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DELUXE CORP (DLX)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 revenue of $521.3M declined 3.1% YoY as management intentionally walked away from low-margin promotional print, but margins expanded and EPS grew; comparable adjusted EBITDA rose 4.6% with margin up 140 bps to 20.4%, and comparable adjusted EPS increased to $0.88 .
  • Results vs S&P Global consensus: revenue missed ($521.3M vs $526.9M*), while EPS beat ($0.88 vs $0.75*) on disciplined cost execution and mix; full-year revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS guidance affirmed, free cash flow guidance raised to $130–$150M . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Segment performance was mixed: Data Solutions +18.1% revenue with 30.1% margins; Merchant +2.9% revenue with margin +190 bps; B2B +1.1% revenue; Print revenue down 9% but margins held at 32.2% as declines were concentrated in low-margin promo .
  • CheckMatch acquisition from J.P. Morgan’s Kinexys extends Deluxe Payment Network scale; not material in 2025 but expected to add B2B growth as it scales in 2026+ .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Margin and EPS resilience: “tenth consecutive quarter of year over year comparable adjusted EBITDA growth,” margin +140 bps to just above 20%, comparable adjusted EPS +3.5% to $0.88 .
    • Data Solutions momentum: revenue +18.1% and margin +260 bps to 30.1% on strong FI deposit campaigns and expansion into non-FI verticals; “we can actually show [customers] the return” on marketing campaigns .
    • Cash and leverage: YTD free cash flow $52.1M (+$34.5M YoY), leverage improved to 3.5x with a path to ~3.3x by YE and <3x next year; FCF guidance raised .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top-line softness tied to low-margin promo print: Print revenue -9% YoY, driven by branded promo -25.1% and non-renewal of unattractive-margin orders; legacy checks -3.2%, forms/other -7.2% .
    • Macro overhang on Merchant: “lingering macroeconomic uncertainty” and “generalized consumer stress” continued to weigh on spending despite sequential improvement .
    • B2B cadence: sequential improvement expected, but YoY moderation anticipated in Q3 due to onboarding timing; stronger Q4 exit rate expected .

Financial Results

Overall results by period (oldest → newest):

MetricQ2 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($M)$537.8 $520.5 $536.5 $521.3
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$103.4 $103.3 $100.2 $106.5
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)19.2% 19.8% 18.7% 20.4%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.46 $0.28 $0.31 $0.50
Comparable Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.85 $0.84 $0.75 $0.88

Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus:

MetricQ2 2025 Consensus*Q2 2025 Actual
Revenue ($M)$526.9*$521.3
Adjusted/Primary EPS ($)$0.75*$0.88

Values retrieved from S&P Global*.

Segment breakdown:

SegmentQ2 2024Q2 2025
Merchant Services Revenue ($M)$98.5 $101.4
Merchant Services Adj. EBITDA ($M)$19.2 $21.7
Merchant Services Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)19.5% 21.4%
B2B Payments Revenue ($M)$70.2 $71.0
B2B Payments Adj. EBITDA ($M)$14.0 $15.6
B2B Payments Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)19.9% 22.0%
Data Solutions Revenue ($M)$57.4 $67.8
Data Solutions Adj. EBITDA ($M)$15.8 $20.4
Data Solutions Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)27.5% 30.1%
Print Revenue ($M)$308.8 $281.1
Print Adj. EBITDA ($M)$93.9 $90.4
Print Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)30.4% 32.2%

Cash flow and balance sheet KPIs:

KPIYTD Jun 2024YTD Jun 2025
Cash from Operations ($M)$66.2 $101.4
Free Cash Flow ($M)$17.6 $52.1
KPIDec 31, 2024Jun 30, 2025
Net Debt ($M)$1,468.7 $1,444.6
Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA (x)3.6x 3.5x

Dividend declared: $0.30 per share payable 9/2/2025 (record date 8/18/2025) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q1 2025)Current Guidance (Q2 2025)Change
RevenueFY 2025$2.090–$2.155B $2.090–$2.155B Maintained
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$415–$435M $415–$435M Maintained
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY 2025$3.25–$3.55 $3.25–$3.55 Maintained
Free Cash FlowFY 2025$120–$140M $130–$150M Raised

FY25 modeling assumptions reiterated:

