DI
DoorDash, Inc. (DASH)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered accelerating growth and broad-based strength: Revenue rose 27% Y/Y to $3.446B, Marketplace GOV up 25% Y/Y to $25.0B, and Adjusted EBITDA up 41% Y/Y to $754M .
- Results beat Wall Street on both revenue and normalized EPS; Q3 revenue of $3.446B vs consensus ~$3.3569B, and normalized EPS of $1.278 vs ~$1.250; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.55* (S&P Global; company-reported GAAP EPS) *.
- Q4 2025 guidance implies continued momentum: Marketplace GOV $28.9–$29.5B and Adjusted EBITDA $710–$810M; Deliveroo expected to contribute ~$45M to Q4 Adjusted EBITDA and ~$200M in 2026 .
- Management emphasized a multi-year investment step-up in 2026 (global AI-native tech platform, autonomy, DashMart Fulfillment Services), citing strong core business unit economics and IRR discipline as catalysts for durable growth .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong demand and engagement: MAUs, average order frequency, and average order values drove GOV acceleration; Net Revenue Margin rose to 13.8% on higher ads contribution and lower credits and Dasher costs .
- Profitability expansion: Adjusted EBITDA grew to $754M (3.0% of GOV) and GAAP gross profit rose to $1.689B (6.8% of GOV), showing operating leverage .
- Strategic platform progress and AI-native roadmap: “We’re building a single global tech stack… make it AI native… ship faster and be more efficient,” positioning for global feature velocity and cost efficiencies .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP net income declined Q/Q to $244M from $285M due to higher legal/tax/regulatory and transaction-related costs despite healthy Y/Y growth .
- New verticals unit economics remain negative (though improving Q/Q and Y/Y), highlighting continued investment needs to reach break-even .
- International orders growth decelerated slightly due to slower average order frequency growth, even as unit economics hit all-time highs .
Financial Results
Core financials (actuals)
KPIs and operating metrics
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We’re building a single global tech stack… make it AI native… we’ll ship faster and be more efficient and… free up engineering capacity.” — Tony Xu (CEO) .
- “If the GOV is coming in ahead of expectations… unit economics improving… our philosophy has always been to reinvest back in the business… thinking in terms of IRR.” — Ravi Inukonda (CFO) .
- “DashMart Fulfillment Services… manage inventory systems end-to-end… near-perfect accuracy… turn every physical retailer into an omnichannel player.” — Tony Xu .
- “Ads business is growing quite nicely… our goal is to reinvest back in the business at healthy rates.” — Ravi Inukonda .
Q&A Highlights
- 2026 investment sizing and focus: Several hundred million incremental spend targeted to global tech platform (AI-native), autonomy, and new product areas; CFO expects existing business EBITDA margin up slightly in 2026 excluding Deliveroo .
- Deliveroo integration and contribution: ~$45M Adjusted EBITDA in Q4’25 and ~$200M in 2026; longer-term cost efficiencies as teams consolidate; EBITDA definition alignment reduces reported 2026 by ~$32–$40M .
- Autonomy commercialization: 2026 targeted commercialization; multi-modal approach (Dashers, robots, drones, Waymo) to optimize quality/cost/service .
- DashMart Fulfillment Services: End-to-end fulfillment and inventory control envisioned to materially raise accuracy and support same-hour/day delivery use cases .
- Advertising scale: Fastest to $1B annualized; disciplined to avoid consumer experience degradation while monetizing .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 beat on revenue and normalized EPS; Q2 2025 beat; Q1 2025 revenue miss but normalized EPS beat. Company-reported GAAP diluted EPS is shown in Financial Results; normalized EPS below reflects S&P Global consensus and actuals.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Momentum intact: Accelerating GOV/Orders and expanding contribution margins underpin durable growth into Q4’25; guidance implies continued strength .
- Profitability scaling: Adjusted EBITDA rose to $754M with margin at 3.0% of GOV; gross profit up 32% Y/Y, indicating operating leverage .
- Investment cycle ahead: 2026 step-up in AI-native global platform, autonomy, and DashMart Fulfillment Services may pressure near-term expenses but should raise feature velocity and efficiency longer term .
- Deliveroo synergy: Immediate EBITDA contribution, with longer-term accounting alignment and cost efficiencies; watch 2026 EBITDA alignment impact ($32–$40M) on reported figures .
- Ads as margin lever: Ads contribution boosted Net Revenue Margin; management prioritizes sustainable monetization without harming UX .
- New verticals path: Still negative unit economics but improving; scaling selection/accuracy should support eventual break-even and free cash flow growth .
- Trading lens: Near-term catalysts include Q4 guide delivery, autonomy pilots (Waymo) and DashMart fulfillment scaling; monitor legal/regulatory expense variability and FX/geopolitical risks highlighted by management .