DDOG Q2 2025: AI-driven growth boosts revenue, guidance steady
- Strong AI-Driven Growth: Datadog is benefiting from robust momentum in its AI native customer segment, which has been rapidly increasing in both revenue contribution and engagement during Q2, positioning the company to capitalize on the expanding AI market.
- Positive Initial Adoption of New AI Agents: The call highlighted very positive initial feedback on AI-powered products (e.g., the AI SRE agent), with customers quickly purchasing and integrating these solutions, which could drive further usage and revenue growth.
- Comprehensive Observability Platform with High Upsell Potential: Datadog’s integrated end-to-end platform is resonating with both enterprise and AI native customers, enabling easier cross-selling and driving higher product attach rates, which provides a strong foundation for long-term revenue expansion.
- Revenue Volatility: The company cautioned that the AI native customer cohort—while currently growing rapidly—could experience contract renegotiation and usage optimization, leading to short‐term volatility in revenues and margins.
- Competitive Pressure: Despite offering an integrated platform, Datadog faces a crowded competitive landscape with both established incumbents and new entrants, which could pressure pricing and slow overall growth.
- Uncertainty in Product Adoption: The timing and scale of customer optimization for new AI solutions remain unpredictable; if key customers decide to optimize or reduce usage unexpectedly, it may adversely impact revenue performance.
Metric | Period | Previous Guidance | Current Guidance | Change |
---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | Q3 2025 | $787 million to $791 million (22%–23% YoY growth) | $847 million to $851 million (23% YoY growth) | raised |
Non-GAAP Operating Income | Q3 2025 | $148 million to $152 million (19% margin) | $176 million to $180 million (21% margin) | raised |
Non-GAAP Net Income Per Share | Q3 2025 | $0.40 to $0.42 | $0.44 to $0.46 | raised |
Revenue | FY 2025 | $3.215 billion to $3.235 billion (20%–21% growth) | $3.312 billion to $3.322 billion (23%–24% YoY growth) | raised |
Non-GAAP Operating Income | FY 2025 | $625 million to $645 million (19%–20% margin) | $684 million to $694 million (21% margin) | raised |
Non-GAAP Net Income Per Share | FY 2025 | $1.67 to $1.71 | $1.80 to $1.83 | raised |
Net Interest and Other Income | FY 2025 | $140 million | $150 million | raised |
Cash Taxes | FY 2025 | $30 million to $35 million | $10 million to $20 million | lowered |
Non-GAAP Tax Rate | FY 2025 | no prior guidance | 21% | no prior guidance |
Capital Expenditures and Capitalized Software | FY 2025 | 4% to 5% | 4% to 5% | no change |
Topic | Previous Mentions | Current Period | Trend |
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Consistent AI adoption | Q3 2024 saw AI-native customers grow from 2.5% to 6% ARR with 4 percentage points of YoY revenue growth. Q4 2024 reported stable AI-native contribution at 6% ARR with renewals and year‐over‐year growth (3% to 6% ARR). Q1 2025 recorded 8.5% ARR from AI-native customers contributing 6 growth points while cautioning potential volatility. | Q2 2025 reported AI-native customers contributing 11% of revenues and 10 YoY revenue growth points, with strong growth and scaling while noting potential volatility. | Strong, consistent growth with an increased share and a more bullish tone despite acknowledgement of volatility. |
Emerging adoption of new AI-powered products | In Q3 2024, there were mentions of broader AI integrations and LLM observability usage and in Q4 2024 early discussions on AI agents and observability. Q1 2025 did not mention the AI SRE agent explicitly. | Q2 2025 highlighted the positive initial customer response and scaling efforts for the AI SRE agent, with explicit customer purchases. | A new, more specific product focus has emerged in Q2 2025, building on earlier general AI integration themes. |
Integrated observability platform | Q3 2024 highlighted multi-product adoption including 83% of customers using 2+ products and pipeline upsell opportunities. Q4 2024 discussed customers consolidating tools with significant multi-product usage (e.g. 83% using 2+ and 12% using 8+ products). Q1 2025 emphasized cross-selling success with expanding usage across products and major deals. | Q2 2025 emphasized an integrated, end-to-end platform strategy that balances upselling and new customer acquisition. | Consistently emphasized across periods with robust cross‐sell growth and strategic platform integration. |
Revenue volatility and uncertainty in bookings-to-revenue conversion | Q3 2024 discussed potential volatility from rapid AI-native growth and RPO fluctuations due to contract timing. Q4 2024 explained revenue volatility driven by renewals and invoicing timing. Q1 2025 highlighted volatility risks from concentrated AI-native revenue and delayed booking conversion. | Q2 2025 acknowledged potential volatility from the rapidly growing AI-native cohort and inherent uncertainty in timing for bookings-to-revenue conversion, managed through conservative guidance. | A consistent concern across periods with cautious language; guidance remains conservative despite strong growth. |
Competitive pressures – risk of customers in-housing observability solutions | Q3 2024 did not specifically address this risk; Q4 2024 noted that while very large customers might consider in-housing, it is rarely economically rational. Q1 2025 cited boomerang customers returning after in-house experiments, reinforcing Datadog as the best long-term choice. | Q2 2025 reiterated the strategy of continuous innovation and an integrated platform as key differentiators to mitigate the risk, with mention of customers returning from in-house efforts. | Consistently mentioned with a nuanced view that stresses innovation and platform completeness as countermeasures. |
