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CAVCO INDUSTRIES, INC. (CVCO)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- CVCO delivered a clean beat: revenue $556.5M (+9.7% Y/Y) and diluted EPS $6.55 (+24% Y/Y) vs S&P Global consensus of $542.9M and $6.09, respectively; EBITDA also topped consensus as insurance profitability inflected . Estimates marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global and lack document citations.
- Mix/pricing tailwinds and stronger Financial Services gross margin (55.6% vs 21.8% Y/Y) expanded consolidated gross margin 130 bps to 24.2%; factory-built margins held at 22.9% despite tariff headwinds and regional softness in the Southeast .
- Backlog stable-to-slightly higher at ~$210M (5–7 weeks), with selective Southeast production pullbacks offset by strength across northern regions; wholesale prices held firm across geographies .
- Post-quarter, CVCO closed the $190M cash acquisition of American Homestar (Oak Creek) and repurchased $36M in stock (authorization remaining ~$142M), reinforcing a balanced capital allocation framework .
- Near-term watch items: evolving tariffs (Canadian lumber duties + anti-dumping and China component tariffs) and Southeast demand; management expects tariff impacts beyond prior $2–$5.5M/quarter range as lumber measures take effect, partly offset by delayed China escalations .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Broad-based execution: “continued strong performance from all phases of our business - production, retail and our Financial Services segment,” with capacity utilization ~75% and ASP/mix benefits .
- Insurance profitability step-change: Financial Services gross margin 55.6% (vs 21.8% Y/Y) on higher premiums and materially lower claims losses from underwriting/claims management improvements; segment operating profit turned positive .
- Pricing/mix resilience: Consolidated ASP up sequentially, driven by higher recognized units from retail and more multi-section homes; wholesale pricing held across regions, including the Southeast .
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What Went Wrong
- Regional divergence: Southeast slowed (orders flat to down) necessitating targeted production reductions (extended downtime, rate cuts) while other regions remained strong; management is monitoring closely .
- Tariff headwinds: Q2 COGS impact ~+$2M; looking forward, Canadian lumber duty/anti-dumping increases add to prior $2–$5.5M/quarter range; sensitivity to local market pass-through remains .
- Slight sequential top-line downtick: Q2 revenue essentially flat vs Q1 (down ~$0.3M) as units sold fell (5,178 vs 5,416), offset by higher revenue/home; interest income also edged lower .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance (oldest → newest)
Segment revenue and profitability (oldest → newest)
KPIs and operating metrics (oldest → newest)
Comparison to S&P Global consensus (oldest → newest; asterisk denotes S&P data)
Values with asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global and may not appear in company documents.
Guidance Changes
CVCO does not issue formal quantitative guidance; management provided qualitative updates and cost frameworks.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Bill Boor: “We saw continued strong performance from all phases of our business - production, retail and our Financial Services segment. Our teams executed with excellence in a fluid market with continuing macroeconomic risks.”
- On regional dynamics: “We did need to slow our Southeast production in Q2… All other regions maintained elevated production… Backlogs… served the Southeast stabilize and edge up… There’s nothing systemic we can point to…”
- On pricing/mix: “Wholesale prices were essentially flat… upward movement in reported ASP was primarily the result of a higher percentage of recognized units from retail, and… more multi-section homes.”
- On Financial Services: “Operating profit is up $14 million from a loss last year to an $8 million profit this year… majority of the increased profitability has resulted from… underwriting and claims management.”
- CFO Allison Aden on tariffs: “We estimate that the impact of tariffs in Q2 was approximately $2 million… Canadian lumber countervailing duties… increased from 14.5% to 35%… subsequent… announced… 10% tariffs… These would have a meaningful impact… A positive is… China tariff increase… kicked out… reduce our estimate probably to the lower end… for those components.”
Q&A Highlights
- Regional outlook: Orders modestly down in Q2 (seasonal), SE moderated but stabilized into October; production held firm elsewhere; plants outside SE increasing production .
- Tariffs and cost outlook: Q2 impact ~$2M; prior $2–$5.5M/quarter framework likely understated for Canadian lumber; China escalation delay is a relief; 60–90 day commodity cost flow-through .
- American Homestar: Expect minimal consolidated gross margin impact from purchase accounting; ~100 stores post-deal; AHS ~60% of homes through company-owned retail—lifts integrated retail mix .
- Financing environment: Chattel rates mid-8% (~8.5%); ongoing work to expand secondary market take-out; selective balance sheet holds as a bridge .
- Pricing discipline: No evidence of broad competitive price pressure; pricing held in SE despite volume softness .
Estimates Context
- Q2 beat: Revenue $556.5M vs $542.9M*; EPS $6.55 vs $6.09*; EBITDA $67.4M* vs $61.0M* .
- Back-to-back beats: Q1 revenue $556.9M vs $525.0M*; EPS $6.42 vs $5.55* . Q4 revenue $508.4M vs $504.2M*; Adj EPS $5.40 vs $4.87* .
- Implication: Street likely raises near-term estimates on insurance profitability and ASP/mix resilience, but may temper factory margin expectations for tariff headwinds and SE softness.
Values with asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global and may not appear in company documents.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality beat with higher gross margin and strong EPS on resilient pricing/mix and a profitable insurance rebound; limited sequential top-line change as unit volume dipped .
- Regional divergence is real but manageable: SE trimmed production yet stabilized; broad-based strength across northern states supports volumes/backlog .
- Tariffs represent the near-term swing factor—Canadian lumber duties likely add to COGS beyond the prior $2–$5.5M/qtr framework; monitor pass-through and lumber/OSB indices (60–90 day lag) .
- Retail mix set to rise with Homestar (higher integrated retail %) and could support ASP and consolidated margin via mix, even as purchase accounting impact is minimal .
- Capital deployment remains shareholder-friendly and balanced: closed $190M acquisition, continued capex-driven plant modernization, and ongoing buybacks with ~$142M authorization remaining .
- Financial Services appears structurally improved (underwriting/claims), offering a more durable earnings buffer against manufacturing cyclicality .
- Trading lens: Near-term catalysts include Street estimate revisions and integration updates; risks center on tariff cost cadence and SE demand trajectory.