Corteva, Inc. (CTVA)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 results outperformed on core controllables: revenue rose 13% to $2.62B (organic +11%) with volume +12% and price -1%; Operating EPS was $(0.23) and Operating EBITDA was $49M, a 149% YoY improvement . Versus S&P Global consensus, Corteva beat on revenue ($2.62B vs $2.47B*) and Operating EPS ($(0.23) vs $(0.47)) (consensus via S&P Global).
- Seed strength drove upside (volume +27% on early safrinha deliveries; operating EBITDA up 40% YoY) while Crop Protection delivered volume-led growth with pricing pressure concentrated in Latin America and 13% EBITDA growth .
- Management raised FY25 guidance: net sales to $17.7–$17.9B (from $17.6–$17.8B), Operating EBITDA to $3.8–$3.9B (from $3.75–$3.85B), and Operating EPS to $3.25–$3.35 (from $3.00–$3.20); FCF guidance ≈$1.9B and ~$1B buybacks unchanged .
- Strategic backdrop: planned separation into two public companies in 2H 2026 remains on track; management emphasizes margin trajectory, controllable cost savings (> $600M in 2025), and robust CP/seed innovation pipelines as key narrative drivers for the stock .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Seed momentum: Q3 Seed net sales +33% to $0.92B on +27% volume and +4% price/mix, with operating EBITDA loss narrowing 40% YoY on higher corn volumes, royalty benefits and productivity/deflation . “We delivered a strong third quarter across the company… Seed continues to benefit from its strength in advanced genetics, growth in out-licensing and ongoing cost discipline.” — CEO Chuck Magro .
- Crop Protection execution: CP operating EBITDA +13% YoY to $279M as productivity savings and volume gains offset price/currency headwinds; volume +5% with demand for new products, herbicides, and biologicals .
- Controllables and margin trajectory: management now expects >$600M controllable benefits in 2025; YTD Operating EBITDA margin >25% (+~320 bps YoY), underpinning a path to ~24% company margin by 2027 midpoint .
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What Went Wrong
- Pricing in Latin America: CP price declined 2% in Q3 and YTD due to competitive dynamics in Brazil, partially offset by NA price increases .
- FX headwinds: currency was an EBITDA headwind (Brazilian real, Turkish lira, Canadian dollar) YTD; Q3 included after-tax exchange losses of $(50)M .
- Seasonal GAAP loss persists: Q3 GAAP diluted EPS from continuing operations was $(0.46) amid seasonal mix and exchange impacts, though Operating EPS improved to $(0.23) .
Financial Results
Quarterly results (oldest → newest):
Q3 actuals vs S&P Global consensus:
- Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Q3 segment performance:
Q3 KPIs (company-level YoY drivers):
Guidance Changes
Context: Preliminary FY 2026 view calls for Operating EBITDA ~$4.1B (midpoint), ~6% YoY growth .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic message: “We delivered a strong third quarter… our two businesses will continue to thrive as independent public companies… Seed continues to benefit from its strength in advanced genetics, growth in out-licensing and ongoing cost discipline.” — CEO Chuck Magro .
- Margin and controllables: “We’re now expecting to deliver over $600 million in controllable benefits this year… Operating EBITDA margin improvement of over 160 bps for the full year; on track toward ~24% by 2027 midpoint.” — Management commentary .
- Outlook and pipeline: “We are raising our full year Operating EBITDA range to $3.8–$3.9B… announcing brand name Varpalgo for our next-gen insecticide active… expected to launch early 2030s and cross $750M at peak.” — CEO Chuck Magro .
Q&A Highlights
- Crop Protection strategy and margins: Portfolio shift toward differentiated technologies/new actives and biologicals continues; CP margins targeted at 20% by 2027, with more opportunities post-separation via expanded partnerships/channels .
- LATAM credit conditions: Despite higher borrowing costs and some bankruptcies in the region, Corteva reported minimal losses, improved past-due metrics, limited exposure to national distributors, and ~40% of Brazil sales via barter .
- Biologicals and Spinosad: Biologicals expected to grow high single- to low double-digit; Spinosad near $900M revenue in 2025, aided by its role as a rotation partner amid resistance dynamics .
- 2026 industry view: CP market seen returning to low single-digit growth driven by volumes; pricing stabilizing globally, with Brazil still slightly down .
- Seeds: Conkesta soy to double-digit penetration in 2026; hybrid wheat launch targeted for 2027 with 10–15% yield uplift in trials; sensitivity ~+$10M EBITDA for each +/-1M acre corn→soy shift .
Estimates Context
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Q3 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $2.62B vs $2.47B*; Operating EPS $(0.23) vs $(0.47)* — both beats. EBITDA beat as well versus $(0.11)B* consensus (Corteva Operating EBITDA $0.05B) (consensus via S&P Global*).
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Forward consensus (snapshots): Q4 2025 revenue $4.24B*, EPS $0.213*; Q1 2026 revenue $4.64B*, EPS $1.166* (S&P Global*). Raised FY25 guidance implies potential upward estimate revisions in Operating EPS and EBITDA if execution in Brazil and controllables hold .
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Note: Corteva reports Operating (non-GAAP) EPS/EBITDA; consensus “Primary EPS” aligns with non-GAAP EPS; differences to GAAP are reconciled in filings .
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Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat-and-raise quarter: Broad-based volume gains (especially Seed) and controllables drove upside; FY25 guide raised across revenue, Operating EBITDA, and Operating EPS — a clear positive for estimate revision momentum .
- Seed strength is durable: NA corn share gains, early Brazil safrinha, increased out-licensing, and royalty improvements underpin Seed margins; Conkesta adoption and hybrid wheat provide multi-year growth vectors .
- CP stabilization underway: Pricing pressure concentrated in Brazil is moderating; volume growth from new actives and biologicals plus productivity savings support sustainable margin expansion .
- 2026 setup constructive: Preliminary ~$4.1B Operating EBITDA midpoint and a return to low single-digit CP industry growth suggest continued operating leverage if mix and cost programs persist .
- Separation is a catalyst: Greater strategic focus and partnership optionality for both SpinCo (Seed) and New Corteva (CP) should enhance capital allocation and growth, with detailed targets expected at pre-separation investor days .
- Watch items: Brazil CP pricing trajectory and FX headwinds; monitor LATAM credit and barter economics; track Q4 execution in Brazil given seasonal concentration .
Appendix: Additional Detail
Q3 2025 geographic sales (for context)
Non-GAAP definitions and adjustments: Corteva’s Operating EPS and Operating EBITDA exclude significant items, separation costs, certain non-operating items, FX mark-to-market on undesignated contracts, and amortization of intangibles existing as of the DowDuPont separation; reconciliations provided in exhibits .