Sales, marketing, and R&D investment effectiveness | Q3 2024 mentioned growing international sales capacity and new deals though ROI was not detailed. Q4 2024 provided detailed headcount expansions and recognized that returns from investments are typically delayed by 1–3 years. Q1 2025 noted robust investment with significant headcount growth and early productivity signals. | Q2 2025 did not specifically address ROI uncertainties, though it noted continued international investment and strategic scaling. | Earlier periods provided detailed analysis of ROI challenges, while Q2 2025 placed less emphasis on short-term ROI, implying a steadier investment outlook. |
Cloud hosting cost pressures impacting margins | Q1 2025 faced margin pressure from rising cloud costs and spiky customer growth, expecting future cost optimizations. Q3 2024 discussed ongoing cost optimization efforts with marginal changes in gross margins. Q4 2024 did not mention this topic explicitly. | Q2 2025 reported active efforts in optimizing cloud usage that led to an improved gross margin (80.9% vs. 80.3%), with further optimization expected in the second half. | The sentiment has improved in Q2 2025 as proactive optimization reduces earlier margin pressures, shifting from concern to an optimistic outlook. |
Global sales expansion into underpenetrated markets | Q3 2024 showcased specific successes in markets like India with a major 7‐figure deal, and Q4 2024 mentioned efforts in underserved geographies. Q1 2025 noted that international sales rep headcount grew in the mid-30s percent, indicating a focus on global expansion. | Q2 2025 explicitly outlined strategies to expand in underpenetrated markets including India, Brazil, APJ, and the Middle East with intensified international investment. | A continued and increasingly specific global expansion focus, with greater emphasis on targeted regions such as India in Q2 2025. |
Decelerating RPO growth and forecasting challenges | Q3 2024 provided a detailed discussion on deceleration in RPO growth due to shifts in contract durations and forecast noise. Q4 2024 also touched on forecasting challenges related to billing and contract timing. Q1 2025 did not highlight this topic. | Q2 2025 did not explicitly emphasize decelerating RPO growth or forecasting challenges, though conservative guidance still accounted for variability. | The topic is less emphasized in Q2 2025, suggesting a reduced focus or improved clarity in forecasting compared to earlier periods. |
Limited monetization of AI training workloads | Q3 2024 highlighted challenges in monetizing GPU-based training jobs versus CPU instances and potential future pricing adjustments. Q4 2024 explicitly explained that training workloads are not well monetized because of their distinct infrastructure needs. Q1 2025 noted that Datadog focuses on inference rather than training workloads. | Q2 2025 did not mention limited monetization of AI training workloads. | Although previously an emerging concern, this topic was not mentioned in Q2 2025, suggesting it may have receded from the immediate discussion. |
Shifting sentiment on AI focus | Q3 2024 saw a transition from worries about resource diversion to optimism about moving AI experiments into production workloads. Q4 2024 featured a bullish narrative with robust AI-native growth. Q1 2025 maintained a positive outlook with strong AI-native contributions and a growing base of AI integrations. | Q2 2025 presented a highly bullish narrative emphasizing long-term AI opportunities, with strong AI-native growth and integrated AI observability across the stack. | There is a clear evolution toward greater bullish optimism on AI, moving away from earlier concerns about resource diversion toward recognizing AI as a key growth driver. |
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Margin Impact
Q: Do AI native revenues affect margins?
A: Management explained that AI native revenues yield margins similar to other segments because pricing is volume-driven and based on customer size. They continue to improve efficiency through cloud cost management, which helps offset any discounting effects. -
Financial Guidance
Q: Will AI volatility impact revenue guidance?
A: Despite noting potential volatility during renewals, management remains confident in its strong guidance, using conservative assumptions to maintain overall robust performance. -
Sales Productivity
Q: How productive is the new sales team?
A: Management noted that new hires have begun contributing well to new logo acquisition and pipeline growth, though they are still ramping up, reflecting solid execution of the sales expansion strategy. -
Security Expansion
Q: What’s next for security growth?
A: With security now generating over $100M in ARR, management is focusing on broader enterprise adoption and further product enhancements, while also evaluating inorganic opportunities for additional growth. -
Enterprise vs. SMB
Q: How do enterprise and SMB usage trends differ?
A: Enterprise usage remains stable due to a controlled cloud migration process, whereas SMB usage is showing gradual improvement, reflecting distinct operational dynamics between the segments. -
Contract Visibility
Q: How visible are contracts with large AI natives?
A: Management is confident in long-term contract visibility thanks to strong product engagement and high retention, even though short-term revenue fluctuations may occur during renewals. -
AI Agent Adoption
Q: How is the AI agent uptake progressing?
A: Early customer feedback on AI solutions, such as the AI SRE agent, has been very positive. The rapid adoption during trials signals promising future integration into the platform. -
Competitive Edge
Q: How does DDOG compare to competitors?
A: Management believes DDOG wins by offering an integrated, end-to-end platform that accelerates innovation and covers more use cases than competitors like Grafana or Chronosphere. -
Sales Capacity & Headcount
Q: Will sales headcount accelerate further this year?
A: The company is executing its planned expansion aggressively, balancing both domestic and international investments to boost quota capacity and achieve strong ROI from increased headcount.
Research analysts covering Datadog.