  • Interest expense ~$122.5M; adjusted tax rate ~26%; D&A $135M ($45M acquisition amortization); avg diluted shares ~45.5M; capex $90–$100M .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Q-2)Q1 2025 (Q-1)Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesContinued platform investment; segment recast underscores Payments/Data focus Noted execution momentum and S&P ratings upgrade; product innovation cadence implied Launched DAX AI assistant and reimagined Deluxe.connect developer portal to speed ISV integrations Improving
Macro/consumer2024 saw cost control and deleveraging despite macro headwinds Solid start to 2025 with operating leverage “Generalized consumer stress” but slightly moderated; macro uncertainty still impacting Merchant Mixed
Data Solutions performanceFY24 growth and margin expansion Q1 growth across Payments/Data +18.1% revenue; strong FI deposit campaigns; non-FI expansion; low double-digit FY growth expected (Q4 comp tough) Improving
B2B Payments cadenceFY24 B2B normalizing Q1 low single-digit growth +1.1% Q2; sequential improvement expected; Q3 moderates YoY on onboarding timing; stronger Q4 exit Stable
Merchant ServicesFY24 mid-single-digit growth and margin ~20% Q1 low single-digit growth +2.9% Q2; margin +190 bps; low single-digit FY trajectory; ISV partnerships ramping Improving
Print trajectoryFY24 low-30s margins Q1 margin ~31% Revenue -9% on low-margin promo declines; segment margins held at 32.2%; declines not expected to recur at Q2 rate Stable margins; revenue down
Capital allocation/leverageNet debt reduced in 2024; refinancing completed Debt reduction commitments reiterated Leverage 3.5x; path to ~3.3x YE and <3x next year; dividend maintained Improving
Strategic M&A/partnershipsFY24 investments to support growth Announced new Merchant leader and partnerships CheckMatch acquisition extends DPN; ISV partnerships (Chargent, SchoolAuction.net, MyKidReports) to embed growth Improving

Management Commentary

  • “Our second quarter was highlighted by strong results across each of our core profitability metrics… top line of $521,000,000 was down 2.5%… fully attributable to the low margin promotional portion of Print.”
  • “We’re affirming our overall full year revenue and earnings guidance and increasing our free cash flow guidance.”
  • On CheckMatch + DPN: “Consistent with our capital allocation priorities, the CheckMatch product will bolt onto our existing DPN platform… not expected to have a material impact to our 2025 B2B segment results, but… positive impact as it scales across 2026 and beyond.”
  • CFO: “Comparable adjusted EBITDA was $106.5 million… margins were 20.4%… Q2 comparable adjusted EPS of $0.88… Free cash flow… $52.1 million year to date.”
  • CFO on guidance: “Revenue of $2,090,000,000 to $2,155,000,000… Adjusted EBITDA of $415,000,000 to $435,000,000… Adjusted EPS of $3.25 to $3.55… increased free cash flow of $130,000,000 to $150,000,000.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Merchant margin improvement: CEO cited operating efficiency, pricing, and new markets/partnerships; early benefits from new Merchant leader’s initiatives .
  • Free cash flow drivers: CFO pointed to improved profitability, lower restructuring cash, and working capital execution supporting raised FCF guidance .
  • Data Solutions durability: CEO emphasized measurable ROI driving client spend; CFO guided to continued momentum in Q3, with Q4 comp headwind and potential YoY decline limited to seasonality .
  • Print promo softness: CFO reiterated decision to forgo low-margin revenue; impact measured in “a few million” and margins expanded regardless .
  • CheckMatch synergy: CEO framed network effects—more endpoints increase value—supporting broader B2B payments ambitions and receivables automation cross-sell (Receivables360) .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 delivered an EPS beat and revenue miss vs S&P Global consensus: $0.88 vs $0.75* and $521.3M vs $526.9M* respectively, consistent with management’s emphasis on profitable growth and mix . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • FY 2025 Primary EPS consensus sits near the upper end of management’s $3.25–$3.55 range (consensus ~$3.55*), suggesting limited room to raise for EPS absent upside on margins or lower interest expense; free cash flow raise may support higher quality of earnings. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Estimate implications: modest top-line trimming (promo print), offset by EPS/EBITDA upward bias from cost discipline and mix; watch Q3 B2B onboarding phasing and Q4 Data Solutions comp headwind .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality over quantity: top-line softness was intentional in low-margin promo, while margins and EPS improved—supportive of multiple resiliency on earnings quality .
  • Catalysts: FCF guidance raised; leverage trending toward ~3.3x by YE; dividend maintained—deleveraging plus cash return could support sentiment .
  • Growth engines: Data Solutions strength (FI deposit campaigns, non-FI expansion) and improving Merchant trajectory with ISV partnerships (e.g., Chargent) underpin mix shift toward Payments/Data .
  • Near-term watch items: Q3 B2B onboarding timing (sequential up, YoY moderate), normalization in Print promo declines (management does not expect Q2’s rate to recur), and macro pressures on discretionary spend .
  • Strategic optionality: CheckMatch integration expands DPN’s network effects and should add a couple of points of B2B growth when fully scaled (2026+); additional bolt-ons possible but capital allocation remains disciplined .
  • Estimates: Expect sell-side to trim revenue but lift EPS/FCF forecasts given execution on margins and cash conversion; consensus EPS already near high end of guidance . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
  • Stock narrative: EPS/FCF beat-and-raise with a credible deleveraging path and Payments/Data momentum vs headline revenue miss should be net constructive; visibility into Q3–Q4 cadence is the key debate .

Additional Context Documents

  • 8-K Q2 2025 earnings release and financials (incl. segment tables, cash flow) .
  • Q2 2025 earnings call transcript (management commentary, guidance detail, Q&A) .
  • Q1 2025 8-K (prior quarter baseline, guidance prior state) .
  • Q4 2024 8-K (two quarters back baseline) .
  • CheckMatch acquisition press release (strategic direction) .
  • Q2 press releases on Deluxe.ai “DAX” and developer portal (innovation narrative) .