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Digital Brands Group, Inc. (DBGI)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue declined to $2.44M (–25% YoY; –28% QoQ) as DBGI dropped its largest low-margin wholesale account and limited digital ad spend; gross margin held ~flat sequentially at 46.0% (vs. 45.9% in Q2) but down YoY from 52.3% .
- Net loss improved to $(3.54)M vs $(5.44)M YoY; diluted EPS was $(1.63) vs $(14.55) YoY, aided by cost reductions (G&A down to $2.43M, –$1.31M YoY; >$0.5M sequential decline) despite lower sales .
- Management pivoted from balance-sheet cleanup to growth starting October: partnered with VaynerCommerce (early lift: +34% daily digital revenue, +7% AOV in late Oct/early Nov), plans to add email/SMS, influencers, capsule drops, and new channels (Amazon, TikTok in Q1) .
- 2025 earnings setup: interest expense amortization ends, cutting quarterly interest to ~$105K and adding ~+$3.1M to net earnings; total >$4.5M earnings uplift as amortized non-cash items conclude, plus Sundry pricing action adding >$0.5M to annual gross margin dollars .
- Consensus estimates: S&P Global (Capital IQ) quarterly EPS/revenue consensus was unavailable at the time of request; no formal guidance ranges were issued. Key stock catalysts: evidence of sustained DTC growth from the VaynerCommerce stack, Amazon/TikTok launches, and margin/interest expense inflection into 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Cost discipline and mix quality: G&A fell to $2.43M (–$1.31M YoY; >$0.5M QoQ reduction), with management asserting further benefit from outsourcing marketing to VaynerCommerce; S&M ratio improved YoY to 26.9% (35.3% LY) .
- Strategic growth pivot underway: “Starting in October… we transitioned… to focusing on increasing top line growth,” with VaynerCommerce already improving daily digital revenue (+34%) and AOV (+7%), and additional initiatives (email/SMS, influencer, monthly capsules) now launching .
- 2025 earnings tailwinds: Interest expense to ~$105K/quarter starting Q1 and ~+$3.1M annual net earnings benefit; aggregate >$4.5M uplift as amortized non-cash expenses conclude; Sundry wholesale price increase expected to add >$0.5M to gross margin annually .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line pressure: Revenue fell to $2.44M (–$0.96M YoY; –$0.96M QoQ) driven by dropping the largest wholesale account (single-digit gross margin) and limited ad spend suppressing e-commerce .
- Gross margin compression YoY: 46.0% vs 52.3% LY due to fixed cost burden (warehouse, labor, pattern/sewing/design) and lower digital revenue mix; gross profit dollars decreased to $1.12M (vs $1.70M LY) .
- Intangible impairment: Q3 recognized a $0.6M impairment of intangible assets, adding to operating expense burden in the quarter .
Financial Results
P&L Snapshot (YoY and Sequential)
Notes:
- Revenue decline primarily from dropping an unprofitable wholesale account and constrained digital ad spend .
- Gross margin down YoY on fixed-cost burden and mix; sequentially flat due to similar mix dynamics .
KPIs and Operating Items
Segment/Brand Breakdown
- Not disclosed in financial statements; management commentary highlighted dropping a large, low-margin wholesale account and pricing action at Sundry .
Guidance Changes
DBGI did not issue formal numerical guidance ranges. Management provided directional/outlook items:
Footnote: Management referenced a >$4.5M 2025 earnings uplift from amortized non-cash items concluding, alongside a specific ~+$3.1M net benefit from interest expense amortization ending; language suggests the $3.1M is a component of the broader earnings uplift rather than incremental to it .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Starting in October this year, we transitioned from cleaning up the balance sheet to focusing on increasing top line growth.”
- “This partnership has already led to a 34% increase in daily digital revenues and a 7% increase in average order volume…” (VaynerCommerce) .
- “Gross profit margins were 46.0%… [decline] is the fixed costs associated with gross margins including warehouse rent and labor expenses, pattern makers and sewers… and lower digital revenue…” .
- “Starting in Q1 next year, interest expenses will decline to $105,000 a quarter… [benefit] approximately $3.1 million to our net earnings in fiscal 2025.” .
- “We took a meaningful wholesale price increase at Sundry… that alone should add more than $500,000 a year to gross margins.” .
Q&A Highlights
- Capital structure cleanup: Management confirmed the payoff of $1.3M convertible notes; no remaining convertible debt; only longer-term “patient” debt remains .
- Marketing operating model: VaynerCommerce relationship is performance-incentivized with a large, dedicated team; initial ad spend modest (~$1,500/day) while A/B testing and content pipeline ramps .
- Wholesale account exit: The largest wholesale customer carried ~7% gross margin and was net cash negative; exiting reduces revenue but improves profitability and operating margin trajectory .
- Wholesale pipeline: Discussions with additional major retailers for Sundry and Stateside; management cited better margin/brand quality from prospective majors .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of request due to access limitations; as a result, we cannot present a vs-consensus comparison. Investors should assume model updates will focus on: (1) a reduced 2025 interest expense run-rate (~$105K/quarter), (2) gross margin dollars from Sundry pricing, and (3) DTC growth trajectory via VaynerCommerce and new channels .
- No formal quantitative guidance ranges were issued in the press release or call .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix quality over volume: Dropping a cash-negative wholesale account and holding GM ~flat sequentially supports a higher-quality revenue base despite near-term sales pressure .
- Operating leverage credible: G&A and S&M discipline, plus outsourcing marketing, should improve flow-through as digital ramps .
- Near-term DTC catalysts: VaynerCommerce impact already visible; layering email/SMS, influencers, and monthly capsules, with Amazon/TikTok in Q1, create multiple shots on goal for revenue acceleration .
- 2025 earnings inflection: Interest expense roll-off (~+$3.1M) and end of amortized non-cash items (>+$4.5M total uplift) set a materially lower expense base before growth benefits .
- Watch gross margin and ROAS: Sustained improvement in digital mix and conversion should lift GM% and revenue efficiency; track S&M% and gross profit dollars as leading indicators .
- Wholesale opportunity with better partners: Management indicates majors with superior margins are in discussions; monitor order flow and sell-through .
- Risk: Macro softness and execution risk in scaling new channels and content; Q3 included a $0.6M intangible impairment and non-cash G&A still meaningful near term .
Additional Relevant Releases (Q3 context)
- Marketing partnership with VaynerCommerce (10/21 start; performance data through 11/7): +34% daily digital revenue, +7% AOV; email/SMS to be added .
- Paid off $1.3M remaining convertible notes (11/7): removes convertible overhang .
- AVO DTC brand launch (9/4): value-premium positioning with monthly drops; leverages existing fabrics/supply chain .