings mix and pipeline: Balanced new vs renewals; ACV rising; combination of productivity- and innovation-led deals; two ~$1B mega deals; pipeline replenishment for 2H .
- Gross margin outlook: Manage utilization, pyramid, and large-deal ramp investments; stable to slightly improving gross margin sequentially .
- AI pricing/IP: Moving toward outcome-based pricing; bundling “IP on the edge” to create stickiness and premium; agent development lifecycle evolving versus traditional SDLC .
- Capital allocation: FY25 return raised to $2.0B ($1.4B buybacks; $0.6B dividends); ~$500M capacity for M&A in 2H .
- Health care outlook: Limited exposure to Medicaid/Medicare; productivity-led AI transformations seen as offsets; one ~$1B healthcare mega deal .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: EPS $1.31 vs consensus $1.260*; revenue $5.245B vs $5.189B*—both beats with ~22 EPS and ~20 revenue estimates*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- FY 2025: Consensus revenue ~$21.087B* and normalized EPS ~$5.253* sit near/above guidance midpoints ($20.9B, $5.15), implying modest potential downward consensus calibration if management maintains a conservative demand view. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Target price consensus ~$84.83* based on ~24 estimates*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mega-deal momentum and ACV expansion underpin revenue visibility; mix shifting from solely productivity to include innovation-led “agentification” spend—supportive for multi-quarter bookings cadence .
- Margin execution remains disciplined within 15.5–15.7% adjusted OM guide; watch near-term ramp costs versus utilization/pyramid initiatives and AI-led efficiency gains .
- One-time OBBBA tax charge (~$0.82 GAAP EPS impact) is non-cash and boosts FY25 operating cash flow by ~$200M—supports the raised $2.0B capital return plan .
- Inorganic tailwinds (Belcan) meaningfully lift P&R and North America growth; organic growth strongest in Financial Services and Health Sciences; life sciences/payers may see selective discretionary caution .
- CTSH beat Q2 Street estimates and tightened/higher FY guide; consensus near the top end suggests limited upside unless demand improves—monitor large-deal conversion and AI-led program scaling. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Near-term trading: Positive catalyst from bookings/mega deals and raised capital returns; risk from discretionary softness in certain verticals and large-deal ramp timing .
- Medium term: AI “IP on the edge” and Agent Foundry can support differentiation, pricing power, and TAM expansion into operations workloads, sustaining growth and margin resilience .