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DARLING INGREDIENTS INC. (DAR)·Q3 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue of $1.56B and diluted EPS of $0.12; Combined Adjusted EBITDA of $244.9M. Revenue rose 10% YoY and gross margin expanded to 24.7% from 22.1% .
- Versus S&P Global consensus for Q3 2026: revenue modestly beat ($1.56B vs $1.55B*), EBITDA missed ($244.9M vs $336.8M*), and EPS was a significant miss ($0.12 vs $0.67*) .
- Guidance pivot: company ceased combined guidance and now guides FY2025 core ingredients Adjusted EBITDA to $875–$900M (lower than Q1’s $950–$1,000M); renewed focus on PTC monetization (sold $125M; targeting $125–$175M more by year-end) .
- Near-term catalysts: clarity on EPA RVO/SRE reallocation and LCFS enforcement (management expects constructive policy and margin uplift into Q4), plus cash inflows from PTC sales to reduce leverage toward ~3x .
Values retrieved from S&P Global for estimate figures.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Feed segment strength: Net sales up to $1.03B and Segment Adjusted EBITDA up 31.6% YoY to $174.0M, driven by robust fat demand and disciplined execution; gross margin expanded to 24.3% .
- Food segment resilience: Net sales $380.6M and Segment Adjusted EBITDA up 25.6% YoY to $71.6M; collagen demand improving and costs managed effectively .
- PTC monetization momentum: Company agreed to sell $125M of 2025 PTC, with plans to monetize an additional $125–$175M by year-end; management highlighted robust buyer demand and better terms quarter-on-quarter .
- Quote: “Our core ingredients business delivered its strongest performance in a year and a half, fueled by robust global demand and exceptional execution across all operations.” — CEO Randall Stuewe .
What Went Wrong
- Fuel segment/DGD drag: Darling’s share of DGD Adjusted EBITDA was -$2.9M due to a ~$37.8M LCM expense and a DGD-3 turnaround limiting higher-margin SAF sales; segment combined Adjusted EBITDA fell to $21.6M vs $59.7M YoY .
- EPS miss vs consensus: Diluted EPS of $0.12 missed materially versus $0.67* consensus, reflecting DGD margin compression and LIFO/LCM dynamics .
- Tariff-related volume softness in Food late in the quarter, offset by cost control; ongoing policy uncertainty (RVO/SREs, LCFS) constrained renewable fuel margins despite improving indicators .
Financial Results
Sequential trend (oldest → newest)
YoY comparison
Versus S&P Global consensus (Q3 2026)
Values retrieved from S&P Global for consensus figures.
Segment breakdown (YoY)
KPIs and balance sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic focus: “Given the current uncertainty around public policy and its impact on the fuel segment, we'll now provide financial guidance exclusively for our core ingredients business.” — CEO Randall Stuewe .
- Policy tailwinds: “The Renewable Volume Obligation they've drafted is thoughtful and designed to support American agriculture and energy leadership... a major catalyst for Diamond Green Diesel.” — CEO Randall Stuewe .
- DGD near-term headwinds: “Both LIFO and LCM were negative in the third quarter... LCM loss of around $38 million at the entity level.” — CFO Bob Day .
- PTC monetization: “We expect to generate a total of around $300 million in 2025... agreed to the sale of $125 million... anticipate an additional $125–$170 million... around $200 million of payments by year-end.” — CFO Bob Day .
Q&A Highlights
- RVO/SRE timeline and implications: Management expects EPA action by year-end; scenario work suggests 50–100% SRE reallocation absorbs surplus by end-2026, requiring higher biofuel margins and supporting feedstock prices .
- DGD capture/margins: Negative LIFO/LCM in Q3; SAF margins above RD; Q4 indicator margins improved but guidance withheld amid policy uncertainty .
- PTC market development: Buyer demand now robust; company confident in ability to monetize majority of credits in 2025 and 2026 .
- LCFS outlook: Expect gradual strengthening in 2026 as credit bank normalizes; not a sharp step up .
- Balance sheet: Target leverage ~3x by YE; longer-term plan to reach 2.5x; capex discipline maintained .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2026 results vs consensus: Revenue beat ($1.56B vs $1.55B*), EBITDA miss ($244.9M vs $336.8M*), EPS miss ($0.12 vs $0.67*) .
- Implications: Street likely revises down near-term EBITDA/EPS to reflect DGD headwinds (LCM, turnaround) and guidance pivot to core-only; revenue resilience from Feed/Food may temper top-line cuts .
Values retrieved from S&P Global for consensus figures.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core ingredients are carrying the quarter: Feed and Food segments delivered robust margin expansion and EBITDA growth; expect continued strength into Q4 .
- Fuel/DGD is the swing factor near-term: LCM/LIFO and turnaround cut Q3 earnings; Q4 margins have improved, but policy clarity (RVO/SRE, LCFS) remains the key unlock for durable recovery .
- Guidance pivot reduces headline risk: Moving to core-only guidance ($875–$900M) focuses investors on controllable drivers while PTC monetization provides tangible cash inflows in Q4 .
- Expect estimate resets: EPS/EBITDA likely revised down near term given the miss; monitor EPA timelines and LCFS enforcement dates for re-rating catalysts .
- Balance sheet path improving: PTC cash, core FCF, and capex discipline support leverage reduction toward ~3x and ultimately ~2.5x; watch Q4 cash generation .
- Trading implications: Near-term volatility tied to policy headlines; upside skew if RINs/LCFS tighten and SAF volumes hit capacity; downside capped by core segment resiliency .
- Medium-term thesis: Integrated feedstock sourcing + collagen innovation (Nextida pipeline) positions Darling for multi-segment margin and cash flow expansion as renewable policy normalizes .